acknowledgments - university of moratuwa
TRANSCRIPT
Acknowledgments
I ;nn lllPst gratcll.ll nnd pri\·ileged to lla\ e Dr. Pri:antha DC Wi_jetunga. Senior I l'l'tun:r.
( 111i \ LTsil) nt ;\Joratuwa as the super\ isor. I lis 1-.ind and encouraging assistance\\ ith rc~ard to
tile problem formulation. constructing and comments on tht: results is greml) apprcci,lt~..·d
I .un d~..·c p l ,: i ndehted to all the lecturers. col h:agues and li·icnds. too numerous to lllL'tH ion
here. \\I H' h.t \ c (Of1lri huted so generous!) in \ arious stages n f this project <ncr li:\\ months
Spectal lllL'lllton should make to the cng111ecrs in the Cicm:ration Planning Branch. < ' l: B
tMlllcl) \\ '.11 'i I crnando. TAK .la,:ascl-.ara. PVIP Jayatissa and 1:\ Sandasiri.
\l,m: th,mb arc owed cspeciall: to the I fcad and the Staff of the Department or I lccttJc:d
I n!.!i ncc rmg lni\t~rsity of ivloratu\\a. colleagues or the I '' batch op{he !\1.r:ng. P< i Dipl\lmt~ ('pu rsl' in l· lcctrical Engineering and non cxecut i\e staff or the (il.!ncration Planning Hranch.
( l H l"nr <Jssistancl: in reviewing. compl) ing nnd ed iting this report.
I IJJal l: til t..., \\ork is dedicated to my helmed parents \Yho ha\c ah>vays been with me in C\n:
ht11d k· I cleared.
"-. \ ' 'i;\ 1 Kudaligama \L'(1ll'lllhl..'r .=! (){)()
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I 1..,1 nr I .1hk.., I hi nl" Fi!!url.''> \l'I"Pil\ llb
E 'l't: uti' l' ~ u m rna t·y
I. Introduct io n
., l'll\\Cr \ector Pri\ati-;ation in dcH:Iopmg ( ountric"
...,\,me f"eatures orthe Ptmer ~ector Ill ~ri l.anl..a
I.'
• ~. I ~ tructure
2.2 (JrO\\ th
I.~J I cchnica l Performam:e
1.~.-l Fina nc ial Perl"ormance
1.2 .5 Debt Cri'ii'i
1.2.6 Requirement !"or Ca piwl
l'ri\alc '-;ector Po,,er
rhl' IJ<)OiBOT
I he Project
:!. l n p n l Data
l I 11ad Data
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2.1.1 < >b<;crYations on [ ,i.,tm~ I lectnc1l~ Lkmantl
., ., 2 1.~ \o.,.,es!>ing the future Lb:tm:Jt~ Demand
f '.!sting s~ stem
2.2.1 HHim (il.'IH:rat ion
2.2 .2 rh~.:rma I General ion
~.~.\ ll;.dro Energy t\vai labil il;.
\crcen ing ol' General ion Opt iolh
2.1 1'1mer Candidates
.1
~. t I fhe rmal Candidates \\i llt l·ca.., i bil il ~ ~ 1 udi~.:" A' ailablc in CU~
.~. Tool-; and P l"01!_ra mmin J.!
> I \tmh Parameter:. ' ., l - \unulation Package Lll\00
' l ;\ kthod\)log~
; -l J>rnhlem f-ormulation
~ -L I na ... l' Ca-,l'
CONTENTS
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PHJ.!l'
II
II
Ill Ill
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I - ·' I
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l'ut;, '
4 l~c~ult~
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-L2
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( .1se I < )ptimum Plan
Ha-,e C'<t\C Output
< ;~ -,e II Combined lycle fon.:ed in \tage 3
.. 1:-.e Ill - (,a.., Turbine I orccd 111 \ta!.!.e ~
'"e IV Die..,el I urhinc h1rced 111 \la!.!.e 4
~:-.c \ ' Die">el I urbine l·orced 111 ~tagc 3
5. Cone.: hi'>IO II ~
Rdc.:·n· rH.'c~
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Annexes
Jl t,pular Computer Pad.agc-. for l·lectricit) Planning.
\crcl'll ing of General ion Options
< ompuu.:r Program 13asc Case
Hase Case- Output
List of Tables
< n"" ....,, -,tem l.os..,es <1nd Ll1ad I aelor in the J>a ... t I e\\ ) c.tr:o-.. Pad I P IT CI'-l
.. . ... lk111a11d f t) l'l.'Ca ... t l -,ed lor lhe ":>lud~
r ,,..,ting and Curnmillcd I l)dro Po\\er Plants
I k lai l .... pf l:-.isting: and c,1mmincd I hcrmal Planh
t ''lllPt'"'te Existing and lornmlllcd I henna! and ll)dl'tl J>latth
11:-drn Lnerg.) t\\ailabilit)
i
' ' ( har:-tctcristics ol"' hennal gcncra1ing Plants Ctllhidcrcd a-, t::-.pansion Candida1es
' I c lt aractcristics of fuel used
I I c •ptllna I Plan
I .:: < •ulput ( o,r per each Pl:-tnt ....... • • 1 , 'rn htned C\ clc ~meed 111 ) car 2012
l -l c ' " " l ut httH.: Forced in Y car 200X
ltv .. d l urbtnc l·orced 111 ) ear 20 16
h It c.:· ... ,.: I I urbine l11rced 111 ) e.tt 2012
-..um man
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I - I
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5 - 1
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P:t!!l'
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2 - I
2 - (l
., - ()
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List of Figures
I I t .nmtlll{ates ofClW and 1-,lectricit:- Sale!:> in the Recent Pa-;t
I 2 l'lalll I actors b) Ptmer <;tation-.,
'\
{l'\:t lued Percentage Rate of Return in the Past 10 Years
11\ c-.tmcnt Plan 2000-2009
han~L' 111 Dail:- l1)<1d ( une <her the 'lear.,
1ad 1 >urat1on ( un c., l -.ed lor th~· \tud~
pec1 lic lo-.t ol Candidate I hcnnal Plnnh Di'>ClHIIll Rate- Ill'~,
•llllllan 111 graphical Form
t ·r: B
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IH)'J
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t II
Acrronyms
l'e)' ion Ek:ctricity 13oard
Ciro.,., Dnmesl ic [>roduct
I ralhlll ission and Distrihutinn
\1r.:ga Wa tt
.\'>1<111 Dc\elop11H:nt Hank
\\ 11rld Bank
11u tid. 0\\11 and Operate
Huild. Operate and I ran~ler
l. tlad I <!kt OI
\~.,tem \nnulation ~lode!
( O'>l. ln.,urancc and I re1!.!hl
lfi!!,her lleating Value
l
II II\'
1.1"' [)( ) I 1 )( '
I tnl.'r. lnteracti\1.: .md D1..,crete Optnnt!:>l.'r
I oc~d DmalHll1 l un e
I·~~ \ 1neric;1n Dn llar-,
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Executive Summary
I his tl'pon Lkscribcs and suggests trade-off methods I(H· ( icncration l·:xpansion Pl~llllllll~
\)tuJies earned out for the period ol· .2000-2017. lhe project examines the ci"ti:ct ul h1111~11l~
l\1mard <~ project '' hich \\Ould othcm isc he included at a latter year in the optimal plan :111d
bnnging 1n a project ''hich is not ''ithin the.: least cost plan. In addition to that tcchnlqlll'S ln1
.lSSCsSill~ the impact of such de\ iations \\ere de\ eloped and the atfects on pncc-. \\l'l"l'
CXUI11111l'd.
rhc stud1es prest:nted in this report \\c..!n: conducted under three-block load duratinn cun l'. tlw
base. the peal.. and the mid peal... The C\isting lndrnelectric plams wcrc used as .1 sin!.!k
compns1 L pl.mt. /
' IlK' thermal plants considered ''ere CoaL Combined C;.clc. <las Turbines. oil-lired siL'alll .llhl
d1cscl pLmts running on residual oil. 1-:xisting therma l plant \\ere represented by six co1npostk
thnnwl plants. It ''as assumed that plunt additions \\ere done in the beginning or the :car and
nonnl"thL' pbnts m:re retired during the planning period.
l•le '-L'Ihiti,·ity nfthc recommcntkd generating plant additions to the changes in Clll11111issl\lllJ IH!
~l·ar '" prescntcd in the report. .. ,..,.
rh.: matnr recommendation is: The m era II cfli:ct or hri nging h.lm ard ,tre. thercl\lre di I krL'Ilt
lrom l".t:-. ... · to case and i1wohe man;. subtle issues that ha\'e to he carefully c\·aluated. < 'crt.llll
mt~di liLalluns to the least cost plan h:ni! a rclall\·el) health) eftcct m-craiL but others may llot.
\11 expansion plan 10 bring forward or bring in an excluded project. on the base u!' .111 llplinl~tl
k.t'-l cn-,t l':\JXIllsion plan, is a trade-ofT plan. Mathcmaticall;. rhc ne\\ plans til:ri\l'd 11L'tc atl' st th
llptimal plans. Since there is no such thing as a un ique sub optimal plan. it is "tsc tiJ;ll :1"
d,xisltlll makers. generation planners ha\ e to C\ aluate the many possi blc nut comes dcri' L'd I i kl·
,tbl l\ l'. . .....
< '"'llLT:tll~ . .1 plan to bring llH\\urd or bring in a pri\atc project is good il. conllit:h anhll1~
pm alL' til\ cstor<.., arc eliminated. uti lit) ill\cstmcnt is reduced and the total cost increases .li"L' nnl
C\CeSsl\ C
/', ll <11<' '"' ' 11111<'11/ lllfl!illl.'r \L'Cior c\· d,•,•toltnnsfrnm h•a11 cos/ pion /'(! ·~' I I