agriculture in national adaptation plans: experiences and lessons learned
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How do countries plan climate change adaptation in Agriculture? A side event presented at UNFCCC COP19 in Warsaw, 15 November 2013 by CGIAR Research Program on Climate Change, Agriculture and Food Security (CCAFS) and partners. More at http://ccafs.cgiar.orgTRANSCRIPT
CCAFS SIDE EVENT:
Agriculture in Na7onal Adapta7on Plans: Experiences and Lessons Learned
www.ccafs.cgiar.org
Planning climate adaptation in agriculture: Meta-synthesis of national adaptation plans in West and East Africa and South Asia
Gabrielle Kissinger, Donna Lee, Victor Orindi
Presentation: Gabrielle Kissinger, Lexeme Consulting National Adaptation Plans (NAPs) and agriculture:
Experiences and Lesson’s learned CGIAR CCAFS
15 November 2013, Warsaw, Poland
1 Policy overview
• Na7onal Adapta7on Plans (NAPs) established in 2010 by the UNFCCC to help facilitate effecAve medium-‐ and long-‐term adaptaAon planning and implementaAon in developing countries, in parAcular Least Developed Countries (LDCs) (FCCC/CP/2011/9/Add.1)
• AdaptaAon CommiNee est. under Cancun AdaptaAon Framework promote the implementaAon of enhanced acAon on adaptaAon. Special aNenAon paid to facilitaAon of NAPs by non-‐LDC developing country ParAes. Will contribute to, and not duplicate work of the Least Developed Countries Expert Group (LEG) to support LDC naAonal adaptaAon plan processes and the Subsidiary Body for ImplementaAon (SBI) on the work programme concerning loss and damage.
• LEG Technical Guidelines for NAPs.
NAPAs and NAPs
Source: Kissinger, G. and T. Namgyel, 2013. NAPAs and NAPS in Least Developed Countries. IIED LDC Paper Series.
NAPAs and NAPs COP 17 in Durban defined NAP process objecAves (FCCC/CP/2011/9/Add.1):
(a) “reduce vulnerability to the impacts of climate change, by building adapAve capacity and resilience,” and
(b) ” facilitate integraAon of climate change adaptaAon, in a coherent manner, into relevant new and exisAng policies, programmes and acAviAes, in parAcular development planning processes and strategies, within all relevant sectors and at different levels, as appropriate”.
…And recognised that adaptaAon planning will be “conAnuous, progressive and iteraAve.”
NAPAs and NAPs
NAPA NAP Simplified and direct channels of communicaAon for informaAon relaAng to the urgent and immediate adaptaAon needs of the LDCs
• To build upon NAPAs, to medium-‐ and long-‐term adaptaAon needs + strategies programmes to address them.
• Reduce vulnerability, build adapAve capacity and resilience, conAnuous, progressive and iteraAve process.
• Facilitate integraAon of climate change adaptaAon into relevant new and exisAng policies, programmes and acAviAes, in parAcular development planning processes and strategies, within all relevant sectors and at different levels, as appropriate.
Countries reviewed
8
Planning climate adaptation in agriculture
CCAFS Report No. 10
Climate change will have far-reaching consequences for agriculture and food security globally, and its impacts are predicted to disproportionately affect the poor and most vulnerable who depend on agriculture for their livelihoods. Climate change poses considerable challenges for development, food security, and poverty alleviation. Countries are increasingly responding to current and projected climate change impacts by developing national adaptation strategies and action plans. Adaptation strategies are typically high-level documents that set out overarching government approaches to adaptation (often as part of national climate change policies), while adaptation plans go further by setting out concrete adaptation actions, such as sectoral adaptation policies, adaptation projects and programmes and specific measures to address identified vulnerabilities (Mullan et al. 2013).
The CGIAR Research Program on Climate Change, Agriculture and Food Security (CCAFS) seeks to inform national adaptation plan development, linking CGIAR research into adaptation planning decisions and processes. This effort falls under the third objective of the CCAFS Theme 1 on Adaptation to Progressive Change, and contributes to the achievement of outcome 1.3: Integrate adaptation strategies for agricultural and food systems into policy and institutional frameworks. The purpose of this report is to provide a meta-synthesis of national climate change adaptation plans, policies and processes across 12 CCAFS priority countries in West and East Africa and South Asia (see Table 1), which are at various stages of adaptation planning and implementation.
The CCAFS programme has carried out a policy baseline for several countries in the target regions by evaluating how climate adaptation is considered in current national level activities and policies. These country studies have been communicated through a series of national synthesis reports. A series of national policy workshops were also organized in 2011 and 2012 with national stakeholders involved in the nexus of climate change, agriculture and food security in order to identify research needs and priorities at national levels. Regional syntheses have also been commissioned by CCAFS for the regions of South Asia (on climate-smart agriculture) and East Africa (on adaptation planning).
This meta-synthesis builds on CCAFS country studies and regional syntheses, as well as available government documents, for example National Communications to the United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change (UNFCCC), climate change or adaptation policy documents, etc. The primary audience is national policy makers and others in the agriculture sector (e.g. NGOs, farmer organizations) seeking to shape national adaptation planning processes. This research also seeks to provide recommendations to CCAFS, inform further CCAFS work with national adaptation focal points and institutions, policy-makers and researchers in each country, as well as to inform the broader adaptation donor community. It is also hoped that the research findings will inform a workshop with national leaders during the UNFCCC Conference of the Parties (COP) 19 in Warsaw, Poland.
1. Introduction
Country Adaptation planning status
East Africa
Ethiopia NAPA, Climate-Resilient Green Economy Strategy
Kenya National Climate Change Response Strategy (NCCRS); National Climate Change Action Plan + NAP in process
Tanzania NAPA, National Climate Change Strategy
Uganda NAPA
West Africa
Burkina Faso NAPA
Ghana National climate change adaptation strategy
Mali NAPA
Niger NAPA
Senegal NAPA + climate change plan in process
South Asia
Bangladesh NAPA + climate change plan
India National climate change plan
Nepal NAPA
Table 1. CCAFS priority countries reviewed and adaptation planning status
Analytical framework
10
1.2. Research objectives and methods
To structure this report and provide a coherent basis for analysis of adaptation processes across multiple countries and the relationships between national policies and plans and strategies for adapting to climate challenges, an analytical framework was developed (see Figure 1). The design of this framework is intended to allow a ‘dashboard’ view of country progress on process and key NAP policy elements (e.g. integration into existing policies) and, ideally, to provide a framework that can continue to be useful as countries develop and refine their adaptation approaches over time.
The analytic framework was informed by the experiences to date of the 12 countries reviewed as well as the 8 case studies in the UNFCCC report, Compilation of case studies on national adaptation planning processes: Note by the secretariat (UNFCCC 2012a), which provided insight on common criteria and indicators used in national-level adaptation planning. Drawing from these experiences the framework highlights common approaches, while recognizing that the high complexity and cross-sectoral nature of adaptation processes will result in nationally-defined programmes that will exhibit unique qualities and differences due to the variety of vulnerabilities and social, economic and ecological systems.
Planning climate adaptation in agriculture
CCAFS Report No. 10
Stakeholder engagement
Stakeholder consultation
Impacts and vulnerabilities assessed
Tools:
Ranking of risk
Tools:
Identify and/or create institutional structures
Prioritization of activities
Integration with development objectives
Identification of needs
Development of concrete plan
Distribution of responsibilities
Identify conflict and synergies
Definition of a timeline
Application of M&E system
for planning and implementation
information sharing
strengthening
between government, civil society, research and private sector actors
Downward accountability
Adaptive institutions
Political economy context:
Funding and capacity building
Risk assessment and ranking
Design of strategy and measures
Implementation
Figure 1. Analytical framework: National adaptation planning processes.
Risk assessment and ranking Priori.za.on and ranking of risk: Most countries reviewed apply criteria to rank climate risk, though oben do not make clear how assessment of these elements affect prioriAzaAon of adaptaAon acAons.
Ø Level of confidence in assessing risks
Ø ConnecAon between climate risk ranking criteria and evaluaAng responses to risks
Ø Vagueness in how conflicAng vulnerability assessment results are resolved in the prioriAzaAon of response opAons (e.g. Niger rainfall)
Ø Use analyAcal (e.g. crop models) and process elements (e.g. expert group and stakeholder consultaAon in risk assessment)
Ø Difficult to account for the changing socioeconomic status of populaAons in emerging economies, increased urbanizaAon, and other complex factors to project and model 20-‐100 yrs out.
Strategy design/implementaAon
IntegraAon with development and agric sector plans
• Structural and insAtuAonal issues: Agency mandates, capacity,
• Integrated adaptaAon assessments and integrated acAon plans
• How to strategically place adaptaAon prioriAes within the broader naAonal policy framework?
• Align and mainstream into naAonal development or sector plans …and leverage donor funds for ‘addiAonal’
Adaptation plan implementation and funding
10
1.2. Research objectives and methods
To structure this report and provide a coherent basis for analysis of adaptation processes across multiple countries and the relationships between national policies and plans and strategies for adapting to climate challenges, an analytical framework was developed (see Figure 1). The design of this framework is intended to allow a ‘dashboard’ view of country progress on process and key NAP policy elements (e.g. integration into existing policies) and, ideally, to provide a framework that can continue to be useful as countries develop and refine their adaptation approaches over time.
The analytic framework was informed by the experiences to date of the 12 countries reviewed as well as the 8 case studies in the UNFCCC report, Compilation of case studies on national adaptation planning processes: Note by the secretariat (UNFCCC 2012a), which provided insight on common criteria and indicators used in national-level adaptation planning. Drawing from these experiences the framework highlights common approaches, while recognizing that the high complexity and cross-sectoral nature of adaptation processes will result in nationally-defined programmes that will exhibit unique qualities and differences due to the variety of vulnerabilities and social, economic and ecological systems.
Planning climate adaptation in agriculture
CCAFS Report No. 10
Stakeholder engagement
Stakeholder consultation
Impacts and vulnerabilities assessed
Tools:
Ranking of risk
Tools:
Identify and/or create institutional structures
Prioritization of activities
Integration with development objectives
Identification of needs
Development of concrete plan
Distribution of responsibilities
Identify conflict and synergies
Definition of a timeline
Application of M&E system
for planning and implementation
information sharing
strengthening
between government, civil society, research and private sector actors
Downward accountability
Adaptive institutions
Political economy context:
Funding and capacity building
Risk assessment and ranking
Design of strategy and measures
Implementation
Figure 1. Analytical framework: National adaptation planning processes.
• ImplementaAon funding: from?
• Timeline for implementaAon of acAviAes, including review
• IteraAvely assess conflicts and synergies with naAonal development or sectoral plans
• Engage monitoring and evaluaAon (M&E) system early: iniAal focus on process elements not outcomes…occur at all scales and involve stakeholders.
NAP finance
GEF Council support for NAP processes through LDCF and SCCF
Planning
Prepatory acAviAes
ImplementaAon*
* GEF Council support for these acAviAes unclear at this Ame
NAP Finance:
Green Climate Fund:
• Direct and enhanced direct access are potenAal opAons under GCF: lower transacAon costs + downward financial accountability.
• GDF access modaliAes in process.
DomesAc Sources
• Can decrease dependency on fickle donor finance, but sAll benefit from bilateral funding arrangements
10
1.2. Research objectives and methods
To structure this report and provide a coherent basis for analysis of adaptation processes across multiple countries and the relationships between national policies and plans and strategies for adapting to climate challenges, an analytical framework was developed (see Figure 1). The design of this framework is intended to allow a ‘dashboard’ view of country progress on process and key NAP policy elements (e.g. integration into existing policies) and, ideally, to provide a framework that can continue to be useful as countries develop and refine their adaptation approaches over time.
The analytic framework was informed by the experiences to date of the 12 countries reviewed as well as the 8 case studies in the UNFCCC report, Compilation of case studies on national adaptation planning processes: Note by the secretariat (UNFCCC 2012a), which provided insight on common criteria and indicators used in national-level adaptation planning. Drawing from these experiences the framework highlights common approaches, while recognizing that the high complexity and cross-sectoral nature of adaptation processes will result in nationally-defined programmes that will exhibit unique qualities and differences due to the variety of vulnerabilities and social, economic and ecological systems.
Planning climate adaptation in agriculture
CCAFS Report No. 10
Stakeholder engagement
Stakeholder consultation
Impacts and vulnerabilities assessed
Tools:
Ranking of risk
Tools:
Identify and/or create institutional structures
Prioritization of activities
Integration with development objectives
Identification of needs
Development of concrete plan
Distribution of responsibilities
Identify conflict and synergies
Definition of a timeline
Application of M&E system
for planning and implementation
information sharing
strengthening
between government, civil society, research and private sector actors
Downward accountability
Adaptive institutions
Political economy context:
Funding and capacity building
Risk assessment and ranking
Design of strategy and measures
Implementation
Figure 1. Analytical framework: National adaptation planning processes.
Stakeholder engagement
Capacity building
National Adaptation Plans (NAPs) and agriculture: A learning workshop
Key agencies to facilitate NAP integration and cross-sector planning
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KENYA: Agriculture in National Adaptation Planning
S M King’uyu Climate Change Secretariat
Ministry of Environment, Water & Natural Resources, Kenya [email protected]/www.kccap.info
COP 19 Side Event The National Stadium - Cracow Room, Warsaw - Poland
Country status
• Agriculture Sector Development Strategy (ASDS) recognises the threat of climate change and the need to adapt.
• National Climate Change Response Strategy (NCCRS) and National Climate Change Action Plan (NCCAP) prepared through a comprehensive and inclusive process.
• Main NCCAP deliverable = national low carbon climate resilient development pathway that integrates adaptation, mitigation and sustainable development.
• Prioritisation of adaptation actions.
• Upgrading of adaptation actions in NCCAP into a NAP in progress.
• Some adaptation actions already synthesised and costed.
• Costing of remainder of actions to be undertaken.
13/10/2013 20 KENYA -‐ SMK
Barriers and successes: SWOT STRENGTHS • Experience gained from NCCAP process. • Broad adaptation actions identified. • Dedicated TWG. • Appointment by institutions: Sectoral
ownership? • Technical diversity of team. • Representation from across the different
stakeholder categories. Ø Stakeholder ownership.
• Tested approach to costing. • Adaptation actions mainstreamed into MTP.
OPPORTUNITIES • Learning from past mistakes/ experiences. Ø Examples of best practice and building on
synergy. • Some demonstrable interest from
development partners. • New governance dispensation - heating
the iron while hot? Ø Further mainstreaming into planning at all
levels of governance. Ø County integrated development plans.
• Political goodwill.
WEAKNESSES • No NAPA experience. • Do all have the requisite experience. Ø How to deal with appointees without drive?
• Is representaAon inclusive enough? • Funding the implementaAon? • Baseline data/info?
THREATS • Stakeholders who desire to accomplish too fast?
• Does the end jusAfy the means? Ø Which is more important than the other -‐ the end or the means?
• Who represents who?
13/10/2013 21 KENYA -‐ SMK
Mul7-‐stakeholder approach
13/10/2013 22
NCCAP
Mwananchi Private Sector
Academia
GoK CSOs
Media
Development Partners
KENYA -‐ SMK
§ Stakeholders are: Ø Like fish: You catch them at their own terms, not on the fisher’s terms! Ø Like eggs: You handle them with care! We must speak their language!
13/10/2013 KENYA -‐ SMK 23
Integrated/Mul7-‐sectoral approach
Examples from MTP 2013-‐2017
• Foundations of the Economy and Society: . . . a strategy is in place for
modernizing energy infrastructure network, increasing the share of
energy generated from renewable energy sources, and providing energy
that is affordable and reliable to businesses and homes. This will ensure
that our energy supply is adequate and efficient in order to support
increased use in manufacturing, agriculture, services, public facilities and
households.
• Agriculture & Livestock: The MTP will give top priority to increased
acreage under in irrigation in order to reduce the country’s dependence on
rain fed agriculture. A total of 404,800 hectares will be put under irrigation.
13/10/2013 24 KENYA -‐ SMK
Examples from MTP 2013-‐2017
Drought Emergencies and Food Security
• Increase investment in irrigation to reduce the country’s dependence on rain-fed agriculture.
• Strategies to mechanize agriculture, revive cooperatives and farmers unions and subsidize farm inputs.
• Emphasis on value addition in the production and supply chain.
Infrastructure
• Cheaper and adequate electricity; local and regional rail and road networks that provide safe, efficient and cost effective transport;
• Adequate water for households and industry; affordable quality housing and sustainable environmental management.
• Integrate the SDGs for the post 2015.
13/10/2013 25 KENYA -‐ SMK
13/10/2013
Thank you! 26 KENYA -‐ SMK
Ali Tauqueer Sheikh Asia Director, Climate and Development Knowledge Network (CDKN) CEO of LEAD Pakistan
Robert Zougmoré West Africa Regional Program Leader CGIAR Research Program on Climate Change, Agriculture and Food Security (CCAFS)
CCAFS SIDE EVENT:
Agriculture in Na7onal Adapta7on Plans: Experiences and Lessons Learned
www.ccafs.cgiar.org