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Adaptive Enrichment Population Design Rare Epileptic Syndromes Joanna Segieth, PhD Clinical Science Takeda

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Page 1: Adaptive Enrichment Population Design Rare Epileptic Syndromes … · 2017. 10. 26. · Logistics Open Label Study: Data adapted from Devinsky et al., Lancet Neurology: 2016:15: 270-7B

Adaptive Enrichment Population Design

Rare Epileptic Syndromes

Joanna Segieth, PhD

Clinical Science Takeda

Page 2: Adaptive Enrichment Population Design Rare Epileptic Syndromes … · 2017. 10. 26. · Logistics Open Label Study: Data adapted from Devinsky et al., Lancet Neurology: 2016:15: 270-7B

Introduction

Main features:

• Found in oncology study settings with potential for other therapeutic areas

• Able to address scientific & commercial questions

• High advanced cost and effort• Overall potential to be time and cost-efficient

Page 3: Adaptive Enrichment Population Design Rare Epileptic Syndromes … · 2017. 10. 26. · Logistics Open Label Study: Data adapted from Devinsky et al., Lancet Neurology: 2016:15: 270-7B

Population Enrichment in CNS

• Versatility of design:

– May be of particular interest in phase 2 development of novel anti-epileptics (AEDs)

– Allows leap frogging– Could be suitable for groups of distinct syndromes

found within Epileptic Encephalopathies(EE)

Page 4: Adaptive Enrichment Population Design Rare Epileptic Syndromes … · 2017. 10. 26. · Logistics Open Label Study: Data adapted from Devinsky et al., Lancet Neurology: 2016:15: 270-7B

EE

• EE relate to a heterogeneous group of diseases

– Lennox Gastaut Syndrome (LG), Dravet Syndrome (DS) and cyclin- dependent kinase-like 5 (CDKL5) Syndrome.

• Pathogenic factors may include genetic mutations related to synaptic, metabolic and inflammatory associated mechanisms

– Epileptic activity contributes to different developmental outcomes

– Selected AEDs have shown to be effective in reducing seizure types in some EE syndromes

Cross eta, 2016; Lague et. al., 2016; Chiron et al., 2016: Thiele et al., 2016

Page 5: Adaptive Enrichment Population Design Rare Epileptic Syndromes … · 2017. 10. 26. · Logistics Open Label Study: Data adapted from Devinsky et al., Lancet Neurology: 2016:15: 270-7B

Unmet Medical Need

0

5

10

15

20

25

30

De

velo

me

nt

(arb

itra

ry u

nit

s)

Time

Development vs time

Multi-syndrome study Single syndrome study

Page 6: Adaptive Enrichment Population Design Rare Epileptic Syndromes … · 2017. 10. 26. · Logistics Open Label Study: Data adapted from Devinsky et al., Lancet Neurology: 2016:15: 270-7B

Objectives

• Demonstrate clinical efficacy in at least one population of interest (proof–of-efficacy)

• Learn whether the drug affects other domains such as cognition and/or behaviour

• Continued safety/tolerability assessment

Page 7: Adaptive Enrichment Population Design Rare Epileptic Syndromes … · 2017. 10. 26. · Logistics Open Label Study: Data adapted from Devinsky et al., Lancet Neurology: 2016:15: 270-7B

Proposed Study Design

Active vs. Pbo

Active vs. Pbo

Active vs. Pbo

50% patients - 8 weeks Included data - week 4, 6

Part 1 Interim Analysis

-4 0 4 6 8 10 weeks

Baseline Seizure Assessment

4 weeks

LG

DS

CDKL5

Part 2

Equally effective in all

populations

Equally Effective in 2

populations

Effective in one population

Stop for Futility

Titration Maintenance Follow-upRandomization

IA: restrict population and redirect sample sizeor stop for futility

LG- Lennox Gastaut Syndrome: DS- Dravet Syndrome: CDKL5- cyclin- dependent kinase –like 5: Pbo-placebo

Page 8: Adaptive Enrichment Population Design Rare Epileptic Syndromes … · 2017. 10. 26. · Logistics Open Label Study: Data adapted from Devinsky et al., Lancet Neurology: 2016:15: 270-7B

Simulation Considerations

• Data:

– 60% target seizure response rate vs 10% placebo– 2:1 randomisation

• Alpha 0.05: 2-sided

– Aimed to achieve at least 90% power • Treatment has expected effect in all subgroups

– Futility criterion• Risk difference 30% in the ‘best’ population

– Exploratory endpoints excluded from the simulation but included in the study

Page 9: Adaptive Enrichment Population Design Rare Epileptic Syndromes … · 2017. 10. 26. · Logistics Open Label Study: Data adapted from Devinsky et al., Lancet Neurology: 2016:15: 270-7B

Simulation: Population Treatment

Scenario Treatment Response Rate

Adaptive Test Power

Exact Population Selection

Mean Sample Size

Futility at IA

1 P1=P2=P3=60% 97% 73% 89 1%

2 P1=P2=60%, P3=10%

83% 66% 87 7%

3 P1=60% P2=P3=10% 36% 45% 78 27%

4 P1=P2=P3=10% N/A N/A 47 95%

P1-population : LG, P2- population DS: P3- population CDKL5

100,000 simulations per scenario

Page 10: Adaptive Enrichment Population Design Rare Epileptic Syndromes … · 2017. 10. 26. · Logistics Open Label Study: Data adapted from Devinsky et al., Lancet Neurology: 2016:15: 270-7B

Logistics

Open Label Study: Data adapted from Devinsky et al., Lancet Neurology: 2016:15: 270-7B

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

Dravet LG CDKL5

Re

cru

itm

en

t ti

me

(m

on

ths)

Time to recruit 45 patients per syndrome

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

Combined study

Re

cru

itm

en

t ti

me

(m

on

ths)

Time to recruit 45 patients across Dravet, LG and CDKL5

Dravet

LG

CDKL5

0

1

2

3

4

5

6

7

8

Combined study

Re

cru

itm

en

t ti

me

(m

on

ths)

Time to recruit 45 patients across Dravet, LG and CDKL5

Dravet LG

CDKL5

0

5

10

15

20

25

Combined study

Re

cru

itm

en

t ti

me

(m

on

ths)

Time to recruit 45 patients split equally between Dravet, LG and

CDKL5

Page 11: Adaptive Enrichment Population Design Rare Epileptic Syndromes … · 2017. 10. 26. · Logistics Open Label Study: Data adapted from Devinsky et al., Lancet Neurology: 2016:15: 270-7B

Decision Flow

Proof-of-Efficacy

DS, CDKL5,

LG and/or

others

Y1

N Stop for futility

N

Continue 3

populations

Continue 1 or

2 populations

Appropriate

population

or all

populations

Part 1

Part 2

Further Development

Evidence:

(1) Antiepileptic effects in at

least one EE syndrome

model and/or possibly other

relevant animal models

(2) Early data includes PK/PD

modelling and dose

selection information

(2) Safety & Tolerability Data

supportive of development in

pedriatric populations

Major Motor Seizures (MMS)*

1) GTC, tonic, atonic, and focal

seizures with motor component

Y3

Stop

Y1

Y2

Y3

•No safety signal to preclude further development

•Efficacy: Percentage reduction in seizure frequency at least one population

•No safety signal to preclude further development

•Robust Efficacy observed in all 3 populations:

Y2

Efficacy: MMS*

Syndrome Signature

Seizure

Include additional

behavioral and

cognitive endpoints

Page 12: Adaptive Enrichment Population Design Rare Epileptic Syndromes … · 2017. 10. 26. · Logistics Open Label Study: Data adapted from Devinsky et al., Lancet Neurology: 2016:15: 270-7B

Conclusion

• Adaptive enrichment design• Higher advanced investment may be required

• Early identification of population for compound suitability

• May go a long way in differentiating a drug at the earlystage of development– Assessment of time to next seizure endpoint can be added

• The clinical programme appears accelerated and cost-effective.

Page 13: Adaptive Enrichment Population Design Rare Epileptic Syndromes … · 2017. 10. 26. · Logistics Open Label Study: Data adapted from Devinsky et al., Lancet Neurology: 2016:15: 270-7B

Takeda• Emilio Merlo Pich, MD

• Nigel Brayshaw, PhD

• Debra Hartman, PhD

Clinical Experts• Jacqueline French, MD

• Helen Cross, MD

• Alexis Arzimanoglou, MD

• Emilio Perucca, MD

Acknowledgement