africa geothermal - center of excellence (ag-coe) feasibility study summary supported by: conducted...
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Africa Geothermal - Center of Excellence (AG-CoE) Feasibility
Study SummarySupported by:
Conducted by:
Funded by:
PI Feasibility Study Stages1) Catalog of the Needs: regional geothermal development needs related to power generation and direct uses in order to build capacity in the sector. 2) Assessing the Feasibility: long-term sustainability in establishing a regional geothermal AG-CoE in Kenya, through collaboration with Stakeholders as partners:
National Partners (Ministry, Utility, R&D facility, etc.) Regional Partners (UNEP/ARGeo, AUC, EARC, etc.) International Donor Partners (WB, ICEIDA, USAID, KfW AFD, DfID, etc.) Private Sector Developers and Service Partners (Ormat, GDA, Ram Energy,
Baker Hughes, GeothermEx, etc) Academic, Training & Association Partners (UNU, Universities, Geothermal
Associations, Centers of Excellence, etc.)
3) Draft AG-CoE Vision: Board of Trustee’s governance, Director and staff/facility requirements, proposed phased schedule, estimated budget, etc.
4) Validation Workshop: National & Donor buy-in for establishing the AG-CoE. Towards this goal, a Validation Workshop will be conducted August 12-13th.
Rational/Justification for the AG-CoE
Cataloging the Needs
Why an African-Based AG-CoE?
Presently 500+ MW of installed geothermal capacity with expected 1550+ MW increase by 2022, requiring a substantial increase in African geothermal expertise.
Over US$2.5 Billion in donor financing allocated to East Africa geothermal development; stakeholders need to collaborate efforts with regard to build capacity in the region.
Need for state-of-art lab facilities, equipment and hardware/software to achieve African geothermal development goals.
Student Assessed Need
Student Questionnaire:34 respondents of World Congress and UNU students (in which 16 from Africa, 10 from Asia, 5 Latin America, and 3 from Europe) . Key Interests are:
Survey planning, field work and data interpretation & geological modeling,
Exploration drilling, planning, budgeting and managing of drilling operations and data acquisition, understanding of the codes,
Preparing proposals and feasibility studies and PPAs
Almost all students have computer & high speed internet access
A majority said they would value online and e-Library resources
Stakeholder Questionnaires:44 respondents from Stakeholders (i.e. National Entities, Regional Entities, International Donors, Private Sector Developer, and other contributors to geothermal capacity building).
Meeting and Conference Calls with Stakeholders:Meet with 14 National Entities 3 Regional Entities, 17 International Donors, 2 Private Sector, and over 10 others.
Feedback:
Location of AG-CoERole of the AG-CoESustainability of AG-CoE
Stakeholder Assessed Need
Location of CoE Kenya Location:
◦ Most agree that the CoE should be based in Kenya but with a regional focus.
◦ GDC and KenGen both have experience in providing practical short-term training and technical assistance in the region.
◦ GDC and KenGen both have extensive laboratory facilities.
◦ GDC and KenGen both have technical capabilities to meet training and exploration needs.
◦ KenGen and IPPs have extensive Power Generation facilities.
◦ Direct Use developments are actively being perused by both KenGen, GDC, and private sector developers.
Role of AG-CoE
Able to provide:
Training: Short-term targeted courses Practical hands-on technical training Internships
Access to: geochemical lab & equipment geophysical equipment drilling and power plant simulators
Instruction in: data acquisition and management analysis software tools
AG-CoE Sustainability
Possible Funding Sources for the AG-CoE:
Host-Country – in-kind Kenya hosting support
National – Trainee payees, fee Payees for service/equipment
Bilateral and International - Donor support (scholarships) & equipment financing (lab and similators)
Private Sector Developer – Trainee payees and Internships providers
Service Providers & Equipment Providers - Fees to the for CoE organized training
Proposed Mission & Objectives
The mission of the AG-CoE aims to facilitate and accelerate the development of geothermal resources in Africa by serving both common and country-specific capacity building needs.
Objective 1: Develop curriculum & CoE Training Plans that can be re-used and customized to satisfy country-specific needs.
Reduce member-country costs Rapidly scale-up and maintain skilled geothermal workforce
Objective 2: Provide access to shared specialized equipment, facilities, and technology.
Avoid duplicated high upfront expenses Share competencies and skills amongst member-countries
Objective 3: Facilitate stakeholder collaboration & knowledge sharing. Helps coordinate multiple donor agencies Expands and builds data- and knowledge-base
Proposed Objective #1Develop curriculum & CoE Training Plans that can be re-used
and customized to satisfy country-specific needs
Work with member-countries to develop tailored AG-CoE Training Plans building upon the results of the ARGeo gap analysis.
Create, maintain and deliver base/core courses and targeted curriculum.
Provide practical, “real world” training opportunities (e.g., internships and hands-on) from the AG-CoE-coordinated international geothermal community.
Foster academic relationships and curriculum development with universities and other training institutions located in member-countries and overseas.
Provide e-Learning capabilities to be used by both AG-CoE students and graduates (on-the-job training, continuing education) that leverage a worldwide network of geothermal experts.
Proposed Objective #2
Provide access to shared specialized equipment, facilities, and technology
Coordinate access to lab capabilities present at the AG-CoE’s lab as well as collaboration with member-country lab facilities.
Provide access to value-added services such as analytical capabilities and experts consultants that may be located both regionally and worldwide.
Facilitate access to shared field equipment on a loan, rental, or other arrangement.
Provide a state-of-the art e-Learning platform to facilitate distance learning, data acquisition and knowledge sharing.
Proposed Objective #3
Facilitate stakeholder collaboration & knowledge sharing
Based on member-country specific training needs, tap into donor provided training and support programs.
Develop and provide simulator-based training in drilling and power plant operation/management; coordinate training of these shared tools.
For CoE-supported modeling tools (e.g. Leap Frog), negotiate licensing arrangements for member-countries; provide re-usable tool training courses; and facilitate on-going, best-practice use and analytical support.
Facilitate the development, use and maintenance of a common internal data management and sharing capability. The data can then be easily provided to selected potential developers/investors.
Establish drilling and geothermal resource testing codes to standardize exploration practices and provide a common regional vocabulary and method of calculating geothermal resource capacity to promote project investment/development.
Content and Facility
Assessing & Addressing a Feasible Business Model
Based on the Needs & Objectives
CoE will help Countries to develop a tailored CoE Training Plan, building upon the results of the ARGeo gap analysis, that includes:
CoE Trainings: Short duration (1 to 2 weeks–2 months) Medium duration (2-4 months) E-Learning (Blended Learning)
Collaborations with Stakeholders Trainings: Long duration (4 months–1 year at affiliated institutions) University linkages (giving certificate level accreditation with
Universities) Internships (regional/International with public & private
sector)
CoE Country Plans.
Different Countries Needs
1) Countries with plans to generate power from geothermal energy resource in the next 5 Years:
Kenya Ethiopia Djibouti Comoros Tanzania
2) Countries with plans to identify geothermal prospect areas including drilling in the next 5 years:
Rwanda Burundi Eritrea Zambia Democratic Republic of
Congo (DRC) Malawi Mozambique Uganda
Demand-Driven NeedsShort-Term Targeted Training: Geology Geochemistry Geophysics Reservoir modeling Geodata collection, GIS,
management Environmental management,
policies, climate change Legal, policy/regulatory issues Project formulation, appraisal,
negotiation, approval, management
Drilling engineering, planning & budgeting
Reservoir engineering and field operations
Power plant design, construction, mgt., O&M
Transmission line planning, construction
Business principles, economic analysis, finance and PPAs
Proposal Tender & Contracting Models for public, private sector
participation Direct use applications, planning,
implementation
Interdisciplinary Capacity-Building Curriculum
Short-term targeted training
Internships University Linkages
State-of-the-art geochemical laboratory facility designed to provide:◦ Practical training in field sampling and sample analysis. ◦ Laboratory value-added support to countries
The facility is envisioned to serve as a clearinghouse:◦ Provision of tools and technical assistance in geophysical
analysis.
CoE Training Lab, Analysis & Equipment Support
Future Envisioned Facilities Administrative block which shall house CoE administrative offices.
Workshops where hands-on instruction.
Lecture classrooms for theoretical student training.
Laboratory that can be used for training students.
ICT e-Learning & data center.
Accommodation for students and staff.
Kitchen and dining room facilities.
Function room for conferences and social events
AG-CoE ITC Vision
AG-CoE Learning Management
LMS
DMSS
AG-CoEMember-Countries,
Stakeholder Systems
• Shared data, content• Secure, permission-based• Project, industry, country info• Open standards
AG-CoE Facility (Kenya)
AG-CoE Cloud
Students
Instructors
Administration
Visitors
Students
Instructors
Experts
Consultants
Global Online AG-CoE users
LMS = Learning Management SystemDMSS = Data Management and Sharing SystemGeoApps = Modeling, Visualization, Simulation…
(Home)
(Conference)(Workshop)
(Seminar)
(Work, job)
Learning Instructors
(Universities)
Professors
Consultants
• Public access• Secure Member-Country access
• New courses• Course sharing (leverage)• Distance participation• Collaboration (experts)
Researchers
(Labs)
(Internships)
(Courses)
(NGOs)
(Other AG-CoEs)
Subject Matter Experts
(Seminar)
(Workshop)
(Equipment Manufacturers)
GeoApps
Learning Resources
Mobile Device Web
browser
Organization & Governance
Structure
Assessing & Addressing the CoE Vision & Mission
Africa GeothermalCoE Action Plan & Roadmap
Summit - Northern Corridor Integration Projects: February 2014, there was an agreement between regional Presidents (Kenya, Uganda & Rwanda) in which the President of Kenya committed to establishing an Africa Geothermal Center of Excellence in Kenya, to be located at GDC with a satellite campus with KenGen, with the goal to help fast track training for geothermal experts in the region.
AUC Action Plan and Roadmap: Since 2010, the concept of a regional CoE has been discussed in the region. More recently at the 3rd AUC geothermal donor coordination meeting held in Iceland in May 2014, the participants agreed that: There is an urgent need for Regional Capacity Building Program to build the required geothermal capacity in the region.”
Recommended Governance Autonomously managed CoE working collaboratively with training institutions,
donors/lenders, private sector companies, universities and other capacity building agencies
Recommended Governance Structure:
Steering Committee: Under the guidance of the African Union Commission as Chair, the Committee shall comprise AUC, UNEP, GDC, KenGen and UNU.
Advisory Committees: Committee members can come from member-countries and outside agencies. Subcommittees may be formed as needed, but kept small in size, for example:
◦ Training & Curriculum (course content, standards and equivalency certificates and diplomas).
◦ ICT & e-Learning◦ Laboratory & Standards for Accreditation◦ Facilities & Equipment ◦ Direct-Uses
Recommended CoE Secretariat: The AG-CoE should have a small independently run permanent staff including the following:
Director (overall admin, curriculum, donor coordination and assistance with country-specific master CoE Training Plans)
Curriculum Manager (support regarding curriculum/master CoE Training Plans)
Geoscience Learning Manager (geology, geochemistry, geophysics department head)
ICT Learning Manager (e-distance learning, data management and information dissemination)
Technology Technician (Geo web site/Portal systems; Audio/Visual, equipment, etc.),
Administrative Manager (assistant, secretary. Accountant, etc.)
Support Personnel/Experts/Instructors: Physical and/or virtual courses and expert technical assistance from Stakeholders (see next slide).
Administration & Support
Stakeholder Collaboration NationalMinistries of energy and geothermal-related divisions in African countries that have hosted trainings and/or sent their staff for regional/international trainings that have helped build internal capacity in relation to technical, economic, financial, legal, regulatory know-how that has promoted the development of geothermal resources in their respective countries.
RegionalRegional players such as AUC, ARGeo/UNEP, EARC have been active in providing on-going training and support mechanisms to forward geothermal developments.
International Donor
Donor agencies have invested billions in financial and technical support toward capacity building and the development of geothermal resources in the region.
Private SectorPrivate Sector project developers are in need of trained staff in the field, such as exploration geologists, geochemists and geophysicists, drilling personal and drilling managers, reservoir engineers, power plant designers and operators, etc. Foreign imported labor increases project costs.
Other Agencies & Associations
Academia, capacity building programs and other centers such as Africa and International Universities, AG-CoEs Internationally, and Associations such as IGA, GEA and GRC’s Workshop & Programs.
AG-CoE Student Selection
Demand-driven, based on countries/private developers needing trained manpower
Solution provider, tailored to provide country-specific training plans that address needs as determined by the ARGeo Gap Analyses
Priority should be given to eligible women candidates. Geothermal training programs on average have about 30-40% females students. It is expected the gender balance in the CoE shall be approximately the same.
Estimated budget/cost of CoE
Assessing & Addressing a Feasible Financial Business Model
Based on the CoE Framework
AG-CoE 5-Year Budget ($14.2 M)
PLAN; 735000; 5%
STAFF; 1725000
; 12%
FACIL-ITY;
590000; 4%
ITC; 517287.5; 4%
OTHER; 1325000
; 9%
LAB; 1319500
; 9%
TRAINING; 8000000; 56%
5-Year Budget by Category ($14.2M USD)
PLANSTAFFFACILITYITCOTHERLABTRAINING
AG-CoE 5-Year Budget ($14.2 M)
2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 TOTAL$0.0
$2.0
$4.0
$6.0
$8.0
$10.0
$12.0
$14.0
$16.0
$0.3
$2.9 $2.8 $3.2 $3.3
$12.4
$0.0
$0.4 $1.3 $0.1 $0.1
$1.8
5-Year Budget by Expense Type
CAPEXOPEX
Expense (
$M
USD
)
Lab, field equip.
Annual Operating Budget = ~$3.3M USD per Year
Funding Startup in-kind support from GoK
Initial Financial support to be requested from multilateral, bilateral donor/lending agencies (such as: AfDB, WB, UNEP, UNDP, JICA, KfW, ICEIDA, AFD, DFID, SIDA, NORAD, BGR, CIDA, USAID, DANIDA, FES, EU, other)
Ongoing financing from tuition fees, rental fees, service fees, dues from member-countries, donor scholarships, etc.
Sustainability Business Models Training Income
• Course registration fees?
Donor Contributions• Training Assistance – tuition help, scholarships?• OPEX grants?• CAPEX grants?
Power Production Royalties• Percentage of gross sales?• Charge per MWH generated?• Finance all or part of CoE cash flow needs?
In-kind Contributions• Lab/field equipment; instructors; training materials/curriculum;
facilities?• GDC, KenGen, UNU, Others?
PI TeamDr. Gordon Bloomquist
Mr. Jeff PonsnessMr. Martin MwangiMr. Stephen HirschMs. Tracy Mathieu
Partnership International3050 “P” Street NW; Washington, DC 20007 USA
Tel: +1 202 333 [email protected]
www.Partnership-International.com
Thanks for your Interest