Action 1:Mission/task

analysis

Action 2:List

Hazards

Action 3:List

Causes

STEP 1 IDENTIFY THE HAZARD

STEP 2 ASSESS THE RISK

Action 1:Assess hazard

exposure

Action 2:Assess hazard

severity

Action 3:Assess mishap

probability

Action 4:Complete

assessment

STEP 3 ANALYZE RISK CONTROL MEASURES

Action 1:Identify control

options

Action 2:Determine control

effects

Action 3:Prioritize risk

control measures

STEP 4 MAKE CONTROL DECISIONS

Action 1:Select Risk Controls

Action 2:Make Risk Decisions

STEP 5 IMPLEMENT RISK CONTROLS

Action 1:Make implemen-

tation clear

Action 2:Establish

accountability

Action 3:Providesupport

STEP 6 SUPERVISE AND REVIEW

Action 1:Supervise

Action 2:Review

Action 3:Feedback

ORM Cheat Sheet

Mishap ProbabilityFrequent Likely Occasional Seldom Unlikely

I

II

III

IV

Catastrophic

Critical

Moderate

Negligible

A B C D E

SEVERITY

6 1 2 3 4 11 7

9 10

8 12

13

14

15

16

17 18 19 20

5

1

2

34

5

6

HAZARD SEVERITY CATEGORIESI Catastrophic - Complete mission failure, death, or system loss.II Critical - Major mission impact, severe injury, or major system damage.III Moderate - Minor mission impact, injury, or system damage.IV Negligible - Little mission impact, injury, or damage.

HAZARD PROBABILITY CATEGORIESA Frequent - Item: occurs often. Fleet: continuous. Individual: occurs often. All: continuous.B Likely - Item: occurs several times. Fleet: frequently. Individual: occurs several times. All: frequently.C Occasional - Item: will occur. Fleet: several times. Individual: will occu. All: sporadic.D Seldom - Item: could occur. Fleet: will occur. Individual: could occur. All: seldom.E Unlikely - Item: will not occur. Fleet: could occur. Individual: will not occur. All: very rarely.

AFPD 90-9, Operational Risk managementAFI 90-901, ORMAFI 90-902, ORM guidelines and ToolsWPAFBI 91-202, Operational Risk Management

7 PRIMARY HAZARD

IDENTIFICATION TOOLS

Operations Analysis - a block diagram, flow chart, or timeline that describes the operation.

Preliminary Hazard Analysis - an examination for sources of hazards, usually related to energy.

What If Analysis - a group brainstorming technique. “What if this happens?”

Scenario Process - stories describing conceivable mishaps and consequences.

Logic Diagrams - “tree” shaped diagrams examining hazards in detail: positive, negative, and risk event diagrams.

Change Analysis - compares changes to a baseline to determine significance.

Cause and Effect Diagrams - fishbone diagram to examine many causes of a mishap.

HAZARDS ARE CAUSED BY ENERGY

Force Acceleration Chemical Vibration Electrical Environmental Kinetic Pressure Potential Thermal Radiation Humans

ORM Cheat SheetThe 5 M Model

Mission

Man Machine

Media

Management

ORDER OF PRECEDENCE

1. Design for Minimum Risk2. Incorporate Safety Devices3. Provide Warning Devices4. Procedures & Training

RISK CONTROLOPTIONS MATRIX

Engineer Guard

Improve Task DesignLimit Exposure

Selection of PersonnelTrain and Educate

WarnMotivate

Reduce EffectsRehabilitate

MACRO CONTROL

OPTIONS LISTRejectAvoidDelay

TransferSpread

CompensateReduce

THE POWER OF COMMAND

Sustained consistent behavior STRONGEROn-going personal behaviorAccountability actions and follow upFollow up inquiries by phone and visitsVerbal support in staff meetingsSign directives WEAKER

THE INVOLVEMENT CONTINUUM

User OwnershipCo-ownership STRONGERTeam MemberInputCoordinationComment And FeedbackRobot WEAKER