hiv epidemic 30 years from now perspectives from low and middle income countries focusing on asia

HIV epidemic 30 years from nowPerspectives from low and middle income countries

focusing on Asia

Dr Van Thuy NguyenWHO country office in Vietnam

IAS member meeting, Rome July 19, 2011

Where we are now?30 years later???

Outline

Where we are now?

19901991

19921993

19941995

19961997

19981999

20002001

20022003

20042005

20062007

20082009

0

1000

2000

3000

4000

5000

6000

720

4900

10

Adults and children living with HIV New HIV infections AIDS deaths

Thou

sand

s

Estimated number of adults and children living with HIV, new infections and AIDS deaths, Asia: 1990-2009

Source: UNAIDS RST Asia-Pacific, based on data compiled for the UNAIDS Report on the Global AIDS Epidemic, 2010

300,000

4.9 million

360,000

4

Source: www.aidsdatahub.org based on Towards Universal Access: Scaling up Priority HIV/AIDS Interventions in the Health Sector, 2006-2010 5

Number of people receiving antiretroviral therapy in Asia- Pacific & total low- and middle-income countries,

2003-2009

The world today….. UN high level meeting on AIDS in New

York Treatment 2.0 Treatment for prevention (HPTN 052) Pre-exposure prophylaxis (iPreEx,

Partners PrEP and TDF2) Research for cure strategy

30 years later???

WHERE WILL HIV BE?

19th July 2041

HIV Evening News!

19th July 2041

Medicine patent pool signed the first agreement on HIV vaccine with Indonesia Company to improve access to HIV vaccine in developing countries

19th July 2041

UNHIV congratulates Russia on their achieving universal access to methadone maintenance therapy.

19th July 2041

PHIZERH* launches inexpensive 1 dose pill to cure HIV infection.

(*Philippine HIV Industrial Zone Emergency Research for Human Problems)

19th July 2041

Global commercial sex worker union sues producer of prophylactic gel for the first case of HIV in the last 15 years among one of its members.

19th July 2041

Thailand is running an internet campaign encouraging  heterosexual couples to declare their marital status

19th July 2041

Chinese and Vietnamese Governments promote a joint celebration of 20 years of closure of the last forced treatment centre for injecting drug users.

19th July 2041

US CDC welcomes the technical assistance provided by experts from PNG via video conference

19th July 2041

WHO and UNAIDS launch Cure 2.0 using a mix of genetic and pharmaceutical therapy

Cure 2.0

Adapt delivery systems

Mobilize communities

POC and other

simplified monitoring

Optimize drug

regimens

Reduce costs

19th July 2041

IAS decided to change its name to be ISHA (International Society for the History of AIDS)

19th July 2041

WHERE WILL HIV BE?

IAS MEMBER MEETINGRome, 19 July 2011

WHO CO team: Dr Fabio Mesquita, Dr Masaya Kato, Dr David Jacka, Dr Keith Sabin

WPRO colleagues

Acknowledgement