african economic development spring 2007 independent african states lecture by dr r. serra
TRANSCRIPT
African Economic DevelopmentSpring 2007
Independent African statesLecture by Dr R. Serra
The 1960s: single party states
Move towards one-party regimes1. Poor economies → low revenues → state inability to deliver
public goods → high frustration on the part of the populations2. State as the only means for personal gains → politicization of
ethnicity Leaders consolidate power, and soon prevent opposition to
operate– Bureaucracies and armies were given immense powers– State management of the economy through para-statals
Leaders ensured internal control through:– Patronage devices and exchange of favors (patrimonialism)– Outright repression
The 1970s: military regimes and the onset of economic crisis
Politically, many countries had coups d’etat staged by the army:– Multiple justifications for military interventions, with one result!– 85 successful coups during 1960-2002 in 35 countries
Economically, this was the start of the economic crisis Internal reasons
– Excessive state control of the economy– Oversized bureaucracies– Low institutional/administrative capacity– Corruption of rulers and their associates
External reasons– Declining terms of trade: collapse of commodity prices– Oil crises (most countries imported oil except Nigeria, Angola and
Gabon)
The 1980s: economic crisis and SAP
1980-85: real GDP per-capita fell at an average of 2.3% yearly Absolute poverty increased dramatically (45% of the SSA
population on average was poor in 1985) The infrastructures (transport systems, schools, hospitals,
services to agriculture) became obsolete Increasing population growth rates deteriorated the situation
even more States’ external debt became huge and unsustainable:
– by 1990 40% of export earning went to pay interest Mid 1980s: most African nations were in such desperate
conditions that they turned to IFIs (while trying to avoiding them until then)
The 1990s: democratization and economic recovery
Favorable circumstances– The economic crisis had weakened authoritarian regimes– The fall of Berlin wall and end of cold war– International democratization waves
1989-90: multi-racial elections in Namibia and independence
1990: release of Nelson Mandela from prison 1991-95: Popular uprisings in most African countries
– 30 multi-party elections across the continent Political liberalization but “hybrid” political systems
The 1990s (cont’d)
Early and mid-90s: – great hope and excitement – positive economic growth rates; economic
reforms
Late 1990s: – reversal of democratic trends in several countries – economic downturns– rising inequalities and persistent poverty
The new Millenium
Guarded optimism if any!– Formal democracy different from real democratic change– Widespread economic improvement needed for long-term
political stability Some optimistic situations:
– Ghana, Uganda, Tanzania, Mozambique, Liberia Some reversals:
– Côte d’Ivoire, Chad Crucial challenges:
– South Africa, Nigeria