agneya\'s newsletter on renewable energy sector and rec market in india
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Horizons V2 Issue 5TRANSCRIPT
The need for off-grid Power
According to the International Energy Agency, about one third of India’s
population lacks access to electricity. High cost associated with grid
extension is the primary reason for lower electrification rates in rural India.
Most of rural India is dependent on biomass for fulfilling its energy needs.
However, burning biomass comes with several hazards to personal health
and the environment.
In July this year, three of India’s regional power grids, the Northern, Eastern
and North-eastern grids, collapsed due to overdrawal by States. This has
brought additional attention to the need for reducing dependence on
conventional sources of energy. Off-grid renewable energy applications
present a viable alternative for mitigating the country’s energy risk in the face
of fuel scarcity.
HORIZONS
agneya
Off-grid Power
Off-grid renewable power projects using wind energy, biomass energy, hydro
power and hybrid systems are being established in the country to meet the
energy requirements of remote locations which are not likely to be electrified
in the near future.
29 August, 2012
Source: CIA World Factbook
Per capita electricity
generation in India has been
low compared to other
countries and has also grown
at a slower rate in the past
decade. With the economy
expected to grow faster than
the developed countries, this
disparity needs to be bridged
using a suitable mix of
conventional and renewable
technologies.
0.4 0.5 0.6
1.8 1.8 2.2
0.9 1.5 2.6
13.1 13.0 13.1
2000 2005 2011
Electricity Generation (MWh per Capita)
India Brazil China US
Volume 2 Issue 5
2
Financing
Commercials
Technology
Renewable technologies for off-grid solutions
In rural India, energy is mainly required for cooking, lighting and agricultural
activities. Biomass is the main source of energy due to easy availability. To
reduce negative impacts of biomass and to increase the production of
renewable energy, the Government has implemented several programmes.
For example, the National Programme on Improved Chullahs where more
than 3 crores high efficiency Chullahs have been distributed to replace
conventional ones. Biomass gasifier technology is being used for electricity
generation.
Off-grid RE capacity
Around 87% of the off-grid
installed capacity in the
country comes from biomass
(including Waste to Energy).
Solar PV installations have
increased rapidly from just 4
MW by 31st January last year
to 97 MW as of July 2012.
Installations of Aero-
generators and Hybrid
systems have also doubled
since. Falling prices of
photovoltaic cells in the last
two years have increased the
viability of solar energy
projects.
106
396
153
297
Installed Capacity (MW)
Waste to Energy
Biomass(non-bagasse) Cogeneration
Biomass Gasifiers
Aero-Generators/Hybrid systems
SPV Systems (>1kW)
With the advent of solar hybrid systems,
urban India too is catching up. In these
systems, solar PV modules charge the
battery during day time while during
monsoon WEGs charge the battery.
Although current installed capacity of
these systems is very low, it is expected
that these systems will grow in areas with
good wind potential.
Source: MNRE, July 2012
849
1651
2009 2012
Aero-Generators/Wind hybrid
Cumulative installed Capacity (kW)
Renewable Energy Certificates for off-grid projects
Falling cost of solar energy has stimulated many entrepreneurs who are
trying to develop scalable and replicable models for deploying solar energy
in various applications. Mera Gao Power is one such example. It operates
micro grids by installing solar PV panels and then transmits energy to
houses who pay about Rs. 40 to connect, with costs thereafter about Rs. 25
per week.
In a recent meeting of the Forum of Regulators, a new model for
incorporating RECs to encourage off-grid energy generation was endorsed.
It has been suggested to the CERC to modify existing regulations to
incorporate off-grid installations. This can give a big impetus to off-grid
installations in the country – we can expect many entrepreneurs taking
interest in setting up off-grid projects. If this happens, we can hope to see the
Gandhian model of self-reliance become a reality in the energy sector.
Source: MNRE
REC Trade August 2012
Buy Bids Sell Bids Volume Traded Clearing Price Rs. per REC
Non-Solar
IEX 248,168 568,097 248,168 1,500
PXIL 35,150 59,213 25,725 1,555
Solar
IEX 1,728 310 129 12,850
PXIL 603 250 250 12,850
25
46
96 106 112
172
206 200
71
169
236
158
274
-
500
1,000
1,500
2,000
2,500
3,000
3,500
-
50
100
150
200
250
300
Aug 2011
Sept 2011
Oct 2011 Nov 2011
Dec 2011
Jan 2012
Feb 2012
Mar 2012
April 2012
May 2012
June 2012
July 2012
August 2012
IEX and PXIL Whole Volume Trade in Thousands Price at IEX (RHS) Price at PXIL (RHS)
3
REC Market in August 2012
RE Newsletter
Traded Volume touches new High
The REC trade in August 2012 recorded the highest volume ever transacted in the
REC Markets to date. At 273,893 certificates, the volume of Non-solar RECs traded
was 14% higher than the previous high in June this year. Prices however dropped to
Rs.1500/- with supply far outstripping demand.
REC Inventory
Source: REC Registry
REC inventory reaches
record high
With highest ever RECs issued in
the month, REC closing inventory
reached a new high in August
2012.
Whereas, sell bids in this month
were almost half of the sell bids
in the entire last year, buy bids
were only about one tenth of the
total buy bids last year.
While the Government has
successfully incentivized sellers
of RECs, further effort needs to
be made to enforce compliance
of RPO.
3,97,941
5,67,220
4,43,172
2,73,893
REC Inventory Aug 2012
agneya
287
113
172
384
271
149
93
158
73
335
106
250
62
0
500
1000
1500
2000
2500
3000
3500
0
100
200
300
400
500
600Capacity Registered, MW
Cum. Registered till Date(RHS) Registered
State-wise Registered
Capacity, April 2012 to
date
State MW Tamil Nadu 310 Maharashtra 206 Gujarat 135
Karnataka 102 Madhya Pradesh 21 Uttar Pradesh 20
Rajasthan 17 Chhattisgarh 12 Himachal Pradesh 3
Punjab 0 Uttarakhand 0 Kerala 0
J&K 0 Haryana 0 Total 826
Source-wise Registered
Capacity, April 2012 to
date
Source MW Wind 664 Biomass 82 Bio-fuel cogen 58
Solar PV 18 Small Hydro 4 Total 826
4
Trade value touched Rs. 41 Crore in August 2012. In total, 61.85 MW of capacity
was registered in August, taking the cumulative capacity registered in FY2012-13
to 826 MW.
agneya
Agneya is promoted by alumni of IIM Ahmedabad and IIM Bangalore. We provide services in the following areas –
Renewable Energy – advising clients on the best possible portfolio of renewable energy (wind, solar, bio) across tariff regimes,
technology options, electricity sales structuring and availing incentives like REC and GBI.
Renewable Energy Regulations – advising clients on regulatory aspects of electricity market, options for realizing the maximum
value from their energy assets and minimizing costs related to regulatory compliance including addressing RPO.
Carbon & Energy – measuring carbon footprint, current/future energy profiling, and setting up energy management systems to
assess risks and opportunities related to energy security and climate change.
Sustainability – building robust long term foundations for business i.e. managing economic, environmental and social aspects of
business. These include establishing sustainability management framework and reporting as per GRI guidelines.
For further information on Renewable Energy Certificates or other services, please contact us at –
E-mail – [email protected] | Phone – +91-20-41203800, +91-88 06 07 07 83 | Website – www.agneya.in
Source: REC Registry