Workshop on Disaster Resilient Cities: Advances in Meteorological Forecasting

and Hazards Assessment Le Méridien Kuala Lumpur, Malaysia

28 & 29 June 2018

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INTRODUCTION

The workshop on “Disaster Resilient Cities: Advances in Meteorological Forecasting and Hazards Assessment” is part of the Newton-Ungku Omar Fund (NUOF) project entitled Disaster Resilient Cities: Forecasting Local Level Climate Extremes and Physical Hazards for Kuala Lumpur. The workshop aims to disseminate information, build capacity and interface with stakeholders at the city level. Participants include regional and Malaysian experts as well as early career researchers supported by the Malaysian Window to Cambridge at Universiti Kebangsaan Malaysia (MW2C@UKM), hosted by UKM’s Southeast Asia Disaster Prevention Research Initiative (SEADPRI-UKM).

The workshop will focus on advances in meteorological forecasting and hazards assessment, which is of great importance to various stakeholders including government agencies and the private sector in managing risk information, financing and investment. This workshop will be a platform for sharing knowledge and views on meteorological and hazard forecasting due to extreme weather events.

SCHEDULE

Day 1: 28 June 2018 (Thursday)

0800-0900 Registration

OPENING SESSION

0900-0930 Introductory Remarks Prof. Joy Jacqueline Pereira (Southeast Asia Disaster Prevention Research Initiative)

Officiating Keynote & Launch YBhg. Tan Sri Hj. Mhd. Amin Nordin bin Abd. Aziz (Kuala Lumpur City Hall)

0930-1000 Keynote Address Applications of Atmospheric Observations and Forecasts to Hazard Warnings and Resilience Prof. Lord Julian Hunt (University of Cambridge)

1000-1030 Coffee Break

SESSION 1: METEOROLOGY-ATMOSPHERIC FORECASTING AND HAZARDS ASSESSMENT

1030-1230 Moderators: Assoc. Prof. Dr. Sarah Aziz (Southeast Asia Disaster Prevention Research Initiative) & Mr. Ambun Dindang (Malaysian Meteorological Department)

Challenges of City Scale Weather Forecasting: Kuala Lumpur Mr. Muhammad Firdaus Ammar Abdullah (Malaysian Meteorological Department)

Emission Inventory of Kuala Lumpur: Issues and Challenges Prof. Mohd Talib Latif (Universiti Kebangsaan Malaysia)

Monitoring the Impact of Different Landuse on the Climate of Kuala Lumpur Dr. Kai Wang (University College London)

Near-Real-Time Atmospheric Hazards Platforms Mr. Mark Jackson (Cambridge Environmental Research Consultants)

Forecasting Meteorology and Air Quality in Urban Areas using Chemical Transport Models Prof. Manju Mohan (Indian Institute of Technology)

Associations between Air Quality and Impact Factors in Beijing Prof. Jian Ping Wu (Tsinghua University)

1230-1300 Discussion: Challenges in Local Level Forecasting

1300-1400 Lunch Break

SESSION 2: GEOPHYSICAL HAZARDS ASSESSMENT AND FORECASTING APPROACHES

1400-1600

Moderators: Prof. Mohd Talib Latif (Universiti Kebangsaan Malaysia) & Mr. Dasuki Loo Abdullah (Department of Environment Malaysia)

Soil Related Factors Controlling Flood Hazards in Malaysia

Dr. Paramananthan (Param Agricultural Soil Survey) Improve Water Resources

An Introduction to Flash Flood Modelling in Malaysia

Dr. Iain Willis & Dr. Helen Smith (JBA Risk Management)

Improve Water Resources Management Using Multiscale Information System

Dr. Asnor Muizan Dato’ Hj. Ishak (Department of Irrigation and Drainage) Mainstreaming Climate Vulnerability and Disaster Risk Assessment (CVDRA) in

Development Planning of Communities

Prof. Alfredo Mahar Lagmay (University of the Philippines Diliman)

Preliminary Study of an Area Business Continuity Plan (ABCP) Implementation in Kuala Lumpur Dr. Mustapha Atta (Geomapping Technology Sdn. Bhd.)

1600-1630 Discussion: Challenges in Local Level Geophysical Hazards Assessment

1630-1700 Tea Break & End of Day 1

Day 2: 29 June 2018 (Friday)

SESSION 3: MW2C@UKM: REGIONAL CASE STUDIES ON HAZARDS ASSESSMENT

0830-0930 Moderators: Dr. Lim Choun Sian (Southeast Asia Disaster Prevention Research Initiative) & YBhg. Dato’ Yunus Abd. Razak (Geological Society of Malaysia)

Mangrove Forest Rehabilitation and Models Simulation to Mitigate Extreme Weather

Events in Karachi and Promote Resilience Against Disaster

Mr. Adnan Arshad (China Agricultural University)

Research on Assessing Climate Change Impacts on Flood in Vu Gia – Thu Bon River

Basin, Vietnam

Mr. Dung Vu Trung (Asian Institute of Technology)

Drought Detection in Sumatera using BFAST (Breaks For Additive Season and Trend)

Ms. Juwita Nirmala Sari (ASEAN Coordinating Centre for Humanitarian Assistance on

Disaster Management)

Climate Change Impact on Intensity-Duration-Frequency Curves in Ho Chi Minh City

Ms. Minh Troung Ha (Vietnam Institute of Meteorology, Hydrology and Climate Change)

Impact of Climate Change to Flood in Klang River Basin

Ms. Ummi Hani Mahamad Anuar (Universiti Teknologi Malaysia)

0930-1000 Coffee Break

1000-1100 Moderators: En. Zamri Ramli (Department of Mineral and Geoscience Malaysia) & YBhg. Dato’ Zakaria Mohammad (Geomapping Technology Sdn. Bhd.)

The Big One: The Magnitude 7.2 West Valley Fault Earthquake

Mr. Kristian Azul (University of the Philippines Diliman)

The Managing of Landslide in Local Area at Tambon Nam Phai, Amphoe Nam Phad,

Uttaradit Province, Thailand

Mr. Sitthinon Kultaksayos (Department of Mineral Resources Thailand)

Precursor Phenomena of Landslide in Thir Seint Gon Village: A Case Study

Mr. Wai Phyo Kyaw Naing (Department of Geological Survey & Mineral Exploration

Myanmar)

A Case Study of River Bank Erosion in Vietnam

Mr. Kim Seng (Ministry of Mines and Energy Cambodia)

Spatial Modelling of Slope Failure in Pulau Pinang, Malaysia

Dr. Nuriah Abd Majid (Institute for Environment and Development, UKM)

1100-1200 General Discussion

CLOSING SESSION

1200-1230 Closing Remarks

Ms. Ida Semurni Abdullah Ali (Malaysian Industry-Government Group for High Technology)

1230-1430 Lunch & Prayer Break

ACKNOWLEDGEMENT

Kuala Lumpur City Hall, Malaysian Industry-Government Group for High Technology, National Disaster Management Agency Malaysia, Department of Irrigation and Drainage Malaysia, Institute of Geology Malaysia, United Kingdom and Malaysia Project Partners.

Disaster Resilient Cities: Forecasting Local Level Climate Extremes and Physical Hazards for

Kuala Lumpur

The Project is supported by the Newton-Ungku Omar Fund, administered by Innovate UK and the Malaysian Industry-Government Group for High Technology (MIGHT) as part of the national initiative on Science to Action (S2A). Many hazards associated with climate change have the greatest impacts in urban areas where most people and property are concentrated. Severe and extreme weather events are projected to increase losses challenging Governments and insurance systems world‐wide. Communication, transfer and development of climate‐related knowledge is most

effective when it is sensitive to context, diversity of decision types, decision processes and the requirements of constituencies. This project will adapt carefully selected meteorological and hazard models for circumstances in Malaysia and Southeast Asia. It will test their viability and integrate them onto a common multi‐hazard platform

designed for managing and communicating risks and enhancing disaster resilience. Under the aegis of the City Hall of Kuala Lumpur (DBKL), pilot studies will be conducted in Kuala Lumpur and adjacent areas to forecast flash floods, landslides, sinkholes, strong winds, urban heat and air pollution at the city and neighbourhood scales. The proposed development of climate and multi‐hazard forecasting capacity will greatly contribute to addressing major problems for

future development in cities in Malaysia and the ASEAN region.

UK Project Lead:

Prof. Lord Julian C.R. Hunt

University of Cambridge

UK Project Partners

University College London

British Geological Survey, NERC

Cambridge Environmental Research Consultants Ltd.

JBA Risk Management Limited

Cuesta Consulting Limited

Malaysian Project Lead:

Prof. Joy Jacqueline Pereira

SEADPRI‐Universiti Kebangsaan Malaysia

Malaysian Project Partners

University of Malaya

Malaysian Meteorological Department

Department of Mineral and Geoscience Malaysia

Department of Environment Malaysia

UKM Pakarunding Sdn. Bhd

Geomapping Technology Sdn. Bhd.

Param Agricultural Soil Surveys (M) Sdn. Bhd

Geological Society of Malaysia

CoRE Expert Systems Sdn. Bhd.

Project Approach and Innovation Features Project Management Structure