1 welcome - 2006 north dakota state university emergency management & planning donald borgen nd...

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Welcome - 2006Welcome - 2006North Dakota State University North Dakota State University

Emergency Management & PlanningEmergency Management & PlanningDonald BorgenDonald Borgen

ND Division of Emergency Services ND Division of Emergency Services

ND GIS Users ConferenceND GIS Users Conference

ND DATA HUBND DATA HUB

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IntrtroductionNorth Dakota State University North Dakota State University

Emergency Management & PlanningEmergency Management & PlanningDonald BorgenDonald Borgen

ND Division of Emergency Services ND Division of Emergency Services

ND GIS Users ConferenceND GIS Users Conference

ND DATA HUBND DATA HUB

HAZUS-MH:HAZUS-MH: FEMA’S SOFTWARE PROGRAM FOR ESTIMATING POTENTIAL LOSSES FROM DISASTERS FEMA’S SOFTWARE PROGRAM FOR ESTIMATING POTENTIAL LOSSES FROM DISASTERS

OutlineOutline

• INTRODUCTIONINTRODUCTION

• HAZUS-MH METHODOLOGYHAZUS-MH METHODOLOGY

• MITIGATION PLANNINGMITIGATION PLANNING

• BENEFIT – COST ANALYSISBENEFIT – COST ANALYSIS

• HAZUS-MH WALKTHROUGHHAZUS-MH WALKTHROUGH

• HAZUS-MH & HAZARDSHAZUS-MH & HAZARDS

Donald Borgen Donald Borgen NDSU Emergency Management & NDSU Emergency Management &

PlanningPlanning

HAZUS-MH:HAZUS-MH: FEMA’S SOFTWARE PROGRAM FOR ESTIMATING POTENTIAL LOSSES FROM DISASTERS FEMA’S SOFTWARE PROGRAM FOR ESTIMATING POTENTIAL LOSSES FROM DISASTERS

HAZUS-MH: HAZUS-MH: GIS TechnologyGIS Technology

• Arc Desktop 7.1 & Hazus-MHArc Desktop 7.1 & Hazus-MH

• Cameo – Identify chemicals & propertiesCameo – Identify chemicals & properties

• Aloha – Dispersal modelAloha – Dispersal model

• Landview – GIS viewerLandview – GIS viewer

• Marplot – EPA and Census databases.Marplot – EPA and Census databases.

Donald Borgen Donald Borgen NDSU Emergency Management & NDSU Emergency Management &

PlanningPlanning

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HAZUS has been used since 1997HAZUS has been used since 1997

Federal, State, and Local Government officials Federal, State, and Local Government officials

use use

HAZUS - MH HAZUS - MH

for for

Pre - Disaster Preparedness & Mitigation Pre - Disaster Preparedness & Mitigation

and and

Post - Disaster Planning & ResponsePost - Disaster Planning & Response

HAZUS-MH:HAZUS-MH: FEMA’S SOFTWARE PROGRAM FOR ESTIMATING POTENTIAL LOSSES FROM DISASTERS FEMA’S SOFTWARE PROGRAM FOR ESTIMATING POTENTIAL LOSSES FROM DISASTERS

HAZUS-MH Components

Donald Borgen Donald Borgen NDSU Emergency Management & NDSU Emergency Management &

PlanningPlanning

Identify Hazard

Model Inventory

Quantify Impact

Risk Assessment

Comprehensive Risk Assessment by

integrating information on

Hazard with inventory information

HAZUS-MH:HAZUS-MH: FEMA’S SOFTWARE PROGRAM FOR ESTIMATING POTENTIAL LOSSES FROM DISASTERS FEMA’S SOFTWARE PROGRAM FOR ESTIMATING POTENTIAL LOSSES FROM DISASTERS

Mitigation PlanningBenefit - Cost Analysis

Comparison of

Before mitigation conditions

to the

After mitigation conditions.

If damages are reduced after mitigation is implemented, then there are benefits to count.

Donald Borgen Donald Borgen NDSU Emergency Management & NDSU Emergency Management &

PlanningPlanning

HAZUS-MH:HAZUS-MH: FEMA’S SOFTWARE PROGRAM FOR ESTIMATING POTENTIAL LOSSES FROM DISASTERS FEMA’S SOFTWARE PROGRAM FOR ESTIMATING POTENTIAL LOSSES FROM DISASTERS

Benefit Cost AnalysisBenefit Cost Analysis

• If theIf the benefits are greater than costsbenefits are greater than costs, ,

thethe project is cost-effectiveproject is cost-effective. .

• Some things are more Some things are more cost-effective than others.cost-effective than others.

• TheThe benefit-cost ratio (BCR)benefit-cost ratio (BCR) is used tois used to compare cost-effectivenesscompare cost-effectiveness..

Donald Borgen Donald Borgen NDSU Emergency Management & NDSU Emergency Management &

PlanningPlanning

HAZUS-MH:HAZUS-MH: FEMA’S SOFTWARE PROGRAM FOR ESTIMATING POTENTIAL LOSSES FROM DISASTERS FEMA’S SOFTWARE PROGRAM FOR ESTIMATING POTENTIAL LOSSES FROM DISASTERS

Benefit Cost AnalysisBenefit Cost Analysis• Benefits are more difficult to determine

than costs.

• Benefits happen in the future and must be calculated probabilistically (statistically).

• Project costs are easier to determine because they occur up front and are determined by cost estimates for each project.

Donald Borgen Donald Borgen NDSU Emergency Management & NDSU Emergency Management &

PlanningPlanning

HAZUS-MH:HAZUS-MH: FEMA’S SOFTWARE PROGRAM FOR ESTIMATING POTENTIAL LOSSES FROM DISASTERS FEMA’S SOFTWARE PROGRAM FOR ESTIMATING POTENTIAL LOSSES FROM DISASTERS

The Concept of RiskThe Concept of Risk • “Risk” is a simple term for the

Monetary value of future damages.

• “Value” means that future damages are expressed in terms of money.

• “Risk” is the single most important concept in Mitigation Planning and Benefit – Cost Analysis (BCA).

Donald Borgen Donald Borgen NDSU Emergency Management & NDSU Emergency Management &

PlanningPlanning

HAZUS-MH:HAZUS-MH: FEMA’S SOFTWARE PROGRAM FOR ESTIMATING POTENTIAL LOSSES FROM DISASTERS FEMA’S SOFTWARE PROGRAM FOR ESTIMATING POTENTIAL LOSSES FROM DISASTERS

The Concept of Risk (continued)The risk equation has three components:The risk equation has three components:

Donald Borgen Donald Borgen NDSU Emergency Management & NDSU Emergency Management &

PlanningPlanning

HAZUS-MH:HAZUS-MH: FEMA’S SOFTWARE PROGRAM FOR ESTIMATING POTENTIAL LOSSES FROM DISASTERS FEMA’S SOFTWARE PROGRAM FOR ESTIMATING POTENTIAL LOSSES FROM DISASTERS

HAZUS-MH Impact Assessment

Donald Borgen Donald Borgen NDSU Emergency Management & NDSU Emergency Management &

PlanningPlanning

HazardFire

FloodWindWMD

InventoryBuilding StockCritical FacilitiesTransportationUtilityDemographics

VulnerabilityBuilding StockSchoolsHospitalsPolice StationsFire StationsEOCTransportationUtilityVulnerability

HAZUS-MH:HAZUS-MH: FEMA’S SOFTWARE PROGRAM FOR ESTIMATING POTENTIAL LOSSES FROM DISASTERS FEMA’S SOFTWARE PROGRAM FOR ESTIMATING POTENTIAL LOSSES FROM DISASTERS

HAZUS-MH Impact Assessment

Donald Borgen Donald Borgen NDSU Emergency Management & NDSU Emergency Management &

PlanningPlanning

HazardEQ

FloodWindWMD

InventoryBuilding Stock

FacilitiesTransportation

Utility

VulnerabilityBuilding Stock

SchoolsHospitals

Police StationsFire Stations

TransportationUtility

IMPACT

Direct Loss

Business Interruption

Shelter

Casualties

EssentialFacilities

EmergencyResponse

Power

Transportation

Utility

Water

Economic

Social

Functionality

System Performance

Exercises

Assessment

HAZUS-MH:HAZUS-MH: FEMA’S SOFTWARE PROGRAM FOR ESTIMATING POTENTIAL LOSSES FROM DISASTERS FEMA’S SOFTWARE PROGRAM FOR ESTIMATING POTENTIAL LOSSES FROM DISASTERS

Donald Borgen Donald Borgen NDSU Emergency Management & NDSU Emergency Management &

PlanningPlanning

HAZUS-MH InventoryBuilding Inventory• Demographic Data• Exposure (# & $)• Agriculture• Buildings

Utility• Water• Oil and Gas • Electric Power• Communication

TransportationTransportation• Highway Systems• Railway Systems• Ports & Harbors• Airport Facilities

Critical Facilities• Schools• Hospitals• Police & Fire Stations• Dams

HAZUS-MH:HAZUS-MH: FEMA’S SOFTWARE PROGRAM FOR ESTIMATING POTENTIAL LOSSES FROM DISASTERS FEMA’S SOFTWARE PROGRAM FOR ESTIMATING POTENTIAL LOSSES FROM DISASTERS

Chemical HazardsCAMEO:

• Chemical Library to identify chemical and properties

• Notify special response resources• Located plot plans, facility layouts, and

chemical inventories

ALOHA: Dispersion model• Determine initial isolation zones

Donald Borgen Donald Borgen NDSU Emergency Management & NDSU Emergency Management &

PlanningPlanning

HAZUS-MH:HAZUS-MH: FEMA’S SOFTWARE PROGRAM FOR ESTIMATING POTENTIAL LOSSES FROM DISASTERS FEMA’S SOFTWARE PROGRAM FOR ESTIMATING POTENTIAL LOSSES FROM DISASTERS

Donald Borgen Donald Borgen NDSU Emergency Management & NDSU Emergency Management &

PlanningPlanning

HAZUS-MH Walkthrough

• Physical ImpactsPhysical Impacts

• Economic ImpactsEconomic Impacts

• Social ImpactsSocial Impacts

• Community DevelopmentCommunity Development

HAZUS-MH:HAZUS-MH: FEMA’S SOFTWARE PROGRAM FOR ESTIMATING POTENTIAL LOSSES FROM DISASTERS FEMA’S SOFTWARE PROGRAM FOR ESTIMATING POTENTIAL LOSSES FROM DISASTERS

HAZUS-MH Inventory MenuHAZUS-MH Inventory Menu

HAZUS-MH:HAZUS-MH: FEMA’S SOFTWARE PROGRAM FOR ESTIMATING POTENTIAL LOSSES FROM DISASTERS FEMA’S SOFTWARE PROGRAM FOR ESTIMATING POTENTIAL LOSSES FROM DISASTERS

HAZUS-MH Analysis Menu HAZUS-MH Analysis Menu

HAZUS-MH:HAZUS-MH: FEMA’S SOFTWARE PROGRAM FOR ESTIMATING POTENTIAL LOSSES FROM DISASTERS FEMA’S SOFTWARE PROGRAM FOR ESTIMATING POTENTIAL LOSSES FROM DISASTERS

HAZUS-MH Results MenuHAZUS-MH Results Menu

HAZUS-MH:HAZUS-MH: FEMA’S SOFTWARE PROGRAM FOR ESTIMATING POTENTIAL LOSSES FROM DISASTERS FEMA’S SOFTWARE PROGRAM FOR ESTIMATING POTENTIAL LOSSES FROM DISASTERS

ALOHA Plume Overlaying HAZUS-MH InventoryALOHA Plume Overlaying HAZUS-MH Inventory

ALOHA PlumeALOHA Plume

HAZUS-MH:HAZUS-MH: FEMA’S SOFTWARE PROGRAM FOR ESTIMATING POTENTIAL LOSSES FROM DISASTERS FEMA’S SOFTWARE PROGRAM FOR ESTIMATING POTENTIAL LOSSES FROM DISASTERS

SummarySummary IDENTIFY vulnerable areas that may require planning

considerations (e.g., land use or building code requirements)

ASSESS the level of readiness and preparedness to deal with a disaster before the disaster

occurs ESTIMATE potential losses from specific hazard

events, including pre-event, near real-time, and post-event report capability

DECIDE on how to allocate resources for the most effective and efficient response and

recovery PRIORITIZE the mitigation measures that need to be

implemented to reduce future losses