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Air Quality Implications of Crude Oil Evaporation New Insights from Bottom-Up Modeling Greg Drozd, David Worton, Haofei Zhang, Christoph Aeppli Chris Reddy, Allen Goldstein 1

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Page 1: Air Quality Implications of Crude Oil Evaporation · 2018-09-26 · Air Quality Implications of Crude Oil Evaporation New Insights from Bottom-Up Modeling Author: Greg T. Drozd Keywords:

Air Quality Implications of Crude Oil Evaporation

New Insights from Bottom-Up Modeling

Greg Drozd, David Worton, Haofei Zhang,

Christoph Aeppli Chris Reddy, Allen Goldstein

1

Page 2: Air Quality Implications of Crude Oil Evaporation · 2018-09-26 · Air Quality Implications of Crude Oil Evaporation New Insights from Bottom-Up Modeling Author: Greg T. Drozd Keywords:

2

Oil Spills

Page 3: Air Quality Implications of Crude Oil Evaporation · 2018-09-26 · Air Quality Implications of Crude Oil Evaporation New Insights from Bottom-Up Modeling Author: Greg T. Drozd Keywords:

3

Oil Spills Environmental Effects

Land Sea Air

Page 4: Air Quality Implications of Crude Oil Evaporation · 2018-09-26 · Air Quality Implications of Crude Oil Evaporation New Insights from Bottom-Up Modeling Author: Greg T. Drozd Keywords:

Outline

1. The fate of spilled oil

2. Atmospheric pollutant formation from the Deepwater Horizon (DWH) disaster

3. Evaporation modeling

4. Comprehensive composition measurements of oil

5. Applications of evaporation model

a. How is released oil transported?

b.How much and what type of aerosol is formed?

4

Page 5: Air Quality Implications of Crude Oil Evaporation · 2018-09-26 · Air Quality Implications of Crude Oil Evaporation New Insights from Bottom-Up Modeling Author: Greg T. Drozd Keywords:

5

Oil Spills Fate of Oil

Page 6: Air Quality Implications of Crude Oil Evaporation · 2018-09-26 · Air Quality Implications of Crude Oil Evaporation New Insights from Bottom-Up Modeling Author: Greg T. Drozd Keywords:

6

Oil Spills Pollutant Formation

Air Toxics

OH, NOx Ozone

Aerosol Evaporation

Page 7: Air Quality Implications of Crude Oil Evaporation · 2018-09-26 · Air Quality Implications of Crude Oil Evaporation New Insights from Bottom-Up Modeling Author: Greg T. Drozd Keywords:

Deepwater Horizon (DWH) Spill Spring 2010

7

4.5 million barrels of oil Long-range transport

Page 8: Air Quality Implications of Crude Oil Evaporation · 2018-09-26 · Air Quality Implications of Crude Oil Evaporation New Insights from Bottom-Up Modeling Author: Greg T. Drozd Keywords:

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1) Aerosol formed at urban levels over DWH spill

Downwind

Deepwater Horizon Spill Aerosol Formation

Downwind Downwind

Middlebrook et al.

Page 9: Air Quality Implications of Crude Oil Evaporation · 2018-09-26 · Air Quality Implications of Crude Oil Evaporation New Insights from Bottom-Up Modeling Author: Greg T. Drozd Keywords:

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1) Aerosol formed at urban levels over DWH spill 2) Can oil evaporation be sufficiently modeled to

predict aerosol production?

Downwind

Deepwater Horizon Spill Aerosol Formation

Downwind Downwind

Middlebrook et al.

Page 10: Air Quality Implications of Crude Oil Evaporation · 2018-09-26 · Air Quality Implications of Crude Oil Evaporation New Insights from Bottom-Up Modeling Author: Greg T. Drozd Keywords:

Atmospheric Effects of Oil Spills: Bottom-Up Evaporation Modeling

10

Explicit Evaporation Calculation

Page 11: Air Quality Implications of Crude Oil Evaporation · 2018-09-26 · Air Quality Implications of Crude Oil Evaporation New Insights from Bottom-Up Modeling Author: Greg T. Drozd Keywords:

Atmospheric Effects of Oil Spills: Bottom-Up Evaporation Modeling

Vapor Pressure

11

Explicit Evaporation Calculation

Page 12: Air Quality Implications of Crude Oil Evaporation · 2018-09-26 · Air Quality Implications of Crude Oil Evaporation New Insights from Bottom-Up Modeling Author: Greg T. Drozd Keywords:

Atmospheric Effects of Oil Spills: Bottom-Up Evaporation Modeling

Vapor Pressure

12

Enthalpy of Vaporization

Explicit Evaporation Calculation

Page 13: Air Quality Implications of Crude Oil Evaporation · 2018-09-26 · Air Quality Implications of Crude Oil Evaporation New Insights from Bottom-Up Modeling Author: Greg T. Drozd Keywords:

Atmospheric Effects of Oil Spills: Bottom-Up Evaporation Modeling

Vapor Pressure Composition Data

13

Enthalpy of Vaporization

Explicit Evaporation Calculation

Comprehensive composition allows: 1) Direct calculation of evaporation 2) Explicit emissions for species that form air pollution

Page 14: Air Quality Implications of Crude Oil Evaporation · 2018-09-26 · Air Quality Implications of Crude Oil Evaporation New Insights from Bottom-Up Modeling Author: Greg T. Drozd Keywords:

GC HRTOF-MS

Vacuum Ultraviolet (VUV) 10.5 eV

photons

Advanced light source at Lawrence Berkeley

National Lab

70 eV Electron Impact (EI)

GC-VUV-MS : Composition Determination of Oil

14

Page 15: Air Quality Implications of Crude Oil Evaporation · 2018-09-26 · Air Quality Implications of Crude Oil Evaporation New Insights from Bottom-Up Modeling Author: Greg T. Drozd Keywords:

VUV EI

Diesel Fuel: Mass Spectrum vs. GC retention time

15

Ma

ss (

m/

z)

Ma

ss (

m/

z)

GC Retention Time GC Retention Time

GC-VUV-MS Low-fragmentation Molecular weight identifies hydrocarbons

Page 16: Air Quality Implications of Crude Oil Evaporation · 2018-09-26 · Air Quality Implications of Crude Oil Evaporation New Insights from Bottom-Up Modeling Author: Greg T. Drozd Keywords:

alkanes cycloalkanes

bicycloalkanes

benzenes

methyl

dimethyl

trimethyl

tetramethyl n-alkane C19H40

Crude Oil Composition: Branching

Isaacman et al. Anal Chem 2012

Mas

s (m

/z)

GC Retention Time

16

Page 17: Air Quality Implications of Crude Oil Evaporation · 2018-09-26 · Air Quality Implications of Crude Oil Evaporation New Insights from Bottom-Up Modeling Author: Greg T. Drozd Keywords:

1) Each compound in oil is classified by: i. carbon number, ii. number of cyclic rings iii. aromaticity iv. degree of branching

2) These are the key features needed to predict volatility and aerosol production.

Crude Oil Composition

17

n-Alkanes br-Alkanes cyclic Alkanes

multi-cyclic Alkanes aromatics

br-cyclic Alkanes

Gulf of Mexico: Light Crude

Page 18: Air Quality Implications of Crude Oil Evaporation · 2018-09-26 · Air Quality Implications of Crude Oil Evaporation New Insights from Bottom-Up Modeling Author: Greg T. Drozd Keywords:

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Crude Oil Volatility

Saturation Vapor Pressure,C* (ug m-3) 10-2 100 102 104 106 108 D

WH

Oil

Mas

s Fr

acti

on

IVOC

VOC

SVOC

LVOC

1) DWH components span the full range of volatilities 2) SOA formation potential of evaporating liquids depends both

evaporation rate and SOA yield, both related to vapor pressure

Page 19: Air Quality Implications of Crude Oil Evaporation · 2018-09-26 · Air Quality Implications of Crude Oil Evaporation New Insights from Bottom-Up Modeling Author: Greg T. Drozd Keywords:

Surface Samples From DWH Spill: Locations and Descriptions

S2

S3

DWH

Sample Type Location Approximate

Surface Transit Time

S2 Fresh-slick 36km South 1 day

S3 Aged-slick 130km Northwest 5 days 19

Aeppli et al. 2012

Page 20: Air Quality Implications of Crude Oil Evaporation · 2018-09-26 · Air Quality Implications of Crude Oil Evaporation New Insights from Bottom-Up Modeling Author: Greg T. Drozd Keywords:

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Surface Sample Distributions: Measurements for S2 and S3

1) S2 and S3: both surface slick samples 2) Change in S3 composition shows

evaporation

S2: Measurements

S3: Measurements

n-Alkanes br-Alkanes cyclic Alkanes

multi-cyclic Alkanes aromatics

br-cyclic Alkanes

Page 21: Air Quality Implications of Crude Oil Evaporation · 2018-09-26 · Air Quality Implications of Crude Oil Evaporation New Insights from Bottom-Up Modeling Author: Greg T. Drozd Keywords:

Measurement vs. Predictions 5 Days Evaporative Aging of DWH Oil

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Model: 5 Days

S3: Measurements

Page 22: Air Quality Implications of Crude Oil Evaporation · 2018-09-26 · Air Quality Implications of Crude Oil Evaporation New Insights from Bottom-Up Modeling Author: Greg T. Drozd Keywords:

Measurement vs. Predictions 5 Days Evaporative Aging of DWH Oil

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S3: Measurements

Model: 5 Days

a) Peaks of distributions match, but the leading edges do not match

b) Model results show the oil did not follow simple surface transport

Page 23: Air Quality Implications of Crude Oil Evaporation · 2018-09-26 · Air Quality Implications of Crude Oil Evaporation New Insights from Bottom-Up Modeling Author: Greg T. Drozd Keywords:

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1) Sub-surface transport prevents evaporation 2) Evaporative age of surface oil affects emissions and pollutant formation

Surfaced Oil Has Multiple Transport Histories

VOCs Organic Aerosol

1500m

De Gouw et al. 2011

Page 24: Air Quality Implications of Crude Oil Evaporation · 2018-09-26 · Air Quality Implications of Crude Oil Evaporation New Insights from Bottom-Up Modeling Author: Greg T. Drozd Keywords:

Surface Samples Basis Set of Evaporative Ages

c1

24

Sampling Site

Page 25: Air Quality Implications of Crude Oil Evaporation · 2018-09-26 · Air Quality Implications of Crude Oil Evaporation New Insights from Bottom-Up Modeling Author: Greg T. Drozd Keywords:

Surface Samples Basis Set of Evaporative Ages

c1

25

Sampling Site

Page 26: Air Quality Implications of Crude Oil Evaporation · 2018-09-26 · Air Quality Implications of Crude Oil Evaporation New Insights from Bottom-Up Modeling Author: Greg T. Drozd Keywords:

Surface Samples Basis Set of Evaporative Ages

c1

26

Sampling Site

c2 +

Page 27: Air Quality Implications of Crude Oil Evaporation · 2018-09-26 · Air Quality Implications of Crude Oil Evaporation New Insights from Bottom-Up Modeling Author: Greg T. Drozd Keywords:

Surface Samples Basis Set of Evaporative Ages

c1

27

Sampling Site

+ c3 c2 + + ci

Page 28: Air Quality Implications of Crude Oil Evaporation · 2018-09-26 · Air Quality Implications of Crude Oil Evaporation New Insights from Bottom-Up Modeling Author: Greg T. Drozd Keywords:

Surface Samples Basis Set of Evaporative Ages

c1

28

Sampling Site

+ c3 c2 + + ci

The final measured distribution can be fit from a basis set of distributions with a range of evaporative ages

Final Distribution

Page 29: Air Quality Implications of Crude Oil Evaporation · 2018-09-26 · Air Quality Implications of Crude Oil Evaporation New Insights from Bottom-Up Modeling Author: Greg T. Drozd Keywords:

Measurements vs. Model: Range of Evaporative Ages

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S3: Measurements

The measured composition can be fit by combining oil with different evaporative ages.

Model: Multiple Ages Evaporative

Age Fraction of

Final Oil

0.5-1.5 days. 80%

4.8 days. 20%

Page 30: Air Quality Implications of Crude Oil Evaporation · 2018-09-26 · Air Quality Implications of Crude Oil Evaporation New Insights from Bottom-Up Modeling Author: Greg T. Drozd Keywords:

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Predicting Potential Pollutant Formation

× =

Low-NOx P-SOA Yield Estimates Evaporative Oil Emissions P-SOA Mass Formed

Page 31: Air Quality Implications of Crude Oil Evaporation · 2018-09-26 · Air Quality Implications of Crude Oil Evaporation New Insights from Bottom-Up Modeling Author: Greg T. Drozd Keywords:

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Predicting Potential Pollutant Formation

× =

n-Alkanes br-Alkanes cyclic Alkanes

multi-cyclic Alkanes Aromatics

br-cyclic Alkanes

SOA yields utilize current SOA parameterizations (Gentner 2012, Jathar 2014, Zhang 2014) and available Low-NOx yield measurements for IVOC (Cappa 2013, Tkacik 2012)

Page 32: Air Quality Implications of Crude Oil Evaporation · 2018-09-26 · Air Quality Implications of Crude Oil Evaporation New Insights from Bottom-Up Modeling Author: Greg T. Drozd Keywords:

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Predicting Potential Aerosol Formation

× =

1) IVOCs are important SOA precursors 2) Experiments needed for a wider range of chemical structures (cyclics)

- Same compound classes critical for vehicular emissions (e.g. diesel trucks)

n-Alkanes br-Alkanes cyclic Alkanes

multi-cyclic Alkanes aromatics

br-cyclic Alkanes ×

Page 33: Air Quality Implications of Crude Oil Evaporation · 2018-09-26 · Air Quality Implications of Crude Oil Evaporation New Insights from Bottom-Up Modeling Author: Greg T. Drozd Keywords:

n-Alkanes br-Alkanes cyclic Alkanes

multi-cyclic Alkanes aromatics

br-cyclic Alkanes

Predicting SOA Changing Dominant Precursor Emissions

1) Initial SOA precursor flux (<1 hr.) : Aromatics dominate 2) Sustained SOA precursor flux: branched-cyclic alkanes dominate

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Page 34: Air Quality Implications of Crude Oil Evaporation · 2018-09-26 · Air Quality Implications of Crude Oil Evaporation New Insights from Bottom-Up Modeling Author: Greg T. Drozd Keywords:

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Predicting SOA Total Aerosol Production

1) Total potential SOA yield is 6.5% for evaporative oil emissions over 2 days Observation-based estimates were 8% (+/-4) 3 hr. downwind (~45 km) of DHW site IVOCs accumulate as the plume travels over the aged slick

2) IVOCs are important SOA precursors

n-Alkanes br-Alkanes cyclic Alkanes

multi-cyclic Alkanes

aromatics

br-cyclic Alkanes

Page 35: Air Quality Implications of Crude Oil Evaporation · 2018-09-26 · Air Quality Implications of Crude Oil Evaporation New Insights from Bottom-Up Modeling Author: Greg T. Drozd Keywords:

Conclusions: Predicting how/where oil travels Predicting Aerosol Formation

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Composition measurements with evaporation modeling constrain:

1) Where and how oil travels 2) How much SOA will form in a particular location

Predicting aerosol production from oil spills is critical for

assessing health effects

VOCs Organic Aerosol