aluminium penetration in cars · aluminium penetration in cars b.gilmont, ... • the eaa has...

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No part of this presentation can be quoted or reproduced without prior written approval from the European Aluminium Association or Ducker Worldwide Aluminium penetration in cars B.Gilmont, P.Ragnarsson & C.Leroy European Aluminium Association Richard Schultz & Nicole Kallwies-Meuser Ducker Worldwide No part of this presentation can be quoted or reproduced without prior written approval from the European Aluminium Association or Ducker Worldwide

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No part of this presentation can be quoted or reproduced without prior written approval from the European Aluminium Association or Ducker Worldwide

Aluminium penetration in cars

B.Gilmont, P.Ragnarsson & C.Leroy

European Aluminium Association

Richard Schultz & Nicole Kallwies-Meuser

Ducker Worldwide

No part of this presentation can be quoted or reproduced without prior written approval from the European Aluminium Association or Ducker Worldwide

No part of this presentation can be quoted or reproduced without prior written approval from the European Aluminium Association or Ducker Worldwide

Introduction

• The EAA has commissioned Ducker Worldwide to assess the aluminium

content in cars produced in Europe

• Data is collected on a “bottom-up” basis, meaning the market has been

analyzed on an OEM, platform-by-platform and product-by-product basis

• Primary research with OEMs, automotive suppliers, aluminium producers

and other expert sources

• A sample of 57 vehicle models representing 44 % of the 2012 EU forecast

production were chosen for the detailed analysis

• The sample result was then extrapolated to EU27 average content

• In 2012 the average car produced in EU 27 contains 140 kg Aluminium

No part of this presentation can be quoted or reproduced without prior written approval from the European Aluminium Association or Ducker Worldwide

Aluminium content in specific models*

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Sam

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Veh

icle

Aluminum Intense (Doors and/or partial body

and suspensions)

Complete

Bodies and

Suspensions

Aluminum hoods

and suspensions Below average aluminum content

*Aluminium content in kg has not been validated by each OEM

No part of this presentation can be quoted or reproduced without prior written approval from the European Aluminium Association or Ducker Worldwide

Total aluminium use for specific models*

0 20000 40000 60000 80000

Audi Q5(AU416)

Mercedes-Benz B-Class(W246)

BMW 1 (F20)

Audi A4(AU481)

Peugeot 208(A9)

Volkswagen Passat(VW471)

Mercedes-Benz C-Class(W204)

Volkswagen Polo(VW250)

Opel Astra(GM P3400)

Audi A6(AU571)

Ford Focus(C346)

BMW 5 (F10)

Mercedes-Benz E-Class(W212)

BMW 3 (F30)

Yearly tonnage per model

Top 15 vehicles compared with

total automotive aluminium use

per year in EU 27:

• BMW 3-series, Mercedes E-class

and BMW 5 series represent ~9 %

of the total

• The 15 top vehicles represent ~25%

of the total

*Aluminium content in kg has not been validated by each OEM

No part of this presentation can be quoted or reproduced without prior written approval from the European Aluminium Association or Ducker Worldwide

Average aluminium content per OEM*

342.7

292.1 275.9

226.3 218.4 218.2

181.6

140.1 130.3 126.8 125.5 119.6

96 91.1 82.6

0

50

100

150

200

250

300

350

400

Kilo

gra

ms p

er

Veh

icle

Weighted Average 2012 Aluminum Content by OEM for the Sample Vehicles

*Aluminium content in kg has not been validated by each OEM

No part of this presentation can be quoted or reproduced without prior written approval from the European Aluminium Association or Ducker Worldwide

Average aluminium content by segment

8%

9%

10%

11%

16%

0% 5% 10% 15% 20%

A

B

C

D

E

2012 Aluminum Share of Curb Weight per segment

Segment Curb Weight kg Aluminum kg Percent

A 930 70 8%

B 1183 105 9%

C 1358 130 10%

D 1534 175 11%

E 1795 290 16%

70 96 105

130

175

290

128

0

50

100

150

200

250

300

350

A A/B B C D E FullFrame

2012 EU Total Average of 140 kg

No part of this presentation can be quoted or reproduced without prior written approval from the European Aluminium Association or Ducker Worldwide

Main development 2006-2012

• The total increase in EU light

vehicle aluminium content from

2006 to 2012 is estimated at

19.2 kg or 16%

• The increase in aluminium content

in North American cars for the

same period is estimated at 13 kg

or 9%

• 40% of the aluminium growth in

the sample results from structural

components in car body and

suspension. Currently, the EU

leads the world in the use of high-

tech aluminum automotive

components

Increase (kg)

0.2

0.7

0.2

1

0.7

0.3

0.7

0.9

2.2

5.6

6.7

0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8

All other Components includingTrim & Sun Roofs

Heat Exchangers

Brakes

Closures

Body & IP Beams

Heat Shields

Bumper Beams & Crash Boxes

Transmission & Driveline

Engines with Mounts

Chassis & Suspension

Wheels with Spares

2006 - 2012 EU Aluminum (kg) Content Increase

Plus

Wheels with Spares 32%

Chassis & Suspension 54% Transmission &

Driveline 5%

Engines with Mounts 5%

Bumper Beams & CB 25%

Heat Shields 21%

Body & IP Beams 25%

Closures 29%

Brakes 4%

Heat Exchangers 6% All other Components

including Trim & Sun

Roofs 5%

No part of this presentation can be quoted or reproduced without prior written approval from the European Aluminium Association or Ducker Worldwide

Aluminium product forms

Cast 73%

Rolled 13%

Extruded 10%

Forged 4%

Total EU 2012 140 kg/vehicle • Aluminium extruded and rolled products

are expected to represent 40-45% of the

mix in the longer term

• Rolled aluminium products are mainly used

for heat exchangers and closures.

• Aluminium bonnets and fenders are now

“state of the art”. 21% of the cars produced

today in Europe have an aluminium bonnet

• Aluminium extrusions are particularly used

in crash management systems (CMS).

Nearly 40% of front CMS produced today

are made of aluminium.

No part of this presentation can be quoted or reproduced without prior written approval from the European Aluminium Association or Ducker Worldwide

What is driving further aluminium penetration

US 2025:107

EU 2020: 95

Japan 2020: 105

China 2020: 117

90

110

130

150

170

190

210

230

250

270

2000 2005 2010 2015 2020 2025

Gra

ms

CO

2 p

er

kil

om

ete

r, n

orm

ali

ze

d t

o N

ED

C

US-LDV

California-LDVCanada-LDVEU

Japan

China

S. Korea

Australia

Solid dots and lines: historical performance

Solid dots and dashed lines: enacted targets

Solid dots and dotted lines: proposed targets

Hollow dots and dotted lines: unannounced proposal

[1] China's target reflects gasoline fleet scenario. If including other fuel types, the target will be lower.

[2] US and Canada light-duty vehicles include light-commercial vehicles.

Tough CO2 emission standards all across the world Source: www.theicct.org

No part of this presentation can be quoted or reproduced without prior written approval from the European Aluminium Association or Ducker Worldwide

Further aluminium penetration

121

134 140

150

180

0

20

40

60

80

100

120

140

160

180

200 2012 Forecast 2015 - 2020 • Ducker forecasts that the

average aluminium content could

rise to 180 kg/car in 2020 if

lightweighting was encouraged

• This assumes that the aluminium

penetration into small and

medium cars follows the

evolution recorded in the upper

segments

No part of this presentation can be quoted or reproduced without prior written approval from the European Aluminium Association or Ducker Worldwide

Further aluminium penetration

96

130

175

290

128 140

34

55

35

15

15

40

0

50

100

150

200

250

300

350

A/B C D E Full Frame Total

Kilo

gra

ms

per

Ve

hic

le

Added by 2020

2012

Required increase of aluminum content to reach an average of 180 kg / car

A, B and C segment are

key to continued growth

No part of this presentation can be quoted or reproduced without prior written approval from the European Aluminium Association or Ducker Worldwide

Conclusion

• The amount of aluminium used per car produced in Europe

almost tripled between 1990 and 2012, increasing from 50kg to

140 kg

• This amount is predicted to rise to 160 kg by 2020, and could

even reach as much as 180 kg if small and medium cars follow

the evolution recorded in the upper segments

• The weight savings achieved thanks to todays aluminium content

leads to an average annual fuel saving of 65 litres per car

• “The EU currently leads the world in the use of high tech

aluminium automotive components” concludes Richard Schultz,

Managing Director of Ducker Worldwide.