e3i ethics, ecology, evolution, collective intelligence, & information peacekeeping making the...

E3iEthics, Ecology, Evolution, Collective Intelligence, & Information Peacekeeping

Making the Revolution

1 part moral, 1 part conceptual, 1 part technical, 1 part cultural

Top Ten Challenges44 Dictators = Immoral Capitalism Sets the Stage

*State of the World Atlas (1997), ** Marq de Villier (Water), John Heidenrich and Greg Stanton (Genocide), Michael Klare et al (Resources), all others from PIOOM Map 2002

Complex Emergencies32 Countries

Refugees/Displaced66 Countries

Food Security33 Countries

Child Soldiers41 Countries

Modern Plagues*59 Countries & Rising

Corruption Common80 Countries

Censorship Very High62 Countries

Resource Wars, Energy Waste & Pollution**

Water Scarcity &Contaminated Water**

Ethnic Conflict 18 Genocides Today**

Bridge: ClearVillage: Friendly

Over Hill: E PltDefilade: OnStar

NNE 1509 3921 7502Alt 11,004

Everyone Has Information NeedsMany of those needs are common to more than one party.

We’re concerned about all information needs, not just “intelligence” requirements.

Policy OpportunitiesDoD is Within Striking Distance of a Major Shift

Global War of Terrorism• ODSI (Dr. Stephen Cambone) wants universal

coverage down to the neighborhood levelTransition to and from War• DoD Directive 3000.cc (draft) is on target

– C4I needed to NGOs, PMCs, locals, etc.– Foreign open sources of information vital

DoD GIG Good But Needs to Evolve Faster • Can’t collect/connect the dots on the fly• Can’t cycle connected dots back to the field• Global grid runs from too fat to not at all

Seven Information Tribes:The Way Ahead

Military

Law EnforcementBusiness

Academic

National

NGO &Media

Religions& Clans

Secrets

"Intelligence"

"Protected"

Open

Targeting

Signals

Imagery

Order of Battle

Mapping

Undercover

Investigation

Privacy

Metrics

Client Information

Pricing Information

Cost Information

External Information

National Military Law Enforcement Business

Secret

Sensitive

Private

Open

Secret

Sensitive

Private

Open

Secret

Sensitive

Private

Open

Academic NGO-Media Citizen+

Information SharingGoing for the Green

Three ArchitecturesOne Global Data Capture Service

3. INFORMATION ARCHITECTURE:• incorporates open sources, on and off line• matches global real time knowledge to individual situations

1. NETWORK ARCHITECTURE:• processing in the bit stream• interoperation

2. SEMANTIC ARCHITECTURE:• text-capable• scaled

4. COMMERCIAL COLLECTION:• open source feeds• special collection

Point of Entry Raw Produces Actionable Intelligence

Processed Raw

OPINTEL

Finished Intelligence

Policy Package

Public Perception

HUMINT SIGINT IMINT MASINT OSINT OPS OTHER

HUMINT SIGINT IMINT MASINT OSINT OPS OTHER

Dots need to be connecting at every level,Including immediately upon ingestion.

Today, one third of the dots connect here.(Collect 2/3rd, spill half—some say 80%)

Connecting the Dots 24/7, All Levels

Conversion of Paper Documents to Digital Form

Automated Extraction of Data Elements From

Text and Images

Standardizing and Converting Data Formats

Processing Images, Video, Audio, Signal Data

Automated Foreign Language

Translation

Open Literature Non-Text Data Restricted Information

Detection of Alert Situations

Clustering and Linking of

Related Data

Statistical Analysis to Reveal

Anomalies

Detection of Changing Trends

Interactive Search and Retrieval of

Data

Graphic and Map-Based Visualization

of Data

Modeling and Simulations

Collaborative Work

Notetaking and Organizing Ideas

Structured Argument Analysis

Desktop Publishing and

Word Processing

Production of Graphics, Videos and

Online Briefings

Revision Tracking and Realtime Group

Review

NEW: Intelligent Network Enables Applications At All Points

OLD:

On-the-fly Analytic Tools Applied At All Points

Inter-Agency CollaborationDoD Directive 3000.cc Opens New Doors

JICC

J-2 J-3

J-1MP

J-5CA

J-4Eng

J-6IT

CGR2

INTELLIGENCE CLUSTER

SERVICE CLUSTER

COALITION CLUSTER

LAW ENFORCEMENT

CLUSTER

CIVIL CLUSTER

NGO CLUSTER

80% Unclassified Information

Regional Information Center

O SINTH U MINT

IM INTSIG INT

D ep uty fo r Co lle ctionAu stra lia

D igitizationTran slation

V isua liza tionAn alytic Su p po rt

D e pu ty for Pro ce ssingM a laysia

W a rn ingEstima tiveC ou n tries

Issu es

D e pu ty for An a lysisC hina

C hie f o f Ce nterS ing a po re

Deputy for CounterintelligenceJapan

Deputy for Covert ActionThailand

Ronald Kasrils, Minister for Intelligence

Services Republic of South Africa

To Montevideo To Singapore

Chief:South Africa

Deputy Chief:North Africa

Collection:East Africa

Processing:West Africa

Analysis:Central Africa

Counter-I:TBD

Covert Action:TBD

Suez Team:Egypt

Gibralter Team:Spain

[Positions rotate every 3 years]

Overlay & Virtually

Integrate:

African Early

Warning &

Open Source

Information Network

African Regional

Intelligence Center

Joint Analysis

Center Molesworth

SECRET BIG DATA

• NSA-NGA

• SAIC

• HARRIS

• NG-MS

NOT SECRET BIG DATA

• UN, Red Cross, NGOs…

• NASA , public geospatial

• Factiva

• LEXIS-NEXIS

SECRET DISTRIBUTED DATA

• Intelink

• ARDA

• ITIC

• JHU/APL

NOT SECRET DISTRIBUTED DATA

• CISCO

• Google/Libraries

• Amazon Inside the Book

• Napster Plus

Open Source Information System – External (OSIS-X)

SIPRNET

Information PeacekeepingThrough Collective Intelligence