airpidemic · 7/23/2019 · problem statement there is a need to eradicate the recurring incidents...
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AirpidemicA case study of Pasir Gudang on air pollution
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Irfan Wazir 12 years old
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• 207 people got affected and hospitalized
• Approximately 30% are children
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• Methyl Mercaptan • Acrylonitrile• Hydrogen Sulfide• Hydrogen Cyanide
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0
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10
15
20
25
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20-Jun 21-Jun 22-Jun 23-Jun 24-Jun 25-Jun 26-Jun
Nu
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No. of Victims (2nd Wave)
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500
1000
1500
2000
2500
3000
8-Mar 9-Mar 10-Mar 11-Mar 12-Mar 13-Mar 14-Mar
Nu
mb
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No. of Victims (1st Wave)
Date Date
“Since June 20, more than 700 students from nine schools down with the symptoms.”
-The Star Malaysia (July 3, 2019)
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Problem Statement
There is a need to eradicate the recurring incidents of airborne pollution caused by illegal dumping of Toxic chemicals in Pasir Gudang in order to improve the quality of life of the community.
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Objectives
To decrease the amount of airborne pollution
To build a more sustainable community
To increase awareness for Pasir Gudang’s community
To prevent recurring incidents
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Problem Analysis
Incidence Rate
Government
Community
Private Companies
Identifying possible sources of leverage
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Year
# o
f vi
ctim
s
Increasing incidence rate
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019
Year
# o
f vi
ctim
s
Decreasing incidence rate
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
40
2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019
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Translation into a simulation model
IndustrialActivity WastetoDispose
ReportedIncidence
Pressureonlocalgovt
Degreeofenforcement
Publicoutcry
Incidencerate
ToxicWaste
Publicawareness
ControlledDisposal
IllegalDisposal
Pollution
Efforttomanage
wastebycompanies
Illegaldisposalrate
Increaseinplants
Incidence Rate
Government
Community
Private Companies
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Number of Reported Cases-Actual vs Simulated Data
Months
0
15
30
1.00 30.75 60.50 90.25 120.00
Incidencerate
# o
f re
po
rted
cas
esReported Cases from Simulation
Model Validation
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Reported Cases from Actual Data
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Public awareness puts pressure on local government
Media reports forces government to take action
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Public awareness puts pressure on local government
Months
0
0.45
0.9
1.00 30.75 60.50 90.25 120.00
Publicawareness Publicoutcry
Pressureonlocalgovt Degreeofenforcement
Months
0
0.45
0.9
1.00 30.75 60.50 90.25 120.00
Publicawareness Publicoutcry
Pressureonlocalgovt Degreeofenforcement
Months
0
0.45
0.9
1.00 30.75 60.50 90.25 120.00
Publicawareness Publicoutcry
Pressureonlocalgovt Degreeofenforcement
1st event
2nd event
3rd event
4th event
Deg
ree
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Media coverage
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Targets of Solid Waste Disposal in Malaysia (Agamuthu et al., 2009)
YearMethod 2002 2006
(%) (%)Recycling 5.0 5.5Composting 0.0 1.0Sanitary landfill 5.0 34.1Others (dumping, etc) 90.0 59.4Total 100.0 100.0
High incidence of illegal dumping
Months
0
200
400
1.00 30.75 60.50 90.25 120.00
IllegalDisposal ControlledDisposal
Months
0
0.45
0.9
1.00 30.75 60.50 90.25 120.00
Publicawareness Publicoutcry
Pressureonlocalgovt Degreeofenforcement
Proper Disposal
Illegal dumping
Deg
ree
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Months
0
0.5
1
1.00 50.75 100.50 150.25 200.00
Publicawareness Publicoutcry
Pressureonlocalgovt Degreeofenforcement
Maximum level
Deg
ree
Months
0
0.45
0.9
1.00 30.75 60.50 90.25 120.00
Publicawareness Publicoutcry
Pressureonlocalgovt Degreeofenforcement
Months
0
0.45
0.9
1.00 30.75 60.50 90.25 120.00
Publicawareness Publicoutcry
Pressureonlocalgovt Degreeofenforcement
Scenario Analysis: What if we improve publicawareness and law enforcement?
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Media coverage
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Months
0
0.5
1
1.00 50.75 100.50 150.25 200.00
Illegaldisposalrate
Degreeofenforcement
Efforttomanagewastebycompanies
Deg
ree
Effects of targeting public awareness and law enforcement
ILLEGAL DUMPING IS DECREASED BUT NOT ELIMINATED
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NEED TO INVOLVE PRIVATE COMPANIES IN SOLUTION
GOVERNMENT + COMMUNITY + PRIVATE COMPANIES
Effect of solution
Months
0
15
30
1.00 50.75 100.50 150.25 200.00
Incidencerate
# o
f re
po
rted
cas
es
Current situation
Months
0
15
30
1.00 30.75 60.50 90.25 120.00
Incidencerate
# o
f re
po
rted
cas
es
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Framework for Man-made
Disaster Risk Reduction
(MDRR)
Community Education /Awareness
CivilSociety
Organisations
PrivateCompanies
Government
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Relating Problems to the MDRR Framework
Low Public Awareness• Training of
environment experts in private companies• Education through
sustainability camps
Community Education /Awareness
CivilSociety
Organisations
PrivateCompanies
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Relating Problems to the MDRR Framework
Poor enforcement and lack of robust laws• Increase penalties• Increase reporting and
transparency•Offering incentives for
compliance
CivilSociety
Organisations
PrivateCompanies
Government
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Relating Problems to the MDRR Framework
Lack of collaboration between stakeholders•Capacity building
within the community•Dialogues between
community, private companies and government
Community Education /Awareness
CivilSociety
Organisations
PrivateCompanies
Government
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Usage of Media
Leverage on Media• Force multiplier•Pressure and follow
through Government and Private Companies• Effect change faster
GovernmentPrivate
Companies
CommunityCivil
Society Organisations
Regional, National,
International and Social
Media
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Response and Actions Taken
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Solution Proposals Planned Activities
Expertizing Company Representatives
1. Education Seminar
2. Quarterly Regular Monitoring
3. Quarterly Regular Meeting
Knights of Nature Sustainability Camp
1. Sustainability Camp
2. Engagement Session with Students
Community Capacity Building 1. Microgrant Funding
2. Community Reflection and Learning Session
3. Stakeholder Dialogue Session
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Proposal 1
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Expertizing Company Representatives
Government Community
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Objectives
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To raise company’s level of awareness
To create sense of ownership
To develop company initiatives
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In-House Training
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Planned Activities Contents
Education Seminar 1. Waste management training2. Law regulation training3. Management skills training
Regular Quarterly Monitoring 1. Waste disposal monitoring2. Publication of performance report
Regular Quarterly Meeting 1. Open dialogue sessions2. Feedback sharing from community
leaders
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Proposal 2
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Knights of Nature Sustainability Camp
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Objectives
To improve awareness among the teachers
To enhance communications skills & confidence level
To inculcate culture of Learning & Thinking Together
To train the trainer
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Knights of Nature Sustainability Camp
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Planned Activities Contents
Sustainability Camp 1. Teambuilding2. Workshop - SDG3. Case study
Engagement Session with Students 1. Tree planting exercise2. Emergency response exercise3. Recycling project4. Waste disposal management
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Proposal 3
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Community Capacity Building
Community
Government
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Objectives
To build community ownership
To promote effective communication among stakeholders
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Community Capacity Building
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Planned Activities Contents
Micro grant funding 1. Fund approval for community2. Activity implementation3. Report preparation
Community reflection and learning sessions
Sharing session among NGO and community
Reflection and dialogue sessions Open dialogue with NGO and community leaders
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$ 8,000Teachers
Students
$ 2,900Company RepresentativeCommunity Leaders
$ 1,100Community LeadersDepartment of EnvironmentCompanies
Budget Participant
Sustainability Camp
In House Training
Community Capacity Building
Activity
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is giving a fund of USD14,000 for all three proposals
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Aug. ‘19 Nov. Feb May Aug. ‘20
Sustainability Camp
In-House Training
Community Capacity Building
MonitoringActivity Evaluation35
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Government Regulation
and Enforcement
ConclusionGroup Study’s
Sphere of Influence
CommunityPrivate
Companies
Civil Society Organisations
Regional, National,
International and Social Media
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Lasta DewiAlankar Kaushik
Che Nor Asyura Che KamarudinSouksavanh Phasavath
Charlle SyGuo Jun Tan
Miki Ueshima