alberta oil november 2011 sampler
TRANSCRIPT
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$7.50CAD
NOVEMBER2011
The Business of Energy
PM #40020055
PAGE 28
ARCTIC DISASTER: Preventing the Next Macondo//PIPES & POWER:Enbridge Branches Out>
Canadian
CARTELA handful of homegrownjuniors and mid-capsunearth black gold in
Colombia
PETROMINERALES PRESIDENTAND CEO COREY RUTTAN
FRENCHCONNECTION
National roots laidbare in Quebecs
shale gas storm
WINNERS &LOSERS
How to pick ajunior stock
TRUST US
An old investmentvehicle returns
>
JUNIORSREPORT
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Vancouver
Toronto
OttawaMontral
Calgary
HongKong
Vancouver | Calgary | Toronto | Ottawa | Montral | HongKong | mcmillan.ca
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november 2011 3
contents
2Nil. Innoati. Ai.Th a all at dcition o th coani that olatCanada iant jnio ni. In thi cial ot,Alta Oil ta toc o a cto h th la ha ida and ta i iFortune Hu nters
Cover Package
28
3
36Master of His HouseMeet Andre Caill, the manat the center of Quebecsshale gas controversy
by Jeff LewIs
28Promised Land
A Canadian cartel makesits mark in Colombia
by DArreN CAmpbeLL
53The ReboundEnergy trusts make
a comeback in theoil patch
by sTeve mACLeOD
42Due DiligenceHow to pick winners
instead of losers in acrowded juniors sector
by JAsmINe buDAk
48Against the GrainLow cost producers prove
chasing natural gas playsisnt a death sentence
by CAILyNN kLINgbeIL
36
66
november 2011 volume 7 issue 5
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4 www.albertaoilMaGaZiNe.coM
coNteNts
6 Editors Log
Canadas juniorscontinue to punch
above their weight
9 obsErvEr
News and viewsrom the nationaland internationalscenes
13 sErvicEs
Rig matting frmskeep the industry
on a solid ooting
15 advancEs
A suite o West Coastexpansion plansslowly gains traction
17 poLicy
Can behavioralscience stop the nextoshore disaster?
19 transactions
Enbridge Inc.makes a power play
21 aLtErnativEs
The renewableenergy industryaces uncertaintypost-election inOntario
23 champions
Unconventionalthinker Dan Allan
stands up or ascorned sector
66 FinaL words
Brian McLachlantalks about hisDuvernay gamble
hot topics
58 insights
Why an outright ban on the oil sands
is no low-carbon panacea
by Andrew LeAch
61 EntrEprEnEurs
Video surveillance spawns a business
idea or Osprey Inormatics
by Jesse snyder
64 dispatchEs
Economic worries put a premium on
petroleum at the expense o species
protection
by doug MAtthews
Hydro-Quebec doesnt like shale gas. Find out why at
www.albertaoilmagazine.com/hydroquebec
23
19 coNteNts iMaGesJohn Gaucher, Luc MeLanson,bryce Meyer, Dushan MiLic,
Marc riMMer anD coLin way
dEpartmEnts
volume 7 issue 5 NoveMber 2011
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editors log
6 www.albertaoilMagaZiNe.coM
Do or DieA scrappy and nimble junior sector faces strong headwindsiN the caNadiaN oil aNd gas
industry, its the big players, the Imperial
Oils and the Suncors, that make the big
deals, spend the big money and create the
big headlines on the energy scene.Yet the vast majority o the compa-
nies that make up this busy sector dont
deal in production thats hundreds o
thousands o barrels per day or profts
that total hundreds o millions or even
billions o dollars a year.
O course, Im talking about Canadas
juniors, who happen to be the ocus o
this issue oAlberta Oil. The juniors bear
names like Gran Tierra Energy Inc. and
Angle Energy Inc. These are small opera-
tions that casual investors likely have
never heard o. But these frms make an
outsized contribution to the oil patch. Its
not something you can measure in the
size o their profts or production. Its the
risks, new plays and technologies they are
willing to gamble on while the big guys
wait to see how the gambles turn out that mark their impact.
prices. The dark clouds that are gathering
around the global economy could scup-
per the industrys growth plans just as it
did during the recession o 2008-2009 as
investors grow more cautious and capital
becomes harder to raise.
But the Canadian junior sector seems
to weather the cyclical nature o the busi-
ness. Its a scrappy and nimble bunch. And
it has to be, because these companies have
to seize new opportunities quickly beore
bigger players move in. They must also
adjust business strategies when market
conditions change. Its not an easy wayto make a living, but this dynamic group
o companies mostly manage to make it
happen and keep the industry moving
orward in the process.
Darren Campbell
Whether its entering risky jurisdic-
tions like Colombia or Kurdistan in search
o big petroleum prizes, exploring emerg-
ing plays like the Duvernay or the Horn
River basin or utilizing novel extractiontechnologies such as enhanced oil recov-
ery, the juniors are oten at the vanguard
o what is happening in this industry.
The sector also serves as a good
barometer or how healthy the industry is
in Canada. Lots o juniors pitching their
stories to the investment community,
buying up land and searching out new
rontiers whether they be geological or
technical usually means the industry is
doing well.
And the industry has been doing well
as the economy recovered throughout 2010
and much o 2011 a recovery that is now
being threatened as the fnancial woes o
Greece and the United States send markets
into a tizzy. Still, spending and drilling
activity have been up in Western Canada
as explorers look to ree up liquids-richnatural gas and take advantage o high oil
The shadowy gameo setting oil prices
The tricky businesso refning
The U.S. and Canada
battle to open up theBeauort
Canadian frms lookto the Lower 48 orgrowth
Plus, industryplayers gear up toexpand the market
or natural gasvehicles
in the next issue of Ao
PhotograPhy by ryan girard
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albertaisenergy.ca
The oil and gas industry is invested in Alberta communities. New technology
developed and funded by the industry is transferred to our municipalities and
towns, providing better infrastructure and a more sustainable way of living.
Through continued collaboration and partnership with industry, Alberta leads
the way in responsible economic, environmental and social development.
Together, we make Alberta work.
Alberta is Energy is supported by several Alberta business associations, many of which are
focused on the oil and gas sector.
Proled Albertans (left to right): Dr. Greg Powell, President & CEO - STARS; Vince Corkery, Director,Wastewater Treatment Plant - EPCOR; Warren Heisler, President - Le Reve Energy Corporation
Visit our new website and join the conversation on our blog at albertaisenergy.ca
i i
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NOVEMBER 2011 9
ObserverNEWS | NUMBERS | PEOPLE | PLACES
Market PullDEMAND FOR CANADIAN HEAVY CRUDE IS SOARING
A STRUCTURAL CHANGE IN CANADIAN HEAVY OILmarkets supports long-term export plans that would deliver
increased oil sands production for processing in the United
States, a fall report from Peters & Co. says.
The Calgary brokerage predicts the spread between the value
of low and high crude oil grades known as the differential
will remain narrow, climbing no higher than 20 per cent by 2016.
The reason is higher demand for heavier Canadian crude
oil in the U.S. Midwest and in the refining corridor on the U.S.
Gulf Coast, where TransCanada Corp. hopes to deliver 700,000
barrels of crude per day along its highly anticipated and con-
troversial Keystone XL pipeline expansion.
Import volumes of Canadian heavy crudes into these mar-kets have increased over the past few years, largely due to the
additional pipeline takeaway and spare coking capacity, Peters
says. As a result, aside from periodic fluctuations in the light-
heavy differential, we believe that a narrower differential will
prevail over the medium term.
Upgraders live off the difference between prices for their
raw material bitumen and their output of synthetic crude oil.
Proposals to build the behemoth plants proliferated in 2005-06,
when the differential peaked near 45 per cent. The blueprints
were abruptly shelved, however, when the financial incentive
disappeared at the onset of the 2008-09 economic contraction,
CP IMAGES
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10 www.albertaoilMaGaZiNe.coM
observer
during which the price gap plunged to 12 per cent.
Although they are highly subject to market conditions,
Peters expects light-heavy dierentials to stay in the 19- to22-per cent range through 2016, in part because expected
additions o new pipelines will enhance Alberta producers
ability to shop around or the best available prices.
On the U.S. Gul Coast, a historic discount leveled
against Canadian heavy crude relative to its Mexican and
Arab counterparts averaging US$10.07 per barrel and
US$11.58 per barrel, respectively, over the last three years
could tighten signifcantly as Mexican imports to the U.S.
dwindle, and are ultimately replaced, by deliveries o Cana-
dian heavy oil, Peters says.
activity iN the vauNted bakkeN reservoir has
transormed Saskatchewan rom an industry aterthought
to a bustling petro-province and has even made Manitoba
an exploration destination. Industry orecasts predict even
bigger things or the Bakken with daily production reach-
ing one million barrels o oil equivalent (boe) by 2015 and
eventually maxing out at 1.5 million boe per day.
The Bakken activity has been a good news story or
Saskatchewan and Manitoba. But wells drilled in these
two western provinces are less prolifc than in all but one
county in the United States portion o the Bakken, which
encompasses North Dakota and Montana.
Damn YankeesCanadian well production in the Bakkenfalls short of whats happening in the U.S.
The average one-month peak oil rate per day of non-vertical wells drilledsince 2008 from selected regions in the Bakken reservoirBakken Breakdown
a PetroleuM huMaN resources couNcil of caNada
report released last spring that revealed the Canadian
oil and gas industry could be short 130,000 workers in
the next decade provided the starkest warning yet that a
severe labor shortage is headed the industrys way.
Deloitte Canada oil and gas analyst Chris Lee says one
avenue to address the problem will be to fgure out how
to attract and retain the so-called Generation Y demo-
graphic the term given to adults born between 1980 and
the mid-1990s. Its a potentially rich labor pool or the oil
patch, which is why Lee says it is so critical that the petro-leum sector tap into it.
But Lee cautions it wont be an easy task. The tradi-
tional perks that convinced the baby boomers to work in
the industry high pay, bonuses, stock options, use o the
companys private jet dont resonate with Gen Y work-
ers. Companies have to fgure out how they can create
cultures that make Gen Y eel more accepted, Lee says.
These people work hard, but they work dierently.
The analyst notes that Gen Y generally has less respector traditional hierarchical structures within businesses
than their parents did. And their motivation or working
isnt strictly driven by dollars and cents. Lee says as the oil
and gas industry fgures out how to woo this demographic
to work in the oil patch, it will have to accept that turnover
rates will be higher than they have been in the past.
But attracting this challenging group o workers isnt
impossible. Lee says the companies that do so will be the
ones that are advanced in using tools like social networking
in the workplace, provide challenging work environmentsand provide an attractive work-lie balance.
Generation GapAs labor shortages loom, the oil patch mustmine a challenging demographic
Source: HPDI; Bernstein Analysis
North
Dakota
Montana
Mountrail
Divide
Mercer
Sheridan
Roosevelt
Saskatchewan
Manitoba
AVERAGE
516
258
23
362
171
79
73
345
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NOVEMBER 2011 11
OBSERVER
Anxiety returns for cost conscious oil sands projects
Slow Rising
COST INFLATION IS REARING ITS UGLY head once again as players in
Albertas oil sands look to accelerate growth plans. A summer report produced
by Ernst & Young Canada, entitled Opportunities and Risks in Canada Oil Sands,
lists cost inflation as one of the top 10 risks facing the sector.
Despite the efforts by the industry to meet the challenge, operating costs
for oil sands projects increased to $25.50 per barrel of oil equivalent in 2010
from $19.60 in 2006. Ernst & Young notes that development and operating costs
for oil sands project remain on the high end of the global scale.
201520102005200019951990
0
10
20
focus period
Cost($
perbarrelo
foilequivalent)
forecast
201520102005200019951990
0
10
20
30
40
focus period
Cost($
perbarrelofoilequi
valent)
forecast
COUNT KAREN HARBERT AMONG
the people who think a U.S. State
Department approval of TransCanada
Corp.s controversial $7-billion
Keystone XL pipeline is a foregone
conclusion. But the president
and CEO of the U.S. Chamber
of Commerces Institute for 21st
Century recently told the Calgary
Chamber of Commerce that
President Barack Obama and the
State Departments approval wont
mean the project has crossedthe finish line. Harbert says that
milestone will only signify the
beginning of the hard work for the
pipelines backers, as permits from
each state involved will have to be
obtained. Its going to be difficult
and its going to get ugly, Harbert
predicts. It will take us some time
to build it.
Operating cost per unit of production (traditional oil and gas)
Operating cost per unit of production (oil sands)
Joint venture spending amongnatural gas companies in NorthAmerica will top $11 billionbetween 2011 and 2013,BRINGING AN ADDITIONAL 2.6 BILLION CUBIC FEETOF INCREMENTAL SUPPLY TO MARKETS, PE TERS &CO. PREDICTS. SO-CALLED FARM-IN AGREEMENTSCAN SIGNIFICANTLY LOWER THE BREAK-EVENPRICE OF A NATURAL GAS DEVELOPMENT FOR THEORIGINAL OPERATOR, WHICH IMPROVES HALF-
CYCLE DRILLING ECONOMICS IN A LOW PRICEENVIRONMENT, THE CALGARY INVESTMENTBOUTIQUE SAYS. IN THE MARCELLUS SHALE,COST-SHARING DEALS COULD HALVE BREAK-EVEN PRICES FOR COMPANIES THAT GIVE UP 50PER CENT OF PRODUCTION TO GET 75 PER CENT OF
WELL COSTS COVERED TO $2.5 0 PER THOUSANDCUBIC FEET.
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albertaoil
groWing intErEst in thE Duvernay shale west o
Edmonton could see the province back in the black sooner
than originally orecast. Provincial revenue orecasts or fscal
2011-12 jumped $2.7 billion to $38.3 billion rom $35.6 billion
ollowing strong land sales including one that netted $842
million in the budding shale reservoir this past spring. As
a result, the province says its $3.4-billion defcit or the year
has shrunk by $2.1 billion to an anticipated $1.3 billion. The
rosy orecast is predicated in part on strong oil prices, which
have seesawed amid European debt ears and a sluggish U.S.
economy.
thE yinka dEnE alliancE rEmainEd lEss than imprEssEd that
Enbridge Inc. has struck commercial agreements with shippers to transport
crude oil on its proposed Northern Gateway pipeline. Enbridges pipelineisnt happening, period. It doesnt matter who they get a deal with, said Chie
Larry Nooski o the Nadleh Whuten First Nation, which is a member o the
alliance. The 1,177-kilometer Northern Gateway project has been controversial
because o concerns that the line, which would end at a terminal in Kitimat,
British Columbia, could lead to oil spills both onshore and oshore. The Yinka
Dene Alliance is made up o fve First Nations in northern B.C.
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services
november 2011 13photographs courtesy of little guy oilfield rentals inc.
Welcome MatsA support service keeps rigs on solid ground
Foul weather means good business For Jack Fraser.
While torrential spring oods this year may have cost operators
by orcing some production to be shut-in, purveyors o rig and
access mats were prepping or new sales. This year especially,
i you didnt mat you didnt do anything, Fraser, co-ounder o
Nisku-based Little Guy Oilfeld Rentals Inc., says.
Not all oilfeld business involves drill bits and rig rentals. As
drilling seasons get longer and operations grow more complex,
the business o rig matting is expanding, too. Setting up and run-
ning a drill site in remote parts o Western Canada can be chal-
lenging at the best o times. Inclement weather can quickly turnaccess roads and northern leases into mud pits and bogs.
But Mother Nature alone doesnt drive demand. Fraser says hesdoubled his inventory rom three years ago to 3,700 mats as drill-
ing contractors take a more proactive approach to well-site saety.
You can work aster and saer on a nice oor, instead o slogging
around in the mud, Fraser says. Maybe its airly dry now, but
when youre working on a project and it rains or two weeks,
you can shut down or try and get matting in on top o the mud.
Strad Energy Services Ltd. has likewise been able to grow
its matting business during the past three years. In 2009, the
Calgary-based oilfeld services company had 10,000 mats. Today,
the companys inventory across North America totals 30,000pieces with two-thirds o it in Canada. Its grown every
Mats provide
coMpanies safe,
all-season access
to well sites
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SERVICES
14 www.albERtaoIlMaGaZINE.CoM
year, but especially in the last two or three years, company
president Andy Pernal says.Much o Strad Energys inventory growth has been in rig
mats. For years, the companys inventory consisted primarily o
eight-oot by 14-oot access mats, which were rented out to cre-
ate temporary roadways over mud and bog, so vehicles wouldnt
get stuck en route to a drill site. The inventory o rig mats
larger eight-oot by 40 -oot mats that help support a rig on
rough terrain was much smaller. Now, the inventory is split
pretty much right down the middle. People talk about the need
because o wet weather and thats true, but theres an underly-
ing trend [ocused on] the environment and saety, Pernal says.Another driver is drill programs that are getting more
complex. Matting companies have benetted rom the proliera-
tion o horizontal wells and multi-stage, hydraulic racturing
operations. Contractors increasingly drill multiple wells rom
a single pad in a manuacturing approach to development.
Beore, i they needed access, a matting company would come
in. Now, they need a pad because theyre drilling 10,000 eet
vertically and 10,000 eet horizontally, Pernal says. Its a
temporary manuacturing acility, rather than just three to vedays o drilling. The requirements have increased and the need
or matting has increased dramatically.
While the derricks and drilling programs they support
have changed, mats have remained decidedly less complex. Its
one reason Fraser likes the business so much. Mats are mats.
You can only improve them or modiy them so much, he says.
Plastic mats made rom composite materials are starting
to replace older, steel-ramed wood units, which are prone to
water damage. The plastic units are thinner and lighter, which
helps reduce transportation costs. A single lease can require upto 1,000 o the eight-by-14 oot interlocking mats. Thats a lot
o truck loads and a lot o money, Fraser says. He doesnt expect
plastic mats to replace wood mats altogether, insisting each hasits own place in the industry. You probably dont want to put a
drilling rig on the lightweight ones, he says.
The plastic mats, however, do have an environmental
benet over their wooden counterparts. Because they are one
solid piece, there are no cracks or produced liquids and potent
chemicals to seep through, making the plastic mats better
or spill containment. The eature makes plastic mats ideal in
environmentally sensitive regions, Fraser says. We did a job in
Saskatchewan and the only reason we were there was to cover
some grass that they didnt want disturbed, he says. When youpick the mats up, you can barely see we were there.
At Strad Energy, Pernal doesnt see business letting up any
time soon. Matting is just one o ve business units the compa-
ny operates, but it attracts a air share o attention. Strad spentsome $8 million o a $50 million capital expenditure program
in the rst hal o 2011 on new ventures. One o those initiatives
was developing a line o composite mats. We spent a number
o years developing our composite mats, nding the right resin,
the right manuacturer and the right surace tension, Pernal
says. Demand ar outstrips our rental feet and we see that
continuing moving orward. Certainly the wetter weather ac-
centuates the requirement or mats and we experienced that in
North Dakota and Canada this year, but there are underlying
undamentals o the environment and saety. I we have a dry2012, we dont see demand decreasing.
Mats are Mats. You can onlY iMprove
theM or ModifY theM so Much.
after reMoval,
land is left
relativelY
unscathed, with
grading kept
undisturbed
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november 2011 15
advances
First StepSlowly but surely, West Coastexport plans gather momentum
Even before TransCanada Corp.secured a avorable environmental review
rom the U.S. State Department this
summer or its hotly contested Keystone
pipeline expansion, industry participants
were assuming the export project would
be built. That would be the producers
assumption today, Ian Anderson, presi-
dent and chie executive o transportation
rival Kinder Morgan Canada, toldAlbertaOil during a lengthy interview last sum-
mer. I that somehow changed, and either
it didnt occur or it occurred much later
than planned, I think that will do nothing
but increase pressure to add more pipeline
capacity sooner to the West Coast.
That pressure was already building
as ofcials with the State Department
issued their third environmental assess-ment o the $7-billion Keystone applica-
tion last summer. As ofcials at the State
Department weigh fnal approval o the
Gul Coast delivery system, a suite o West
Coast expansion plans are quietly gather-
ing momentum.
Enbridge Inc. says its multibillion-
dollar Northern Gateway project is now
supported by so-called precedent agree-
ments with prospective shippers. And agroup o oil sands producers including
Cenovus Energy Inc. and Nexen Inc. has
told the National Energy Board (NEB) that
an application or frm service on Kinder
Morgans Trans Mountain pipeline (TMPL)
to Burnaby, British Columbia, amounts
to a frst step in opening up Asia-Pacifc
markets to increased deliveries o Cana-dian crude oil.
Other frms that have entered into
agreements or frm service on the hal-
century-old pipeline system include U.S.
Oil & Refning Co., PetroChina Interna-
tional America Inc. and Astra Energy
Canada Inc. The fve frms have together
committed to ship 54,000 barrels per dayollowing an open season
IllustratIon by luc melanson
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16 www.albertaoilMaGaZiNe.coM
advaNces
conducted last all that drew a total o 95,000
barrels per day o support or guaranteed access
to the Westridge marine terminal.
Since 2003, space on the pipeline has been
allocated between uncommitted shippers and
dock users using a bid premium method. Kind-
er Morgan wants to und uture expansions onthe West Coast pipeline to 700,000 barrels per
day, up rom a capacity o 300,000 today using
rm service ees paid by shippers. Although the
issue drew criticism rom common carriage us-
ers o the line in hearings beore the NEB, there
remains broad consensus that reaching Pacic
tidewater is in the industrys best interests.
Kinder Morgans expansion plans are the
next or the very rst step in the West Coast piece
thats already played out in the U.S. Gul Coast,
oered Paul Reimer, senior vice-president o
marketing, transportation and power at Calgary-based Cenovus. In testimony beore the board, he
predicted expansion o the TMPL system would
precipitate increased exports to Asia-Pacic
markets just as the ExxonMobil Pegasus pipe-
line, oreshadowing Keystones ultimate delivery
capacity o 1.1 million barrels per day, success-
ully relieved congestion in the U.S. Midwest by
delivering 100,000 barrels per day rom Patoka,
Illinois to reners on the Gul Coast. [T]hat en-abled that market to understand what Canadian
heavy crude was like, Reimer told the board.
Deanna Zumwalt, Nexen Inc.s vice-presi-
dent, North America, crude oil and marketing,
said that getting rm access to the Westridge
dock, as opposed to nominating monthly or it,
allows us to begin to build those relationships,
and prove up the concept that West Coast access
makes sense or producers.
I think, given recent market develop-ments, that its become ever more evident that
its important that Canadian producers get access
to diverse markets, she added. Its clear today. It
will likely be clear in the uture.
For its part, China National Petroleum Corp.
appears keen to repatriate anticipated production
volumes rom its oil sands properties. Inrastructure
that connects the Alberta basin with China is a pri-ority, Stephen Dove, a senior oil trader with subsid-
iary PetroChina International America Inc. testied.
Big rms are not alone in pursuing oshore
market development strategies. Much smaller
oil sands producer Osum Oil Sands Corp., cit-
ing strong interest in rm service oerings on
TMPL in the uture, is looking to the Far East, too.
Osum has received a number o enquiries rom
Asian interests concerning both the purchase oour oil production and investment in our projects
and it is clear to us that enhancements to export
capacity are v ital to the growth o our business,
company manager o marketing and commercial
development Murray Morrell wrote in a letter led
with the NEB as part o the TMPL hearings.
Much o the interest in developing new mar-
kets or oil sands-derived crude has come rom
producers keen to avoid the price discounts leveled
against their output in saturated markets in theU.S. Midwest. But not everybody is convinced that
rm service on the TMPL system would automati-
cally lead to higher producer netbacks and a posi-
tive price surplus or Canadian crude oil as Kinder
Morgan has suggested it would.
Chevron Resources Canada trading manager
Geo McCutcheon, whose rm uses the West Coast
pipeline to eed its renery in Burnaby, noted in
testimony to the board that TMPL is primarilyused by rened product shippers and reneries
in Washington State, whose traditional eedstock
rom the Alaska North Slope is in terminal decline.
He said rm shippers would capture any available
arbitrage, and questioned whether benets would
accrue in equal measure to the industry as a whole
as opposed to a handul o individual players. In
the uture that money will roll to the rm ship-
pers, he told the board. It will not fow back to the
producers unless the shipper itsel happens to be aproducer and moving his own barrels.
Its become ever moreevIdent that Its Important
that canadIan producers get
access to dIverse markets.
1.1The ulTimaTe
delivery capacity
of The KeysTone Xl
pipeline
million barrels
current daily oil
shipping capacity
on Kinder morgan
Canadas Trans
mounTain pipeline
300,000
7esTimaTed CosT
of TransCanada
Corp.s Keystone Xl
pipeline
$bILLION
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november 2011 17
policy
IllustratIon by luc melanson
Can behavioral science preventa repeat o the tragic blowout and oil spill
that killed 11 rig workers last year in the
Gul o Mexico? The question is one o
many being weighed by Canadas National
Energy Board (NEB) as part o an ongoing
review o the hazards, risks and mitiga-
tion measures associated with drilling
oshore in the Canadian Arctic.
Behavioral issues are important,because behavior turns systems and proce-
dures into reality, says a report submitted
to the ederal regulator under the title
Changing Minds; A Practical Guide for Behav-
ioral Change in the Oil and Gas Industry. It is
not enough or an organization to have
good systems, because perormance is
determined by how organizations actually
live or act out their systems.The prescription is not at all rivolous.
In a separate report submitted to the NEB
oshore review, Norwegian risk-manage-
ment specialists Det Norske Veritas high-
light the role systemic organizational
defciencies played in a series o atal
disasters, ranging rom the Texas City
refnery explosion in 2005 to the collapse
o the Ocean Ranger drilling platorm in
the icy waters oshore Newoundland andLabrador in 1982.
Described in the document as the
largest sel-propelled, semi-submersible
oshore drilling unit o its era, the Ocean
Ranger, ofcially launched in 1976, began
drilling in the vicinity o the Hibernia oil
feld on the Grand Banks in 1980. It was
owned by Ocean Drilling and Exploration
Co. (ODECO), which operated the rig on
behal o Mobil Oil Canada Ltd. None o
the 84 crew survived ater the rig cap-sized and sank in a storm on February 15,
1982. Ofcials determined it went under
ater seawater entered the ballast control
room through a broken porthole, caus-
ing an electrical breakdown that aected
stability.
Much like in the atermath o the BP
Deepwater Horizon accident, Newound-
lands oshore tragedy initially raisedquestions about the technical capacity to
drill in harsh maritime environments.
But unlike the BP incident, the Royal
Commission on the Ocean Ranger Marine
Disaster ultimately determined the
shortcomings onboard had little to do
with technology. The ailure o the crew
to adopt and ollow a proper and prudent
operation practice allowed the frst link
in the chain o events to be orged, thereport stated.
Safety FirstUnderstanding management systems takes on new signifcance
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policy
Among deciencies cited by the Royal Com-mission and recalled by Det Norske was a lack
o adequate marine training or key personnel.
Formal training policies at Ocean Drilling and
Exploration Co. ollowed the industry pattern
o learning the job rom the bottom up. No
specic training was provided or abnormal
conditions, and Mobils contingency plans,
although outlining emergency procedures in
case o oil spills, iceberg encroachment, severeweather, loss o a supply vessel and even a
helicopter crash, oered no clear procedures on
how to evacuate the rig.
Policies that encouraged employees to learn
by doing were not supported by sucient train-
ing measures which showed a lack o commit-
ment to ormally improve employees and overall
company perormance in the area o saety, Det
Norske writes. Severe storm conditions played a
role in the tragedy, to be sure. But design short-
comings on the rig were compounded by human
error, poor judgment and a lack o marine train-ing, Det Norske says in its analysis. In eect, the
oshore drilling semi-submersible was regarded
as an industrial operation in a marine setting
with no marine training or its crew.
Inadequate training likewise contributed to
the deaths o 165 crew members out o 226 on
an oil platorm operated by Occidental Petro-
leum Ltd. in the North Sea called Piper Alpha.
On July 6, 1988, a condensate leak triggered
a massive explosion on the platorm. In addi-tion to design faws including rewalls that
could not withstand the pressure o a blast andinadequate re insulation an inquiry later ound
poor communication between shit workers and a
lack o site-specic training was in part to blame
or the disaster. The decisions and actions taken
by management directly compromised the saety
o the platorm and its crew, Det Norske says.
The risk agency oers a similar conclusion
in assessing the deaths o 26 miners in the 1992
Westray coal mine explosion in Pictou County,Nova Scotia, and again in the deaths o 15 renery
workers at BPs Texas City acility in 2005. The
theme shows up in lings submitted to the NEB
oshore review on behal o companies actively
looking to tap Canadas Arctic waters. Human ac-
tors are acknowledged to be potential contributing
causes to accidents in all oshore operations, not
just those in an Arctic environment, ConocoPhil-
lips Canada says in a written submission to the
board.But a potential lapse is no reason to imple-
ment a temporary or long-term moratorium on
Beauort Sea drilling, Imperial Oil Ltd. contends.
Both Conoco and Imperial have joined Shell
Canada Ltd. and Chevron in urging the board
to drop a requirement compelling them to drill
a same-season relie well to protect against a
blowout. Imperial has dismissed the provision as
neither practical nor necessary, while Conoco, inlings with the board, maintains relie wells oer
little real protection to the environment since a
signicant spill would likely occur beore a relie
well could be drilled.
Among other technical saeguards against
disaster, Imperial instead points to a track record
o 80-plus years operating in harsh northern con-
ditions dating back to its 1920s pioneer discovery
at Norman Wells without incident. Time will tell
whether the company can trade on its name alonein the post-Macondo era.
Behavioral issues are
important, Because Behavior
turns systems and
procedures into reality.
11Number of
work ers k ill ed on
BPs deePwater
Horizon drill
rig due to the
macoNdo disaster
80Number of years
imperial oil ltd.
has beeN operatiNg
iN caNadas
territories
wit Hout a major
safety incident
year tHe ocean
ranger drilling
unit sunk off
the coast of
NewfouNdlaNd
aNd labrador
1982
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transactions
BranchingOutEnbridge Inc. takes overa troubled power project
Strong fundamentals is howEnbridge Inc.s Lino Luison describes the
rationale behind his employers decision
to buy Toronto-based Tonbridge Power Inc.
and dip its toe into the power transmis-
sion business.
The deal, which was approved by
Tonbridge shareholders in late September,
would see the Calgary-based pipeline
company acquire all common shareso Tonbridge or $20 million and repay
the companys $50 million in debt. The
transaction means Enbridge would take
the reins o the Montana-Alberta Tie Line
(MATL). The 345-kilometer, 300-megawatt
(MW) capacity power line would connect
Lethbridge, Alberta, with Great Falls,
Montana the frst transmission line
o its kind connecting the United Stateswith Alberta.
One o the things that attracted us
was the act that the growth potential in
this sector is so enormous, says Luison,
Enbridges vice-president o fnancial
partnerships. Investment in transmis-
sion inrastructure over the last genera-
tion has been underserved and largely
inadequate.
Thats certainly true in boomingAlberta. The province has only had a
handul o transmission upgrades since
the early 1980s, yet demand or electricity
is growing. The Alberta Energy Systems
Operator (AESO) which is responsible
or the planning and operation o the
provinces electricity system and energy
market predicts the provinces demandor electricity will nearly double in the
next 20 years. That demand is being driv-
en by oil sands development and related
economic development and population
growth. AESO says the province must add
about 13,000 MW o new generation over
the next two decades to meet expected
load growth in the province. Its a daunt-ing task, as Alberta currently has
IllustratIon by luc melanson
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traNsactioNs
26,000 kilometers o transmission lines capable
o delivering 13,500 MW o electricity. So the
province will have to nearly double its electri-
cal capacity over the next 20 years i AESOs
orecast proves correct.
Enbridge, which posted a prot o $964million in 2010, has made its bones in building
pipelines and shipping oil and gas to markets.
But the rm clearly sees an opportunity outside
o its petroleum comort zone. In a recent re-
port, the Conerence Board o Canada estimates
that the electricity sector is expected to invest
$293.8 billion rom 2010 to 2030 to replace or
update aging inrastructure, and accommo-
date a changing generation mix and marketrequirements.
Enbridge has already invested $2 billion
in renewable energy projects in the U.S. andCanada. But the acquisition o Tonbridge and
the MATL project is its rst oray into power
transmission. Once the domain o large, govern-
ment-owned utilities, non-traditional players
are starting to enter the power transmission
business and with the need or electricity grow-
ing all over North America, Luison says his rm
is getting in on the ground foor. A lot o new
entrants are starting to look at this sector, hesays. Were going to be one o those industry
players and well be able to establish ourselves
at the ront end o the growth curve.
Standing in the way o that growth are
landowner disputes that have plagued a project
Enbridge would like to get completed by 2012.
Construction o the line has been hampered
by disputes between Tonbridge and Montana
landowners over the location o the power lines.
One o the most publicized disputes was settledin August when Tonbridge and landowner
Larry Salois reached a settlement on a lawsuit he
had led because he said the proposed power line
route would go through historic tipi rings and a
wetland. The line will now be built to avoid the
cultural sites. But several other lawsuits still be-
ore the Montana courts have not been settled.Enbridge is no stranger to acing sti public
opposition to energy inrastructure projects, as its
proposed Northern Gateway pipeline illustrates.
Luison thinks the companys expertise in dealing
with landowner concerns and regulatory issues
means it has a better chance o getting MATL built
than Tonbridge ever did. Weve shown the ability
to execute on the planning, building and operat-
ing o large inrastructure projects, Luison says.Those skill sets reside in our company and can be
adapted and utilized or this new platorm.
FirstEnergy Capital analyst Steven Paget says
the acquisition is not a risky one or Enbridge. The
total investment or the MATL project and a uture
upgrade that would add another 250 MW o trans-
mission capacity to the line would be $300 million.
The line already has customers, chiefy wind power
generators in Montana, who have signed long-term
contracts to pay to ship power to Alberta on theline. The deal also sees the rm acquire Tonbridge
sta, giving them in-house expertise in the power
transmission business. This gives Enbridge an abil-
ity to work in this space and see i there are more
opportunities there, Paget says. And its acquisi-
tion provides more horsepower to the MATL asset
than Tonbridge was able to bring.
Could this be the start o Enbridge gradually
transitioning rom a pipeline giant to an electric-ity transmission powerhouse? Its too early to
make that prediction, but Luison points out that
Enbridges investment philosophy is to go big or
stay home. Its denitely our intent to grow this
business. Were very hopeul this is the rst o
many investments to come and that it will be-
come a airly large platorm within the Enbridge
structure, he says. Yes, its a ormidable industry
and there are ormidable challenges. But were a
ormidable company. Were up or the challengeand well see where we get to.
Its a formIdable Industry
and there are formIdable
challenges. but were a
formIdable company.
345of electrical
transmission
capacity on
the Montana-
alberta tie line
megawatts
of transmission
lines are located
in alberta
kilometers26,000
300estiMated cost of
building the matl
transmission line
and upgrade
$mILLION
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november 2011 21
alternatives
IllustratIon by luc melanson
Scott Smith expresses no angstabout the uture o renewable energy in
Ontario. Thats impressive, because the
recent provincial election saw Premier
Dalton McGuinty and his chie rival or the
post Progressive Conservative Party leader
Tim Hudak repeatedly trade barbs over theprovinces controversial Green Energy Act.
The ambitious some would say ool-
hardy program was unveiled in 2009 by
McGuintys governing Liberal Party. Its
goal was to eliminate carbon emissions
rom the electricity system (Ontario has
34,882 megawatts o installed electri-
cal capacity) and position the province
as a hub or green energy development.
Hudak vowed to scrap the program i hisparty won the election. McGuinty, who
was re-elected or a third term, but with
a minority government this time, vowed
to stay the course sort o. During the
campaign, McGuinty did pledge to reduce
subsidies to the programs signature
eed-in-taris i he were elected to a third
term. The taris guarantee green energyproducers above-market rates or their
power on 20-year contracts in return or
buying up to 60 per cent o their project
materials in the province.
Yes, its uncertain times or the
renewable energy industry in Ontario,
but Smith, vice-president o policy at
the Canadian Wind Energy Association
(CanWEA), is putting on a brave ace. He
says CanWEA and its members, whichinclude wind energy owners, operators,
Hard RoadRenewable energy proponents face an uncertain future in Ontario
manuacturers, project developers and
service providers, are ready to roll up
their sleeves and get to work. We were
prepared to work with whatever party
was in place, he says. In the short term
there is political uncertainty and thats
the nature o political campaigns. Long-term, the government has to look at what
is the beneft o wind energy and what
are the economics o it. At the end o the
day, wind energy development is the right
thing to do.
For better or worse, the greening o
Ontarios electricity grid seems poised
or a shakeup, one that could jeopardize
some impressive investment numbers.
CanWEA states that every 100 megawatts(MW) o new wind energy capacity built
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alterNatives
in Ontario represents 250 jobs per year duringthe development phase and 18 permanent op-
erations and maintenance jobs. A recent study
commissioned by CanWEA on the economic
impacts o the wind energy sector in Ontario
contends that meeting the wind energy targets
in Ontarios long-term energy plan would result
in more than 80,000 person-years o employ-
ment and more than $16 billion in private
sector investment, with more than $8.5 billion
invested directly in Ontarios manuacturing,
construction and service sectors. Smith says
environmentally and economically, it would
be olly or McGuintys Liberals to backtrack in
any way on the green power goals set in 2009.
Those numbers cant be ignored by any govern-
ment, Smith says.
Those involved in Canadas budding solar
energy sector likewise watched the Ontario
election results closely. Hudaks vow to do away
with eed-in-taris was a concern, but so werethe struggles o the McGuinty government in
implementing its loty green energy policies.
The solar industry has aced its share o
challenges in Ontario. Last summer, it was re-
vealed that 1,500 micro solar projects condition-
ally approved were stalled because there was
no capacity to connect them to local electricity
grids. That was resolved when Brad Duguid, the
energy minister at the time, subsequently di-
rected the Ontario Power Authority to allow theowners to move their projects to a spot where it
was possible to eed solar power into the grid andgenerate revenue.
There have also been complaints about long
waits or regulatory approvals. The delays and un-
certainty have caused customers to cancel orders or
solar panels, leading to layos among some o the
provinces solar panel manuacturing businesses.
Canadian Solar Industry Association (Can-
SIA) president and CEO Elizabeth McDonald has
watched the situation and the provincial election
closely. She agrees there have been rough spots in
implementing the Green Energy Act, but insists
it will get better with time. This is really new. It
hasnt been perect and to me thats not unexpected,
McDonald says. But Im very confdent solar power
has a uture. We have to diversiy our energy mix in
Ontario so we can get o coal. All the parties were
in agreement on that.
According to CanSIA fgures, each megawatt o
newly installed solar photovoltaic capacity requiresapproximately 44 jobs. Under optimal conditions,
the solar sector in Canada could employ up to
41,000 people by 2025.
The leadership rom these associations may not
sound worried about the state o their industries in
Ontario, but the view rom the trenches is some-
what dierent. The uncertain uture o Ontarios re-
newable energy sector is even being elt in Alberta.
Michael Carten, chie executive o Calgary-basedSustainable Energy Technologies remains uneasy
about what is in store or his company. The frm
makes solar inverters and the company was ocus-
ing its eorts on the Ontario market because the
eed-in-tari was driving demand or its product.
But the recent struggles in Ontario or the solar
sector has Carten thinking hard about the wisdom
o that strategy. He told the Globe and Mail in August,
I I had thought that the utilities would simply not
obey the rules and the government would do noth-ing about it, I would never have started here.
Im very confIdent solar
power has a future. we
have to dIversIfy our
energy mIx In ontarIo so
we can get off coal.
of installed
electrical
capacity in
OntariO
18permanent jObs
created for every
100 megawatts ofnew wind energy
capacity installed
in ontario
34,882megawatts
8.5invested in OntariOs
manufacturing,
cOnstructiOn and
services sectOr if
wind energy targets
are met
$bILLION
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NOVEMBER 2011 23
CHAMPIONS
Dan Allan is bullish when askedabout the impact unconventional oiland gas will have on the Canadian and
North American supply picture.
I dont see any indication that the
train is going to stop, says the chair -
man of the Canadian Society for
Unconventional Resources (CSUR).
Unconventional will become con-
ventional and it will be the dominant
force for the foreseeable future.Recent production statistics bear
out Allans bold statement. In the Cana-
dian Association of Petroleum Produc-
ers (CAPP) 2011 crude oil forecast, it
estimates conventional crude produc-
tion in Canada production coming
essentially from non-oil sands and the
offshore has increased from 900,000
barrels per day in 2010 to one millionbarrels per day in 2011 after years of
declining production. The reversal in
fortunes is mainly due to sector players
using unconventional technology
horizontal drilling, hydraulic fractur-
ing and enhanced oil recovery meth-
ods to extract more oil from western
plays bearing names like the Bakken,
the Viking and the Cardium.
Dan Allan goes to batfor a scorned sector
NewSchool
By Darren Campbell
PHOTOGRAPH BY JOHN GAUCHER
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chaMpioNs
The story is the same on the natural
gas side, where horizontal drilling and
raccing have unlocked large stores o
the cleanest burning ossil uel. NorthAmerica has gone rom a continent look-
ing to import natural gas to one that now
has a surplus. Prices or the commodity
have sunk below the US$4 mark as shale
gas rom the United States oods markets.
Canadian shale basins have also been get-
ting plenty o attention with the likes o
Encana Corp. and Talisman Energy invest-
ing in the Montney and Horn River basins
in northeastern British Columbia and the
Duvernay in Alberta.
The prize is a huge one. In a resource
assessment report released last summer,
the National Energy Board pegged the
marketable natural gas in the Horn River
basin alone at 78 trillion cubic eet (tc).
The U.S. Energy Inormation Administra-
tion estimates there is 862 tc o technically
recoverable shale gas reserves in place in
the lower 48. Meanwhile, on the oil side,
some estimates say there are 77 billion bar-
rels o already discovered oil still stuck in
the ground in Western Canada.
But industrys grand plans to develop
these resources via unconventional means
could be waylaid by one big roadblock:
public opposition. There are concerns that
raccing contaminates drinking water and
that the large volumes o water needed to
pull o unconventional drilling programs
can stress local supplies. These issues
and others have led to requent dustups
between the public and the oil and gasindustry, in part because industrys been
too hasty to do its work. I anything is
pushed too quickly or rushed, its never a
good thing, Allan says. Youve got give
people time to get comortable.Allans perspective is colored by his
35-year career in the oil patch. He got his
frst glimpse o the unconventional sectors
potential during a 14-year stint with Dome
Petroleum in Colorado, where the company
was drilling or coalbed methane another
unconventional resource characterized by
gas trapped in coal seams. Allan caught the
unconventional bug. When he returned to
Canada in the 1990s, he ounded CanScot
Resources Ltd, as well as Rockyview Energy.
He held senior management positions with
those two juniors, as well as APF Energy
Trust, which snapped up CanScot in 2003.
All o the companies were ocused on coal-
bed methane development. Allan has since
ounded another junior, Calgary-based
Cumberland Oil and Gas Ltd., this time
concentrating on light oil and shallow gas.
But he remains intimately involved in the
unconventional sector through his work
with CSUR.
The moniker is a new one or the
organization. Since its inception in 2002,
its been known as the Canadian Society or
Unconventional Gas based on the act that
in Western Canada, unconventional explo-
ration methods were being used almost
solely to extract stranded gas reserves rom
tight rocks. But with companies now using
these methods to extract oil as well as gas,
Allan says the decision was made to change
the name. We are now covering the wholespectrum o both commodities, Allan says.
The uture o those commodities may
very well rest on its proponents convincing
the public that exploring or unconven-
tional oil and gas can be done saely andwont harm the environment. That means
being up ront about what it is doing and
how it will do it something Allan admits
the industry hasnt been adept at.
The industry in the past, we kind o
elt we were able to do our own thing and
let the government regulate us, Allan
says. But that started changing due to
worldwide events and the entire industry
has been held to a higher standard. The old
rules arent applicable anymore. We have to
do a better job. Theres more sensitivity to
spills and groundwater protection. This is a
natural evolution occurring and I think the
industry was slow to react to that.
Considering how important uncon-
ventional oil and gas could be to Canadas
petroleum uture, being slow to react
might be costly. Industry appears to bewising up, though. In September, CAPP
introduced new guiding principles or
hydraulic racturing to guide water man-
agement and improved water and uids
reporting practices. And Allan says CSUR
is continuing its eorts to educate the
public about the unconventional sector,
including setting up an eastern chapter,
a region where shale gas exploration has
sometimes encountered sti opposition,
particularly in Quebec.
We fnd its a lot easier to be proac-
tive when you have a collective orce
behind you, Allan says. When one com-
pany goes into the limelight, it can have a
lot more resistance. Weve got to get areas
in North America and overseas comort-
able with what we are doing. Were some-
thing new that they dont understand. Wehave to earn their trust.
The old rules arenT applicable anymore.
we have To do a beTTer job.