american tower corporation: international market...
TRANSCRIPT
American Tower Corporation:
International Market Overview March 2015
2 March 10, 2015
American Tower International Market Overview
Developing Wireless Markets Costa Rica • Ghana • India • Peru • Uganda
Advanced Wireless Markets Germany
Evolving Wireless Markets Brazil • Chile • Colombia • Mexico • South Africa
Introduction International Portfolio Overview
3 March 10, 2015
International Portfolio Overview
(1) Represents top 10 international tenants as of the quarter ended December 31, 2014.
(2) According to its public statements, AT&T closed its acquisition of Iusacell on January 16, 2015, and expects to close on its acquisition of Nextel Mexico in mid-2015.
Brazil Chile ColombiaCosta
RicaGermany Ghana India Mexico Peru South Africa Uganda
# of Sites 11,873 1,156 3,589 464 2,031 2,038 12,977 8,716 571 1,918 1,265
AMT Ownership 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 51% 100% 100% 100% 75% 51%
% of 4Q14 Tower Revenue ~9% <1% ~2% <1% ~1% ~2% ~6% ~8% <1% ~2% ~1%
International
Tenants(1)
% of Total
Tower
Revenue
Nextel International(2) ~6%
Telefónica ~5%
MTN ~3%
.
Iusacell(2) ~2%
Vodafone ~2%
America Móvil ~2%
Oi ~2%
Millicom ~1%
Cell C ~1%
Airtel ~1%
(1) Represents top 10 international tenants as of the quarter ended December 31, 2014.
4 March 10, 2015
Advanced Wireless Markets Germany
5 March 10, 2015
2016
Germany
WIRELESS MARKET OVERVIEW:
WIRELESS CARRIER OVERVIEW:
Indicator As of
3Q14
2007 –
3Q14 CAGR
Wireless
Subscribers 117M 3%
Wireless
Penetration 142% 3%
Average
Monthly Voice
MOU 136 3%
ARPU $17 -7%
Key Catalysts
• LTE rollout by all major operators in
800 and 2500 MHz bands
• LTE-A testing in progress by major
carriers with plans to launch
• 2015 auctions expected to re-auction
900 & 1800 MHz bands (expiring 2016)
as well auction 2 new bands (2x30MHz
in 700 MHz, 40Mz in 1400MHz)
• O2 and E-Plus merger creates largest
mobile service provider in country
22% 25%
28% 32%
38% 42%
44% 50%
2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 3Q14
Data as a % of Wireless Revenue
2012 2013 2014 2015
Carrier-Announced Network Deployment Timelines
2017
Snapshot
LTE LTE-A
launched in
Nov-14
LTE Roll-out started in 800
MHz in rural areas as
required by regulators
Announced expected
launch of LTE-A in
Q1 2015
LTE Urban LTE began
w/ coverage in 2
cities
O2 Roll-out in
800 MHz in
rural areas
Launched
in Mar-14 HSPA+ 97% of
network
HSPA+ in
2012
Currently
developing
VoLTE
Top 4 Carrier Characteristics
AMT
Customer?
Subscriber
Market Share
Spectrum
Holdings
Current
Technology
Deutsche Telekom
34%
20 MHz in 800
25 MHz in 900
40 MHz in 1800
25 MHz in 2100 FDD/TDD
45 MHz in 2500 FDD/TDD
3G/4G
Vodafone
27%
20 MHz in 800
25 MHz in 900
11 MHz in 1800
35 MHz in 2100 FDD/TDD
65 MHz in 2500 FDD/TDD
3G/4G
Telefonica Europe (1) 39%
20 MHz in 800
20 MHz in 900 (2)
90 MHz in 1800 (2)
94 MHz in 2100 FDD/TDD
80 MHz in 2500 FDD/TDD
3G/4G
Sources: American Tower research & analysis, Altman Vilandrie & Co. research & analysis, Bank of America Merrill Lynch Global Wireless Matrix 4Q14
LTE
(1) As of 7/14, Telefonica has acquired E-Plus; (2) New company will have to release 40 MHz of spectrum in 900 and 1800 MHz bands
Testing LTE-A
technology
Plans to cover 85% of
German population by
2016
6 March 10, 2015
Evolving Wireless Markets Brazil • Chile • Colombia • Mexico • South Africa
7 March 10, 2015
2016 2012 2013 2014 2015 2017
7% 9%
12%
16% 19%
22%
26%
33%
2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 3Q14
Brazil
WIRELESS MARKET OVERVIEW:
WIRELESS CARRIER OVERVIEW:
Indicator As of
3Q14
2007 –
3Q14 CAGR
Wireless
Subscribers 276M 14%
Wireless
Penetration 141% 16%
Average
Monthly Voice
MOU 130 8%
ARPU $8 -11%
Key Catalysts
• Massive 4G coverage expansion in
advance of World Cup expected to
continue ahead of 2016 Olympics
• National fiscal deficit may lead to
further spectrum auctions of 1.8 GHz
and re-auction of 700 MHz over next
two years
• Densification initiatives necessary to
bring subscribers per cell site down to
levels able to support increasing data
usage
Data as a % of Wireless Revenue
Carrier-Announced Network Deployment Timelines
Snapshot
Top 4 Carrier Characteristics
AMT
Customer?
Sub Mkt.
Share
Spectrum
Holdings
Current
Technology
Telefónica
29%
14 MHz in 450
20 MHz in 700
22 MHz in 800-960
21 MHz in 1700-1860
27 MHz in 1920-2165; 40 MHz in 2500
3G/4G
Telecom Italia
27%
14 MHz in 450
20 MHz in 700
17 MHz in 800-960
31 MHz in 1700-1860
22 MHz in 1920-2165; 20 MHz in 2500
3G/4G
América Móvil
25%
14 MHz in 450
20 MHz in 700
20 MHz in 800-960
28 MHz in 1700-1860
25 MHz in 1900-2165; 40 MHz in 2500
3G/4G
Tele Norte Leste
19%
14 MHz in 450
4 MHz in 800 960
33 MHz in 1700-1860
18 MHz in 1900-2165; 20 MHz in 2500
3G/4G
Sources: American Tower research & analysis, Altman Vilandrie & Co. research & analysis, Bank of America Merrill Lynch Global Wireless Matrix 4Q14
UMTS/
HSPA+ LTE
Launched
Apr-13
UMTS/
HSPA+ LTE Reached 76M subs
by 2014
HSPA+ LTE 93 markets by
Oct-14, 71M LTE
subs by YE
HSPA+ LTE Launched in 5
World Cup
cities in Apr-13
Deployed 4G in 16 new
cities by Dec-14,
covering 80 M subs
$4.7B in planned network upgrade spending 2013-2016
Planned $3.6B to expand
3G and 4G networks
Did not bid
on 700
MHz
Expected to
invest ~$500M
through 2015
8 March 10, 2015
9% 10%
15%
19% 23% 22% 23%
32%
2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 3Q14
Chile
WIRELESS MARKET OVERVIEW:
WIRELESS CARRIER OVERVIEW:
Indicator As of
3Q14
2007 –
3Q14 CAGR
Wireless
Subscribers 26M 10%
Wireless
Penetration 148% 9%
Average
Monthly Voice
MOU 149 3%
ARPU $12 -6%
Key Catalysts
• Entel’s successful 4G LTE trial in the
APT700 band signals increased 4G
presence in future
• Rural 4G rollouts expected to drive
further coverage tower growth
• High wireless penetration and
increasing data consumption expected
to drive need for capacity
Data as a % of Wireless Revenue
Carrier-Announced Network Deployment Timelines
Snapshot
Top 4 Carrier Characteristics
AMT
Customer?
Subscriber
Market Share
Spectrum
Holdings
Current
Technology
Telefónica
40%
20 MHz in 700
25 MHz in 850
30 MHz in 1,900
20 MHz in 2.6 GHz
3G/4G
Entel
39% 30 MHz in 700
60 MHz in 1,900
20 MHz in 2.6 GHz 3G/4G
América Móvil
22%
20 MHz in 700
25 MHz in 850
30 MHz in 1,900
20 MHz in 2.6 GHz
3G/4G
Sources: American Tower research & analysis, Altman Vilandrie & Co. research & analysis, Bank of America Merrill Lynch Global Wireless Matrix 4Q14
2016 2012 2013 2014 2015 2017
HSPA+ LTE Started
nationwide
deployment in
2013
HSPA+ LTE
HSPA+ LTE 4G
nationwide
in Jun-13
175k subs
by Dec-14
250k subs
by Dec-14
200K LTE
subs by
Dec-14
$200M LTE
investment
promised 2014-2016
Expects to deploy LTE
nationwide in 2015 after
Dec-14 APT700 trial
9 March 10, 2015
2016 2012 2013 2014 2015 2017
(1) Merger approved in Apr-14, new company has 3 years to repay 50 MHz
Sources: American Tower research & analysis, Altman Vilandrie & Co. research & analysis, Bank of America Merrill Lynch Global Wireless Matrix 4Q14
11% 14%
16% 19%
23% 24% 25% 26%
2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 3Q14
Colombia
WIRELESS MARKET OVERVIEW:
WIRELESS CARRIER OVERVIEW:
Indicator As of
3Q14
2007 –
3Q14 CAGR
Wireless
Subscribers 49M 6%
Wireless
Penetration 103% 5%
Average
Monthly Voice
MOU 202 9%
ARPU $9 -2%
Key Catalysts
• 4G networks launched across all
major players
• Auctions in 900 and 1900 MHz bands
expected in 2015
• Tigo-Une merger provides stronger
third carrier, with a $250M network
investment planned
• High wireless penetration and
increasing data consumption should
drive need for capacity
Data as a % of Wireless Revenue
Carrier-Announced Network Deployment Timelines
Snapshot
Top 4 Carrier Characteristics
AMT
Customer?
Subscriber
Market Share
Spectrum
Holdings
Current
Technology
América Móvil
59% 25 MHz in 850
25 MHz in 1,900
30MHz in 2500 3G/4G
Telefónica
26% 25 MHz in 850
15 MHz in 1,900
30 MHz in AWS 3G/4G
Millicom (50%)
EPM Group (50%) (1) 15% 60 MHz in 1,900
30 MHz in AWS
50 MHz in 2500 3G/4G
HSPA+ LTE
HSPA+ LTE
HSPA+ LTE
UMTS/
HSPA+
Launched
Dec-13
Launched
Dec-13
LTE First Colombian
4G network
288k LTE
customers by
YE 2014
Covers 76 cities,
300k subs by
Nov-14
Operates
LTE in 6
markets
Covered 100
municipalities by
Aug-14
10 March 10, 2015
2016 2012 2013 2014 2015 2017
13% 16%
20% 24%
30%
35% 39%
49%
2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 3Q14
Mexico
WIRELESS MARKET OVERVIEW:
WIRELESS CARRIER OVERVIEW:
Indicator As of
3Q14
2007 –
3Q14 CAGR
Wireless
Subscribers 103M 7%
Wireless
Penetration 86% 5%
Average
Monthly Voice
MOU 233 8%
ARPU $12 -7%
Key Catalysts
• AT&T acquisitions – acquired Iusacell in
1Q14, in the process of purchasing Nextel
subject to regulatory approval
• Telcel divestiture possible – reduce
market share below 50% (to avoid
‘preponderant economic agent’
classification)
• 2015 spectrum auction – Government has
announced upcoming auctions of 60 MHz
between 1.71 – 2.17 GHz
• Wholesale 700MHz network deployment
may present upside
Data as a % of Wireless Revenue
Carrier-Announced Network Deployment Timelines
Snapshot
LTE HSPA+ Has been advertising
HSPA+ network as 4G
Top 4 Carrier Characteristics
AMT
Customer?
Subscriber
Market Share
Spectrum
Holdings
Current
Technology
América Móvil
69% 77 MHz 3G/4G
Telefónica
20% 61 MHz 3G/4G
Acquired by AT&T
Grupo Salinas(50%)
Grupo Televisa(50%)
9% 54 MHz 2G/3G
Acquisition by AT&T
pending approval
NII Holdings
3% 53 MHz
23 MHz in 800
30 MHz in 1700-2100
2G/3G
Sources: American Tower research & analysis, Altman Vilandrie & Co. research & analysis, Bank of America Merrill Lynch Global Wireless Matrix 4Q14
HSPA+ Launched
in 2013 LTE Aims to offer
LTE in 50
cities in 2015
HSPA+ LTE Covered 13
main Mexican
cities in 2013
Announced LTE
upcoming, but no
date set
LTE HSPA LTE launched
in 3 cities by
Oct-14
Plans to
expand
network
Covered 53
cities by
Jan-15
11 March 10, 2015
2016 2012 2013 2014 2015 2017
10%
13% 16%
19% 22%
26% 30% 34%
2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 3Q14
South Africa
WIRELESS MARKET OVERVIEW:
WIRELESS CARRIER OVERVIEW:
Indicator As of
3Q14
2007 –
3Q14 CAGR
Wireless
Subscribers 81M 11%
Wireless
Penetration 156% 10%
Average
Monthly Voice
MOU 105 1%
ARPU $8 -14%
Key Catalysts
• Additional spectrum auctions over
next few years (800 MHz, 2.6 GHz, and
3.5 MHz) will aid carriers’ 4G expansion
• Increased emphasis on rural
coverage by regulatory authorities likely
to lead to demand for tower space
• Growing data usage expected to drive
network build-outs and densification
initiatives
Data as a % of Wireless Revenue
Carrier-Announced Network Deployment Timelines
Snapshot
Top 4 Carrier Characteristics
AMT
Customer?
Subscriber
Market Share
Spectrum
Holdings
Current
Technology
Vodafone
40% 22 MHz in 900
24 MHz in 1800
35 MHz in 2100 3G/4G
MTN Group
33% 22 MHz in 900
24 MHz in 1800
35 MHz in 2100 3G/4G
Saudi Oger Ltd.
24% 22 MHz in 900
24 MHz in 1800
35 MHz in 2100 3G/4G
Telkom SA
2%
24 MHz in 1800
20 MHz in 2100
60 MHz in 2300
56 MHz in 3500
3G/4G
Sources: American Tower research & analysis, Altman Vilandrie & Co. research & analysis, Bank of America Merrill Lynch Global Wireless Matrix 4Q14
HSPA+ LTE Launched
in Jo’burg
in 2012
HSPA+ LTE Launched in
3 cities in
Dec-12
HSPA+ LTE LTE since ‘13;
reached 6 cities
as of 2014
1,000 LTE
sites by
Nov-14
Trialing LTE-A as of Nov-
14; plans to roll out to 50
suburbs by Mar-15
VoLTE trials
launched in
Sep-14
HSPA+ LTE Trials since
2012
Expect 2,000 LTE
base stations by
Feb-15
Upgraded
infrastructure
in 4Q14
12 March 10, 2015
Developing Wireless Markets Costa Rica • Ghana • India • Peru • Uganda
13 March 10, 2015
2016 2012 2013 2014 2015 2017
Top 4 Carrier Characteristics
AMT
Customer?
Subscriber
Market Share
Spectrum
Holdings
Current
Technology
Grupo ICE / Kolbi
64% 550 MHz split between
850, 1800, and 2.6 GHz 3G/4G
Telefónica
18% 10 MHz in 850 MHz
30 MHz in 1800 MHz
20 MHz in 2100 MHz 3G/4G
América Móvil
18% 35 MHz in 1800 MHz
35 MHz in 2100 MHz 3G/4G
(1) Data from Sutel regulatory agency; latest data is from 2013 (2) CAGR for Data as % of Revenue and ARPU calculated with 2011 numbers, as market was a monopoly before 2011
Sources: American Tower research & analysis, Altman Vilandrie & Co. research & analysis, BuddeComm, Sutel
Costa Rica
WIRELESS MARKET OVERVIEW:
WIRELESS CARRIER OVERVIEW:
Indicator As of
4Q13
2007 –
4Q13 CAGR
Wireless
Subscribers 7.9M 32%
Wireless
Penetration 151% 28%
Data as % of
Revenue 26% 61%
ARPU $7 -21%
Key Catalysts
• ICE market share has declined rapidly
since monopoly ended in 2011
• Upcoming auction of 1800, 1900 and
2100 MHz expected to further increase
competitiveness; bids limited to 3
current operators
• All three carriers recently launched
LTE networks and are currently in build-
out phase
Carrier-Announced Network Deployment Timelines
Snapshot
HSPA+
Subscriber Market Share
64% 18%
18%
Kolbi Movistar Claro
LTE
LTE
in
Nov-
13
HSPA+ LTE LTE
network in
Apr-14
HSPA LTE LTE
network in
Jul-14
(2)
(2)
(1)
(1)
(1)
354 LTE base
stations reaching
4M people by
YE 2014
Addt’l
network roll-
out in 2015
Will triple coverage by
YE 2016
14 March 10, 2015
2016 2012 2013 2014 2015 2017
Sources: American Tower research & analysis, Altman Vilandrie & Co. research & analysis, BuddeCom, National Communications Authority of Ghana
Ghana
WIRELESS MARKET OVERVIEW:
WIRELESS CARRIER OVERVIEW:
Indicator As of
3Q14
2007 –
3Q14 CAGR
Wireless
Subscribers 30M 23%
Wireless
Penetration 113% 20%
Average
Monthly Voice
MOU 123 1%
Yearly ARPU $4 -15%
Key Catalysts
• Rapidly growing subscriber base and
solid macroeconomic conditions
expected to drive growth in wireless
• 20% import tax on smartphones to be
abolished in 2015
• Larger carriers continue to improve 3G
network capacity and quality, while
smaller entrants launch first 4G
networks after 2.6 GHz auction
Carrier-Announced Network Deployment Timelines
Snapshot
Top 4 Carrier Characteristics
AMT
Customer?
Subscriber
Market Share
Spectrum
Holdings
Current
Technology
MTN Group
46% Holdings in
900/1800/2100 bands 2G/3G
Vodafone
23% Holdings in
900/1800/2100 bands 2G/3G
Milicom
14% 8 MHz in 900
10 MHz in 1800 2G/3G
Bharti, Singtel,
Vodafone
12% Holdings in
900/1800/2100 bands 2G/3G
HSPA+
UMTS/HSPA
UMTS/HSPA
HSPA Launched HSPA+
in 2012; marketed
as 3.75G
46%
23%
14%
12% 7%
MTN Vodafone Tigo Airtel Other
Subscriber Market Share
Spent $96M on network in
2014; has 2.3k 2G sites and
1.2k 3G+ sites by YE 2014
Spending $20M in
2014 on network
Multi-million dollar
network investment
promised in 2014
$62M network
investment
promised in 2014
15 March 10, 2015
2016 2012 2013 2014 2015 2017
8% 9%
10% 12%
14%
17% 17%
21%
2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 3Q14
Sources: American Tower research & analysis, Altman Vilandrie & Co. research & analysis, Bank of America Merrill Lynch Global Wireless Matrix 4Q14
India
WIRELESS MARKET OVERVIEW:
WIRELESS CARRIER OVERVIEW:
Indicator As of
3Q14
2007 –
3Q14 CAGR
Wireless
Subscribers 927M 25%
Wireless
Penetration 73% 23%
Average
Monthly Voice
MOU 365 -3%
ARPU $3 -16%
Key Catalysts
• 1800 MHz and 2100 MHz spectrum
auctions set for March 2015
• Fastest-growing smartphone market
in Asia-Pacific region
• Airtel, Nokia expected to use FDD-LTE
technology using 1800 MHz band to roll
out LTE in 2015
• Reliance Jio Infocomm expected to
launch 4G in 2015 in all states using
1800 and 2300 MHz bands
Data as a % of Wireless Revenue
Carrier-Announced Network Deployment Timelines
Snapshot
Top 4 Carrier Characteristics
AMT
Customer?
Sub Mkt.
Share
Spectrum
Holdings
Current
Technology
Bharti, Singtel,
Vodafone
23%
Avg. 7 MHz in 900 (22 circles)
5 MHz in 1900 (13 circles)
Avg. 6 MHz in 1800 (15 circles)
20 MHz in 2.3 GHz (4 circles)
3G/4G
Vodafone
19% Avg. 8 MHz in 900 (3 circles)
Avg. 5 MHz in 1900 (9 circles)
Avg ~4 MHz in 1800 (11 circles) 2G/3G
Aditya Birla Group
15% Avg. 6MHz in 900 (18 circles)
5 MHz in 1900 (11 Circles)
Avg. 5 MHz in 1800 (19 circles) 2G/3G
Reliance
Communications
12% 5 MHz in 800
1 MHz in 1800
5 MHz in 1900 (13 circles) 2G/3G
HSPA+ LTE
First 4G
compatible
phones in
Feb-14
HSPA+ LTE
HSPA+ LTE Launching 4G in
2015: 5k towns/cities
and 215k villages
Hadn’t announced specific
4G launch date as of Dec-14;
focus remains on 3G
HSPA LTE Have not announced specific
4G rollout date as of Oct-14;
Trialed using 1800 MHz band
Announced plan
to launch 4G in
11 addt’l states
in Jan-15
16 March 10, 2015
2016 2012 2013 2014 2015 2017
7% 9%
11% 13% 13%
18%
21%
26%
2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 3Q14
(1) Entel also owns the MNO Americatel Peru
Sources: American Tower research & analysis, Altman Vilandrie & Co. research & analysis, Bank of America Merrill Lynch Global Wireless Matrix 4Q14
Peru
WIRELESS MARKET OVERVIEW:
WIRELESS CARRIER OVERVIEW:
Indicator As of
3Q14
2007 –
3Q14 CAGR
Wireless
Subscribers 30M 13%
Wireless
Penetration 96% 11%
Average
Monthly Voice
MOU 146 10%
ARPU $9 -3%
Key Catalysts
• All three major carriers launched LTE
coverage in 2014
• Auctions in 700 MHz band expected in
2015
• Operators expanding coverage in
sparsely populated areas driving tower
demand
• New market entrants such as Viettel
expected to stimulate demand for
towers
Data as a % of Wireless Revenue
Carrier-Announced Network Deployment Timelines
Snapshot
Top 4 Carrier Characteristics
AMT
Customer?
Subscriber
Market Share
Spectrum
Holdings
Current
Technology
Telefónica
54%
25 MHz in 850
30 MHz in 1900
20 MHz in 2.6 GHz
40 MHz in AWS
2G/3G
América Móvil
41% 60 MHz in 1900
20 MHz in 2.6 GHz 2G/3G
Entel 5%
25 MHz in 850
30 MHz in 1900
20 MHz in 2.6 GHz
40 MHz in AWS
2G/3G
Viettel
New
Entrant 58 MHz in 900
25 MHz in 1900 2G/3G
HSPA+ LTE Launched
LTE in Lima
Jan-14
HSPA+ LTE
W-CDMA LTE
GSM/UMTS
In May-14,
launched in 2
cities
Launched
4G in Oct-
14 in Lima
LTE Possible bidder
in future 4G
auction
Expected $400M
investment over the
next 10 years
Expected to invest
$400M in 4G network
by 2019
(1)
5 cities/300k
subs by 2015
17 March 10, 2015
2016 2012 2013 2014 2015 2017
(1) Based on MTN data. (2) Acquired Warid in Apr-13, currently ‘Airtel-Warid’ ; (3) Orange Uganda was sold to Africell in May-14, pending regulatory approval
Sources: American Tower research & analysis, Altman Vilandrie & Co. research & analysis, BuddeCom, MTN 3Q14 Earnings Report
Uganda
WIRELESS MARKET OVERVIEW:
WIRELESS CARRIER OVERVIEW:
Indicator As of
2Q14
2007 –
2Q14 CAGR
Wireless
Subscribers 20M 26%
Wireless
Penetration 54% 22%
Data as % of
Revenue 24% 7%
Yearly ARPU $3 -17%
Key Catalysts
• New market entrant Vodafone launched
4G LTE network in Feb. ’15 in 2 cities
using 2.6 GHz band
• Low wireless penetration presents
opportunities for significant growth
• Rural coverage improvement initiatives
underway
Carrier-Announced Network Deployment Timelines
Snapshot
Top 4 Carrier Characteristics
AMT
Customer?
Subscriber
Market Share
Spectrum
Holdings
Current
Technology
MTN Group
49% 30MHz in 2.3/2.5/3.5 GHz
Up to 14MHz in
900/1800MHz 3G/4G
Bharti / Warid
33% Up to 14MHz in
900/1800MHz 2G/3G
Orange / Africell 3%
2.1 GHz
800 Mhz 3G/4G
UCOM
14% 30MHz in 2.3/2.5/3.5 GHz
Up to 14MHz
in900/1800MHz 2G/3G
HSPA+
UMTS/HSDA Capacity expansions in major
cities but HSPA+/LTE plans
unknown
Subscriber Market Share
49%
33%
3% 14%
MTN Airtel Africell Uganda Telecom
LTE
Launched
LTE in
Kampala in
Apr-13
HSPA+ HSPA+ marketed as
3.75G under
expansion (2)
(3)
$70M investment to
upgrade
infrastructure
HSPA Launched
LTE in
Aug-13 LTE
Goal to cover all
major towns in
country in next year
GSM/HSPA
(1)
(1)
18 March 10, 2015
Appendix: Spectrum Auction
Summary and Definitions
19 March 10, 2015
Completed Major Auctions: 2012-2014 Expected: 2015-2016
Year Bands Auctioned Winners Technology Build-out Requirements(1)
Germany no major auctions
2015 auctions will re-auction 900 & 1800 MHz
bands (expiring 2016) as well auction 2 new
bands (2x30MHz in 700 MHz, 40Mz in
1400MHz)
Mexico no major auctions 2015 mobile auctions for 60MHz in 1.7-2.1GHz
Brazil
2012 450MHz, 2.5GHz
Claro, TNL, Vivo, Telecom
Italia Mobile, Sunrise, Sky
Brasil
4G Coverage in major cities and rural
areas required before soccer world
cup and Olympic games (2016) Potential auction of 1.8 GHz band and re-
auction of 700 MHz
2014 700MHZ Claro, TIM, Vivo, Algar 4G Responsible for clearing 700 MHz of
legacy interference
Chile
2012 2.6 GHz Claro, Entel, Movistar
(20 MHz each) 4G
12 months to deploy their networks
across most of Chile; must also
connect ~583 isolated areas within 24
months
2014 700 MHz Claro, Entel, Movistar 4G Requires coverage of 854 km of
roads, 503 schools, 98% of population
Colombia 2013 1.7 GHz, 2.5GHz Movistar, Claro, Tigo, DirecTV, Avantel
4G Purchase ~550K tablets for poor
students and improve wireless internet
quality in rural areas
Auctions expected in 900, 1900 MHz bands
Peru 2013 AWS Movistar, Nextel (Entel) 4G $400mn of investment required in the
first 10 years for each block of
spectrum
Auctions expected in 700 MHz band
India
2012 800, 1800MHz Vodafone, Airtel, Uninor,
Idea, Videocon 2G N/A
Potential auctions in 700, 800, 900, 1800, 2100
MHz 2014 900, 1800 MHz Vodafone, Airtel, Idea,
Uninor, RCOM, Aircel, Jio 2G N/A
2013 800, 900, 1800 MHz MTS India 2G N/A
S. Africa no major auctions Plans to auction spectrum in 800MHz, 2.6 GHz
and 3.5 GHz bands
Uganda no major auctions no known plans
Ghana no major auctions
(last assignment in 2008) no known plans
Costa Rica Only auction in 2010 Auctions expected in 1800, 1900/2100 MHz
bands
Spectrum Auction Summary
Highlighted Carriers
are new or recent
entrants
(1)N/A indicates no major build-out requirements or no data available
Sources: Regulatory authorities, Press releases, AV&Co. Research & Analysis
20 March 10, 2015
Definitions and Data Sources
Definitions
Data Sources
- Global Wireless Matrix 4Q14
- Research and Analysis
- Research and Analysis
ARPU: The monthly average revenue per user is calculated by dividing service revenues by the average subscriber base during the
quarter.
Data as % of ARPU: Data revenue including messaging revenues, as reported by carriers as percentage of ARPU
Subscribers: Data based on reported subscribers by carriers. This may include more than one SIM card per user, which may be
counted as multiple subscribers.
Voice Minutes of Use: The minutes of use per month per average user is calculated by dividing total minutes of use as reported by
carriers, using estimates where available, by the average subscriber base during the quarter.
Wireless Penetration: Mobile subscribers as a percentage of country population.