adaptation to climate change: waiting for things to happen or trying to be prepared? tuesday 17th...

Adaptation to climate change: waiting for things to happen or trying to be prepared?

TUESDAY 17th MARCH

5th World Water ForumISTANBUL

General presentation of POSTERS


General presentation of Posters

Analysis of climate change trend and possible impacts in the Upper Brahmaputra River BasinAnita Bartosch (Friedrich-Schiller-University Jena, Germany)

Separate streams? Adapting water resources management to climate change Jane Cacouris (Tearfund)

Global analysis of climate change impacts on water availability Driss Ennaanay (Stanford University, USA)

Adapting to water scarcity for Yemen's vulnerable communities due to climate change using the Water Evaluation And Planning system Abdulla Noman (Sana'a University, Yemen) Integrating climate change induced pressures into the design of effective water management policies Rodrigo Oliveira (Technical University of Lisbon, Portugal)

Adaptation challenges in complex river basins: Lessons learned and unlearned Roger Pulwarty (National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration, USA)

Endangered aquatic species: managing through anticipation Jean Philippe Torterotot (Agricultural and Environmental Engineering Research Centre, France)

New approaches to water management under uncertainty: Results from the NeWater projectBritta Kastens and Ilke Borowski (Institute of Environmental Systems Research)



BRAHMATWINN project, supported by the EC 6th Framework Programme

Enhances the capacity to: carry out a harmonised IWRM approach in headwater river systems of alpine mountain massifs already impacted by climate change

to establish transfer of professional IWRM expertise, approaches and tools by twinning European and Asian river basins

Holistic case studies carried out in two macro-scale basins: the Upper Danube River Basin (Europe) and the Upper Brahmaputra River Basin (South Asia)

Both representative of alpine mountain headwaters supplying their forelands with water resources to sustain food production, socio-economic development and the environment

First results of climate change assessment and impacts presented on the poster

ANALYSIS OF CLIMATE CHANGE TREND AND POSSIBLE IMPACTS IN THE UPPER BRAHMAPUTRA RIVER BASIN

Anita Bartosch (Friedrich-Schiller-University Jena, Germany)



Research based on empirical evidence from Niger and north-east Brazil, looking at how adaptation can be integrated into the water sector to benefit the poor and vulnerable

Primary research at the community level and institutional reviews at the national level

Emphasises the need for governments and donors to support developing countries to:

Ensure that the water sector is a priority for adaptation funding Establish climate risk-based approaches which address both climate variability & climate change within water policy frameworks Strengthen adaptive capacity at the local level by supporting localised water resources approaches that are adapting to climate variability, and recognise that these should play a role in national water policy planning

SEPARATE STREAMS? ADAPTING WATER RESOURCES MANAGEMENT TO CLIMATE CHANGE

Jane Cacouris (Tearfund)



Natural Capital Project at Stanford University

Simplified Water Yield hydrologic model (InVEST) built in ArcGIS framework, applied on a pixel level at the global scale

Four climate change future scenario models (Precipitation and Temperature) Four different periods (1990, 2015, 2025, 2060)

Results show:

significant change (increase and decrease) in annual water yield significant drought and wetness new dry areas and new wet areas

-> Results and models will help decision makers and water stakeholders develop adaptation plans on regional and local levels.

GLOBAL ANALYSIS OF CLIMATE CHANGE IMPACTS ON WATER AVAILABILITY Ennaanay et al. (Natural Capital project - Standford University, USA)



Water Evaluation and Planning system (WEAP) = a water management Decision Support System tool

To provide database and scenario-driven forecasting and policy analysis

Applied in the Sana'a Basin - Central Highlands of Yemen

Results from WEAP analyses + stakeholder values and preferences and economic considerations + multi-criteria analysis -> prioritisation for strategy implementation

Examples of measures: increase irrigation efficiency, improve indigenous methods for water use, shift crop production from water intensive Qat to wheat, etc.

ADAPTING TO WATER SCARCITY FOR YEMEN’S VULNERABLE COMMUNITIES DUE TO CLIMATE CHANGE USING THE WATER EVALUATION

AND PLANNING SYSTEMAbdulla Abdulkader Noaman (Sana'a University, Yemen)



Shares experiences on how to include climate change induced pressures into effective water management policies and instruments

Interdisciplinary approach

Beyond the water community

Adaptation strategies to be defined at a basin scale and involve all stakeholders and to include supply-side actions & demand-side actions

European Member States to consider climate change while preparing their River Basin Management Plans, under the adaptive approach of the European Water Framework Directive

INTEGRATING CLIMATE CHANGE INDUCED PRESSURES INTO THE DESIGN OF EFFECTIVE WATER MANAGEMENT POLICIES

Rodrigo Oliveira (Technical University of Lisbon, Portugal)



ADAPTATION CHALLENGES IN COMPLEX RIVER BASINS: LESSONS LEARNED AND UNLEARNED

Roger Pulwarty (National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration, USA)

Example from the Colorado River Basin

Effective anticipatory change in managing climate-related risks at the watershed scale is most readily accomplished when: a focusing event (climatic, legal, or social) occurs and creates widespread public awareness leadership and the public are engaged a basis for integrating monitoring, research, and management is established

Future adaptations include technical changes (improve water use efficiency) demand management (e.g. through metering and pricing) and institutional changes (improve the tradability of water rights)



ENDANGERED AQUATIC SPECIES: MANAGING THROUGH ANTICIPATION Jean Philippe Torterotot

(Agricultural and Environmental Engineering Research Centre, France)

Large scale study initiated by CEMAGREF, a French research institute, with cooperation from partners of the international Diadfish network.

Study area: Europe, North Africa and the Middle East

Aim: Provide scenarios of evolution for the distribution of diadromous fishes under upcoming climate change

Main finding: Extreme sensitivity of diadromous species to climatic perturbations of their environment

Main conclusion: Urgent need to integrate conservation strategies within the reality of climate change by an assessment of the suitability of the conservation unit under global warming



NEW APPROACHES TO WATER MANAGEMENT UNDER UNCERTAINTY: RESULTS FROM THE NEWATER PROJECT

Britta Kastens and Ilke Borowski (Institute of Environmental Systems Research)



THANK YOU

FOR YOUR ATTENTION

adaptation to climate change: waiting for things to happen or trying to be prepared? tuesday 17th...

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