daily i forex report 14 march 2013
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7/29/2019 Daily i Forex Report 14 March 2013
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14TH
MARCH 2013
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he Japanese Yen is outperforming asEuropean stocks follow Asian bourses lower inearly trade, with risk aversion driving anunwinding of carry trades funded cheaply inthe perennially low-yielding currency. Notsurprisingly, the high-beta Australian and NewZealand Dollars are feeling the brunt of theselloff. While no singular catalyst behind
souring risk appetite has emerged, the movemay simply owe to profit-taking.
TRADING TIPS
BUY EURUSD ABOVE
1.3065 tgs
1.3085/1.3105 sl 1.3035
BUY USDJPY ABOVE
96.10 tgt 96.30/96.50
SL 95.80
BUY GBPUSD ABOVE
1.4975 tgt
1.4995/1.5015 SL
1.4945
HEADLINES
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HOURLY EURUSD CHART
ANALYSIS
OPEN: 1.3030
HIGH: 1.3065
LOW: 1.3009
CLOSE: 1.3019
EURUSD LOOKS UPWARD REVERSAL
TREND : BULLISH
STRATEGY: BUY ON DEEPS
MACD =>-.000(BULLISH SIGNAL)
RSI => 46(BULLISH SIGNAL)
HOURLY EURUSD CHART
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HOURLY USDJPY CHART
ANALYSIS
OPEN: 95.84
HIGH: 96.10
LOW: 95.44
CLOSE: 95.83
USDJPY LOOKS UPWARD
TREND: BULLISH
STRATEGY: BUY ON DEEPS MACD => -0.05( BULLISH SIGNAL)
RSI =>46(BULLISH SIGNAL)
HOURLY USDJPY CHART
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HOURLY GBPUSD CHART
ANALYSIS
OPEN: 1.4904
HIGH: 1.4974
LOW: 1.4897
CLOSE: 1.4967
GBPUSD LOOKS UPWARD REVERSAL
TREND: BULLISH
STRATEGY: BUY ON DEEPS
MACD => .002( BULLISH SIGNAL)
RSI => 34(BULLISH SIGNAL)
HOURLY GBPUSD CHART
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HOURLY EURGBP CHART
ANALYSIS
OPEN: 0.8742
HIGH: 0.8746
LOW: 0.8695
CLOSE: 0.8697
EURGBP LOOKS DOWNWARDS
TREND: BEARISH
STRATEGY: SELL ON RISE
MACD =>-.003(BEARISH SIGNAL)
RSI =>62(BEARISH SIGNAL)
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HOURLY EURGBP CHART
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HOURLY USDINDEX CHART
ANALYSIS
OPEN: 82.5550
HIGH: 82.6440
LOW: 82.3330
CLOSE: 82.5900
USDINDEX LOOKS UPWARD
TREND: BULLISH
STRATEGY: BUY ON DEEPS
MACD =>0.79(BULLISH SIGNAL)
RSI =>51(BULLISH SIGNAL)
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Date Time Currency Event Importance Actual Forecast Previous N
Mon
Mar 11
JPY JapaneseParliament May Voteon BoJ GovernorNominations
High
00:01GBP LloydsEmploymentConfidence (FEB)
Low -44 -45
06:00JPY Machine ToolOrders (YoY) (FEB P)
Medium -21.5% -26.4%
07:00EUR German TradeBalance (euros) (JAN)
Medium 13.7B 13.9B 12.1B
07:00EUR German CurrentAccount (euros) (JAN)
Low 11.3B 10.5B 20.2B
07:00EUR German Importss.a. (MoM) (JAN)
Low 3.3% 0.7% -1.5%
07:00EUR German Exportss.a. (MoM) (JAN)
Low 1.4% 0.5% 0.2%
07:00EUR German LaborCosts Workday Adj(YoY) (4Q)
Low 2.9% 2.9%
07:00EUR German LaborCosts Seas. Adj. (QoQ)(4Q)
Low 0.8% 0.2%
08:15CHF Retail Sales(Real) (YoY) (JAN)
Medium 1.9% 4.7%
09:00
EUR Italian GrossDomestic Product s.a.and w.d.a. (QoQ) (4QF)
Medium -0.9% -0.9% -0.9%
09:00
EUR Italian GrossDomestic Product s.a.and w.d.a. (YoY) (4QF)
Medium -2.8% -2.7% -2.7%
23:50JPY DomesticCorporate Goods PriceIndex (MoM) (FEB)
Low 0.3% 0.4%
23:50JPY DomesticCorporate Goods PriceIndex (YoY) (FEB)
Low -0.1% -0.2%
23:50JPY Tertiary IndustryIndex (MoM) (JAN)
Medium -0.2% 1.4%
ECONOMIC CALENDER
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23:50
JPY BSI Large AllIndustry (QoQ) (1Q)
Medium -5.5
23:50JPY BSI LargeManufacturing (QoQ)(1Q)
Medium -10.3
Tue
Mar 1200:01
EUR Germany SecondQuarter ManpowerEmployment Outlook(Table)
Low
00:01GBP RICS House Price
Balance (FEB)Medium -1% -4%
00:30AUD NAB BusinessConditions (FEB)
Low -2
00:30AUD NAB BusinessConfidence (FEB)
Medium 3
00:30AUD RBA Credit CardBalances (JAN)
Low $A49.9B
00:30AUD RBA Credit CardPurchases (JAN)
Low $A22.4B
05:00
JPY Consumer
Confidence (FEB) Medium 43.3
07:00EUR GermanWholesale Price Index(MoM) (FEB)
Low 0.3%
07:00EUR GermanWholesale Price Index(YoY) (FEB)
Low 2.3%
07:00EUR GermanConsumer Price Index(MoM) (FEB F)
Medium 0.6% 0.6%
07:00EUR GermanConsumer Price Index
(YoY) (FEB F)
High 1.5% 1.5%
07:00
EUR GermanConsumer Price Index -EU Harmonised (MoM)(FEB F)
Medium 0.8% 0.8%
07:00
EUR GermanConsumer Price Index -EU Harmonised (YoY)(FEB F)
High 1.8% 1.8%
09:00
EUR Italian ConsumerPrice Index - EUHarmonized (YoY)(FEB F)
Low 0.1%
09:30GBP IndustrialProduction (MoM)(JAN)
Low 0.1% 1.1%
09:30GBP IndustrialProduction (YoY) (JAN)
Medium -1.1% -1.7%
09:30GBP ManufacturingProduction (MoM)(JAN)
Low 0.0% 1.6%
09:30GBP ManufacturingProduction (YoY) (JAN)
Medium -1.0% -1.5%
09:30GBP Visible TradeBalance (Pounds)
(JAN)
Medium -8950 -8897
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09:30
GBP Trade BalanceNon EU (Pounds)(JAN)
Medium -3200 -3201
09:30GBP Total TradeBalance (Pounds)(JAN)
Low -4500 -4239
11:30USD NFIB SmallBusiness Optimism(FEB)
Low 90.0 88.9
14:00USD JOLTs JobOpenings (JAN)
Low 3617
15:00GBP NIESR GrossDomestic ProductEstimate (FEB)
Medium 0.0%
18:00USD Monthly BudgetStatement (FEB)
Medium
21:45NZD Food Prices(MoM) (FEB)
Low 1.9%
23:30AUD WestpacConsumer Confidence(MAR)
Medium 7.7%
23:30AUD WestpacConsumer ConfidenceIndex (MAR)
Low 108.3
Wed
Mar 13
AUD AustraliaManpower Survey (2Q)
Low 7%
NZD New ZealandManpower Survey (2Q)
Medium 15%
00:30AUD Home Loans(JAN)
Medium 0.5% -1.5%
00:30AUD InvestmentLending (JAN)
Low -2.4%
00:30AUD Value of Loans(MoM) (JAN)
Low -2.7%
06:30EUR French Non-FarmPayrolls (QoQ) (4Q F)
Low -0.2% -0.2%
10:00EUR Euro-ZoneIndustrial Productions.a. (MoM) (JAN)
Low -0.1% 0.70%
10:00EUR Euro-ZoneIndustrial Productionw.d.a. (YoY) (JAN)
Medium -2.0% -2.3%
11:00USD MBA Mortgage
Applications (MAR 8)
Low 14.80%
12:30USD Import Price Index(MoM) (FEB)
Low 0.5% 0.6%
12:30USD Import Price Index(YoY) (FEB)
Low -0.6% -1.3%
12:30USD Advance RetailSales (FEB)
High 0.5% 0.1%
12:30USD Retail Sales LessAutos (FEB)
Medium 0.5% 0.2%
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12:30
USD Retail Sales ExAuto & Gas (FEB)
Medium 0.2% 0.2%
12:30USD Retail Sales"Control Group" (FEB)
Low 0.2% 0.1%
14:00USD BusinessInventories (JAN)
Medium 0.4% 0.1%
14:30USD DOE U.S. CrudeOil Inventories (MAR 8)
Low 3833K
14:30USD DOE Cushing OKCrude Inventory (MAR8)
Low 257K
14:30USD DOE U.S.Gasoline Inventories(MAR 8)
Low -616K
14:30USD DOE U.S.Distillate Inventory(MAR 8)
Low -3830K
20:00NZD Reserve Bank ofNew Zealand RateDecision (MAR 14)
High 2.50% 2.50%
23:50
JPY Japan Buying
Foreign Bonds (Yen)(MAR 8)
Low
23:50JPY Japan BuyingForeign Stocks (Yen)(MAR 8)
Low
23:50JPY Foreign BuyingJapan Bonds (Yen)(MAR 8)
Low 657.8B
23:50JPY Foreign BuyingJapan Stocks (Yen)(MAR 8)
Low 269.6B
Thu
Mar 1400:00
AUD ConsumerInflation Expectation
(MAR)
Medium 2.2%
CNY China ManpowerSurvey (2Q)
Low 14%
JPY Japan ManpowerSurvey (2Q)
Low 11
CNY Actual FDI (YoY)(FEB)
Medium -4.8% -7.3%
00:30AUD EmploymentChange (FEB)
High 10.0K 10.4K
00:30
AUD Unemployment
Rate (FEB) High 5.5% 5.4%
00:30AUD Full TimeEmployment Change(FEB)
Medium -9.8K
00:30AUD Part TimeEmployment Change(FEB)
Medium 20.2K
00:30AUD Participation Rate(FEB)
Low 65.0% 65.0%
02:00NZD Non ResidentBond Holdings (FEB)
Low 66.7%
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04:00
JPY TokyoCondominium Sales(YoY) (FEB)
Low -5.4%
04:30JPY IndustrialProduction (MoM) (JANF)
Low 1.0%
04:30JPY IndustrialProduction (YoY) (JANF)
Medium -5.1%
04:30JPY CapacityUtilization (MoM) (JAN
F)
Low 2.9%
06:00JPY Machine ToolOrders (YoY) (FEB F)
Medium
08:30CHF Swiss NationalBank Rate Decision(MAR 14)
High 0.00% 0.00%
10:00EUR Euro-ZoneEmployment (QoQ)(4Q)
Low -0.2%
10:00EUR Euro-ZoneEmployment (YoY)(4Q)
Low -0.7%
12:30CAD CapacityUtilization Rate (4Q)
Low
12:30USD Current AccountBalance (4Q)
Low -$112.8B -$107.5B
12:30CAD New HousingPrice Index (MoM)(JAN)
Low 0.2%
12:30CAD New HousingPrice Index (YoY)(JAN)
Low 2.3%
12:30USD Producer Price
Index (MoM) (FEB)Medium 0.6% 0.2%
12:30USD Producer PriceIndex Ex Food &Energy (MoM) (FEB)
Medium 0.1% 0.2%
12:30USD Producer PriceIndex (YoY) (FEB)
High 1.7% 1.4%
12:30USD Producer PriceIndex Ex Food &Energy (YoY) (FEB)
High 1.8%
12:30USD Initial JoblessClaims (MAR 10)
Medium 340K
12:30 USD Continuing Claims(MAR 3)
Low 3094K
14:30USD EIA Natural GasStorage Change (MAR8)
Low -146
20:30USD Fed ReleasesComprehensive CapitalAnalysis and Review
Low
21:30
NZD Business NZPerformance ofManufacturing Index(FEB)
Medium 55.2
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Fri
Mar 15
EUR ECB PublishesMonthly Report
Medium
00:00NZD ANZ ConsumerConfidence Index(MAR)
Low 121
00:00NZD ANZ ConsumerConfidence (MoM)(MAR)
Low 2.3%
08:15CHF Producer & ImportPrices (MoM) (FEB)
Low -0.1%
08:15CHF Producer & ImportPrices (YoY) (FEB)
Low 0.8%
09:30EUR Itally GeneralGovernment Debt(JAN)
Medium 1988.4B
10:00EUR Euro-ZoneConsumer Price Index(MoM) (FEB)
Medium 0.4% -1.0%
10:00EUR Euro-ZoneConsumer Price Index(YoY) (FEB)
High 1.8% 1.8%
10:00EUR Euro-ZoneConsumer Price Index -Core (YoY) (FEB)
High 1.3% 1.3%
10:00EUR Euro-Zone LaborCosts (YoY) (4Q)
Low 2.0%
12:30USD EmpireManufacturing (MAR)
Low 8 10.04
12:30USD Consumer PriceIndex (MoM) (FEB)
Medium 0.4% 0.0%
12:30USD Consumer PriceIndex Ex Food &Energy (MoM) (FEB)
Medium 0.2% 0.3%
12:30USD Consumer PriceIndex (YoY) (FEB)
High 1.8% 1.6%
12:30USD Consumer PriceIndex Ex Food &Energy (YoY) (FEB)
High 2.0% 1.9%
12:30USD Consumer PriceIndex Core Index s.a.(FEB)
Medium 232.138 232.108
12:30USD Consumer PriceIndex n.s.a. (FEB)
Low 230.28
13:00
USD Total Net TIC
Flows (JAN) Low $25.2B
13:00USD Net Long-termTIC Flows (JAN)
Medium $64.2B
13:00CAD Existing HomeSales (MoM) (FEB)
Low 1.3%
13:15USD IndustrialProduction (FEB)
Medium 0.3% -0.1%
13:15USD CapacityUtilization (FEB)
Low 79.3% 79.1%
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13:15
USD Manufacturing(SIC) Production (FEB)
Low 0.3% -0.4%
13:55USD U. of MichiganConfidence (MAR P)
Medium 78 77.6
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