impact evaluation of cdbc under vietnam second northern mountains poverty reduction project

DIME – FRAGILE STATESDUBAI, MAY 31 – JUNE 4

Impact Evaluation of CDBC under Vietnam Second Northern Mountains Poverty Reduction Project

Ms. Nguyen Thi Minh NghiaMr. Le Hong PhongMr. Tran Duy HungMs. Tran Thu ThuyIsabel BeltranVictor Orozco

Project description

The development objective of the project: to enhance the living standards of the project beneficiaries by improving their access to productive infrastructure, productive and institutional capacity of local government and communities, and market linkages and business innovations.

Project description

Project components: Component 1: District Economic

Development Basic productive infrastructure and business

innovations Component 2: Commune Devel. Budget

Component Small grants decentralized to communes for

locally prioritized activities Component 3: Capacity Building

Management-related and vocational skills Component 4: Project Management

Project description

Some more details for Component 2 – CDBC:

The component aims to improve the livelihood of villages by exploiting local potential resources, creating local employments, encouraging market linkages and value-chains for local products.

Gender issue is focused on by designing one sub-component in which all activities are proposed and implemented by local women.

Research questions

Question 1: What is the impact of CDBC in the livelihood of the villages?

Question 2: Do villages that have a female leader have different impact in the livelihood of the village after the project?

Indicators

Indicator 1: income (including: average on-farm and off-farm income).

Indicator 2: average women that participate in community activities (village council meetings) and women status.

Indicator 3: level of satisfaction with the local government

Identification strategy

10% (30) communes already selected (political reasons)

130 randomly selected communes (inside the commune, villages are randomly split into 2 groups: ones have female leaders the others have male leaders)

70 communes that were the control (inside the commune, villages are randomly split into 2 groups: ones have female leaders the others have male leaders)

Total: 230 pre-selected communes10 villages in each commune on average

2nd follow -up

Phase 1 (6mo.)

Phase 2 (6mo.)

Follow -upBaseline

1.5 years

6 months

1.5 years

6 months

Sample

200 communes in 6 provinces in Vietnam already selected by Ministry of Planning and Investment.

Each commune has approx. 10 villages

Sample: 2,000 villages approx.Each village has approx. 40

households.Randomly select the communes and

then randomly select the villages to have male/female leaders.

Timeline

Project begins: August 2010Finalize concept note: October 2010Baseline: August 2011 Treatment group (1st cohort): Sept. –

Dec. 2011 1st follow-up: August 2013 Treatment group (2nd cohort): Sept. –

Dec. 20132nd follow-up: August 2015

Impact evaluation team

National and Provincial Government (Ministry of Planning and Investment, central project coordination office, Project Management Unit of each province)

WB Project team (TTL)DIME teamData collection agency (National

Statistics Office)

Estimated budget

Total project investment budget: $165million

1% of total budget is planned for M&E task ($1.6million)

30% of M&E budget for IE task: $500,000 this will cover the data collection.

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