current satellite perspectives therese jones, sia nsma ...global satellite industry grew 3% in 2018,...
Post on 15-Jan-2020
7 Views
Preview:
TRANSCRIPT
Current Satellite Perspectives
Therese Jones, SIA
NSMA Spectrum Management Conference
May 14, 2019
Satellite services: broadband, satellite radio, managed services grew 12%, 7%, 7% respectively. Satellite TV, transponder
agreement sales decreased 3%, 4% respectively. Remote sensing imagery decreased 6%.
Ground equipment: network, GNSS grew 17%, 4% respectively. Consumer decreased 1%.
$2.3
$3.9
$11.5
$8.0
$102.4
$17.9
$93.3
$18.1
$13.8
$126.5
$19.5
$125.2
2018 Satellite Industry Indicators Summary
Launch
Industry
($6.2B)
Ground
Equipment*
Satellite
Manufacturing
Satellite
Services
2018 Global Revenues
$277.4B
3%
Growth
2017 − 2018
Satellite Services
$126.5B
-1.7%
Consumer
Fixed
Mobile ($4.1) Remote Sensing Services ($2.1)
U.S.
Non-U.S.
Satellite
Manufacturing
$19.5B
26%
Ground Equipment
$125.2B
5%
Network
Consumer
GNSS
Launch
$6.2B
34%
U.S.
Non-U.S.
2
6% 18%* 10% 7% 3%Growth Rate 5%
Global Satellite Industry Revenues ($ Billions)
$ B
illio
ns
1.7X
Ten-Year
Global Industry
Growth
3%11% 2%
Global Satellite Industry Revenues
Global satellite industry grew 3% in 2018, tracking worldwide
economic growth (3%) and U.S. growth (2.9%)
3
*Reported since 2017 and including years beginning with 2012, ground equipment revenues include the entire GNSS segment:
stand-alone navigation devices and GNSS chipsets supporting location-based services in mobile devices, traffic information
systems, aircraft avionics, maritime, surveying, and rail.
3%
$161 $168 $177 $210
$231 $246 $255 $261 $269 $277
$0
$50
$100
$150
$200
$250
$300
2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018
The Satellite Industry in Context
$360BGlobal Space
Economy
Non-Satellite
Space Industry
$82.5Satellite
Services
$126.5B
Ground Equipment
$125.2B
$277.4BSatellite
Industry
(77% of Space
Economy)
Telecommunications• Television
• Telephone
• Broadband
• Aviation
• Maritime
• Road and Rail
Remote Sensing• Agriculture
• Change Detection
• Disaster Mitigation
• Meteorology
• Resources
• Earth Science
Space Science
National Security
Consumer Equipment• Sat TV, radio, and broadband equipment
• GNSS stand-alone units & in-vehicle systems
• GNSS chipsets (beginning with the 2017 report)
Network
Equipment
• Gateways
• VSATs
• NOCs
• SNG equipment
3%
Growth
2017 − 2018
3%
Growth
2017 − 2018
* Includes government civil and military space spending by 70 countries and international organizations (ESA) using published data.
** Includes commercial cargo missions to ISS and other human spaceflight projects, about $2B
Acronyms: Network operations centers (NOCs), satellite news gathering (SNG), very small aperture terminal (VSAT) equipment,
global navigation satellite systems (GNSS)
4
Government Space
Budgets*
Commercial
Human
Spaceflight**
Satellite Manufacturing
Launch Industry
27%
29%13%
10%
7%
7%5%
6%7%
11%
11%
14%7%
12%
22%
2%7%
Space Observation (<1%)
Non-Profit Communications (<1%)
5
The Satellite Network in Context
Operational Satellites
by Function and Mass Class• Estimated as of December 31, 2018
• Number of satellites increased 67% over 5
years (from 1,261 in 2014)» Satellites launched 2014—2018 increased 243%
over previous 5 years
» Average 210/year
» Due mostly to small/very small satellites in
LEO (<1,200 kg)
» Total satellite mass in orbit about 3,300 metric tons
» Average operational lives of larger (mostly
communications) satellites becoming longer,
exceeding 15 years; 272 active satellites launched
before 2003
» 558 active satellites in GEO (27 more than in 2017,
mostly providing communications services)
• 2,100 satellites operated by entities from 68
countries (some in regional consortia) » Cumulatively, organizations from 86 countries have
deployed at least one satellite since 1957
• U.S. entities operate 849 satellites, some in
partnership with other nations
Commercial Communications
Government
Communications
Remote Sensing
Military Surveillance
Total Operational
Satellites
2,100
R&D
Scientific
Navigation
Extra Heavy (7,000+ kg) (1%)
Active
Satellites by
Mass Class
(total mass
~3,300MT)
Nano
(1-10 kg)
Intermediate
(2,500-4,200 kg)
Medium
(1,200-2,500 kg)Micro
(10-200 kg)
Small (600-1,200 kg)
Large
(4,200-5,400 kg)
Mini (200-600 kg)
Heavy (5,400-7,000 kg)
Unknown/Classified
Pico (0.1-1 kg)
Operational Satellites, by Year
Sh
are
of
Op
erat
ion
al S
atel
lites
, by
Ap
plic
atio
nScientific
Military Surveillance
Navigation
R&D/Other
Remote Sensing/
Space Observation
Government
Communications
Commercial/
Non-Profit Communications
Operational Satellites
Nu
mb
er of O
peratio
nal S
atellites
38% 37% 35% 32%28%
14% 14% 19%
11%
10%
16% 17%16%
31%
29%
11% 12%12%
11%
13%
8% 7%7%
6%
7%
8% 8% 6% 5%7%
5% 5% 5% 4% 5%
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
2014 2015 2016 2017 2018
9
Operational GEO Satellites, by Year
Nu
mb
er o
f O
per
atio
nal
GE
O S
atel
lites
448506 520 531
558
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
2014 2015 2016 2017 2018
10
Satellites Can Bridge the Digital Divide
FCC Fixed Broadband Availability by Household, 2018
ViaSat 2 Broadband Coverage
HughesNet Gen 5 US Broadband Coverage
Satellites Are There When Disaster Strikes
Residents in Guayama, Puerto Rico, queued for access to the only working phone in the town after Hurricane Maria, a satellite phone at DerkesPharmacy
“Satellite broadband was the only reliable communications system [sic] in the aftermath of the hurricanes and must be fully implemented across the island to build a truly resilient and
connected Puerto Rico.” --Liga de Cooperativas de Puerto Rico
Hand-held terminals, portable Very Small Aperture Terminal (VSAT) antennas, and temporary fixed installations can be rapidly deployed
Public Safety Answering Points Utilize Satellite Phones as Backup
95% of cell sites in Puerto Rico and 77% of cell sites in the Virgin Islands were taken out by Hurricanes Irma and Maria in Fall 2017
Satellites Are There When Disaster Strikes
• Satellites provide vital weather forecasting before disaster strikes
• Satellites image the entire Earth daily at 1m resolution
• Synthetic Aperture Radar can see through clouds/flooding
• Remote sensing companies participate in the International Charter Space and Major Disasters and work with organizations such as Humanitarian OpenStreetMap
Hurricane Florence before (optical) and after (Synthetic Aperture Radar)
Satellite Companies Are Investing Billions in
Innovation
HughesNet Spot Beam Coverage over North America
High Throughput Satellites allow for efficient use of spectrumSatellites will play a large role in 5G due to their global reach, contributing to the Internet of Things/communications on the move, trunking and head-end feed, backhaul and tower feed, and hybrid multiplay
Planned NGSO Constellations Filed with FCC
Purpose Operator/ Satellites Bands
Broadband SES/O3b 8 MEO Ka
Broadband OneWeb 720 LEO Ku, Ka
Broadband Leosat 12 Inclined GSO Ka
Broadband SpaceX 4425 LEO Ku, Ka
Broadband Boeing/SOM 1101 LLC 2956 LEO V, Q
Broadband Boeing 132 LEO V, Q
Broadband Boeing 15 HEO V, Q
Broadband SES/O3b 24 MEO Ka
Broadband SES/O3b 12 Inclined MEO Ka
Broadband SES/O3b 24 MEO V, Q
Broadband OneWeb 1980 LEO V, Q, Ku, Ka
Broadband OneWeb 2560 MEO Ku, Ka, V, Q, E
Broadband SpaceX 7502 VLEO V, Q
Broadband Telesat 117 LEO Ka
Broadband Telesat 117 LEO V, Q
IOT Kepler 140 LEO Ku, Ka
Broadband ViaSat 20 MEO Ka
Broadband, EO Theia 112 LEO Ku, Ka, V, Q
Broadband Space Norway 2 HEO Ku, Ka
Relay Audacy 3 MEO Ka, V, Q
Broadband Karousel 12 Inclined GSO Ku, Ka
21 Constellations
13 Companies
6887Satellites
Ku, Ka
14121Satellites
V, Q
Satellites under contract,
planned to launch in 2018 – 2022
Satellite capacity under contract,
planned to deploy in 2018 – 2022, Gbps
Operators Plan to Deploy Some 30 Tbps
in 2018 - 2022
• Total 48 commercial GEO satellites reported under contract, in various R&D
or construction phases
– 27 conventional w/b satellites, predominantly for video distribution and
broadcasting
– 21 HTS mainly for broadband connectivity
– Expected to deploy in 2018 – 2022
– Total capacity of at least 5,000 Gbps
– More satellite orders anticipated to be announced with similar deployment
timeframe
• Estimated 1,400+ HTS planned for deployment by NGSO prospective
constellation operators
– Focusing on global low latency broadband connectivity
– Potential capacity approaching 25,000 Gbps
• Numbers reflect published plans of satellite operators with satellites under
manufacturing contracts or announced in-house manufacturing plans; no
adjustment made for likelihood of deployment
13
Spire Global
Satellogic
Planet
PlanetiQ
Orbital Micro Systems
Maxar
UrtheCast
21AT/TripleSat
Airbus Intelligence
Axelspace
Capella Space
Chuang. Sat. Tech. Co.
Earth-i
GeoOptics
HawkEye 360
Hera Systems
ICEYE
Kleos
SatByul
Siwei Star Company
ImageSat
Astro Digital
BlackSky Global
SpaceVR
Umbra Lab
Remote Sensing Services
• For many years, global remote
sensing services were offered by
small number of operators
• New competitors and new
partnerships have recently emerged
• Tremendous investment and
innovation driven by interest in
business intelligence products using
satellite imagery and powered by
advances in data analytics and
artificial intelligence (AI)
• Industry maturation
– New systems continue to be
announced
– Certain industry consolidation
through mergers and acquisitions in
2013 – 2017• Operational includes initial deployment through full
capacity
• UrtheCast operates cameras aboard ISS and
acquired assets from Elecnor Deimos, but is also
planning to deploy optical and radar satellites
• exactEarth/Harris features hosted payloads, rather
than dedicated satellites
• Criteria for inclusion are satellites on orbit,
announced funding, signed launch
contract/agreement, or NOAA license
• Acronyms: MS – multispectral, HS – hyperspectral,
RO – radio occultation, RF – radio frequency, AIS
– Automatic Identification System; ADS-B –
automatic dependent surveillance—broadcast
Lar
ge
Sat
sS
mal
l Sat
ellit
es (
<20
0 kg
)
Operational
Planned
Hig
h re
visi
t
(≤1
day)
15 150-2,200
Optical (MS), radar
26 300-1,400Optical, radar
3 350Optical (MS)
9 430-3,085Optical (MS), radar
50 95Optical (MS)
60 55Optical (MS)
60+
TBDRadar
18 20RO
TBD
420Optical (MS)
24
80Optical (MS), video
3+ 13
RO
48
150
RF mapping
18
TBD
Optical (MS)
39 10Optical (MS)
100+ 4-150Optical (MS), video
8 10Optical
25+ 37Optical (HS)
24+
4.5-6RO, AIS, ADS-B
12
4Optical (MS) 2
TBDOptical (MS)
3 280-370Optical (MS)
30 10-20Optical (MS)
Typ
ical
Sat
Mas
s (k
g)
Num
ber o
f
Sat
ellit
es
Sensor Description
Generating
Revenue (GR),
Start-up no/some
revenue (SU)
GR
GR
GR
GR
GR
SU
SU
SU
SU
SU
SU
SU
SU
SU
GR
SU
SU
SU
GR
SU
SU
SU
Add
ed in
201
8
SS
IR
Hig
h R
es (
<1m
)
Radar
RF mapping
Radar
Cou
ntry
CAN
CAN
UK/CN
FR
USA
USA
USA
CN
UK
USA
USA
USA
UK
USA
KR
ARG
USA
USA
CN
IL
USA
FIN
LUX
USA
JP
30
20
75+
SU
SU
SU
TBD
12
TBD
Current Satellite Views
• C-band allocation 3.7-4.2 GHz
– C-band vital to satellite TV and internet capabilities• Satellite signals are much fainter than terrestrial signals, and interference can
be caused from 100s of km
• C-band is resistant to rain, and allows for broad coverage
• Public Safety is dependent on these frequencies
• Uses of band include: connectivity of remote Alaskan villages, supporting missile warning systems and other national defense capabilities, delivering emergency alerts and weather information, and restoring services when terrestrial network is unavailable
– SES, Intelsat, Telesat, Eutelsat propose allocating 200 MHz of spectrum to terrestrial mobile, who reimburse satellite for costs
Current Satellite Issues
• 24 GHz interference with passive microwave sensors
– European threshold 4000x more sensitive than FCC
– Similar issue at 1.675-1.695 GHz
• Smallsat NPRM
– < 10 satellites, either below ISS altitude or have propulsion, deorbit within 5 years
• Orbital Debris Mitigation, Space Situational Awareness, and Space Traffic Management
GOES-15 RFI, Aug 17 2015, Credit: CIMSS/SSEC
Planning for the future
• Satellite industry needs regulatory certainty
– Satellite construction can start 5 years in advance of launch
• Technology neutrality is key
– Satellite already provides broadband service across the US
• Satellite services are reliable, and should be integrated
into disaster relief plans
Satellite Industry Association
1200 18th Street, NW, Suite 1001
Washington, DC 20036
(202) 503-1560
www.sia.org
info@sia.org
18
top related