consumer staples stock presentation
Post on 27-Jan-2016
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Taylor CaptlineMatthew Chadwell
Hadd Francis
41 companies 12.04% of S&P 50013.06% of SIM Portfolio
Sector Industries include:Agricultural ProductsBrewersDistiller and VintersFood DistributorsHousehold ProductsHypermarkets and SupermarketsPackaged Foods and MeatsPersonal ProductsRetail – DrugsRetail – FoodSoft DrinksTobacco
Colgate Palmolive Terminal Discount Rate
$76.05 9% 10% 10% 11% 11% 12% 12%
1% $86.95 $80.71 $75.21 $70.32 $65.96 $62.03 $58.49Terminal 2% $90.77 $83.95 $77.97 $72.69 $68.00 $63.81 $60.05
FCF 2% $95.14 $87.62 $81.08 $75.35 $70.28 $65.78 $61.76Growth 3% $100.19 $91.82 $84.60 $78.33 $72.83 $67.97 $63.65
Rate 3% $106.07 $96.66 $88.63 $81.71 $75.70 $70.42 $65.754% $113.03 $102.30 $93.28 $85.58 $78.94 $73.17 $68.104% $121.37 $108.98 $98.70 $90.04 $82.65 $76.29 $70.75
Weights Target
DCF 25% $76.05
Forward P/E 25% $76.05
Price/Sales 25% $76.05
Price/CF 25% $76.05
TARGET PRICE $75.98
• Risk Free Rate: 3.71%• Market Premium: 7.00%• CAPM Discount Factor: 6.23%• I used 9.81%
59.73$ 9.00% 9.25% 9.50% 9.75% 10.00% 10.25%2.5% 56.55$ 54.17$ 51.97$ 49.92$ 48.01$ 46.24$ 3.0% 59.73 57.05 54.58 52.30 50.19 48.23 3.5% 63.48 60.43 57.63 55.06 52.70 50.51 4.0% 67.99 64.45 61.23 58.30 55.62 53.16 4.5% 73.49 69.31 65.56 62.16 59.08 56.27
Discount Rate
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CF
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$57.58 Current: $50.59 Implied upside: 13.8%
H. J. Heinz Company, together with its subsidiaries, engages in manufacturing and marketing food products throughout the world. The company’s products include ketchup, condiments and sauces, frozen food, soups, beans and pasta meals, infant nutrition and other processed food products.
The company’s products are manufactured and packaged to provide safe, wholesome foods for consumers, as well as foodservice and institutional customers.
The company’s products are sold through its own sales organizations and through independent brokers, agents and distributors to chain, wholesale, cooperative and independent grocery accounts, convenience stores, bakeries, pharmacies, mass merchants, club stores, foodservice distributors and institutions, including hotels, restaurants, hospitals, health-care facilities, and certain government agencies.
WMT: 13.8% CL: 9.55% PM: 11.02% HNZ: 28%
Current Weight Sell/Buy New Weight
PM 2.42% 68bps 1.74%
CL 2.64% 68bps 1.69%
WMT 3.50% 68bps 2.82%
HNZ 0 102bps 1.02%
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