carnegie mellon u - forecasting case studies - open 2011

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NCIIA Conference: OPEN 2011

Wayne Chung Associate Professor Carnegie Mellon University

NCIIA Conference: OPEN 2011

Wayne Chung Associate Professor Carnegie Mellon University

Forecasting Methods for Product

Design Development:

A Compilation of Three Case Studies

of Industry Collaborative Projects

Materials, Toys, and Vehicles

NCIIA Conference: OPEN 2011

Wayne Chung Associate Professor Carnegie Mellon University

NCIIA Conference: OPEN 2011

Wayne Chung Associate Professor Carnegie Mellon University

Junior Level Industrial Design Course15-30 students in 3-4 person teams, 15-week semester course

Teaching Goals:: Use research methodologies to guide design decisions

: People/users creative

: Create tools to allow these people/users to be creative

: Realize connections with imperfect data

: Visualize information to communicate intent/ideas

: Build a scenario that uses the products as props in a

coherent and engaging story

NCIIA Conference: OPEN 2011

Wayne Chung Associate Professor Carnegie Mellon University

NCIIA Conference: OPEN 2011

Wayne Chung Associate Professor Carnegie Mellon University

Why Industrial Design for Future Casting?

Inherently Creative

What‟s possible

Synthesis

Macro to Micro perspectives

Predictive Gestalt

~ Appropriate Innovation

NCIIA Conference: OPEN 2011

Wayne Chung Associate Professor Carnegie Mellon University

NCIIA Conference: OPEN 2011

Wayne Chung Associate Professor Carnegie Mellon University

(German: Gestalt - "essence or shape of an entity's complete form") of the Berlin School is a theory of mind and brain positing that the operational principle of the brain is holistic, parallel, and analog, with self-organizing tendencies.

NCIIA Conference: OPEN 2011

Wayne Chung Associate Professor Carnegie Mellon University

NCIIA Conference: OPEN 2011

Wayne Chung Associate Professor Carnegie Mellon University

Why Product Design?Nigel Cross, „Designerly Ways of Knowing‟

: Phenomenon of Studyin the Sciences | Natural world

in the Humanities | Human Experience

in Design | the Artificial world

: Methods of Studyin the Sciences | controlled experiment, classification, analysis

in the Humanities | analogy, metaphor, evaluation

in Design | modeling, pattern-forming, synthesis

: The values of each educational „culture‟in the Sciences | objectivity, rationality, concern for the „truth‟

in the Humanities | subjectivity, imagination, commitment,

concern for „justice‟

in Design | ingenuity, empathy, concern for „appropriateness‟

NCIIA Conference: OPEN 2011

Wayne Chung Associate Professor Carnegie Mellon University

NCIIA Conference: OPEN 2011

Wayne Chung Associate Professor Carnegie Mellon University

Why Industrial Design?

Educational Models

Analysis | Synthesis

Deductive | Inductive

One Solution | Many Solutions

~ Appropriate Innovation

NCIIA Conference: OPEN 2011

Wayne Chung Associate Professor Carnegie Mellon University

NCIIA Conference: OPEN 2011

Wayne Chung Associate Professor Carnegie Mellon University

Raymond Loewy MAYA Principle:

Most Advanced Yet Acceptable

NCIIA Conference: OPEN 2011

Wayne Chung Associate Professor Carnegie Mellon University

NCIIA Conference: OPEN 2011

Wayne Chung Associate Professor Carnegie Mellon University

+

Forecast new material technology applications

for Polyurethane “Gecko Material”

5-10 years projection

Markets Areas:

Robotics

Health Care

Transportation

Logistics

Security

NCIIA Conference: OPEN 2011

Wayne Chung Associate Professor Carnegie Mellon University

NCIIA Conference: OPEN 2011

Wayne Chung Associate Professor Carnegie Mellon University

NCIIA Conference: OPEN 2011

Wayne Chung Associate Professor Carnegie Mellon University

Dr. Metin Siti Reearch Lab: NanoRobotics

http://nanolab.me.cmu.edu/projects/geckohair/

http://nanolab.me.cmu.edu/projects/waalbots/tri-leg.shtml

NCIIA Conference: OPEN 2011

Wayne Chung Associate Professor Carnegie Mellon University

NCIIA Conference: OPEN 2011

Wayne Chung Associate Professor Carnegie Mellon University

Design Research Philosophy

MakeTools, Dr. Liz B.N. Sanders

NCIIA Conference: OPEN 2011

Wayne Chung Associate Professor Carnegie Mellon University

NCIIA Conference: OPEN 2011

Wayne Chung Associate Professor Carnegie Mellon University

Traditional Research Method

Observation in coffee shop

NCIIA Conference: OPEN 2011

Wayne Chung Associate Professor Carnegie Mellon University

NCIIA Conference: OPEN 2011

Wayne Chung Associate Professor Carnegie Mellon University

NCIIA Conference: OPEN 2011

Wayne Chung Associate Professor Carnegie Mellon University

NCIIA Conference: OPEN 2011

Wayne Chung Associate Professor Carnegie Mellon University

NCIIA Conference: OPEN 2011

Wayne Chung Associate Professor Carnegie Mellon University

NCIIA Conference: OPEN 2011

Wayne Chung Associate Professor Carnegie Mellon University

NCIIA Conference: OPEN 2011

Wayne Chung Associate Professor Carnegie Mellon University

NCIIA Conference: OPEN 2011

Wayne Chung Associate Professor Carnegie Mellon University

NCIIA Conference: OPEN 2011

Wayne Chung Associate Professor Carnegie Mellon University

NCIIA Conference: OPEN 2011

Wayne Chung Associate Professor Carnegie Mellon University

NCIIA Conference: OPEN 2011

Wayne Chung Associate Professor Carnegie Mellon University

NCIIA Conference: OPEN 2011

Wayne Chung Associate Professor Carnegie Mellon University

NCIIA Conference: OPEN 2011

Wayne Chung Associate Professor Carnegie Mellon University

NCIIA Conference: OPEN 2011

Wayne Chung Associate Professor Carnegie Mellon University

NCIIA Conference: OPEN 2011

Wayne Chung Associate Professor Carnegie Mellon University

NCIIA Conference: OPEN 2011

Wayne Chung Associate Professor Carnegie Mellon University

NCIIA Conference: OPEN 2011

Wayne Chung Associate Professor Carnegie Mellon University

NCIIA Conference: OPEN 2011

Wayne Chung Associate Professor Carnegie Mellon University

NCIIA Conference: OPEN 2011

Wayne Chung Associate Professor Carnegie Mellon University

NCIIA Conference: OPEN 2011

Wayne Chung Associate Professor Carnegie Mellon University

NCIIA Conference: OPEN 2011

Wayne Chung Associate Professor Carnegie Mellon University

NCIIA Conference: OPEN 2011

Wayne Chung Associate Professor Carnegie Mellon University

NCIIA Conference: OPEN 2011

Wayne Chung Associate Professor Carnegie Mellon University

NCIIA Conference: OPEN 2011

Wayne Chung Associate Professor Carnegie Mellon University

NCIIA Conference: OPEN 2011

Wayne Chung Associate Professor Carnegie Mellon University

NCIIA Conference: OPEN 2011

Wayne Chung Associate Professor Carnegie Mellon University

NCIIA Conference: OPEN 2011

Wayne Chung Associate Professor Carnegie Mellon University

NCIIA Conference: OPEN 2011

Wayne Chung Associate Professor Carnegie Mellon University

NCIIA Conference: OPEN 2011

Wayne Chung Associate Professor Carnegie Mellon University

NCIIA Conference: OPEN 2011

Wayne Chung Associate Professor Carnegie Mellon University

NCIIA Conference: OPEN 2011

Wayne Chung Associate Professor Carnegie Mellon University

NCIIA Conference: OPEN 2011

Wayne Chung Associate Professor Carnegie Mellon University

Gecko Security Add-on and Manufacturer Items

NCIIA Conference: OPEN 2011

Wayne Chung Associate Professor Carnegie Mellon University

NCIIA Conference: OPEN 2011

Wayne Chung Associate Professor Carnegie Mellon University

Figure 8: Built-In Security for Mobile Communication and Computing

NCIIA Conference: OPEN 2011

Wayne Chung Associate Professor Carnegie Mellon University

Ride-On Toys: Multi-Environment Use

+

Develop new modes of physical balance, exercise, and activity for 1 ½-5 years old childrenVehicles: tricycles, scooters, or other foot-to-floor

6 week time span 1-3 years production projection

NCIIA Conference: OPEN 2011

Wayne Chung Associate Professor Carnegie Mellon University

Background Information

Schickedanz, Understanding Children and AdolescentsChild development references Locomotor skillsGross Motor SkillsFine Motor Skillss

Knowledge in Action

NCIIA Conference: OPEN 2011

Wayne Chung Associate Professor Carnegie Mellon University

CMU Children’s School The Cyert Center

Observational Research

NCIIA Conference: OPEN 2011

Wayne Chung Associate Professor Carnegie Mellon University

Develop the desired user experience for semi-autonomous vehicle driving

10 week time span 10-15 year projection

+

NCIIA Conference: OPEN 2011

Wayne Chung Associate Professor Carnegie Mellon University

NCIIA Conference: OPEN 2011

Wayne Chung Associate Professor Carnegie Mellon University

NCIIA Conference: OPEN 2011

Wayne Chung Associate Professor Carnegie Mellon University

NCIIA Conference: OPEN 2011

Wayne Chung Associate Professor Carnegie Mellon University

NCIIA Conference: OPEN 2011

Wayne Chung Associate Professor Carnegie Mellon University

NCIIA Conference: OPEN 2011

Wayne Chung Associate Professor Carnegie Mellon University

NCIIA Conference: OPEN 2011

Wayne Chung Associate Professor Carnegie Mellon University

NCIIA Conference: OPEN 2011

Wayne Chung Associate Professor Carnegie Mellon University

NCIIA Conference: OPEN 2011

Wayne Chung Associate Professor Carnegie Mellon University

NCIIA Conference: OPEN 2011

Wayne Chung Associate Professor Carnegie Mellon University

NCIIA Conference: OPEN 2011

Wayne Chung Associate Professor Carnegie Mellon University

NCIIA Conference: OPEN 2011

Wayne Chung Associate Professor Carnegie Mellon University

Design Research Philosophy

MakeTools, Dr. Liz B.N. Sanders

NCIIA Conference: OPEN 2011

Wayne Chung Associate Professor Carnegie Mellon University

NCIIA Conference: OPEN 2011

Wayne Chung Associate Professor Carnegie Mellon University

Why Industrial Design Studio Model supports

Future Cast Scenarios:

Inherently Creative | Visual + Process

What‟s possible | MAYA

Synthesis | Connecting Information

Macro to Micro perspectives | Viewpoints

Predictive Gestalt | Formation

SUPPORT

Expert knowledge

Ability to Apply Design Skills to Human Needs

NCIIA Conference: OPEN 2011

Wayne Chung Associate Professor Carnegie Mellon University

Design is Easier with Relevant Knowledge and Research

Build the Story

Create a Specific Scenario

~ Appropriate Innovation

NCIIA Conference: OPEN 2011

Wayne Chung Associate Professor Carnegie Mellon University

NCIIA Conference: OPEN 2011

Wayne Chung Associate Professor Carnegie Mellon University

Thank you!

Questions…

Wayne Chung Associate Professor Carnegie Mellon University

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