50th anniversary keynote for korean testing laboratory

Global Vision, Future Technologies, and Collective Intelligence for

Global Collaboration

Testing and Certification Forum for the 50th Anniversary of the Korean Testing Laboratory (KTL)

Jerome C. Glenn, CEO The Millennium Project

When this begins to happen, the speed of increasing AI’s intelligence will be far fasterand produce more change than Moore’s Law

by responding to feedback from sensor networks worldwide,

will accelerate AI’s intelligence worldwide… moment by moment

Artificial Intelligence … that can autonomously “write” and improve its code…

Computational ScienceComputational biology

Computational Chemistry

Computational PhysicsAll accelerated with Moore’s Law ANDautonomous AI programing worldwide

What is possible… will change

Moore’s Law + Artificial Intelligence acceleration + Computational science These three together will change what we think is possible.

Old Way of Seeing Future Technologies

Artificial Intelligence Robotic

manufacturing

Computational Science3-D4-D Priting

Nanotechnology Quantum computing

Synthetic Biology

Drones

Artificial General Intelligence

Tele-Everything & Tele-Everybodythe Semantic Web

Future Way of Seeing Future Technologies - Integration/Synergies

Future Technology SynergiesRobotic manufacturing

Drones

Quantum computing

Robotic manufacturing

3D， 4D Printing

Augmented RealityTele-Presence, Holographics

Nanotechnology Artificial General Intelligence

Tele-EverythingTele-Everybodythe Semantic Web

Increasing individual and collective intelligence

Synthetic Biology

Nanotechnology

Future Technology Synergies

Artificial Intelligence

Robotic manufacturing

Quantum computing

Drones

Future Technology

Robotic manufacturing

3D， 4D Printing

Augmented Reality,Tele-Presence, Holographics

Future Tech Emerges from Synergies

Artificial Intelligence

Build Environment

Biology Technology

If \ Then Nano-technology

Synthetic Biology

Artificial Intelligence

Robotics 3-D Printing Augmented Reality

Nano-technology xxx        Synthetic Biology xxx        Artificial Intelligence     xxx      Robotics       xxx    3-D Printing         xxx  Augmented Reality           xxx

Emerging Technologies Matrix

Some near-term

Future Technological Changes

2017 HP’s Multi Jet Fusion 3D printer…. has 30,000 nozzles spraying 350 million drops a second of thermoplastic or other powdered materials… Imagine a factory composed of 10,000 of these 3D Printers

A 4-ounce metal chain link was printed in half an hour and then tested to withstand 10,000 lbs

Since 3D will evolve so fast, then is it software that is tested before printing?

Bio Printer:

Industrial testing and medical testing.

Prints body parts for medical experiments using compressed air to force biomaterial out layer by layer

Synthetic Biology – mixing species DNA

Microprobes to eat the plaque in your brain? Produce hydrogen instead of CO2 in plants?

Maker Movement – Do It YourselfHi-Tech Community Hubs

How to integrate quality control and testing?

Plastic waste of one process can be input to carbon nanotube production

Industrial ecology

Waste water --> Algae input to --> Pure Meat without Growing Animals

August 5, 2013 a London chef cooked and served hamburgers without growing/killing a cow.

Leather without Growing Animals

Cloud Manufacturing and Intelligent Networks … Across national boundaries

• Software integration in the cloud of all elements of value chain, testing, production, sales, feedback, and re-design

• Keeps management of supply chain at the innovation edge• Integrates with the Internet of Things (IoT) on a dynamic basis• Using common digital manufacturing standards

Smart Contact Lens – always in Virtual Reality connected to the wordHands-free manufacturing

Brain-to-cloud robotic manufacturing tomorrow?

Brain-to-Brain interface demonstrated

How to prevent industrial spying and sabotage?

The Internet of Things also means that every-one and everything is vulnerable to hacking

Will our artificial Brains out think us?

Artificial Intelligence1. Artificial Narrow Intelligence2. Artificial General Intelligence3. Artificial Super Intelligence

Future of Work?

Humans Augmented by technology ….rather than replaced by it?

If you can’t beat AI, why not join with it? …and evolve together?

Without major socio-economic changes… unemployment will grow around the world

Future Work/Tech 2050

Millennium Project survey of 300 Futures from over 30 counties

We will change the nature of work, employment, and economics

(Since ILO numbers are low, these could double)

One-Person Businesses

Find markets around the world for what you are interested in doing

….not non-existing jobs

What might this look like in …

2020

2030

2040

2050?

Will we create our own Avatars in the Digital World to be our Cyber-selves? Cyber-Clones?

Finding unique exciting work for us while we sleep?

Could testing programs have such Avatars connected to IoT to improve every moment ?

Where is all this change going?

What kind of future could emerge?

What’s the future vision?

Humans becoming cyborgs

20202025

20302050

Conscious-Technology

Built environment becoming intelligent

When the distinction between these two mega trends becomes blurred, we will have reached the

Post-Information Age

Consciousness

Technology

Technology Changes Consciousness and Consciousness Changes Technology

Simplification/Generalization of Historyand an Alternative Future

Age /Element Product Power Wealth Place War Time

Agricultural Extraction

Food/Res Religion Land Earth/Res Location Cyclical

Industrial Machine Nation-State

Capital Factory Resources Linear

Information Info/serv Corporation

Access Office Perception Flexible

Conscious-Technology

Linkage Individual Being Motion Identity Invented

How to keep all this information together?

…And anticipate future changes?

Collective Intelligence Systems: Each Can Change the Other

Menu Options for each Challenge

Menu for each Challenge1. Situation Chart: Current Situation; Desired Situation; and

Policies2. Report (detailed text) 3. News items (automatic news feeds – aggregated and

searchable)4. Scanning (annotated, rated information)5. On-going Real-Time Delphi questionnaires to collect expert

judgments6. Comments7. Discussion groups8. Computer models (mathematical and rules-based), and

conceptual models9. Resources: websites, books, papers, videos10.Updates – all edits11.Digests – Recent scans, edits, discussions

Collective Intelligence Systems for Korea Testing Laboratory KTL

• Support KTL to become a global institute• Help keep track and anticipate change• Unite functions, foresight, strategy, and programs• Provide a common platform for a “Whole-of-KTL”

response to future challenges• Identify new opportunities; strategic investments for KTL• Invite experts and creative people to participate in

building a “brain” for the future of KTL

Additional future methodsand considerations

• Testing via computation engineering – simulations (e.g., atomic bomb tests) and VR displays for testing with computational engineering simulation testing

• AI replacing skilled human testers• Ultra sonic methods and imaging• Online real-time continuous testing (radiography, thermography, shearography)• Citizen science, intelligent urban environmental infrastructures. • Synergetic advantage may be the new Competitive Advantage (as integration

advances accelerate)• Since 3D will go so fast, then is it software that is tested before printing?• Citizen science and testing?• One set of international ethics standards seems evolving with ISO

For further informationJerome C. Glenn

+1-202-686-5179 phone/faxJerome.Glenn@Millennium-Project.org

www.StateoftheFuture.org

Global Futures Intelligence System: http://millennium-project.org/millennium/GFIS.html

2015-16 State of the Future: http://millennium-project.org/millennium/201516SOF.html

Futures Research Methodology 3.0: http://millennium-project.org/millennium/FRM-V3.html