itd nares on megatrands

“The future is already here – it's just not evenly distributed.”

—William Gibson, quoted in The Economist, December 4, 2003

“Implications for Future Nanotechnology Innovation and Market”

Mega Trends in Asia-Pacific

Nares Damrongchai, APEC Center for Technology Foresight

7 new

Cities, and not Countries, will drive wealth creation in the future.

• Cities as island of excellence and competitiveness.– Attracts young and vibrant talent– Compactness energy efficiency

• Emerging countries survive only when they can manage how to merge these “island of competitiveness” into the rest of the country.– China vs. Mexico in early 2000s

Source: NASA image of Canary Islands

Mega Cities

• Bangkok accounts for 25% of Thailand’s GDP

• Seoul accounts for 50% of Korea’s GDP

Since 2008 more than ½ of the world population live in cities.

IMPLICATIONS• High economic power• Hub and spoke business

model• Transit-oriented

development• New mobility solutions

Source: Andy Council MegaCity Fauna

Green Growth is Smart Growth

Source: Frost & Sullivan, 2012

Source: www.apple.com

Geo Socialisation

Source: Frost & Sullivan, 2012

Complete recyclability from households

Zero defects

Zero breaches of security

Zero accidents

Zero emissions from cars

Carbon neutral cities

Zero crime rates

Zero waste emissions

Source: CISASIA

ZERO achievement from innovation

Talentism

Business model for competitiveness and collaboration in the future will be less based on capital and much more based on talent. - Prof. Klaus Shwab, WEF

and particularly the potential of

social network in enhancing

partnerships among themselves,

among the people who share their

ideologies,

between their companies and their customer-base, and between the cities – cross national boundaries.

• Young people, the digital generation, are equipped with the capability to create their own jobs.– People with new ideas will

explore the new wave of ICT

ASEAN Integration

ASEAN Community

Narrowing the Development GAP (NDG)

ASEAN Political-Security

Community(APSC)

ASEAN Economic

Community(AEC)

ASEAN Socio-Cultural

Community(ASCC)

AEC by 2015

Photo from Flickr.comAll rights reserved by Fadzly

ASEAN Connectivity

There’s plenty of room at the bottom.

Source: An Industrial Workers of the World poster (1911).

Mega Trend

Sub Trend

Impact to

Industry

Impact on product/

technology

Analysis of opportunity and unmet

needs

Some Key Goals of Nanotechnology for the Next 5-10 Years

• Electrical storage for electrified transportation and grid-connected renewables

• Nanostructured material for improved lighting efficiency

• Terawatt-scale solar energy at fossil energy costs

• Nanostructured thermoelectric materials for economical energy conversionSource: Nanotechnology Research Directions for Societal Needs in 2020, published by Springer, Berlin and Boston