agriculture in national adaptation plans: experiences and lessons learned

29
CCAFS SIDE EVENT: Agriculture in Na7onal Adapta7on Plans: Experiences and Lessons Learned www.ccafs.cgiar.org

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How do countries plan climate change adaptation in Agriculture? A side event presented at UNFCCC COP19 in Warsaw, 15 November 2013 by CGIAR Research Program on Climate Change, Agriculture and Food Security (CCAFS) and partners. More at http://ccafs.cgiar.org

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Page 1: Agriculture in National Adaptation Plans: Experiences and Lessons Learned

CCAFS  SIDE  EVENT:      

Agriculture  in  Na7onal  Adapta7on  Plans:  Experiences  and  Lessons  Learned    

www.ccafs.cgiar.org    

Page 2: Agriculture in National Adaptation Plans: Experiences and Lessons Learned

Planning climate adaptation in agriculture: Meta-synthesis of national adaptation plans in West and East Africa and South Asia

Gabrielle Kissinger, Donna Lee, Victor Orindi

Presentation: Gabrielle Kissinger, Lexeme Consulting National Adaptation Plans (NAPs) and agriculture:

Experiences and Lesson’s learned CGIAR CCAFS

15 November 2013, Warsaw, Poland  

Page 3: Agriculture in National Adaptation Plans: Experiences and Lessons Learned

1 Policy overview

•  Na7onal  Adapta7on  Plans  (NAPs)  established  in  2010  by  the  UNFCCC  to  help  facilitate  effecAve  medium-­‐  and  long-­‐term  adaptaAon  planning  and  implementaAon  in  developing  countries,  in  parAcular  Least  Developed  Countries  (LDCs)  (FCCC/CP/2011/9/Add.1)  

•  AdaptaAon  CommiNee  est.  under  Cancun  AdaptaAon  Framework  promote  the  implementaAon  of  enhanced  acAon  on  adaptaAon.  Special  aNenAon  paid  to  facilitaAon  of  NAPs  by  non-­‐LDC  developing  country  ParAes.  Will  contribute  to,  and  not  duplicate  work  of  the  Least  Developed  Countries  Expert  Group  (LEG)  to  support  LDC  naAonal  adaptaAon  plan  processes  and  the  Subsidiary  Body  for  ImplementaAon  (SBI)  on  the  work  programme  concerning  loss  and  damage.  

•  LEG  Technical  Guidelines  for  NAPs.  

Page 4: Agriculture in National Adaptation Plans: Experiences and Lessons Learned

NAPAs and NAPs

Source:  Kissinger,  G.  and  T.  Namgyel,  2013.  NAPAs  and  NAPS  in  Least  Developed  Countries.    IIED  LDC  Paper  Series.  

Page 5: Agriculture in National Adaptation Plans: Experiences and Lessons Learned

NAPAs and NAPs COP  17  in  Durban  defined  NAP  process  objecAves  (FCCC/CP/2011/9/Add.1):  

(a)  “reduce  vulnerability  to  the  impacts  of  climate  change,  by  building  adapAve  capacity  and  resilience,”  and  

(b)  ”  facilitate  integraAon  of  climate  change  adaptaAon,  in  a  coherent  manner,  into  relevant  new  and  exisAng  policies,  programmes  and  acAviAes,  in  parAcular  development  planning  processes  and  strategies,  within  all  relevant  sectors  and  at  different  levels,  as  appropriate”.  

…And  recognised  that  adaptaAon  planning  will  be  “conAnuous,  progressive  and  iteraAve.”  

Page 6: Agriculture in National Adaptation Plans: Experiences and Lessons Learned

NAPAs and NAPs

NAPA   NAP  Simplified  and  direct  channels  of  communicaAon  for  informaAon  relaAng  to  the  urgent  and  immediate  adaptaAon  needs  of  the  LDCs  

•  To  build  upon  NAPAs,  to  medium-­‐  and  long-­‐term  adaptaAon  needs  +  strategies  programmes  to  address  them.    

•  Reduce  vulnerability,  build  adapAve  capacity  and  resilience,  conAnuous,  progressive  and  iteraAve  process.  

•  Facilitate  integraAon  of  climate  change  adaptaAon  into  relevant  new  and  exisAng  policies,  programmes  and  acAviAes,  in  parAcular  development  planning  processes  and  strategies,  within  all  relevant  sectors  and  at  different  levels,  as  appropriate.  

Page 7: Agriculture in National Adaptation Plans: Experiences and Lessons Learned

Countries reviewed

8

Planning climate adaptation in agriculture

CCAFS Report No. 10

Climate change will have far-reaching consequences for agriculture and food security globally, and its impacts are predicted to disproportionately affect the poor and most vulnerable who depend on agriculture for their livelihoods. Climate change poses considerable challenges for development, food security, and poverty alleviation. Countries are increasingly responding to current and projected climate change impacts by developing national adaptation strategies and action plans. Adaptation strategies are typically high-level documents that set out overarching government approaches to adaptation (often as part of national climate change policies), while adaptation plans go further by setting out concrete adaptation actions, such as sectoral adaptation policies, adaptation projects and programmes and specific measures to address identified vulnerabilities (Mullan et al. 2013).

The CGIAR Research Program on Climate Change, Agriculture and Food Security (CCAFS) seeks to inform national adaptation plan development, linking CGIAR research into adaptation planning decisions and processes. This effort falls under the third objective of the CCAFS Theme 1 on Adaptation to Progressive Change, and contributes to the achievement of outcome 1.3: Integrate adaptation strategies for agricultural and food systems into policy and institutional frameworks. The purpose of this report is to provide a meta-synthesis of national climate change adaptation plans, policies and processes across 12 CCAFS priority countries in West and East Africa and South Asia (see Table 1), which are at various stages of adaptation planning and implementation.

The CCAFS programme has carried out a policy baseline for several countries in the target regions by evaluating how climate adaptation is considered in current national level activities and policies. These country studies have been communicated through a series of national synthesis reports. A series of national policy workshops were also organized in 2011 and 2012 with national stakeholders involved in the nexus of climate change, agriculture and food security in order to identify research needs and priorities at national levels. Regional syntheses have also been commissioned by CCAFS for the regions of South Asia (on climate-smart agriculture) and East Africa (on adaptation planning).

This meta-synthesis builds on CCAFS country studies and regional syntheses, as well as available government documents, for example National Communications to the United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change (UNFCCC), climate change or adaptation policy documents, etc. The primary audience is national policy makers and others in the agriculture sector (e.g. NGOs, farmer organizations) seeking to shape national adaptation planning processes. This research also seeks to provide recommendations to CCAFS, inform further CCAFS work with national adaptation focal points and institutions, policy-makers and researchers in each country, as well as to inform the broader adaptation donor community. It is also hoped that the research findings will inform a workshop with national leaders during the UNFCCC Conference of the Parties (COP) 19 in Warsaw, Poland.

1. Introduction

Country Adaptation planning status

East Africa

Ethiopia NAPA, Climate-Resilient Green Economy Strategy

Kenya National Climate Change Response Strategy (NCCRS); National Climate Change Action Plan + NAP in process

Tanzania NAPA, National Climate Change Strategy

Uganda NAPA

West Africa

Burkina Faso NAPA

Ghana National climate change adaptation strategy

Mali NAPA

Niger NAPA

Senegal NAPA + climate change plan in process

South Asia

Bangladesh NAPA + climate change plan

India National climate change plan

Nepal NAPA

Table 1. CCAFS priority countries reviewed and adaptation planning status

Page 8: Agriculture in National Adaptation Plans: Experiences and Lessons Learned

Analytical framework

10

1.2. Research objectives and methods

To structure this report and provide a coherent basis for analysis of adaptation processes across multiple countries and the relationships between national policies and plans and strategies for adapting to climate challenges, an analytical framework was developed (see Figure 1). The design of this framework is intended to allow a ‘dashboard’ view of country progress on process and key NAP policy elements (e.g. integration into existing policies) and, ideally, to provide a framework that can continue to be useful as countries develop and refine their adaptation approaches over time.

The analytic framework was informed by the experiences to date of the 12 countries reviewed as well as the 8 case studies in the UNFCCC report, Compilation of case studies on national adaptation planning processes: Note by the secretariat (UNFCCC 2012a), which provided insight on common criteria and indicators used in national-level adaptation planning. Drawing from these experiences the framework highlights common approaches, while recognizing that the high complexity and cross-sectoral nature of adaptation processes will result in nationally-defined programmes that will exhibit unique qualities and differences due to the variety of vulnerabilities and social, economic and ecological systems.

Planning climate adaptation in agriculture

CCAFS Report No. 10

Stakeholder engagement

Stakeholder consultation

Impacts and vulnerabilities assessed

Tools:

Ranking of risk

Tools:

Identify and/or create institutional structures

Prioritization of activities

Integration with development objectives

Identification of needs

Development of concrete plan

Distribution of responsibilities

Identify conflict and synergies

Definition of a timeline

Application of M&E system

for planning and implementation

information sharing

strengthening

between government, civil society, research and private sector actors

Downward accountability

Adaptive institutions

Political economy context:

Funding and capacity building

Risk assessment and ranking

Design of strategy and measures

Implementation

Figure 1. Analytical framework: National adaptation planning processes.

Page 9: Agriculture in National Adaptation Plans: Experiences and Lessons Learned

Risk  assessment  and  ranking  Priori.za.on  and  ranking  of  risk:  Most  countries  reviewed  apply  criteria  to  rank  climate  risk,  though  oben  do  not  make  clear  how  assessment  of  these  elements  affect  prioriAzaAon  of  adaptaAon  acAons.    

Ø  Level  of  confidence  in  assessing  risks  

Ø  ConnecAon  between  climate  risk  ranking  criteria  and  evaluaAng  responses  to  risks  

Ø  Vagueness  in  how  conflicAng  vulnerability  assessment  results  are  resolved  in  the  prioriAzaAon  of  response  opAons  (e.g.  Niger  rainfall)  

Ø  Use  analyAcal  (e.g.  crop  models)  and  process  elements  (e.g.  expert  group  and  stakeholder  consultaAon  in  risk  assessment)  

Ø  Difficult  to  account  for  the  changing  socioeconomic  status  of  populaAons  in  emerging  economies,  increased  urbanizaAon,  and  other  complex  factors  to  project  and  model  20-­‐100  yrs  out.  

Page 10: Agriculture in National Adaptation Plans: Experiences and Lessons Learned

Strategy  design/implementaAon    

IntegraAon  with  development  and  agric  sector  plans  

•  Structural  and  insAtuAonal  issues:  Agency  mandates,  capacity,    

•  Integrated  adaptaAon  assessments  and  integrated  acAon  plans  

•  How  to  strategically  place  adaptaAon  prioriAes  within  the  broader  naAonal  policy  framework?    

•  Align  and  mainstream  into  naAonal  development  or  sector  plans  …and  leverage  donor  funds  for  ‘addiAonal’  

 

Page 11: Agriculture in National Adaptation Plans: Experiences and Lessons Learned

Adaptation plan implementation and funding

10

1.2. Research objectives and methods

To structure this report and provide a coherent basis for analysis of adaptation processes across multiple countries and the relationships between national policies and plans and strategies for adapting to climate challenges, an analytical framework was developed (see Figure 1). The design of this framework is intended to allow a ‘dashboard’ view of country progress on process and key NAP policy elements (e.g. integration into existing policies) and, ideally, to provide a framework that can continue to be useful as countries develop and refine their adaptation approaches over time.

The analytic framework was informed by the experiences to date of the 12 countries reviewed as well as the 8 case studies in the UNFCCC report, Compilation of case studies on national adaptation planning processes: Note by the secretariat (UNFCCC 2012a), which provided insight on common criteria and indicators used in national-level adaptation planning. Drawing from these experiences the framework highlights common approaches, while recognizing that the high complexity and cross-sectoral nature of adaptation processes will result in nationally-defined programmes that will exhibit unique qualities and differences due to the variety of vulnerabilities and social, economic and ecological systems.

Planning climate adaptation in agriculture

CCAFS Report No. 10

Stakeholder engagement

Stakeholder consultation

Impacts and vulnerabilities assessed

Tools:

Ranking of risk

Tools:

Identify and/or create institutional structures

Prioritization of activities

Integration with development objectives

Identification of needs

Development of concrete plan

Distribution of responsibilities

Identify conflict and synergies

Definition of a timeline

Application of M&E system

for planning and implementation

information sharing

strengthening

between government, civil society, research and private sector actors

Downward accountability

Adaptive institutions

Political economy context:

Funding and capacity building

Risk assessment and ranking

Design of strategy and measures

Implementation

Figure 1. Analytical framework: National adaptation planning processes.

•  ImplementaAon  funding:  from?  

•  Timeline  for  implementaAon  of  acAviAes,  including  review  

•  IteraAvely  assess  conflicts  and  synergies  with  naAonal  development  or  sectoral  plans  

•  Engage  monitoring  and  evaluaAon  (M&E)  system  early:  iniAal  focus  on  process  elements  not  outcomes…occur  at  all  scales  and  involve  stakeholders.  

 

Page 12: Agriculture in National Adaptation Plans: Experiences and Lessons Learned

NAP finance

GEF  Council  support  for  NAP  processes  through  LDCF  and  SCCF  

Planning  

Prepatory  acAviAes  

ImplementaAon*  

*  GEF  Council  support  for  these  acAviAes  unclear  at  this  Ame  

Page 13: Agriculture in National Adaptation Plans: Experiences and Lessons Learned

NAP Finance:

Green  Climate  Fund:  

•  Direct  and  enhanced  direct  access  are  potenAal  opAons  under  GCF:  lower  transacAon  costs  +  downward  financial  accountability.  

•  GDF  access  modaliAes  in  process.    

DomesAc  Sources  

•  Can  decrease  dependency  on  fickle  donor  finance,  but  sAll  benefit  from  bilateral  funding  arrangements  

Page 14: Agriculture in National Adaptation Plans: Experiences and Lessons Learned

10

1.2. Research objectives and methods

To structure this report and provide a coherent basis for analysis of adaptation processes across multiple countries and the relationships between national policies and plans and strategies for adapting to climate challenges, an analytical framework was developed (see Figure 1). The design of this framework is intended to allow a ‘dashboard’ view of country progress on process and key NAP policy elements (e.g. integration into existing policies) and, ideally, to provide a framework that can continue to be useful as countries develop and refine their adaptation approaches over time.

The analytic framework was informed by the experiences to date of the 12 countries reviewed as well as the 8 case studies in the UNFCCC report, Compilation of case studies on national adaptation planning processes: Note by the secretariat (UNFCCC 2012a), which provided insight on common criteria and indicators used in national-level adaptation planning. Drawing from these experiences the framework highlights common approaches, while recognizing that the high complexity and cross-sectoral nature of adaptation processes will result in nationally-defined programmes that will exhibit unique qualities and differences due to the variety of vulnerabilities and social, economic and ecological systems.

Planning climate adaptation in agriculture

CCAFS Report No. 10

Stakeholder engagement

Stakeholder consultation

Impacts and vulnerabilities assessed

Tools:

Ranking of risk

Tools:

Identify and/or create institutional structures

Prioritization of activities

Integration with development objectives

Identification of needs

Development of concrete plan

Distribution of responsibilities

Identify conflict and synergies

Definition of a timeline

Application of M&E system

for planning and implementation

information sharing

strengthening

between government, civil society, research and private sector actors

Downward accountability

Adaptive institutions

Political economy context:

Funding and capacity building

Risk assessment and ranking

Design of strategy and measures

Implementation

Figure 1. Analytical framework: National adaptation planning processes.

Stakeholder  engagement  

 Capacity  building  

Page 15: Agriculture in National Adaptation Plans: Experiences and Lessons Learned

National Adaptation Plans (NAPs) and agriculture: A learning workshop

Page 16: Agriculture in National Adaptation Plans: Experiences and Lessons Learned

Key agencies to facilitate NAP integration and cross-sector planning

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Page 17: Agriculture in National Adaptation Plans: Experiences and Lessons Learned

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Page 18: Agriculture in National Adaptation Plans: Experiences and Lessons Learned

Thank you!

Gabrielle Kissinger Principal, Lexeme Consulting

[email protected]

Page 19: Agriculture in National Adaptation Plans: Experiences and Lessons Learned

KENYA: Agriculture in National Adaptation Planning

S M King’uyu Climate Change Secretariat

Ministry of Environment, Water & Natural Resources, Kenya [email protected]/www.kccap.info

COP 19 Side Event The National Stadium - Cracow Room, Warsaw - Poland

Page 20: Agriculture in National Adaptation Plans: Experiences and Lessons Learned

Country status

• Agriculture Sector Development Strategy (ASDS) recognises the threat of climate change and the need to adapt.

• National Climate Change Response Strategy (NCCRS) and National Climate Change Action Plan (NCCAP) prepared through a comprehensive and inclusive process.

•  Main NCCAP deliverable = national low carbon climate resilient development pathway that integrates adaptation, mitigation and sustainable development.

• Prioritisation of adaptation actions.

• Upgrading of adaptation actions in NCCAP into a NAP in progress.

• Some adaptation actions already synthesised and costed.

• Costing of remainder of actions to be undertaken.

13/10/2013   20  KENYA  -­‐  SMK  

Page 21: Agriculture in National Adaptation Plans: Experiences and Lessons Learned

Barriers and successes: SWOT STRENGTHS  •  Experience gained from NCCAP process. •  Broad adaptation actions identified. •  Dedicated TWG. •  Appointment by institutions: Sectoral

ownership? •  Technical diversity of team. •  Representation from across the different

stakeholder categories. Ø Stakeholder ownership.

•  Tested approach to costing. •  Adaptation actions mainstreamed into MTP.

OPPORTUNITIES  •  Learning from past mistakes/ experiences. Ø Examples of best practice and building on

synergy. •  Some demonstrable interest from

development partners. •  New governance dispensation - heating

the iron while hot? Ø Further mainstreaming into planning at all

levels of governance. Ø County integrated development plans.

•  Political goodwill.

WEAKNESSES  •  No  NAPA  experience.  •  Do  all  have  the  requisite  experience.  Ø How  to  deal  with  appointees  without  drive?  

•  Is  representaAon  inclusive  enough?  •  Funding  the  implementaAon?  •  Baseline  data/info?  

THREATS  •  Stakeholders  who  desire  to  accomplish  too  fast?  

•  Does  the  end  jusAfy  the  means?  Ø Which  is  more  important  than  the  other  -­‐  the  end  or  the  means?  

•  Who  represents  who?  

13/10/2013   21  KENYA  -­‐  SMK  

Page 22: Agriculture in National Adaptation Plans: Experiences and Lessons Learned

Mul7-­‐stakeholder  approach  

13/10/2013   22  

NCCAP

Mwananchi Private Sector

Academia

GoK CSOs

Media

Development Partners

KENYA  -­‐  SMK  

§ Stakeholders  are:  Ø Like  fish:    You  catch  them  at  their  own  terms,  not  on  the  fisher’s  terms!  Ø Like  eggs:    You  handle  them  with  care!  We  must  speak  their  language!  

Page 23: Agriculture in National Adaptation Plans: Experiences and Lessons Learned

13/10/2013   KENYA  -­‐  SMK   23  

Integrated/Mul7-­‐sectoral  approach  

Page 24: Agriculture in National Adaptation Plans: Experiences and Lessons Learned

Examples  from  MTP  2013-­‐2017  

•  Foundations of the Economy and Society: . . . a strategy is in place for

modernizing energy infrastructure network, increasing the share of

energy generated from renewable energy sources, and providing energy

that is affordable and reliable to businesses and homes. This will ensure

that our energy supply is adequate and efficient in order to support

increased use in manufacturing, agriculture, services, public facilities and

households.

•  Agriculture & Livestock: The MTP will give top priority to increased

acreage under in irrigation in order to reduce the country’s dependence on

rain fed agriculture. A total of 404,800 hectares will be put under irrigation.

13/10/2013   24  KENYA  -­‐  SMK  

Page 25: Agriculture in National Adaptation Plans: Experiences and Lessons Learned

Examples  from  MTP  2013-­‐2017  

Drought Emergencies and Food Security

•  Increase investment in irrigation to reduce the country’s dependence on rain-fed agriculture.

•  Strategies to mechanize agriculture, revive cooperatives and farmers unions and subsidize farm inputs.

•  Emphasis on value addition in the production and supply chain.

Infrastructure

•  Cheaper and adequate electricity; local and regional rail and road networks that provide safe, efficient and cost effective transport;

•  Adequate water for households and industry; affordable quality housing and sustainable environmental management.

•  Integrate the SDGs for the post 2015.

13/10/2013   25  KENYA  -­‐  SMK  

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13/10/2013  

Thank you! 26   KENYA  -­‐  SMK  

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Ali Tauqueer Sheikh Asia Director, Climate and Development Knowledge Network (CDKN) CEO of LEAD Pakistan

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Robert Zougmoré West Africa Regional Program Leader CGIAR Research Program on Climate Change, Agriculture and Food Security (CCAFS)

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CCAFS  SIDE  EVENT:      

Agriculture  in  Na7onal  Adapta7on  Plans:  Experiences  and  Lessons  Learned    

www.ccafs.cgiar.org