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NAWMP - a conservation model

IIC Work Plan

A focus on objectives

NAWMP - a conservation model

IIC Work Plan

A focus on objectives

Signed in 1986 by Canada & U.S.

$4.5 billion

15.7 million acres

Signed in 1986 by Canada & U.S.

$4.5 billion

15.7 million acres

North American Waterfowl Management Plan

North American Waterfowl Management Plan

NAWMP - What changed in 1986?

Landscape-scale effort – “Joint Ventures”

Partnerships and leveraging resources

Numerical population objectives

Implied goal of sustaining sport hunting

NAWMP Updates:

1994: Expanding the commitment • Mexico added as signatory

1998: Expanding the vision• Moving toward landscape conservation, • Broadening partnerships – “All Birds”

2004: Strengthening the biological foundation• NAWMP Assessment - 2007

2012: Integrating harvest, habitat, and hunters

NAWMP Updates:

1994: Expanding the commitment • Mexico added as signatory

1998: Expanding the vision• Moving toward landscape conservation, • Broadening partnerships – “All Birds”

2004: Strengthening the biological foundation• NAWMP Assessment - 2007

2012: Integrating harvest, habitat, and hunters

0

10,000

20,000

30,000

40,000

50,000

60,000

Bree

ding

Pop

ulati

on (1

000s

)

Total Duck Bpop, 1997-2013

Losing wetlands and grasslands faster than restored

Threats are growing – human population growth, water scarcity, climate change, energy …

Losing hunters and their revenue and policy support - society disconnected from outdoors

Losing resources – budgets not keeping pace with challenges

Losing wetlands and grasslands faster than restored

Threats are growing – human population growth, water scarcity, climate change, energy …

Losing hunters and their revenue and policy support - society disconnected from outdoors

Losing resources – budgets not keeping pace with challenges

NAWMP 2012: Clarifying the problemNAWMP 2012: Clarifying the problem

Degraded breeding grounds

Coastal Marsh Loss

Rice and Water

Boreal Forest

Light Goose populations

Trends in U.S. and Canadian Waterfowl Hunters

0.00

0.50

1.00

1.50

2.00

2.50

3.00

Mill

ions 46% decline

http://www.nawmprevision.orghttp://www.nawmprevision.org

What We Heard at Workshops

“Re-vision” the waterfowl management enterprise Break down silos; work towards common goals Become more effective and efficient

Integrate objectives Coordinate actions

Keep pace with environmental and societal changes More explicit consideration of people

Address the decline in waterfowl hunters Engage a broader base of supporters

1. Abundant and resilient waterfowl populations to support hunting and other uses without imperiling habitat. 2. Wetlands and related habitats sufficient to sustain waterfowl populations at desired levels, while providing places to recreate and ecological services that benefit society.3. Growing numbers of waterfowl hunters, other conservationists, and citizens who enjoy and actively support waterfowl and wetlands conservation.

Revised NAWMP Goals

2004:The purpose of the plan is to sustain abundant waterfowl populations by conserving landscapes, through partnerships that are guided by sound science

2012:“The purpose of the NAWMP is to sustain North America’s waterfowl populations and their habitats at levels that satisfy human desires and perpetuate waterfowl hunting, accomplished through partnerships guided by sound science”

Revised NAWMP Vision

Goals Are Linked and Inseparable

Healthy Populations

Conserved Habitat

Hunters and Viewers

Recommendations - NAWMP Action Plan

Integrate waterfowl management

Develop, revise or reaffirm NAWMP objectives

Focus resources on important landscapes

Build support for waterfowl conservation

Establish a Human Dimensions Working Group

Adapt harvest management strategies

Increase adaptive capacity

Premise: Management of waterfowl populations, conservation of waterfowl habitat, and engagement of waterfowl supporters are inseparably linked.

FlywaysHMWGFlywaysHMWG

IICIIC

HDWGHDWG

JV / NSSTJV / NSST FlywaysHMWGFlywaysHMWGJV / NSSTJV / NSST

Interim Integration Committee :

Focal point for gathering, vetting & synthesizing ideas from the waterfowl management community Prepare a work plan to advance integration. Support a process for explicit objectives Collaborate with work groups to develop scale-specific monitoring, assessment & decision support Develop a communication strategy Ultimately, guide review of institutional structures

Interim Integration Committee :

Focal point for gathering, vetting & synthesizing ideas from the waterfowl management community Prepare a work plan to advance integration. Support a process for explicit objectives Collaborate with work groups to develop scale-specific monitoring, assessment & decision support Develop a communication strategy Ultimately, guide review of institutional structures

Policy supportTechnical expertise

JV experienceCommunications insight

Logistic support Funding

Interim Integration CommitteeDale Humburg, Chair

Lyle Saigeon (SK)Natalie Sexton (USFWS)

Ken Richkus (USFWS)David Goad (AR)

Mike Anderson (DUC)Dave Duncan (CWS)Mike Brasher (NSST)

Mike Carter (JV)Diane Eggeman (FL)

Andrew Raedeke (MO)Jim Gammonley (CO)Dan Yparraguirre (CA)Dean Smith (AFWA)

Interim Integration Committee: Advance the integrated management of North American waterfowl populations, harvest, habitat conservation, and associated user and conservation supporters.

Develop work plans: Prioritized actions Expected outcome(s) Assumptions Potential approach/ process (stakeholders) Resourcing strategy (responsibility) Budget Timeline

Implementing the 2012 NAWMP Revision:

Engage stakeholders throughout the process Future of Waterfowl Management Summit II

Revise NAWMP objectives Waterfowl Populations (10 species from TSA) Waterfowl hunters, viewers, supporters Waterfowl Habitat

Implementing the 2012 NAWMP Revision:

Develop models & tools in support of implementation

Review mallard harvest management Eastern mallards Midcontinent mallards – joint MF/CF Western mallards

Concurrently explore multi-species management Develop a modeling framework of social processes Decision support tools for priority landscapes Modeling framework integrating objectives

Implementing the 2012 NAWMP Revision:

Implement management actions Adaptively apply HD tools in pilot projects Compile a review of EGS values Develop and implement HD training Compile a synopsis of habitat delivery via HD tools Demonstrate the economic value of waterfowl

conservation

Derive empirical measures of waterfowl hunting Electronic licensing data

Re-vision NAWMP Objectives

WaterfowlPopulations

WaterfowlHabitat

WaterfowlHabitat

WaterfowlHunters/Supporters

Re-vision NAWMP Objectives: IIC propose measurable attributes and draft objectives Waterfowl management community provide input into draft objectives Assign NAWMP Objectives Task Group Task group recommends candidate objectives Solicit stakeholder values Revise NAWMP Objectives

July 2013

July 2013 to March 2014

Oct 2013 to July 2014

July 2014

2014-15

NAWMP Update

July 2013

July 2013 to March 2014

Oct 2013 to July 2014

July 2014

2014-15

NAWMP Update

Anchor Point - Populations:

Premise: Recent populations of most waterfowl species are at desired levels (acknowledging the influence of favorable environmental conditions).

0

10,000

20,000

30,000

40,000

50,000

60,000Br

eedi

ng P

opul

ation

(100

0s)

Total Duck Breeding Duck Population (TSA), 1997-2013

0

2,000

4,000

6,000

8,000

10,000

12,000

Bree

ding

Pop

ulati

on (1

000s

)

Mallard Breeding Population, 1955-2013

LTA

1970s1997-2012

0

2,000

4,000

6,000

8,000

10,000

12,000

Bree

ding

Pop

ulati

on (1

000s

)

Mallard Breeding Population, 1997-2013

LTA1970s

1997-2012

0

500

1,000

1,500

2,000

2,500

3,000

3,500

4,000

4,500

Bree

ding

Pop

ulati

on (1

000s

)

Gadwall Breeding Population, 1997-2013

LTA1970s

1997-2012

0

1,000

2,000

3,000

4,000

5,000

6,000

Bree

ding

Pop

ulati

on (1

000s

)

Northern Pintail Breeding Population, 1997-2013

LTA

1970s

1997-2012

Draft Objective: Duck populations within the range estimated during 1997-2012 (10 species reported from the Traditional Survey Area, see table below)

Straw-man Objectives for Waterfowl Populations NAWMP Goal: Abundant and resilient waterfowl populations to support hunting and other uses Premise: Recent populations of most waterfowl species have been at desired levels.

Key questions:1. Should objectives more explicitly address populations with increasing

versus declining trends?2. What should the anchor point be for the lower threshold (somewhere

above biological sustainability)?3. To what degree does harvest management serve to achieve population

and people objectives?

Draft Objective: Duck populations within the range estimated during 1997-2012 (10 species reported from the Traditional Survey Area, see table below)

Anchor Point - Supporters:

Premise: Hunter numbers are below desired levels, and public support for conservation is insufficient to sustain current habitat and populations

0.00

0.50

1.00

1.50

2.00

2.50

3.00

Mill

ions

U.S.

Canada

NAWMP Goal: Growing numbers of waterfowl hunters, other conservationists and citizens who enjoy and actively support waterfowl and wetlands conservation.

Premise: The current number and demographic of waterfowl hunters may not sustain waterfowling traditions, and overall public support for conservation is insufficient to sustain current habitat and populations.

Draft Objective: Active duck and goose hunter numbers (as measured by federal surveys) that are stable or increasing from average levels during 1997-2012 (corresponds to period used to benchmark range of duck population objectives).

Active duck and goose hunter numbers that are stable or increasing from average levels during 1997-2012.

Stable or increasing numbers of waterfowl viewers, measured by the USFWS National Survey of Fishing, Hunting, and Wildlife-Associated Recreation.

Increasing ( X %) federal duck stamp revenue.

Increase and maintain funding for NAWCA, Conservation Title of the Farm Bill, LWCF, and other waterfowl conservation funding.

Increased nonmarket valuation of EGS of waterfowl habitats and increased recognition by the general public.

Increased numbers of landowners who are participating in habitat conservation programs.

Straw-man “People” Objectives:

Key questions:

1. What is the scale of waterfowl-related users and people-related objectives that should be implemented?

2. To what degree will flyways and joint ventures engage in implementing coordinated management actions and monitoring related to people objectives?

Straw-man “People” Objectives:

Anchor Point - Habitat:

Premise: Habitat – while sufficient today – is not secure and is being lost at an unacceptable rate.

NAWMP Goal: Wetlands and related habitats sufficient to sustain waterfowl populations at desired levels, while providing places to recreate and ecological services that benefit society. Premise: Habitat – while sufficient today – is not secure and is being lost at an unacceptable rate. Draft Objective: Re-assess habitat objectives and actions that are consistent at national and regional/local scales with revised NAWMP population and people objectives.

Continental waterfowl

users/supporters

Waterfowl Habitat

Continental waterfowl

populations

Down—

scal

ed Rolled-up Ro

lled-

up

Develop, revise or reaffirm NAWMP objectives

Down—

scaled

Key questions:

1. How should habitat conservation partnerships consider deploying human dimensions frameworks for habitat?

2. How will coupling NAWMP population and human objectives impact the habitat conservation actions?

3. Which audiences (e.g., waterfowl hunters, viewers, etc.) should be considered priority within different landscapes or across all landscapes?

4. Will funding sources such as NAWCA assist with targeting of habitat according to new objectives (e.g., hunters, viewers, etc.)?

5. To what degree are waterfowl habitat strategies also compatible/consistent with strategies for EGS?

Focus resources on important landscapes:

Identify the most important areas to deliver waterfowl habitat conservation at multiple spatial scales

Desired Outcomes:

Populations:1. Waterfowl populations at biologically sustainable levels

2. Waterfowl populations sufficient to provide for an abundance of use and enjoyment by current and future citizens

People ??

Habitat ??

Challenges to implementation: Budgets and staff capacity are limited

Linkage of human dimensions strategies to population and habitat is not entirely apparent

Think outside of disciplines of harvest or habitat management.

Move beyond personal experience / culture

Constantly communicate status and process

Constantly consider the range of stakeholders

HMWG, 26-28 November Initial IIC meeting, 3-4 December Webinar – 10 January and 7 February Plan Committee during 15-16 January ECNAW - NAWMP and HD special sessions 27- 28 January IIC – 6-8 March in Denver, CO NAWNR Conference – 25-29 March Canadian federal and provincial directors – 7-9 May HD Working Group – 28-31 May IIC develop work plan – 9-11 July Flyways – 15-27 July NSST – 30-31 July NAWMP Committee – 20-22 August

IIC Work Plan

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