györgy seres: bases of military system modeling

György Seres:

Bases of military system modeling

Selections from history of general system theory

SSelections from elections from history history

of general system of general system theorytheory

•Effective defense against air attack or Effective defense against air attack or submarines can be realized by a concerted submarines can be realized by a concerted military system only. military system only. •That’s why the general system theory and That’s why the general system theory and the cybernetics wthe cybernetics wereere born in the time of born in the time of Second World War in England.Second World War in England.•Large integrated military systems could Large integrated military systems could not have been created in absence of not have been created in absence of theoretical results of military R&D.theoretical results of military R&D.

Air Defense SystemAir Defense System

Strategic Defense Strategic Defense InitiativeInitiative

( SDI or Star ( SDI or Star WWars)ars)

Selections from Selections from futurefuture

of military systemof military systemss““””The nature of modern The nature of modern warfare demands that we warfare demands that we fight as a joint team. fight as a joint team. …… Joint Vision 2010 provides Joint Vision 2010 provides an operationally based an operationally based template for the evolution template for the evolution of the Armed Forces for a of the Armed Forces for a challenging and uncertain challenging and uncertain future. future. …….”.”

John M. ShalikashviliChairman

of the Joint Chiefs of Staff

““””The nature of modern The nature of modern warfare demands that we warfare demands that we fight as a joint team. fight as a joint team. …… Joint Vision 2010 provides Joint Vision 2010 provides an operationally based an operationally based template for the evolution template for the evolution of the Armed Forces for a of the Armed Forces for a challenging and uncertain challenging and uncertain future. future. …….”.”

John M. ShalikashviliChairman

of the Joint Chiefs of Staff

By US By US ArmyArmy

DigitDigitalal

battlefielbattlefieldd

By US Air By US Air ForceForce

„Air Force 2025”The The Air Force University Air Force University

conducted a study to identify conducted a study to identify the concepts, capabilities, the concepts, capabilities, and technologies the United and technologies the United States will require remainStates will require remaining ing the dominant air and space the dominant air and space force in the first quarter of force in the first quarter of the 21st century. the 21st century.

The study was called Air The study was called Air Force 2025Force 2025..

Worldwide CWorldwide C44I I systemsystem

Virtual theatre of Virtual theatre of warwar

National Missiles Defense National Missiles Defense systemsystem ( ( NMNMD )D )

By NMD By NMD TeamTeam

The primary mission of National Missile The primary mission of National Missile Defense is defense of the United States Defense is defense of the United States (all 50 states) against a threat of a (all 50 states) against a threat of a limited strategic ballistic missile attack limited strategic ballistic missile attack from a rogue nation. from a rogue nation. Although intended to protect the United Although intended to protect the United States only, the proposed NMD system States only, the proposed NMD system will not work without the use of radars in will not work without the use of radars in Europe or in territories controlled by Europe or in territories controlled by European countries. European countries.

First First conclusionconclusion

Only two type ofOnly two type of weapons weapons were developed, against were developed, against which wasn’t effective which wasn’t effective

defensedefense!!

Only two typeOnly two typess of of weapons were developed weapons were developed

against which against which wasn’t effective defensewasn’t effective defense!!

ClubClub Nuclear weaponNuclear weapon

&&

Defensive tool against Defensive tool against club was the frightful club was the frightful

mask onlymask only

The SDI was planned as The SDI was planned as defensive tool against defensive tool against

nuclear weaponnuclear weaponIt hasn’t beenIt hasn’t been realizedrealized,, but as a but as a

result result the USSR collapsedthe USSR collapsed

Nevertheless, which Nevertheless, which defense tool did save the defense tool did save the

earth from theearth from the nuclear nuclear war?war?

Nevertheless, which Nevertheless, which defense tool did save the defense tool did save the

earth from theearth from the nuclear nuclear war?war?

It is the remembrance of Hiroshima It is the remembrance of Hiroshima and Nagasaki! and Nagasaki!

This “tool” kept Stalin and Truman in This “tool” kept Stalin and Truman in 50’s, Khrushchev and Kennedy in 50’s, Khrushchev and Kennedy in 60’s, and leaders of the rogue 60’s, and leaders of the rogue nations nowadays back from using of nations nowadays back from using of nuclear weapons.nuclear weapons.

Dr. György SeresDr. György Seres

drseres@jata.org

http://www.jata.org/drseres/