air vice marshal john blackburn on 21st century force design

ShapingtheRANandRAAFforSeamlessIntegration

AVMJohnBlackburn(Reserve)– WilliamsFoundationFellow

MyTask:

• Howcanweaddressthestove-pipednatureofourcapabilityprojects?

• WouldacomprehensiveJointCONOPShelp?

• WhatisapossibleroadmaptoprogressAir/SeaIntegration?

Iwilladdress:

• Howarewebuildingourfutureforce?/Lessonsfromhistory

• AnAir/SeaRoadmap?...

• NextSteps?



Plan JerichoNarrative

CONOPS

GapAnalysis

ProgramofWork

Jericho Dawn ++

Jericho Experiments

Design

Innovation

ThePlanJerichoProgramofWork

Timelagtorectifygaps?Reactive…Integrationafterthefact

=OperationalRisk

Top-downdesignmeetsbottom-upinnovation.

Concept– FJOC?

Architectures

ConceptofOperations(CONOPS)

Guidance for future Capability Decisions

DefenceWhitePaper

FutureRequirements/Concepts

Concept– FJOC?

Architectures


DefenceWhitePaper



Concept– FJOC?

Architectures


DefenceWhitePaper



Spiral of Stagnation

• The OODA loop exceeds the posting / reorganisation cycle time

• Defence reorganisations work on a big bang model … • we don’t prototype and

experiment ... we just try to implement a theoretical large-scale change model

Concept– NCW(circa2002)

Architectures


DefenceWhitePaper

NCWgoals

RPDEIntent



NETWORK

EDLEV

EL

TIME

Concept– FJOC?

Architectures


DefenceWhitePaper



80,000Pages

Concept– FJOC?

Architectures


DefenceWhitePaper



Project

Project

Project

Project

Architectures


IndustryPartneringStudy…4thGenModel?

An integrated force needs to be designed integrated … not just

integrated after the fact...Defence cannot do this alone

DISTRIBUTEDCONTROLNODES

MROC/ROC

DCN?

DCN?DCN

DCNDCN

CommonDCN

Functionality?

Comms/DataGateways

ABMFunctions

Distributedfusion/correlation

Networkredundancy

P8

KC30

E7

AWD

LHD

Turning the Kill Chain into Kill Webs …

ADM Manazir USN

Concept– FJOC?

Architectures


DefenceWhitePaper



Can we avoid the Spiral of Stagnation …

yet again ?

… given a 4th Gen Business Model ?

... we need to be smart designers as well as

smart buyers

An integrated force needs to be designed integrated … not just integrated after the fact.

INTEGRATEDFORCEDESIGN

2016 2030

INTEGR

ATIONLE

VEL

IntegratedForceDesignConceptDemonstrator

An integrated force needs to be designed integrated … not just integrated after the fact.

INTEGRATEDFORCEDESIGN

2016 2030

INTEGR

ATIONLE

VEL

IntegratedForceDesignConceptDemonstrator

TheJointApproachStudy– “…Thedriversforthismovetowardsjointincludetheneedforgreaterefficiency,thedesireforfinercontrol...everincreasingrangeofmissions...”

Myview• thedriveristhatanIntegratedForcewill possessasuperiorwarfighting

capabilityintheextendedbattlespaceandwill resultinloweroperationalrisk• IntegratedForceDesignisnotjustaprocess,itisaboutthewarfighting

outcome...WhatistheintegratedforcenarrativeinDefence?

Bottomupinnovationdrivesatop-downdesignA5thGenCONOPSApproach?

Technologypotential

ExploredinVignettes

FutureOpsoptions

ForceCharacteristics


FutureCONOPSinawiderrangeofscenarios?

?

?

GapAnalysisCurrent

ProjectChanges?

GapAnalysisFuture

NewProjects?

Acquisition/Contracting/sustainmentmodelstosupportaDefence- Industrypartneringapproach?

Startwithwhatis“known”…inpart

Complexscenariosaregoodfortestingaforce…notfordesigningone

Whereisoperationalinnovationevident?

Risktradeoff– AcquisitionversusFutureOperations?

Wheretonext?- DIIPExtract

• Substantialinvestmentsareproposedtostrengthenourplatforms,command,control,communications,computingandintelligence(C4I)systems,sensorsandadvancedweapons.

• Defencewilldevelopsystems,sensorsandnetworkstodelivereffectiveairandspacesituationalawarenessaroundAustraliaandindeployedlocations.Anew,moresophisticated(C4I)systemwillalsoberequiredtobeabletofuseinformationfrommultiplesources.Thiswillenablecoordinationofforcesandmoretimelyoperationalresponse,includinganabilitytosupportthemorecomprehensivesituationalawarenessrequiredforcapabilitiessuchasintegratedairandmissiledefence.

• TheADF’senhancedintegratedairandmissiledefence C4Iarchitecturewillhavetheflexibilityforfurtherenhancementtohandlemorecomplexthreatsthatmayemergeinfuture.

Architectures

SpaceProjects

AIR65

00

LAND19-7

SEA50

00

SEA40

00

SEA10

00

GAPProjects?

IAMDPROGRAMGUIDANCE

EnablingCapabilities


Acquisition/SustainmentModels

ADJACENTCONOPS/GUIDANCE…

INTEGRATEDFORCEDESIGNIAMDCONOPS

CONCEPTDEMONSTRATOR?

Architectures

SpaceProjects

AIR65

00

LAND19

-7

SEA50

00

SEA40

00

SEA10

00

GAPProjects?

IAMDCONOPS


Acquisition/SustainmentModels

• Williams Foundation intends to run a Force Integration Study, focussed on the IAMD Program as an exemplar, to explore a new partnership model / method with Industry+ and Defence to address:• Capability Guidance and Design• Acquisition and Contracting models• Capability Implementation in a “5th Gen”

capability Environment• Study not constrained by 4th Gen thinking /

contracting model• Progress report at Williams Foundation Seminar

in March 2017• The March 2017 seminar theme will be –

“Integrated Force Design” • Intent – to contribute to Integrated Force Design

thinking and to try to help break the “spiral of stagnation” in a shared design process.

HowcanDefenceandIndustry+worktogetheraspartnersintheforcedesignprocess?

The hypotheses the seminar will explore could include:

• If we don’t “design” the integrated force we are committed to “after-market” integration

• We can’t build and operate an integrated force using business models developed for acquiring stand-alone, stove-piped capabilities.

• If we over-complicate the “design” process we will stall our efforts and get the same results we have had over the past 20 years – stove-piped capabilities.

• “Design” is about more than just platforms and systems … it is about how we design, acquire, operate and sustain an integrated force in a more complex interconnected global context.

• We have to change ... and operate as an integrated team – if the “Strategic Centre” fails in this arena, we all fail and incur unnecessary operational risk in future operations ... It is about the combat outcomes we must achieve.

WilliamsFoundationMarch2017Seminar“IntegratedForceDesign”

• Howarewebuildingourfutureforce?• Lessonsfromhistoryifwechoosetolearnthem

• WouldacomprehensiveJointCONOPShelp?• Idon’tthinkitisachievable...

• AnAir/SeaRoadmap?...• Proveofconcept– startbybuildingapartoftheIntegratedforce

Roadmap– e.g.IAMD

• NextSteps– let’sprotoypetheintegratedforceapproach...



air vice marshal john blackburn on 21st century force design

Government & Nonprofit