all island atlas - housing seminar
TRANSCRIPT
All-Island AtlasW k h 2Workshop 2
HousingHousing
Justin Gleeson
NIRSA, NUIM, 08/04/14
All-Island Spatial Mapping Toolkits – Census 2011
• INNICCO / INTERREG: Evidence Based Planning• Develop an All Island on line Digital Atlas Tool• Develop an All-Island on-line Digital Atlas Tool
– All-Island – Cross Border specific
L l A th it /L l G t Di t i t– Local Authority/Local Government District • Census Seminars (preliminary analysis) • All-Island 2011 Deprivation Index & All-Island Travel to Work mapping
D t f D i i QGIS k h k h i d id i f d• Data for Decisions QGIS workshops: workshops on using data to support evidence informed planning, funding applications etc
• Digital Atlas Hard Publication S t l l i ( l ti d ti t t h lth h i i t t )– Sectoral analysis (population, education, transport, health, housing, environment etc)
– Expert commentary from NI and RoI academic/policy community – Cross Border case-studies
Outline
• Housing Stockg
• Housing Completions
• Occupancy and Vacancy
• Tenure• Tenure
• Type
• Age of Housing
• Housing Characteristics – Heating, Water Systems,
Sewerage etc
Housing Stock• Total Housing stock in 2011 - 2.75 million units
• 73% in RoI (1.99m)
• 27% in NI (754k)
• Increase of +29.4% from 2001/02 total of 2.12m (+626k)
• +36.6% RoI (02 to 06: +21%)
• +13.7% NI (02 to 06 :+6%)
Housing Stock• Total Housing stock in 2011 - 2.749 million units
• 73% in RoI (1.99m)
• 27% in NI (754k)
• Increase of +29.4% from 2001/02 total of 2.12m
• +36.6% RoI (02 to 06: +21%)
• +13.7% NI (02 to 06 :+6%)
Housing Stock• Total Housing stock in 2011 - 2.749 million units
• 73% in RoI (1.99m)
• 27% in NI (754k)
• Increase of +29.4% from 2001/02 total of 2.12m
• +36.6% RoI (02 to 06: +21%)
• +13.7% NI (02 to 06 :+6%)
Housing Stock• Total Housing stock in 2011 - 2.749 million units
• 73% in RoI (1.99m)
• 27% in NI (754k)
• Increase of +29.4% from 2001/02 total of 2.12m
• +36.6% RoI (02 to 06: +21%)
• +13.7% NI (02 to 06 :+6%)
Housing Stock Growth 2001/02 to 2012
• Highest growth in housing stock (RoI)
• RoI: Commuter counties (Cavan,
Laois, Fingal, Meath.......Longford and
Leitrim)
• RoI: Lowest growth in larger urban
areas – CorkCity, Dublin City, DLR,
South DublinSouth Dublin
• Highest growth in housing stock (NI)
• NI: Ballymoney Craigavon Limavady• NI: Ballymoney, Craigavon , Limavady
(+20%)
• NI: Lowest growth rate in BelfastNI: Lowest growth rate in Belfast
commuter areas (<10% growth)
Housing Stock per Population• Housing stock per 1,000 population 2011
• Highest in more peripheral counties and
Upper Shannon Rural Renewal Scheme areas
• Dublin commuter counties have the lowest
trate
– Tipperary South is also very low
• In contrast to the RoI – highest stock perIn contrast to the RoI highest stock per
population tends to be along east coast and
Belfast commuter areas
• Lowest stock per population in more
peripheral/border parts of NI
– Magherafelt,Newry, Dungannon
Mapping Vacancy• On census night 2011 there were 336,209
vacant properties on the island - Vacant houses,
apartments, holidays homes
• RoI - 14.5%
• NI - 6.2%
• Highest in RoI
• Leitrim, Donegal, Kerry and Mayo >25%
– Highest in NI
• Dungannon, Fermanagh, Foyle 8-10%
– All-Island Mapping – Unoccupied
• Visitors, Vacant House, Vacant Flat, Holiday Homes
Mapping Vacancy
– RoI only– Excluding holiday homes the vacancy
rate is 11 5%rate is 11.5%• Leitrim 22%• Longford 20%• Fingal 6.7%• South Dublin 5.4%
– Housing AgencyHousing Agency• Housing Supply Requirement 2014-
201879 660 id i l i i d• 79,660 residential units required– 15.9 p/a in 2014 to 20.8 p/a in
2018– 47% in Dublin Region
Mapping Vacancy
– RoI only– Excluding holiday homes the vacancy
rate is 11 5%rate is 11.5%• Leitrim 22%• Longford 20%• Fingal 6.7%• South Dublin 5.4%
– Housing AgencyHousing Agency• Housing Supply Requirement 2014-
201879 660 id i l i i d• 79,660 residential units required– 15.9 p/a in 2014 to 20.8 p/a in
2018– 47% in Dublin Region
Mapping Vacancy
– Mapping Holiday homes (Vacant)• 59,395 in 2011• +19% from 2006• +19% from 2006• Half of all of these are within 1km of the
coastline
Housing Tenure
• Tenure analysis based on number of permanent private households
• 2.35 million households on the island in 2011
– Of those 73% are in RoI and 27% in NI
– Households have grown by 29% since 2001
» 36% in RoI and 13.5% in NI
• 68.9% of households are Owner Occupied
• 19.3% rent through the private sector
• 10.6% are in social housing
Housing Tenure – Owner Occupied• 1.6m Owner Occupied homes across the
island (69% of households)
• 48.9% are owned outright
• 51.2% have a mortgage
• NI v RoI split it much the same
– Numbers of Owner Occupiers has
increased by >13% since 2011
• Rate has actually decreased from 2001
due to swelling of rented sector
– Highest rates are in peripheral areas,
lowest rates are in cities
Housing Tenure – Owner Occupied• Owner Occupiers with a Mortgage
• 827,810 in 2011 (35.2%)
• Highest rates are in commuter areas in
RoI
– >45% of households in Kildare,
Meath and Fingal have mortgages
• Highest rates in the north are• Highest rates in the north are
Newtownabbey, Carrickfergus and
Castlereagh – 40-42%g
• Within the large cities (Dublin, Belfast,
Cork, Limerick) less than 25% of
households have mortgages
Housing Tenure – Owner Occupied• Owner Occupiers with No Mortgage
• 792,621 owner occupied homes are
owned outright (33.7%)
• Highest rates are in peripheral counties
h M R K dsuch as Mayo, Roscommon, Kerry and
Leitrim > 40% of households with no
mortgageg g
• Belfast, Derry, Dublin and other main
cities have the lowest rates
Housing Tenure – Owner Occupied
Housing Tenure – Rented Sector
• 703,312 households living in rented accommodation (29% of all tenure)
• 19.3% of households Private Rented (454, 452)( , )
• 10.6% of households in Social Housing (248,860)
– Higher proportion of households are in the rented sector in NIg p p
• NI 32.5% v RoI 28.8
• Much higher proportion of social housing in NI –g p p g
– accounts for 45% of all rented whereas it’s only 30% in RoI
– In the last 10 year rented sector has undergone considerable changey g g
• Rented households increasing by 60%
– Mainly due to growth in RoI +89%Mainly due to growth in RoI +89%
» Doubling of private rented (+102%), large increase in social housing (+63%)
– Much lower rate in NI
» Private rented +114%, decrease in social housing (-21%)
Housing Tenure – Rented Sector• Private Rented
• Highest rates are all in the main cities
– Galway City (37.5%), Dublin (32%), Cork City
(27%)
– Belfast City (19 6%) Craigavon (18%)Belfast City (19.6%), Craigavon (18%)
• Importance of rent supplement data in RoI
– High public expenditure supporting the g p p pp g
sector
– In 2012, there were approx 87k households
in receipt of weekly rent supplement
– Major social housing supple issues
N t H h ld N d f 89 872 i 2013– Net Household Need of 89,872 in 2013
Housing Tenure – Rented Sector
Housing Tenure – Social
• Social Housing
• Social housing is predominantly an urban g p y
phenomenon
• Highest rates are in NI
– Belfast (25.6%) and Derry (22.7%)
– Highest rate in RoI is in Waterford
City (18.8%) and Cork City (16.7%)
– Longford has the 7th highest rate in
the island at 17.7%
Housing Tenure – Social
Housing Type• Housing Type can be separated into 3 main categories
• House/Bungalows (Conventional Housing) - 88.9%
– NI: 88.9%, RoI: 88.4
• Flats/Apartments/Bedsits – 10.8%
– NI: 9.9%, RoI: 11.3
• Caravans/Mobile Homes/Temporary Units - 0.24%
NI 0 2% R I 0 3– NI: 0.2%, RoI: 0.3
Housing Type – Conventional
• The dominant housing type in Ireland
• Number of households living in
houses/bungalows has increased by 21% since
2001
– +25% RoI, +12% NI25% RoI, 12% NI
• Most areas > 95% of house types
• 26 of 60 LAs/UDs have rates > 95%
• Lowest rates are within cities and urban
areas
– Dublin City 65%
– Galway City 77.4%
– Belfast 80%
– DLR 80%
Housing Type – Flats/Apartments• Pretty much the opposite of previous
map......
• It’s mainly an urban housing type
– Highest rates in all cities
• Number of Apartments/Flats increased by
54% since 2001
– +65% in RoI, +32% in NI
» South Dublin +477%
» Fingal +416%
» Kildare +164%
» DLR+120%
Housing Type – Flats/Apartments
Age of Housing - RoI
• Over a quarter of our housing has been built in the last 10 years (26.5%)
• Fingal, Meath, Laois and Cavan all have more than 35% of their stock built since 2001Fingal, Meath, Laois and Cavan all have more than 35% of their stock built since 2001
Age of Housing – 2000 to 2005
Age of Housing – Post 2006
Water Facilities – LA Group Scheme
Water Facilities – Public Scheme
Central Heating - Oil
Central Heating – Natural Gas
Central Heating – Electric
Central Heating – Peat
Central Heating – Wood
On-line Housing Data