1 hybrid methods for solving large-scale parameter estimation problems carlos a. quintero 1 miguel...

Post on 27-Dec-2015

221 Views

Category:

Documents

1 Downloads

Preview:

Click to see full reader

TRANSCRIPT

1

Hybrid methods for solving large-scale

parameter estimation problems Carlos A. Quintero1 Miguel Argáez1 Hector Klie2

Leticia Velázquez1 Mary Wheeler2

1 Department of Mathematical Sciences

University of Texas at El Paso

13th GAMM - IMACS International Symposium on Scientific Computing, Computer Arithmetic, and Verified

Numerical Computations SCAN'2008

El Paso, Texas, USA

October 2 , 2008

2 ICES-The Center for Subsurface Modeling The University of Texas at Austin

2

Outline

Introduction Problem Formulation

Parameter Estimation Optimization Framework

Global Search Surrogate Model Local Search

Numerical Results Conclusion and Future Work

3

Goal

We present a hybrid optimization approach for solving global optimization problems, in particular automated parameter estimation models.

The hybrid approach is based on the coupling of the Simultaneous Perturbation Stochastic Approximation (SPSA) and a Newton-Krylov Interior-Point method (NKIP) via a surrogate model.

We implemented the hybrid approach on several test cases.

4

Problem Formulation

minimize : R R (1)nf x f

where the global solution x* is such that

We are interested in problem (1) that have many local minima.

We consider the global optimization problem in the form:

nxxfxf R allfor *

5

Types of local minima

x

global minimum

local minima

6

Hybrid Optimization Framework

• Global Method: SPSA

• Surrogate Model

• Local Method: NKIP

7

Global Method: SPSA

Stochastic steepest descent direction algorithm • (James Spall, 1998)

•Advantage• SPSA gives region(s) where the function value is low, and this allows to conjecture in which region(s) is the global solution. • Uses only two objective function evaluations at each iteration to obtain the update of the parameters.

Disadvantages•Slow method•Do not take into account equality/inequality constraints

8

Global Search: SPSA

SPSA performs random simultaneous perturbations of all model parameters to generate a descent direction at each iteration

This process may be performed by starting with different initial guesses (multistart).

Multistart increases the chances for finding a global solution, and yields to find a vast sampling of the parameter space.

9

SPSA: Pseudocode

end

on x sconstraintlower andupper Check :8

xa-x x Update:7

))./(2cy-(yx stepSet :6

);f(xy and )f(xy evaluationFunction :5

;c-x xand cxon xPerturbati usSimultaneo :4

1) - 1)) nd(n;2(round(ra on vector perturbati random Set the :3

k

c c and

A) (k

a aSet :2

k:1kfor :1

),c,A,a,,kn,SPSA(x,[x]function

k

k-

--

k-

k

k

kk

max

max

0.6021.101,/10),k(10,A :Note max

10

Observations

SPSA gives region(s) where the function value is low, and this allows to conjecture in which region(s) is the global solution.

This give us a motivation to apply a local method in the region(s) found by SPSA.

11

Local Method

Advantages Fast Method: Newton Type Methods Interior-Point Methods allow to add

equality/inequality constraints

Disadvantage Needs first/second order information

Solution Construct a Surrogate Model using the

SPSA function values inside the conjecture region(s)

12

A surrogate model is created by using an interpolation method with the data, , provided by SPSA.

This can be performed in different ways, e.g., radial basis functions, kriging, regression analysis, or using artificial neural networks.

pkxfx kk ,...,1 )),(,(

)( ks xf

Surrogate Model

13

Why Surrogate Models?

Most real problems require thousands or millions of objective and constraint function evaluations, and often the associated high cost and time requirements render this infeasible.

14

RBF is typically parameterized by two sets of parameters: the center c which defines its position, and shape r that determines its width or form.

An RBF interpolation algorithm (Orr,1996) characterizes the uncertainty parameters:

.,..,1 ,,...,1 , , , mjniwrc jijij

Radial Basis Function (RBF)

15

Our goal is to optimize the surrogate function

Where the radial basis functions can be defined as:

that are the multiquadric and the Gaussian basis functions, respectively

Surrogate Model

1

( ) ( ),m

s j jj

f x w h x

2

21

2( )

1( )( ) 1 or ( )

ni ij

ji ij

x cn i ijrijix c

h x h x ejr

16

Hybrid Optimization Scheme (1)

Global Search Via SPSA

FilteringFiltering

Surrogate Model

Explore Parameter space

Multistart (x0)1(x0)2

.

.

.

(x0)k

SamplingSampling

Target Region

.

.

.

1

( ) ( ),m

s j jj

f x w h x

+

17

Test Case 2

Rastrigin’s Problem:

21 2

1

min ( , ,..., ) 10 ( 10cos(2 )),

s.t. 5.12 5.12

for 1,2,...,

n

n i ii

i

f x x x n x x

x

i n

18

Test Case 2: Rastringin

19

Test Case 2: Rastringin

x*=(0,0) global solutionf(x*)=0

20

Sampling Data from SPSA

Test Case 2: Restringin

21

x*=(0,0) global solutionf(x*)=0

Sampling Data from SPSA

Test Case 2: Restringin

22

Restringin: Surrogate ModelWe plot the original model function and the surrogate function:

23

Restringin: Surrogate Model

24

Local Search: NKIP

NKIP is a globalized and derivative dependent optimization method based on the global strategy introduced by Miguel Argaéz and Richard Tapia in 2002.

This method calculates the directions using the conjugate gradient algorithm, and a linesearch is implemented to guarantee a sufficient decrease of the objective function.

25

Local Search: NKIP

We consider the optimization problem in the form:

where a and b are determined by the sampled points given by SPSA.

minimize ( )

subject to Sf x

a x b

26

Hybrid Optimization Scheme (2)

27

Hybrid Optimization Scheme

Convergence history for minimizing Rastringin’s function (n=50).

28

2|| d- G(x)|| minimize T

where is a nonlinear functionand is a set of data observations

The objective function can be written as a nonlinear least squares problem:

mT Rd

mn RR:G(x)

Parameter Estimation Problem

2|| d- G(x)|| minimize T

The objective function can be written as a nonlinear least squares problem:

mn RR:G(x)

2|| d- G(x)|| minimize T

The objective function can be written as a nonlinear least squares problem:

29

Our goal is to estimate the permeability based on sensor pressure data.

Despite having full information of the pressure field, the inverse problem is highly ill-posed and has multiple local minima.

Application

30

Large Scale Two-Phase Flow Problem

3D permeability field

31

Large Scale Two-Phase Flow Problem

Figure 2. The true and initial permeability and pressure fields.

32

High Performance Computing

We run the simulator IPARS (Integrated Parallel Accurate Reservoir Simulator) on a Linux-based multicore network of workstations.

Our goal is to estimate a permeability field that involves 2000 parameters. The field is parameterized by SVD reducing the parameter space to 20 (each parameter represents a scale resolution level).

We choose several initials points by adding a percentage of noise to the true singular values: 5%, 10% and 15%

33

Numerical Results

Noise 5% 10% 15%

Initial starting points by SPSA 30 20 20

Range of f(x0) 8.56 to 10.3 18.72 to 53.9 29.46 to 120.56

SPSA Iterations 3645 2248 1647

Range of fspsa(x) 0.568 to 2.5 0.858 to 6.785 1.541 to 15.89

Best fspsa(x) 0.568 0.858 1.541

Data points used in the surrogate model 156 81 57

NKIP Iterations 94 67 110

fnkip(x) 0.478 0.747 1.465

% Gain by Hybrid Approach 16 13 5

34

We combine SPSA and NKIP strategies into a Hybrid Scheme that exploit the best of these two approaches for a given problem in order to achieve maximum efficiency and robustness.

The hybrid approach finds a good estimate of the global solution for all the test cases.

As the noise level was increased, the hybrid approach presented more difficulties in reproducing the true permeability field. However, the estimation is very accurate in all cases.

Conclusions

35

Improve a parallel version of the multi-start technique

Parallelize the conjugate gradient of NKIP

Add equality constraints to the minimization of the surrogate model

Add more Global Optimization Techniques (Simulated Annealing, Evolutionary Algorithms)

Future Work

3636

Thank you very much for your attention

top related