advanced driver assistance systems and available data · matt moore, senior vice president hldi....
TRANSCRIPT
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iihs.org
Advanced Driver Assistance Systems and Available Data
April 15, 2020
Matt Moore, Senior Vice President HLDI
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IIHS is an independent, nonprofit scientific and educational organization dedicated to reducing the losses — deaths, injuries and property damage — from crashes on the nation’s roads.
HLDI shares this mission by analyzing insurance data representing human and economic losses from crashes and other events related to vehicle ownership.
Both organizations are wholly supported by auto insurers.
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Member groupsAAA CarolinasAcceptance InsuranceAcuity InsuranceAlfa InsuranceAllstate Insurance GroupAmerican Agricultural Insurance CompanyAmerican Family InsuranceAmerican NationalAmeriprise Auto & HomeAmica Mutual Insurance CompanyAuto Club EnterprisesAuto Club GroupAuto-Owners InsuranceCelina Insurance GroupCentral States Health & Life Co. of Omaha and AffiliatesCHUBBColorado Farm Bureau Insurance CompanyCommonwealth Casualty CompanyConcord Group InsuranceCOUNTRY FinancialCSAA Insurance GroupDesjardins InsuranceDonegal Insurance GroupDTRIC InsuranceECM Insurance GroupElephant Insurance CompanyEMC Insurance GroupEncova InsuranceErie Insurance GroupEsuranceFarm Bureau Financial ServicesFarm Bureau Insurance Company of MichiganFarm Bureau Insurance of TennesseeFarm Bureau Mutual Insurance Company of IdahoFarmers Insurance GroupFarmers Mutual of NebraskaFlorida Farm Bureau Insurance CompaniesFrankenmuth InsuranceGainsco InsuranceGEICO CorporationThe General Insurance
Georgia Farm Bureau Mutual Insurance CompanyGoodville Mutual Casualty CompanyGrange InsuranceGrinnell MutualHallmark Financial Services, Inc.The Hanover Insurance GroupThe HartfordHaulers Insurance Company, Inc.Horace Mann Insurance CompaniesImperial Fire & Casualty Insurance CompanyIndiana Farm Bureau InsuranceIndiana Farmers InsuranceInfinity Property & CasualtyKemper CorporationKentucky Farm Bureau Mutual Insurance CompaniesLa Capitale General InsuranceLiberty Mutual InsuranceLouisiana Farm Bureau Insurance CompanyThe Main Street America GroupMAPFRE Insurance GroupMercury Insurance GroupMetLifeMetromile InsuranceMississippi Farm Bureau Casualty Insurance CompanyMMG InsuranceMunich Reinsurance America, Inc.Mutual Benefit Group®Mutual of Enumclaw Insurance CompanyNationwideNJM Insurance GroupNodak Insurance CompanyThe Norfolk & Dedham Group®North Carolina Farm Bureau Mutual Insurance CompanyNorth Star Mutual Insurance CompanyNorthern Neck Insurance CompanyNYCM InsuranceOhio Mutual Insurance GroupOregon Mutual Insurance CompanyPekin InsurancePEMCO Mutual Insurance CompanyPlymouth Rock Assurance
Progressive InsurancePURE InsuranceQualitas Insurance CompanyRedpoint County Mutual Insurance CompanyThe Responsive Auto Insurance CompanyRider InsuranceRockingham InsuranceRoot Insurance CoRSA CanadaSafe Auto Insurance CompanySafeco Insurance®Samsung Fire & Marine Insurance CompanySay InsuranceSECURA InsuranceSelective Insurance Company of AmericaSentry InsuranceShelter Insurance®Sompo InternationalSouth Carolina Farm Bureau Mutual Insurance Company®Southern Farm Bureau Casualty Insurance CompanyState Auto Insurance CompaniesState Farm Insurance CompaniesStillwater Insurance GroupSwiss Reinsurance Company LtdTexas Farm Bureau InsuranceThe Travelers Companies, Inc.USAAVirginia Farm Bureau Mutual InsuranceWest Bend Mutual Insurance CompanyWestern National Insurance GroupWestfield
Funding associations
American Property Casualty Insurance AssociationNational Association of Mutual Insurance Companies
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U.S. Auto Insurance 101
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Collision coverageCovers damage to your vehicle if you are at fault
or
at fault not at fault/other property damage covered
Collision coverage
Collision coverage
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Property damage liability coverageCovers damage you cause to other people’s vehicles and property
or
at fault not at fault/other property damage covered
Property Damage Liability
Property Damage Liability
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Comprehensive coverageCovers theft and damage for reasons other than crashes
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Tort and no-fault states
MD
DE
DC
MA
OR
RINJ
NH
ME
PA
WV
NC
SC
GA
FL
OH
MI
INIL
WI
IA
MO
LA
NM
CO
SD
ID
CA
WA
TN
VT
MS
MT ND
NV
AZ
UT
WY
NE
KS
OK
TX
AR
MN
AL
KY VA
NY
CT
AK
HI
no-fault states
Tort states
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Medical payment coverageCovers injuries to you and your passengers if you are at fault in states with traditional tort systems
at-fault driver/passengers not at-fault driver/passengers injuries covered
Medical Payment
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Bodily injury liability coverageCovers injuries you cause to people in other vehicles in states with traditional tort systems
at-fault driver/passengers not at-fault driver/passengers injuries covered
Bodily Injury Liability
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Personal injury protection coverageCovers injuries up to a specified amount, regardless of who isat fault, in states with no-fault systems
at-fault driver/passengers not at-fault driver/passengers injuries covered
Personal Injury Protection Personal Injury Protection
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Insurance measures
Exposure– Expressed in insured vehicle years– One insured vehicle year represents 1 vehicle insured for 1 year or 2 vehicles
insured for 6 months
Claim frequency– Calculated by dividing claims by exposure– Expressed as the number of claims per selected number of insured vehicle
years (exposure)
Claim severity– Represents the average cost per claim– Calculated by dividing dollars paid for all claims by the claim count
Overall losses– Represents the average cost per insured vehicle (year)– Calculated by dividing total dollars paid for claims by exposure
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Evaluations of Advanced Driver Assistance Systems (ADAS) using insurance data
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Effect of crash avoidance systems on claim frequencyResults pooled across automakers
-40%
-20%
0%
20%
40%
forwardcollisionwarning
frontautobrake
curve-adaptiveheadlights
lane departurewarning
blind spotwarning
parkingsensors
rearcamera
rearautobrake
Collision Property damage liability Bodily injury liability MedPay PIP
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-40%
-20%
0%
20%
40%
forwardcollisionwarning
frontautobrake
curve-adaptiveheadlights
lane departurewarning
blind spotwarning
parkingsensors
rearcamera
rearautobrake
Collision Property damage liability Bodily injury liability MedPay PIP
Effect of crash avoidance systems on claim frequencyResults pooled across automakers
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-40%
-20%
0%
20%
40%
forwardcollisionwarning
frontautobrake
curve-adaptiveheadlights
lane departurewarning
blind spotwarning
parkingsensors
rearcamera
rearautobrake
Collision Property damage liability Bodily injury liability MedPay PIP
Effect of crash avoidance systems on claim frequencyResults pooled across automakers
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-40%
-20%
0%
20%
40%
forwardcollisionwarning
frontautobrake
curve-adaptiveheadlights
lane departurewarning
blind spotwarning
parkingsensors
rearcamera
rearautobrake
Collision Property damage liability Bodily injury liability MedPay PIP
Effect of crash avoidance systems on claim frequencyResults pooled across automakers
![Page 18: Advanced Driver Assistance Systems and Available Data · Matt Moore, Senior Vice President HLDI. IIHSis an independent, ... Auto Club Enterprises Auto Club Group Auto-Owners Insurance](https://reader034.vdocuments.site/reader034/viewer/2022051814/6037bdbb5caaad31e37ec079/html5/thumbnails/18.jpg)
Effect of crash avoidance systems on claim frequencyResults pooled across automakers
-40%
-20%
0%
20%
40%
forwardcollisionwarning
frontautobrake
curve-adaptiveheadlights
lane departurewarning
blind spotwarning
parkingsensors
rearcamera
rearautobrake
Collision Property damage liability Bodily injury liability MedPay PIP
![Page 19: Advanced Driver Assistance Systems and Available Data · Matt Moore, Senior Vice President HLDI. IIHSis an independent, ... Auto Club Enterprises Auto Club Group Auto-Owners Insurance](https://reader034.vdocuments.site/reader034/viewer/2022051814/6037bdbb5caaad31e37ec079/html5/thumbnails/19.jpg)
Effect of crash avoidance systems on claim frequencyResults pooled across automakers
-40%
-20%
0%
20%
40%
forwardcollisionwarning
frontautobrake
curve-adaptiveheadlights
lane departurewarning
blind spotwarning
parkingsensors
rearcamera
rearautobrake
Collision Property damage liability Bodily injury liability MedPay PIP
![Page 20: Advanced Driver Assistance Systems and Available Data · Matt Moore, Senior Vice President HLDI. IIHSis an independent, ... Auto Club Enterprises Auto Club Group Auto-Owners Insurance](https://reader034.vdocuments.site/reader034/viewer/2022051814/6037bdbb5caaad31e37ec079/html5/thumbnails/20.jpg)
Evaluations of ADAS using police reported crash data
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HLDI and police-reported crash data
Insurance data
Large amount of timely data
Limited information on crash circumstances
Police-reported crash data
More detailed information on crash type
Limitations– Some crashes not reported to police
– Delay in obtaining data
– Data collected not uniform among states, and not all states have information to determine crash types
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Most crash avoidance technologies are living up to expectationsEffects on relevant police-reported crash types
-80%
-60%
-40%
-20%
0%
20%
forward collision warning low-speed autobrake FCW with autobrake lane departure warning side-view assist(blind spot)
all severities injury statistically significant
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Vehicle Identification Numbers(VINs)
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What is a VIN?
VINs are 17-digit alpha numeric strings that uniquely identify “vehicles”
The contents of VINs are prescribed by FMVSS 565
The contents of VINs vary by vehicle type
VINs were required to be on all vehicles starting with model year 1981
VINs were required as a tool to fight theft
VINs are required to be on vehicles in several locations– Some locations are prescribed by FMVSS 565
– Some locations are kept secret for anti-theft purposes
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What is a VIN?
VINs are affixed to vehicles in several ways– Stickers or plates
– Stamped or engraved into major components
All VINs regardless of vehicle type contain:– Model Year
– Manufacturer
– Model
The only information about vehicle content that must be embedded in the VINs of automobiles are the engine, airbags and active seatbelts
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What is a VIN?
The VIN contains two main sections– Encoded information (Positions 1 through 11)
– Sequence number (Positions 12 through 17)
There are two types of VIN level information– Encoded information
– Associated information
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VIN contents for passenger cars
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17
1 G 6 K G 5 R S X J U 1 2 3 4 5 6
VIN position
Example VIN
WMIvehicle line
seriesbody typerestraint system
sequence numberplant location
model yearcheck digit
engine type
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What is needed?
An extension of the VIN standard that includes information about advanced driver assistance systems and vehicle automation– Static
A VIN associated database that includes information about advanced driver assistance systems and vehicle automation along with information about software updates– Dynamic
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Evaluations of system status
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Status of crash prevention systemsPercent with system on
0
20
40
60
80
100
Front crashprevention
Lanemaintenance
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On-off status by maximum observablelane-maintenance intervention levelPercent with system on
0
20
40
60
80
lane departure warning(n=547)
lane departure prevention(n=288)
active lane keeping(n=146)
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GM lane departure warning on-off status by warning modalityPercent with system on
0
20
40
60
Cadillac Chevrolet Total
Beep Vibrating seat
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Event Data Recorders (EDRs)
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What is an EDR?
Requirements for Event Data Recorders (EDRs) are defined in FMVSS 563.
An Event Data Recorder (EDR) is a function or device installed in a motor vehicle to record technical vehicle and occupant information for a brief period of time (seconds, not minutes) before, during and after a crash for the purpose of monitoring and assessing vehicle safety system performance
Vehicles manufactured on or after September 1, 2010 voluntarily fitted with an EDR are subject to the requirements
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What is an EDR?
If a manufacturer voluntarily fits an EDR to a vehicle then that EDR is subject to 49 CFR Part 563.
49 CFR Part 563 includes 15 mandatory data elements and how those data must be logged.
49 CFR Part 563 includes a list voluntarily data elements and how those data must be logged.
Manufacturers may choose to include data elements beyond the mandatory and voluntary data elements.
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What is an EDR?
Examples of mandatory data elements– Change in forward crash speed
– Speed the vehicle was traveling
– Was the accelerator pedal pressed?
Examples of voluntary data elements– Sideways acceleration or force
– Forward/rearward acceleration or force
– Vertical acceleration
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What is an EDR?
Examples of mandatory data elements related to vehicle features– Did the ABS work?
– Was the electronic stability control on or off, and if on, did it operate?
– What steering operations occurred in the 5 seconds preceding the crash?
– Was the right front passenger safety belt buckled 1 second prior to the crash?
– If there was an on/off switch for the right front passenger air bag, how was it set? On/off/automatic?
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Experiences with driving automation
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Adaptive cruise control trusted more than active lane keepingPercentage of drivers who agreed or strongly agreed
0
20
40
60
80
100
Tesla Model S"Autopilot"
Volvo S90"Pilot Assist"
BMW 5-series"Driving Assistant
Plus"
Infiniti QX50"Pro Pilot Assist"
Mercedes E-class"Drive Pilot"
I trust the automation to maintain speed and distance to vehicle ahead
I trust the automation to keep me in center of lane
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Lane keeping in curves
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
BMW 5 seriesn=16
Volvo S90n=17
Mercedes E-Classn=17
Tesla Model Sn=18
Tesla Model 3n=18
disengagedcrossed lane lineon lane lineremained in lane
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On-Board Diagnostics
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What is an OBD?
On-Board Diagnostics (OBD) is additional software that monitors the emissions systems along with some engine components.
The purpose of the OBD is to detect malfunctions or deteriorations that can affect emissions and illuminate the "Check Engine“ or “Service Engine Soon” lights
The federal regulations related to OBD are primarily found in CFR Part 86
OBD requirements were implemented with the 1994 model year. However, waivers were granted during model years 1994 and 1995. Model year 1996 was the first year that waivers were not available.
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What is an OBD?
OBD information is often used for Pay-As-You-Drive insurance
ODB ports commonly provide vehicle speed and RPMs
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Phase in of collisionavoidance systems
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0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
2006 2008 2010 2012 2014 2016 2018
standard optional not available
New vehicle series with autonomous emergency brakingBy model year
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0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
2006 2008 2010 2012 2014 2016 2018
standard optional not available equipped
Registered vehicles with autonomous emergency brakingBy calendar year
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0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
2006 2016 2026 2036 2046
predicted equipped
current equipped
predicted available
current available
Predicted percentage of registered vehicles with autonomous emergency brakingBy calendar year
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Estimated registered vehicles by featureCalendar years 2018 and 2023
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
rear camera rear parkingsensors
blind spotmonitoring
front crashprevention
lane departurewarning
autonomousbraking
adaptiveheadlights
2018
2023
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Estimated change in claim frequency due to increased fitment of front autobrake systems
-30%
-20%
-10%
0%
10%
20%
30%
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
2006 2011 2016 2021 2026 2031 2036 2041 2046
chan
ge in
cla
im fr
eque
ncy
vehi
cles
with
feat
ure
predicted equipped
PDL
BI
PIP
Medpay
Collision
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