amdis/himss physician’s executive it symposium · population health doesn’t trickle down; it...
TRANSCRIPT
1
AMDIS/HIMSS Physician’s Executive IT SymposiumFebruary 19, 2017
Unlocking Value and Embracing Change
2
AMDIS/HIMSS Planning CommitteeName Title Organization
Richard
Gibson Executive Director Health Record Banking Alliance
John Lee Chief Medical Information Officer Edward Hospital and Health Services
Howard Landa Chief Medical Information Officer Alameda Health System
Kevin McEnery
Director of Innovation in Imaging
Informatics and a Professor of
Radiology
University of Texas M.D. Anderson
Cancer Center
David
Danhauer Chief Medical Information Officer Owensboro Health
Milisa Rizer Chief Medical Information Officer
Ohio State University, Columbus, Ohio,
Academic Medical Center
Cait Cusack Physician Informaticist Insight Informatics
Lisa M Masson Medical Director Cedars-Sinai Health System
5
HIMSS17 Events of InterestEvent Date/time Location
Physician Community Reception Sunday, February 19th
4:30 -5:30 pm
Hyatt Regency
Ballroom R
AMDIS Meeting Monday, February 20th
10:00 am – 12:00 pm
Room W340B
AMDIS Endorsed Session
Medical Informatics and the C-suite:
Aligning Forces to Positively Affect
Patient Care
Tuesday, February 21st
8:30 – 9:30 am
Room W206A
CMIO Round Table Tuesday, February 21st
10:00 – 11:00 am
Room W303AC
6
Other Upcoming Events
Event Date Website
AMDIS 26th Annual Physician
Computer Connection Symposium
June 20-23, 2017 www.amdis.org
HIMSS Physician Community Webinar:
The Future of Precision Medicine
March 8, 2017
12:00-1:00 pm CT
www.himss.org/phys
ician
7
HIMSS17 CE Related Information
• Each session will receive 1 credit hour of the following types of credit:
– CME - ABPM LLSA
– CPHIMS - CAHIMS
– ACHE
• CE system is open now and will close 6 months after conference
8
HIMSS17 CE Related Information• You can claim CE credit two
different ways:
– Mobile app – Credit available at end of each session by going to the session in the app
– HIMSS conference website
9
CE Related Questions
Jan Lugibihl
Associate Manager, Professional Development
Direct: (312) 915-9234
Email: [email protected]
Jan will also be available at HIMSS Spot throughout conference
10
A CHANGING HEALTHCARE LANDSCAPE
Dale Sanders
Executive Vice President, Product Development
Health Catalyst
Session ID: PHY1
February 19, 2017 — 08:15AM EST - 09:15AM EST
Hyatt Regency Orlando
Regency Ballroom R
12
Data, data, data… for decision support
My Background
1983 2016
B.S. Chemistry,
biology minor
US Air Force
Command, Control,
Communication,
Computers &
Intelligence (C4l)
Officer
Reagan/Gorbachev
Summits
TRW/National Security Agency
• START Treaty
• Nuclear Non-proliferation
• Nuclear command & control
system threat protection
Nuclear Warfare Planning
and Execution-- NEACP &
Looking Glass
Intel Corp,
Enterprise Data
Warehouse
• Chief Data Guy
• Regional Director of Medical
Informatics, Intermountain
Healthcare
• CIO,
Northwestern
• Chief Data
Warehousing Guy
CIO, Cayman Islands
National Health System
Product
Development,
Health Catalyst
13
”To err is human. To forgive is not SAC policy.”
SAC was my career upbringing… not quite the same as the IOM
14
Nuclear & Clinical Decision Making
• Subjective, Objective, Assessment, and Plan
– Observe, Orient, Decide, Act
• Time critical, life critical, incomplete data
• Consequences of false positives and false negatives are significant
• Smart, independent, confident decision makers
• Lots of protocols and plans that only partially apply to specific situations
• Oddly very similar
16
Agenda
• Why should we care about integrating data?
What should we be trying to achieve?
– Population Health
– The Softer, Human Side of Being “Data Driven”
not “Driven By Data”
– The New Era of Decision Support “Uhh…you want
to put all that in
here?”
17
Learning Objectives
• Discuss how the changing health information
technology landscape affects you and your organization
• Identify insights into lessons learned from a decade of
rapid change
• Describe key impacts to your practice and organization
18
• Satisfaction = Outcome
Cost
• Factor 15X
– The right data, to the right person, at the
right time, in the right modality
• Secure but accessible data
– “Nobody ever died because we
shared their data”
• Empowering patients, not engaging
them
– Give patients the data they need
19
Concepts and Philosophies: Why and What Are We Trying To Do?
• The Data Requirements of Population Health
• The Softer, Human Issues of Becoming Data Driven
• Software and Decision Support
20
The Essence of Population Health
Getting paid more for the maintenance of health and the prevention of
disease than you get paid for the treatment of disease
21
80% of Factors Affecting Health Outcomes Fall Outside Traditional Healthcare Delivery
We must risk
adjust for social
determinants of
health
We cannot hold
physicians
accountable for
these social
factors. It’s not
realistic.
22
Population Health doesn’t trickle down;
it trickles up, one patient at a time.
Personalized care is the key to population health, not the other way
around.
I see a shift of attention towards population health, at the troubling
expense of personalized, patient centric care, including all-cause
harm. We need to be careful about chasing the brass ring.
23
"I can make a health optimization recommendation for you, informed not only by the latest clinical trials, but also by local and regional data about patients like you; the real-world health outcomes over time of every patient like you; and the level of your interest and ability to engage in your own care. In turn, I can tell you within a specified range of confidence, which treatment or health management plan is best suited for a patient specifically like you and how much that will cost.”*
* Inspired by the Learning Health Community,
http://www.learninghealth.org/
As Healthcare IT Professionals, Enabling This Conversation Between Physician and Patient Should Be Our Common Goal
2
3
242
4
Predictive and suggestive analytics in the same
user interface
The efficacy and costs of antibiotic protocols
for inpatients
The Antibiotic Assistant at Intermountain Healthcare: The First Triple Aim
Antibiotic
ProtocolDosage Route Interval
Predicted
Efficacy
Average
Cost/Patient
Option 1 500mg IV Q12 98% $7,256
Option 2 300mg IV Q24 96% $1,236
Option 3 40mg IV Q6 90% $1,759
25
25
Complications declined 50%
Avg # doses declined from 19 to 5.3
The replicable and bigger story
Antibiotic cost per
treated patient: $123 to
$52
By simply displaying
the
cost to physicians
The Antibiotic Assistant Impact
26
Physicians are 15x more likely to change their
ordering and treatment protocols if presented with
substantiating data at the point of care vs.
presented with the same data in a clinical process
improvement meeting.
Kawamoto et al, University of Utah, BMJ, 2005
“Conference room analytics”
vs.
Point of decision cognitive support
27
‘Closing the Loops’ on Clinical Outcomes to Optimize QualityUsing Information Technology, Local Data and Analytics to Generate Evidence for Improvement
EDWClinical Quality Analytics
CQA targets population
prevalence & health
disparities
10
CQA addresses cohort
needs & risks
7
CQA supports
personalized health &
care
4
Optim
ize
Capacity
Manage
Serv
ices
Deliv
er
Care
EHRClinical Decision Support
Executive & Clinical
Leadership
Optimize population health & care
system on quality & cost
Enterprise Clinical Teams
Tailor protocols for cohorts using
local data
Local Clinical, HER &
Analytic Teams
Personalize care using evidence-
based practice standards
CDS highlights population
health determinants
9
CDS highlights cohort
characteristics
6
CDS highlights individual
health status & care plans
3
Other Data Sources
Information System Supporting Data Decisions & Actions
DATA & CLINICAL QUALITY GOVERNANCE
Set & monitor improvement priorities1 External Evidence
HER: Electronic Health Record
EDW: Enterprise Data WarehouseMTTI: Mean time to improvement
SOPA: Span of population affected
MTTI
LoHi
SOPA
©2015 A
uth
ors
: C
ori
nne E
ggert
, K
enneth
Moselle, D
enis
Pro
tti, D
ale
Sanders
Loop C:
Populations
Loop B:
Protocols
Loop A:
Patients
28
Closed Loop Analytics & Decision Support
Mean Time To Improvement (MTTI)
Span of Population Affected (SPA)
Populations
• MTTI: Years, decades
• SPA: Millions, several
hundred thousand
• Analytic consumers:
Board of Directors,
executive leadership
team, Strategic plans
and policy
Protocols
• MTTI: Weeks, months
• SPA: Subsets of
patients – hundreds,
thousands
• Analytic consumers:
Care improvement
teams, clinical service
lines
Patients
• MTTI: Minutes, hours
• SPA: Individual
patients
• Analytic consumers:
Physicians and patients
at the point of care
29
But…Population Health Economics Are Not There Yet
“93% of our revenue is still associated with
fee-for-service medicine.”--CFO, Midwest 13 hospital system
“Over 90% of our revenue comes from fee-for-service care.”--CEO, Northwest 5 hospital system
31
Human Nature and The Softer Side of Data
• Data… Measures...Metrics...Facts are the most politically hot and
contentious thing you’ll ever deal with because they challenge the
perception of truth, from the highest levels of the organization to the
lowest
• How you deliver data… measures... metrics... and facts, in the
human context is more important than the technology, by far
The human relations of data are more important
than the data relations of data
32
The Human Health
Data Ecosystem
And, by the way, we don’t
have much of any data on
healthy patients
34
Thank you for the graphs, PreSonus
Healthcare and patients
are continuous flow,
analog process and
beings
But, if we sample that
analog process enough,
we can approximately
recreate it with digital data
34
35
We are treating physicians and nurses as if they were digital sampling devices.
“Every new click of the mouse you guys ask me to do, all in the name of data, sucks another piece of my soul away.” --Beleaguered primary care physician
36
Troubling Factoid
• Of the 1,958 quality metrics in the National Quality Measures
Clearinghouse, only 7% of those measure clinical outcomes and less
than 2% of those are based on patient reported outcomes
• How do you train pattern recognition algorithms without patient
outcomes? What are you training them to recognize?
36
N Engl J Med 2016; 374:504-506, February 11, 2016
37
The softer side of the data journey
boils down to three simple steps…
that organizations, especially the
government, constantly miss
Find
The Truth
Tell
The Truth
Face
The Truth
38
Find, Tell, and Face the Truth
• Finding the truth in data takes time, and you better
include lots of people with you on that journey. The
outcome better be more than your version of the truth.
• Telling the truth better be handled with diplomacy and a
human-centered perspective because the truth in data,
when never seen before, can be very disturbing.
• When you’ve found the truth and you are telling the
truth, you need to help people face the truth about
themselves and the organization, and they need to
perceive this truth as helping them and their purpose in
life.
40
Don’t tell me what to do and don’t blast me with
invasive pop up alerts, overloaded with false positives
Give me a trustful, data-driven
suggestion and then let me make the
final decision
Physicians (and military officers) prefer Suggestive Analytics over Prescriptive and “Invasive” Analytics
41
Software and data
are the greatest
agents of change in
the world today– it’s
not authors, poets,
political leaders, or
songs anymore,
unfortunately.
• Cerner?
• Epic?
• Apple?
• Google?
• IBM?
• Someone else?
All industries, including healthcare, move
at the speed and agility of software and
data, for better or worse.
Which vendor is in the best position to
have the most positive impact?
42
We must build
software that
deliberately
borrows lessons
from the software
that has changed
human behavior.
43
Facebook as an EHRFrom a blog I wrote in 2010 • Patient’s evolving health
story at the center of the
record, not the encounter
• Embedded video and
images
• Text and discrete data
• Secure messaging
• Social support from family &
friends
• Flexible security, defined by
the patient
44
Amazon as a Clinical Order Entry System
• Drug and device availability
• Pricing
• Home delivery
• Automatic refills
• Patient reported outcomes
45
90% of the screen space is driven dynamically,
by context, through analytics and algorithms
in the background that are nudging your
decisions through suggestions based on the
data from collective intelligence
It’s not predictive analytics… it’s ambient,
suggestive analytics
50
In Summary• Most– 80%?-- of the data we need for Population Health lies outside the
walls of our traditional healthcare delivery systems.
• Pop Health has a long, complex ROI. Don’t forget about the $646B of waste
and harm in the current healthcare system.
• The drive to be data driven must enhance Mastery, Autonomy, and
Purpose, otherwise it will fail.
• The best decision support is suggestive and ambient. It fuses
transaction data and analytics into the same user experience.
• Populations, Protocols, Patients
– We must infuse data and decision support into each closed loop
51
Questions
• Dale Sanders
• @drsanders
• Please complete your online session evaluation