building a weather-ready nation

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Building a Weather-Ready Nation

SITREP for March 21, 2011FY 12 Budget Request

National Weather ServiceBuilding a Weather-Ready Nation

Dr. Jack HayesNOAA Assistant Administrator for Weather Services and

NWS Director

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Operational SITREPTsunami

NOAA’s Tsunami Warning and Advisory Areas for Japan Tsunami

03/11/2011 - 04:18am EST

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Operational SITREPTsunami

http://www.tsunamiready.noaa.gov

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Operational SITREPTsunami

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Operational SITREPTsunami

• 24/7 Tsunami Warning Centers• Detection and Evaluation of Earthquakes

– Seismic Networks• Detection and Evaluation of Tsunami Waves

– 39 DART Stations (Atlantic, Caribbean, and Pacific

– 164 Water-level Stations• Forecasting the Tsunami Threat

– Modeling• Product Generation and Dissemination

– Warnings, Watches, Advisories and Bulletins

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46411

46412

46407

46404

46419

4640946403

4640246408

46413

2141421415

21416

21419

21418

21413

5240452401

52405 52402

52403

5240651425

51426

54401

51406

32412

43413

32411

43412

41421

42407

41420

41424

44402 44401

51407

46410

Guam

Dutch Harbor

42409

Deep-ocean Assessment and Reporting of Tsunami (DART) Stations

Operating stations Non-operating Stations

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Operational SITREPTsunami, March 11, 2011

Eastern Time ZoneEastern Time Zone

EARTH-QUAKE

12:46 12:55 12:58 04:18 08:14

NOAA Tsunami Warning for Japan, Russia

NOAA issues Tsunami Statement for Alaska, Washington, Oregon and California

02:30

NOAA issues Tsunami Warning for Hawaii and most other Pacific Nations

NOAA issues Tsunami Warning for California north of Pt. Concepcion, and the Western Aleutian Islands

First wave arrives in Honolulu, HI

10:37

First wave arrives in Crescent City, CA

Wrng Lead Time: 6:19hrsWrng Lead Time: 6:19hrsWrng Lead Time: 5:44hrsWrng Lead Time: 5:44hrs

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Operational SITREPForecast and Observed Wave Heights

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Operational SITREPSpring Outlook

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Operational SITREPSpace Weather Activity

• Solar Maximum in 2013• Space Weather Impacts

– Satellites – GPS Reliability– Aviation (Polar Flights)– Energy distribution

• 2 geo-magnetic storms– HF Radio– Airline Routes

http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/

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6 AtlanticHurricanes

1,300 Tornadoes 5,000 Floods

26,000 SevereThunderstorms

Drought andLarge Wildfires

600 Deaths$14B in Losses

Building a Weather-Ready Nation NWS Response to A Changing World

Annual Averages

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• Trends & Changing Needs– Population growth and demographic trends

increase vulnerability• 50% of U.S. population living along coasts• Urbanization• High-impact weather

• NWS People and Infrastructure

• NWS Future

Building a Weather-Ready Nation NWS Response to A Changing World

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Building a Weather-Ready NationFY12 Budget Overview

• FY 2012 NWS $988.0M• $11.9M (1.2%) decrease from the FY 2010 Enacted• Net increase of $3.1M (0.3%), after the $15.0M

technical transfer of programs to the NCS. • $16.8M for non-labor inflationary Adjustments to

Base• ($15.0M) for Climate Reorganization• ($13.7M) for Program Changes

• Supports the priorities of the Administration, Department of Commerce, and NOAA.

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Building a Weather-Ready NationNWS Budget Change Table

Budget Line – Program ChangeProgram Change

($ in millions)

Local Warnings & Forecasts Base

- National Data Buoy Center $4.0M

-GPS Radiosondes $5.0M

- Aviation Weather: NextGen $26.9M

-National Critical Space Weather System $2.0M

-Cooperative Observer Program ($1.2M)

-Telecommunications Efficiencies ($3.2M)

-National Mesonet Program ($19.0M)

Weather and Climate Supercomputing $11.0M

NEXRAD - Product Improvement ($2.2M)

Complete & Sustain NOAA Weather Radio ($5.4M)

NOAA Profiler Conversion ($2.0M)

Weather Forecast Office Construction $3.2M

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• Improve weather, water, and climate decision services for events that threaten lives and livelihoods

• Improve warning accuracies and lead times for high-impact events

• Better communicate levels of confidence in our forecasts

• Help improve community emergency preparedness and response

• Embed with Emergency Managers• Enable the Weather Enterprise

Meet State, Local, and Federal NeedsMeet State, Local, and Federal Needs

Building a Weather-Ready NationPlan for the Future

Increased accuracy Increased timeliness Increased accessibility

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Building a Weather-Ready Nation