alcohol forum- robin room master class, 2 april 2014
TRANSCRIPT
Alcohol as an issue for public health
Robin Room
School of Population Health, University of Melbourne;
Centre for Alcohol Policy Research, Turning Point Alcohol &
Drug Centre, Fitzroy, Victoria
Master class, Alcohol Forum National Conference, Dublin, Ireland, 2 April,
2014
The cultural position of alcohol
Alcoholic beverages are intertwined with recorded
history in most parts of the world
Though not Oceania, Australia, northern America until
European colonisation
In Ireland, as in many other societies, there have
been deep political and social conflicts and
divisions over alcohol
The position of alcohol in the culture and in history
needs to be taken into account in public health
planning and programming.
The history: there have been enormous changes within cultures
in European societies and their offshoots
Before 1600: a rough equilibrium of cottage production
from crop surpluses
• Industrialization of beer and then of spirits as early stages
in the industrial revolution
– Large-scale production relatively easy
– Psychoactivity: alcohol creates its own demand
– Profitable a means of capital accumulation
• Imperialism and colonization
– Introducing alcohol or new beverages
– Spirits as a trade good, as an exchange for labour, as a “glue of empire”
– Alcohol excise taxes as financing empires
The “gin epidemic” and its equivalents
• Britain in the 1700s:
– Industrial production of spirits falling price
– Rising standard of living
– Landowners who controlled government saw gin as a market for their grain, kept availability high
• Similar periods of very high consumption in other European countries and colonies at different times in the 1700s and 1800s
• Higher consumption than in those societies in modern times
The temperance movements
In UK and its settler societies, in Ireland, in northern
Europe, to some extent in central Europe
Second largest and longest-lasting social movements
(after the labour/worker’s movements)
Bottom-up movements, 1830s – 1930s
With a strong base among working-class men
The seedbed for the feminist movements of the late 1800s
Produced real change in consumption levels, the place of
alcohol in society
Alcohol consumption in the UK, 1684-1975: twice as high in the 1700s as anytime in the 1900s (Spring & Buss, Nature 270:567-572, 1977)
Alcohol consumption in the US 1830s-1970s (indirect measures during Prohibition)
(Moore & Gerstein, eds., Alcohol & Public Policy, National Academy Press, 1981)
Australia as a “temperance culture” (i.e., a strong temperance history)
– e.g., 6 o’clock closing, Sunday closing
-- then a long reaction against the “wowser”, and a
steep postwar rise in consumption
• Public drinking becomes respectable for women – The second women’s movement: women men’s haunts and habits
• Southern/Central European migrations: the advent of table
wine
• General trends: commercialisation of leisure, deregulation,
market fundamentalism, consumer sovereignty
• Counter-influence: the attack on drink driving
Consumption and availability:
U-shapes through the 20th century
Consumption levels:
1880s/90s: 5.8 litres alcohol per capita (NSW & Vic.)
1932: <2.5
1975: 9.5
2000: 7.8
Liquor licenses
In Victoria
A few words on drinking in Ireland
Irish consumption limited by poverty, temperance
movements, licensing restrictions
Meanwhile, Irish overseas (e.g. U.S., Australia) had
among the highest alcohol problem rates in comparisons
of ethnicities
Why were problem rates so high overseas but
relatively low in Ireland?
Various theories -- e.g., Richard Stivers, A Hair of the Dog:
Irish Drinking and American Stereotype, 1976)
But then came the Celtic Tiger and the deregulation of
alcohol licensing & controls ...
As Irish consumption levels rose,
cirrhosis mortality followed along
Alcohol across the globe
Drinking at all, vs. abstention
Level of drinking
Hazardous drinking
essentially, the proportion of drinking that is to
intoxication
Alcohol as a risk factor in the Global Burden of
Disease
total Disability-Adjusted Life-Years lost
Where Ireland stands, globally
Over half the adults in the world do not drink at all;
about 80% of Irish adults do
Medium high on per capita consumption
Upper-middle rank on how hazardous the
consumption is (what proportion of drinking is to
intoxication)
Highest consumption is in and around Russia
Highest hazard scores there and in much of
developing world
Rates of abstention, 2006
Prevalence of abstention
in World 2005 0.00 - 0.20
0.20 - 0.40
0.40 - 0.60
0.60 - 0.80
0.80 - 1.00
Lighter and greener = more abstainers
Globally, there are more abstainers than drinkers among adults
Per-drinker consumption varies much less than abstainer rates
Total consumption in litres
pure alcohol 2005 0 - 3
3 - 6
6 - 9
9 - 12
12 - 15
15 - 21
Total consumption, recorded &
unrecorded, 2005
Darker = higher
Highest in Russia & Europe, high in Latin
America, growing in middle-income countries
1: Least hazardous; Regular drinking, often with meals and without heavy drinking bouts
4: Most hazardous: Infrequent but heavy drinking
Least hazardous in southern Europe, Japan; more hazardous in Russia and much of developing world
More and less hazardous patterns of
drinking
Alcohol as a risk factor for the total global
burden of disease, 2010 (Lin et al., 2012)
The politics of alcohol, globally and locally
Barriers to change
Commercial interests – the market
Free-market ideology – free competition and consumer
sovereignty
Alcohol’s cultural position
The history: temperance and then the reaction against
“wowsers”
Alcohol has come into focus late for modern
public health
The public health epidemiology paradigm – environment, host, agent – too close for comfort to temperance thinking
The strong reaction against temperance even in science e.g., epidemiologists’ denial in the 1940s/50s that alcohol causes
cirrhosis
Alcohol as “our drug” Part of everyday life or rhythm of week
Positive valuations: sociability, nutrition, “time out”
Politicians, civil servants, media quite “wet”
Protective effects for heart seen as balancing harms This is an error – net effects negative, even at individual level
No evidence of protective effect at population level
Importance of alcohol industries and retailing
Alcohol and international public health -- WHO
Geneva: 1950s – 2000 -- sporadic attention
Early 1950s Early expert committees; emphasis on alcoholism, the disease
Effort shut down by new MH chief
Mid-1970s to 1983 NIAAA support for specific studies till 1980
Nordic support for more policy-oriented program
WHA technical discussions and resolution on alcohol, 1982-83
Production & Trade study closed down by Director-General in 1983
1983-1990 – Noncontroversial small projects in MH division
1990-1998 -- separate Programme on Substance Abuse 1996: Back with MH (Division of MH & Prevention of Substance
Abuse)
2000 -- Programme abolished, resubordinated to MH
Alcohol and WHO -- 2001-2013: two more spurts of activity
2001-2002
Start on higher priority for alcohol policy
New start aborted for fear of compromising tobacco work
2003-2005
Alcohol as 4th leading risk factor in Global Burden
Nordic countries start push for new WHAssembly resolution
Language on alcohol in 2004 Health Promotion resolution
Alcohol resolution approved in WHAssembly in 2005
2006: First Expert Committee report on alcohol since 1979
2008: WHAssembly resolution for a Global Strategy on alcohol
2010: Global Strategy to Reduce the Harmful Use of Alcohol adopted
2011+: alcohol as a leading risk factor for NonCommunicable Diseases
(NCDs) – but faces the most pressure to weaken indicators and goals
2013: Resources are lacking to implement the Global Strategy
Nos. of WHO staff involved in alcohol issues
(full-time-equivalent; rough guesses)
0
0.5
1
1.5
2
2.5
3
1975-
1982
1983-
1989
1990-
1998
1998-
2000
2000-
2002
2003-
2004
c.
2005
Geneva Copenhagen Washington
Full-time
Equivalent
positions
today:
Less than 5
Why so little and late an emphasis for
alcohol? (e.g., compared to tobacco)
The effects are not confined to health
Brings in other professions and institutions;
Heavily moralised territory (e.g., violence against women, child abuse)
focus on individual responsibility and away from
environmental/population perspectives
The long shadow of the temperance era
Ambiguity arising from health-protective effects
Alcohol as a commercial product
Influence of alcohol industries (producers and retailers)
The dominance of free-market ideology --
Trade agreements internationally, in the EU
National policies – deregulation, increasing competition
What should public health emphasise as
priorities for action?
The answer in the 1950s & 1960s: alcoholism
Provide treatment for alcoholics, leave the rest of us “social
drinkers” alone
The “new public health” response, 1970s+:
The “prevention paradox”: only a minority of the problems
are caused by the heaviest-drinking tail of the distribution
approaches affecting the whole population of drinkers: availability,
taxes, limits on promotion
But this runs up against free-market ideology
The political solution 2000+: A new wave of
individualised responses: individual drinking bans
The political focus: youth and street
violence
Australia DALYs (rate per 1000) by age and sex
But harms to the drinker are as prevalent in
middle age:
And adverse effects on others from drinking
is not limited to young drinkers
Drinker that most adversely affected the respondent –
among household members, relatives, friends:
Drinker’s gender: male 71%
Drinker’s average age: 40 years
Age about 29 for those aged 18-29
Average number of standard drinks
when drinking heavily 13 drinks
Average number of days in a week that
the drinker consumes 5+ standard drinks 4 days
If there is any clear priority population, it is males
So in general, we are back to the whole working-age population
as the priority public health population
Prioritising policy strategies –
Strategies to reduce alcohol problems rates
differ in their effectiveness
• Babor et al., Alcohol – No Ordinary Commodity: Research and Public Policy, 2nd ed. (Oxford University Press, 2010)
Considering
– Evidence of effectiveness
– Breadth of support in the literature
– Extent of cross-cultural testing
– Costs to implement and sustain
Some strategies are ineffective
(though often popular)
• Voluntary industry codes, e.g. of bar practice
• Alcohol education in schools
• Warning labels
• Public service messages
• Promoting alternatives -- Alcohol-free activities
• Designated drivers and ride services
Others are effective: a list of 10 “best practices”, based on the
international evaluation literature
Alcohol control policies • Minimum legal purchase age
• Government monopoly of retail sales
• Restriction on hours or days of sale
• Outlet density restrictions
• Alcohol taxes
Drink-driving
countermeasures • Sobriety check points
• Lowered BAC limits
• Administrative license
suspension
• Graduated licensing for
novice drivers
Brief interventions for
hazardous drinkers
Cost-effectiveness of alcohol strategies in
preventing illness & death, Australia 2003
Coblac, Vos, Doran & Wallace, Addiction 104:1646-1655, 2009.
(Disability-Adjusted Life-Years)
Projected optimal sequence for combining alcohol
strategies (Coblac et al. 2009) (Disability-Adjusted Life-Years averted)
What is politically feasible is often ineffective,
what is effective is often politically difficult.
popular effective
education and persuasion +
deterrence ± +
alternatives +
insulating use from harm ± ±
availability & taxes +
treatment (as prevention) +
At our historical moment: pressure to do something, but politicians
strive not to disturb the market
But some signs of ferment: liquor licensing inquiries in 5 states &
ACT; NSW: drunken king-hits earlier closing
Building a concerted response,
based on evidence • Parallel tracks -- local, national, global
• Develop the evidence of the extent and nature of
particular alcohol-related problems
• Plan and implement policies/interventions to reduce
rates of problems
• Evaluate the effects of a policy change – Planned experiments – usually “quasi-experiments” with controls
– “Natural experiments” (= no research input on the design)
• Build provision (and funding) for evaluation into any
policy change
• Adjust policy/intervention in view of the evaluations
Example 1: reducing tobacco
deaths (the Australian experience)
– High taxes
– Advertising bans and controls
– Smoking bans: workplaces; restaurants and pubs, etc.
– Graphic warnings, media campaign
– Plain packaging
– Enforcement of age limits; regulations of sales outlets
– Nicotine replacement products
– Brief interventions by health professionals
– International Framework Convention on Tobacco Control
– 1892 cigarettes/capita in 1980; 942 in 2011
(Yet Australian efforts were critiqued by California program leaders: “a monumental paucity of funds and political will”, MJA 178:313-4, 2003.)
Example 2: driving down traffic
casualties in Victoria, Australia
• Compulsory seatbelts 1970
• Random breath-testing 1976
• Cameras for red lights 1983; speed 1986
• “Speed kills” campaign; bike helmets mandatory
1990
• Mobile radars 1996
• Lowered speed limit in residential areas; anti-speed
measures 2001-2002
• Deaths in 1970: 1061; in 2013: 242
Characterizing success
• Clear goals: reducing the harm to a minimum
– Consensus that the existing burden is unacceptable
• Professionals as advocates
• A long-term perspective– in terms of decades
• Cross-sector collaboration
– e.g. for transport safety: Transport Industry Safety Group: coroner, road & transport industry, community and regulatory bodies
• Initiatives in terms of what is possible at the time, cumulating over time
• Sometimes the unthinkable becomes possible
– e.g., a smoking ban in pubs
Joining the policy dialogue – roles for
professionals and researchers
• The limits of technocracy
• Experience-based policy advocacy
– Alcohol and drug counselors
– Emergency service & other doctors and nurses
– Mental health clinicians
– Police and community response staff
– Social workers, family counselors, clergy
• at community levels:
– Licensing decisions about on- and off-licenses
– Community planning to minimize alcohol-related harms
• at regional and national levels:
– Supporting preventive legislation
– Encouraging enforcement or laws and regulations; supporting funding for it
• at the international level:
– Pushing for exclusion of alcohol from free trade agreements
– Supporting a strong leading role for WHO in reducing alcohol problems