AESD MULTI-YEAR SCHOOL INFRASTRUCTURE PLANNING REVIEW

May 2018

OBJECTIVE

Examine existing school infrastructure in terms of:

Demographics and projected enrolments;

Resourcing;

Capacity and utilization

Recommend 2019 – 2020 Capital and Major Capital projects

Major Capital Projects including Midlife Upgrades, Consolidations

Capital Projects

AESD DEMOGRAPHICS

Enrolment over past 5 years

Future Projected Enrolment

Births

Migration

Capture Rate

AESD ENROLMENT CHANGESDistrict Enrolment Sept

2016

Enrolment Sept

2017

Change in

Enrolment

% Change in

Enrolment

AESD 15,614 15,684 +70 .45%

District Enrolment Sept

2017

Projected

Enrolment Sept

2018

Change in

Enrolment from

2017

% Change in

Enrolment

AESD 15,684 15,787 +103 .65%

AESD PAST AND PROJECTED ENROLMENT

From Baragar Systems

BIRTHS IN DISTRICT

BIRTHS IN DISTRICT

MIGRATION PROJECTIONS

CAPTURE RATES

CAPACITY AND UTILIZATION

Overall Capacity

Excess Capacity

Percentage Utilization

PROVINCIAL PICTURE

OVERALL CAPACITY AND UTILIZATION

Enrolment Capacity Excess Capacity Utilization

Anglophone* 68,797 116,161 47,239 59%

AESD 15,661 23,784 8,123 66%

*Data from EECD

2017Summary Statistics

CAPACITY AND UTILIZATION

As defined by OOC…

Capacity = Avg. class size * Teaching Stations

Identified number of teaching stations

Elementary: Includes classrooms and excludes specialized instructional classrooms (e.g. music room)

Middle: Includes classrooms and excludes specialized instructional classrooms (e.g. music, arts, family studies, technology and sciences)

High School: all instructional space included in capacity (e.g. classrooms, labs, physical education, art etc.)

Applied 80% factor at High School to reflect impact of all types of courses and variability in student course selection

CAPACITY AND UTILIZATION

Number of students per teaching station based on maximums established in collective agreement

K-2 21

3 26

4-6 28

7-12 29

Overall capacity indicates number of students a given school could hold if all classes were at maximum capacity based on above.

SCHOOL CAPACITYSchool Teaching

Stations

Factor

Applied

Average

Maximum

Capacity

Arnold H. McLeod School *P 17 23.4 398

Beaverbrook School ** 18 26.7 481

Bernice MacNaughton High School 49 80% 29 1137

Bessborough School P 25 25.7 643

Birchmount School P 27 25.7 694

Caledonia Regional High School 38 80% 28.5 866

Claude D. Taylor School 24 24.2 581

Dorchester Consolidated School 12 25.7 308

Edith Cavell School 22 25.7 565

Evergreen Park School 36 25.7 925

Forest Glen School P 20 23.4 468

Frank L. Bowser School 18 24.2 436

SCHOOL CAPACITYSchool Teaching

Stations

Factor

Applied

Average

Maximum

Capacity

Harrison Trimble High School 67 80% 29 1554

Havelock School 6 24.2 145

Hillcrest School P 13 25.7 334Hillsborough Elementary

School P 11 24.2 266JMA Armstrong-Salisbury

Middle 42 80% 28.5 958

Lewisville Middle School 18 28.5 513

Lou MacNarin School 26 24.2 629

Magnetic Hill School P 24 25.7 617

Marshview Middle School 22 28.5 627

Moncton High School 56 80% 29 1299

Mountain View School P 6 24.2 145

Northop Frye P 27 25.7 694

Petitcodiac Regional School*** 44 80% 26.7 1071

Port Elgin Regional School 15 25.7 386

SCHOOL CAPACITYSchool Teaching

Stations

Factor

Applied

Average

Maximum

Capacity

Queen Elizabeth School P 26 25.7 668

Riverside Consolidated School 10 24.2 242

Riverview East School P 27 25.7 694

Riverview High School 59 80% 29 1369

Riverview Middle School 33 28.5 941

Salem Elementary School P 20 23.4 468

Salisbury Elementary School P 17 23.4 398

Shediac Cape School P 15 25.7 386

Sunny Brae Middle School 14 28.5 399

Tantramar Regional High School 44 80% 29 1021

West Riverview School 19 24.2 460

EXCESS CAPACITY AND UTILIZATION SEPT 30/17School Capacity Enrolment Excess

Capacity

% Utilization

Arnold H. McLeod School * 398 336 62 84%

Beaverbrook School ** 481181

300 38%

Bernice MacNaughton High

School 1137791

346 70%

Bessborough School 643508

135 79%

Birchmount School 694491

203 71%

Caledonia Regional High

School 866276

590 32%

Claude D. Taylor School 581290

291 50%

Dorchester Consolidated

School 30864

244 21%

Edith Cavell School 565271

294 48%

Evergreen Park School 925764

161 83%

Forest Glen School 468318

150 68%

Frank L. Bowser School 436301

135 69%

DeclineIncrease

Below 50%

EXCESS CAPACITY AND UTILIZATION SEPT 30/17School Capacity Enrolment Excess

Capacity

% Utilization

Harrison Trimble High School 15541006

548 65%

Havelock School 145124

21 86%

Hillcrest School 334159

175 48%

Hillsborough Elementary

School 266153

113 58%

JMA Armstrong-Salisbury

Middle 958596

362 62%

Lewisville Middle School 513365

148 71%

Lou MacNarin School 629406

223 65%

Magnetic Hill School 617412

205 67%

Marshview Middle School 627275

352 44%

Moncton High School 12991193

106 92%

Mountain View School 145102

43 70%

Northop Frye 694773

-79 111%

Petitcodiac Regional

School*** 1071591

480 55%

EXCESS CAPACITY AND UTILIZATION SEPT 30/17School Capacity Enrolment Excess

Capacity

% Utilization

Port Elgin Regional School 386168

218 44%

Queen Elizabeth School 668356

312 53%

Riverside Consolidated

School 24247

195 19%

Riverview East School 694633

61 91%

Riverview High School 13691120

249 82%

Riverview Middle School 941525

416 56%

Salem Elementary School 468367

101 78%

Salisbury Elementary School 398369

29 93%

Shediac Cape School 386303

83 78%

Sunny Brae Middle School 399302

97 76%

Tantramar Regional High

School 1021423

598 41%

West Riverview School 460302

158 66%

DEFERRED MAINTENANCE COSTS MAY 1, 2018Deferred maintenance – Capital Items on School Physical Plant Database

There are 434 projects identified on the list at apx $57,906,600.00

Average of schools in district approximately 49 years of age

Capital projects are identified by: Facilities Department

School Principals and Custodians

3rd Party Inspectors

EECD

DTI

DEFERRED MAINTENANCE COSTSSchool Deferred Maintenance

Cost

Square Meters

Arnold H. McLeod School

$1,522,0003098.00

Beaverbrook School

$3,499,0004359.00

Bernice MacNaughton High School

$1,037,00015107.00

Bessborough School

$2,623,6005694.00

Birchmount School

$2,476,0005552.00

Caledonia Regional High School

$2,340,0007296.00

Claude D. Taylor School

$2,357,0004691.00

Dorchester Consolidated School

$1,652,0002322.00

Edith Cavell School

$787,0005908.00

Evergreen Park School

07850.00

Forest Glen School

$1,486,0003463.00

Frank L. Bowser School

$855,0003734.00

DEFERRED MAINTENANCE COSTSSchool Deferred Maintenance

Cost

Square Meters

Harrison Trimble High School

$2,305,00015653.00

Havelock School

01780.00

Hillcrest School

$1,608,0003594.00

Hillsborough Elementary School

$1,354,0002425.00

JMA Armstrong-Salisbury Middle

$2,274,0008983.00

Lewisville Middle School

$2,025,0006008.00

Lou MacNarin School

$150,0006121.00

Magnetic Hill School

$1,328,0005109.00

Marshview Middle School

$2,344,0007245.00

Moncton High School

017,391

Mountain View School

$901,0001142.00

Northop Frye

09003.00

Petitcodiac Regional School

$2,567,0008122.00

DEFERRED MAINTENANCE COSTSSchool Deferred Maintenance

Cost

Square Meters

Port Elgin Regional School

$1,528,0003590.00

Queen Elizabeth School

$977,0005196.00

Riverside Consolidated School

$1,205,0002269.00

Riverview East School

010228

Riverview High School

$3,388,00017230.00

Riverview Middle School

$3,121,00012423.00

Salem Elementary School

$1,420,0004353.00

Salisbury Elementary School

$2,055,0004582.00

Shediac Cape School

$435,0003939.00

Sunny Brae Middle School

$2,550,0003973.00

Tantramar Regional High School

$1,840,00013482.00

West Riverview School

$1,897,0003439.00

MAJOR CAPITAL PROJECTSLarge projects that are often multi-year in scope

Are usually projects of a $1,000,000 or more and funded over many fiscal periods

Include:

New Additions

New Schools

Midlife Upgrades

AESD MAJOR CAPITAL PROJECTS APPROVED18/19School Project Budget Amount

Approved for

2018/19

Equipment

Budget 2018/19

North End Middle

School

New School $20,057,000 $285,000

HTHS Midlife Upgrade $3,451,000 $100,000

Petitcodiac Shops

Addition

Addition $1,150,000 $115,000

New West End School New School $1,500,000 NA

AESD MAJOR CAPITAL PROJECT CONSIDERATIONSSchool Project Enrollment

Projections

2030

Enrollment

Utilization

Long Term

Need in

Community

Salisbury Elementary

School

New School Stable 93% Yes

Sackville Area

Schools

To be determined –

409 process in fall

Decline 41%, 44%,

21%, 78%

Yes

Riverview High

School

Midlife Upgrade Stable 82% Yes

Birchmount School Midlife Upgrade or

Replacement

Stable 71% Yes

Riverview East Addition for growth Stable 91% Yes

Sunny Brae, Forest

Glen, Mountain View

Consolidation of 3

schools into 1 K-8

Stable 74%,70%,

68%

Yes

New Metro High

School

New School Growth 4 HS’s are at

comfort

capacity

Yes

CAPITAL PROJECTS

The District prioritizes projects based on Priority #1 – relates to occupant health and safety, facility shutdown and asset loss or deterioration.

Priority #2 – essential work that may have major repercussions on and/or is detrimental to the functioning of the school and/or the comfort of the occupants, but which does not represent any danger to health and/or safety.

Priority #3 – important work that may have certain repercussions on and/or is detrimental to the functioning of the school and/or the comfort of the occupants but which does not represent any danger to health and/or safety.

Capital Projects are $1,000,000 or less and funded over one fiscal period

Include: Roof replacements

Mechanical and Electrical

Building Envelop Exterior

Building Interior

Fire Codes

Accessibility

AESD CAPITAL PROJECTS RECOMMENDED 19/20School Project Estimated Cost District Priority

Hillsborough Elementary School (ASD-E) Lift/Elevator $250,000.00 1

Magnetic Hill School (ASD-E) Washrooms $150,000.00 11

Shediac Cape School (ASD-E) Washrooms $270,000.00 12

Claude D. Taylor School (ASD-E) Heating and Ventilation Maintenance $696,000.00 2

Riverview Middle School (ASD-E) Communication System $80,000.00 6

Arnold H MacLeod School (ASD-E) Communication System $35,000.00 7

Claude D. Taylor School (ASD-E) Communication System $50,000.00 8

Caledonia Regional School (ASD-E) Communication System $60,000.00 9

J.M.A. Armstrong/Salisbury Middle School (ASD-E) Replace leaking cooling tower. $120,000.00 3

J.M.A. Armstrong/Salisbury Middle School (ASD-E) Heating and Ventilation Heat Pumps $450,000.00 5

J.M.A. Armstrong/Salisbury Middle School (ASD-E) Site Improvement $450,000.00 13

Arnold H MacLeod School (ASD-E) Building Envelope Exterior and Repointing $340,000.00 10

Petitcodiac Regional School Fire Sprinkler Pump House $600,000 4

Total $2,951,000.00

AESD ROOF PROJECTS RECOMMENDED19/20

School Project Estimated Cost District Priority

Claude D. Taylor School (ASD-E) Roof Replacement $325,000.00 20

Claude D. Taylor School (ASD-E) Roof Replacement $100,000.00 22

Tantramar Regional School (ASD-E) Roof Replacement $350,000 90,91,92

TOTAL$775,000

OPERATIONAL FEASIBILITY STUDIES FOR CONSIDERATION

There is a potential project that would benefit from a consultants review to determine the operational feasibility and the fiscal payback of consolidating schools.

Project – Consolidate Riverview Middle with Frank L. Bowser and build a new K-8 school.

Both facilities are old and lacking modern day curriculum standards.

There is $3,976,000 in outstanding deferred maintenance projects.

Combined enrollment today is 837. Ten year projection enrollment settles at 644 going forward.