america’s water resources

US Army Corps of EngineersBUILDING STRONG®

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America’s Water ResourcesA View to the Future

COL Alex C. DornstauderExecutive DirectorCivil and Emergency OperationsU.S. Army Corps of Engineers

October 8, 2009

091008 CMANC ( Morro Bay )< 091008 CMANC > BUILDING STRONG®

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Water Resources Challenges

EnergyEnergy

Persistent Conflict

Persistent Conflict

AgingInfrastructure

AgingInfrastructure

GlobalizationGlobalization

IncreasingDemand

for Water

IncreasingDemand

for Water

Governance

Federal Budget

Legislative Changes

Governance

Federal Budget

Legislative Changes

ClimateChangeClimateChange

Environmental ValuesEnvironmental Values

Declining BiodiversityDeclining Biodiversity

Disaster Preparednessand Response

Disaster Preparednessand Response

DemographicShifts

DemographicShifts


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Safe, Resilient Communitiesand InfrastructureSafe, Resilient Communitiesand Infrastructure

Sustaining a Competent TeamSustaining a Competent TeamEffective, Reliable, Adaptive

Life-Cycle Project PerformanceEffective, Reliable, Adaptive

Life-Cycle Project Performance

Sustainable Water Resources,Marine Transportation Systems,

and Healthy Aquatic Ecosystems

Sustainable Water Resources,Marine Transportation Systems,

and Healthy Aquatic Ecosystems

Deliver Essential and EnduringWater Resources SolutionsOur Goal:

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The World Has Changed . . .. . . So Has our Thinking

$

Global Climate Change

Energy

Environmental Values

Increasing Demand for Water

Declining Biodiversity

Demographic Shifts

Aging Infrastructure

Persistent Conflict

Globalization

Governance

Legislative changes

Disaster Preparedness and Response

Continuing Pressureon Federal Budget,

Partners, and /Stakeholders

Focus From To

“ Success “ Projects Comprehensive Plans

Criteria NED benefits 1st More balanced NED,RED, EQ, OSE benefits

Work Stay in yourfunctional lane Seek horizontal integration

Knowledge Knowledgeis power Share knowledge

Style Follow SOPsas recipes

Think creatively, considerrisks, think systems

Money Save Federal $ Leverage resources

Life Cycle Plan and build Plan / fund / monitor forfull project life cycle


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Operating Premises

Water conflicts will persist

Responsibility will continue to be shared

Improved intergovernmental cooperation is essential

Improved water resources planning is critical

States must do the lion’s share of water resources planning

There is a Federal interest in supporting state water resources planning

USACE will benefit from supporting water resources planning

USACE and Interstate entities can support State water resources planning with States in the lead


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A Picture of the Future . . . .• Stronger partnerships for collaborative problem solving

• A comprehensive strategy to inform / educate

• Smarter regional planning

• Risk-based management

• Resilient water infrastructure

• Advocacy for critical national water needs

• Joint efforts / resources to achieve common goals

• Life-cycle approach from holistic assessment through O&M


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How We Achieve Our Goals

IntegratedWater Resources

Management

IntegratedWater Resources

Management

SystemsApproach

River basins / Watersheds / Coastal zones

From INDIVIDUAL projects to INTERDEPENDET systems

From IMMEDIATE to LONG-TERM solutions

Single actions trigger > 1 system responses / reactions

Collaborationand Partnering

Multiple organizations contribute to problem-solving

Leverage funding, data, and talent

Efficiencies, given scarce resourcesSophisticated state / interstate organizations

Tribes, local governments, non-profit organizationsPartnering with profit-making organizations a next step

State-of-the-ArtTechnology

Improve resiliency of structures

Update design criteria

Improve approaches to planning / design

Leverage remote sensing / GIS / nanotechnology / . . . .

Coastal / River Information System

Risk-InformedDecision Making

and CommunicationConsequence analysis ( especially populations )

Forestall possible failure mechanisms

Quantify / communicate residual risk

Ask which projects will fail to perform as designed,the likelihood of failure, and the consequences

Recognize limits in disaster prediction

Recognize limits in structural protection

AdaptiveManagement

Measure responses to interventions within systemsto adjust planning, construction and operations

in response to changing conditions.


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A Federal Family Toolbox

• Leverage existing toolbox ofcurrent resources acrossFederal agencies

• Enhance the Federal family toolboxwith regional interstate organizations,NGOs and other Federal agencies

• Develop the Nation’s “will” tooffer States more robustassistance through collaborative alliances / relationships

• Work w/ States for more integrated / balanced water plans

• Unify visions for Administration and Congress to determine that water resources planning and infrastructure are national priorities

Water


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Stakeholder / System AnalysisA 3-Dimensional Decision Space ( “Tetrahedron” )

GovernanceStewardship

Planet

PeopleProfits

NationalWatershedOverlays( Lenses )

Tetrahedron

Equitiesand

Urgencies

Valuesand

Effects

Elasticitiesand

Externalities

NationalStakeholder

Analysis

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Environment / Habitat( Air / Water )

Endangered Species

Resources

Public Safety

Social Equity

Culture

Economy


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National Watershed “ Lenses “United States Cabinet

AgricultureInterior

CommerceJustice

DefenseLabor

EducationState

EnergyTransportation

Health and Human ServicesTreasury

Homeland SecurityVeteran’s Affairs

HUDEPA

U. S. Army Corps of EngineersInfrastructure = Locks / Dams / Levees / Inland Waterways / Ports

Regulatory = TNWs / Jurisdictional Lands

• Assign a specific overlay to each Cabinet to develop, maintain, and synchronize / integrate for National Grand Strategy Common Operating Picture

• Forcing Function as proxy for Stakeholder:

Equities and Urgencies

Values and Effects

Elasticities and Externalities

• Assign a specific overlay to each Cabinet to develop, maintain, and synchronize / integrate for National Grand Strategy Common Operating Picture

• Forcing Function as proxy for Stakeholder:

Equities and Urgencies

Values and Effects

Elasticities and Externalities

$

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NationalWatershedOverlays( Lenses )

Tetrahedron

Equitiesand

Urgencies

Valuesand

Effects

Elasticitiesand

Externalities

NationalStakeholder

Analysis


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National Watershed “ Baseline “Multi-Equity Water Stress

NationalWaterCOP

NationalWatershed( Lenses )

PossibleFutures

Scenario-based

NationalWatershed

Assessment

Null OptionZERO

Investment

NationalWatershed“ Baseline “

Acceptable

Urgent

High

Low

Moderate

Inputs( Lenses )

Processes( Analysis )“ Mashing “ Outputs

( Results )

( Non-Decisional. For Illustration ONLY. )

Automated, Multivariate, Multi-Equity, Geospatial Analysis( ESRI ArcGIS 9.3 )

Water Stress Index

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National Watershed VisionVertical / Horizontal Integration

Federal( HQ USACE )

State( USACE Regions )

Local( USACE Districts )

Watershed isforcing function for

Local, State, andFederal effort

Provide focus on effects for each

watershed

Identify feasible, acceptable, and

suitable alternatives

Align political, technical, and fiscal

strategies

10¢ preventionupstream

vs.$1000 in recovery

downstream

Centerof Gravity

Watershed

HedgehogConcept

Civil WorksIntent

Graphics

BattlefieldGeometry

NationalWatershed

Vision

NationalWatershed100-year“Intent”


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National Watershed VisionVertical / Horizontal Synchronization

$ ?+? BIL

$ ?+?+? BIL

$ ? BIL

20 years

50 years

Now

2029

20592109

Centerof Gravity

Watershed

HedgehogConcept

Civil WorksIntent

Graphics

BattlefieldGeometry

NationalWatershed

Vision

NationalWatershed100-year“Intent”



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National Priority Watersheds“ Top 200 “ ( 10% ) @ Most Risk


“Top 200”10% most @ Risk of

NOT achieving 100-year Vision

Acceptable

Urgent

High

Low

Moderate

Water Stress Index

NationalWatershed“Baseline”

NationalWatershed

100-yr Intent

RiskTriangle

WatershedTriage

NationalPriority

Watersheds“Top 200”

10% most @ Riskof NOT achieving100-year “vision”

$


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Investment in the National Portfoliobased on ROI @ Efficient Frontier

- or - Overall Attractiveness

8

7

2

3

10

91

5

6

4

20 11

1213

14

15

16

17

18

19

National Watershed Portfolio“ Top 20 “ ( 1% ) with Highest ROI / Overall Attractiveness

Acceptable

Urgent

High

Low

Moderate


Water Stress Index

$

NationalWatershed“Baseline”

NationalWatershed

100-yr Intent

RiskTriangle

WatershedTriage

NationalPriority

Watersheds“Top 200”

10% most @ Riskof NOT achieving100-year “vision”


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Supporting Our Water Future:What Has Been Done ?

Reviewed / summarized water plans ( 50 States / 6 River Basin Commissions)Summary Reports for each State’s water plans

Conducted interviews with State officials

3 Regional Reports with trends / themes / needs / challenges – under review and validation

Reviewed / summarized major water management programs ( Federal Agencies ) Summary Report of Federal Agencies’ authorities / focus areas / programmatic initiatives / collaboration / partnerships

Developing Federal Toolbox

3 regional collaborative workshops / one national conferenceHighlight critical needs and challenges

Current and future strategies to address these needs

Successful collaborations / partnerships and opportunities for MORE!!

Roles and responsibilities of Federal, State, Tribes, NGOs in water resourcesplanning and management

3 Proceedings Reports provided a wealth of information – under validation


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The Way AheadPrepare National Report for Administration / Congress’ action ( JAN 2010 )• Move Nation toward IWRM ( a planning / management approach to solve water problems )

• Develop a national water vision and supporting policies / strategies

• Improve data exchange and technology transfer across the Nation in support of IWRM

• Develop the Federal support toolbox

• Enhance water resources leadership and education

• Build a robust collaborative support system

• Assemble national and regional teams to work on implementing actions

• Foster a holistic approach to Water Resources challenges

• Develop new infrastructure investment strategies


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Something to Think About

• What can we do now, within exiting authorities, to foster Integrated Water Resourses Management ( IWRM ) ?

What are the products of such planning?How do they compare with how we define success?

What is the Federal role in watershed-system planning an approach under IWRM ?

How can we incentivize this approach ( look at cost-sharing formulas ) ?

What can we do with cost-sharing to promote greater interest in watershed plans among authorizers ?

What case studies do we have to show value to the Nation from this approach and what modelsshould we promote?


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19ESRI AFRICOM / EUCOM UC ( National Watershed Investment Model )May 20, 2009 10:00 a.m.

The The ““ Burning Platform Burning Platform ““

“Let us raise a standard . . . .“Let us raise a standard . . . .

. . . . to which the wise and the honest can repair.”George Washington

Constitutional Convention ( May 1787 )

. . . . to which the wise and the honest can repair.”George Washington

Constitutional Convention ( May 1787 )

“ Building Strong “ 19

US Army Corps of EngineersBUILDING STRONG®

®

America’s Water ResourcesA View to the Future

COL Alex C. DornstauderExecutive DirectorCivil and Emergency OperationsU.S. Army Corps of Engineers

October 8, 2009

Questions ?Questions ?

america’s water resources

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