abstract abstract trading framework option 2: schematic economic modeling need for water quality...

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Abstract Abstract Trading Framework Option 2: Trading Framework Option 2: Schematic Schematic Economic Modeling Economic Modeling Need for Water Quality Need for Water Quality Trading Trading References References Phosphorus loading from point and nonpoint sources Phosphorus loading from point and nonpoint sources within the Non-Tidal Passaic River Basin must be within the Non-Tidal Passaic River Basin must be addressed to restore its water quality. Excess addressed to restore its water quality. Excess phosphorus in freshwater bodies can cause eutrophic phosphorus in freshwater bodies can cause eutrophic conditions, e.g. algal blooms, depleted oxygen conditions, e.g. algal blooms, depleted oxygen levels, and even fish kills. levels, and even fish kills. A TMDL for phosphorus is being developed for the non- A TMDL for phosphorus is being developed for the non- tidal Passaic River Basin due to exceedances of NJ’s tidal Passaic River Basin due to exceedances of NJ’s water quality criteria for TP (0.1 mg/l in freshwater water quality criteria for TP (0.1 mg/l in freshwater streams; 0.05 mg/l in lakes). streams; 0.05 mg/l in lakes). The TMDL will establish waste load allocations for The TMDL will establish waste load allocations for phosphorus in the watershed. It is likely that all phosphorus in the watershed. It is likely that all point sources will be required to reduce phosphorus point sources will be required to reduce phosphorus loading to the Passaic River. Upgrading each WWTP to loading to the Passaic River. Upgrading each WWTP to meet its TMDL allocation will be meet its TMDL allocation will be very costly very costly . . Water quality trading is based on the premise that Water quality trading is based on the premise that sources in a watershed can face very different costs sources in a watershed can face very different costs to control the same pollutant. to control the same pollutant. A trading program A trading program allots a certain number of pollution credits to each allots a certain number of pollution credits to each source in the watershed. The sources can either source in the watershed. The sources can either discharge under their limit and sell their credits, discharge under their limit and sell their credits, or discharge over their limit and purchase credits. or discharge over their limit and purchase credits. The net effect will be to improve water quality in The net effect will be to improve water quality in the watershed at a lower cost than making each the watershed at a lower cost than making each individual pollutant source upgrade effluent individual pollutant source upgrade effluent treatment to meet its discharge limit. treatment to meet its discharge limit. The Passaic situation is ideal for a water quality The Passaic situation is ideal for a water quality trading program: trading program: Christopher Obropta, Ph.D., P.E., and Josef Kardos, Department of Environmental Sciences, Rutgers University Christopher Obropta, Ph.D., P.E., and Josef Kardos, Department of Environmental Sciences, Rutgers University www.water.rutgers.edu/Projects/trading/Passaic www.water.rutgers.edu/Projects/trading/Passaic Ramanessin Brook, 2003 Trading and Water Quality “Hot Trading and Water Quality “Hot Spots”: Spots”: Concerns and Solutions Concerns and Solutions Holmdel Park, 2003 Cornell University team developed economic model to identify Cornell University team developed economic model to identify trading scheme that can best minimize treatment costs (Sado, trading scheme that can best minimize treatment costs (Sado, 2006). 2006). Model uniquely includes marginal abatement costs Model uniquely includes marginal abatement costs and and incremental capital costs incremental capital costs Considered multiple scenarios based on potential TMDL Considered multiple scenarios based on potential TMDL allocations and trading zones allocations and trading zones Key Findings: Key Findings: Sufficient incentives for limited but important multi-year Sufficient incentives for limited but important multi-year bilateral or trilateral deals bilateral or trilateral deals A phased in TMDL cap will reduce costs of TMDL A phased in TMDL cap will reduce costs of TMDL implementation because it allows flexibility in the timing implementation because it allows flexibility in the timing of capital investments of capital investments New Jersey New Jersey Department of Environmental Department of Environmental Protection (NJDEP) 2005a. New Jersey 2004 Protection (NJDEP) 2005a. New Jersey 2004 Integrated Water Quality Monitoring and Integrated Water Quality Monitoring and Assessment Report (305(b) and 303(d)). Assessment Report (305(b) and 303(d)). Water Assessment Team, Trenton, New Jersey. Water Assessment Team, Trenton, New Jersey. New Jersey New Jersey Department of Environmental Department of Environmental Protection (NJDEP) 2005b. Amendment to the Protection (NJDEP) 2005b. Amendment to the Northeast, Upper Raritan, Sussex County and Northeast, Upper Raritan, Sussex County and Upper Delaware Water Quality Management Upper Delaware Water Quality Management Plans: Phase I Passaic River Study, Total Plans: Phase I Passaic River Study, Total Maximum Daily Load for Phosphorus in Maximum Daily Load for Phosphorus in Wanaque Reservoir, Northeast Water Region. Wanaque Reservoir, Northeast Water Region. Division of Watershed Management, Trenton, Division of Watershed Management, Trenton, New Jersey. New Jersey. Sado, Y., 2006. Potential Cost Savings from Sado, Y., 2006. Potential Cost Savings from Discharge Permit Trading to Meet TMDLs for Discharge Permit Trading to Meet TMDLs for Phosphorus in the Passaic River Watershed. Phosphorus in the Passaic River Watershed. Introductio Introductio n n The non-tidal portion of the Passaic River Basin The non-tidal portion of the Passaic River Basin encompasses 2080 km encompasses 2080 km 2 , with 1733 km , with 1733 km 2 of the watershed of the watershed in New Jersey (NJ) and the remainder in New York. in New Jersey (NJ) and the remainder in New York. 23 reservoirs, which provide potable water to 25% of 23 reservoirs, which provide potable water to 25% of NJ residents (i.e., 2 million people), are located NJ residents (i.e., 2 million people), are located within the Non-Tidal Passaic River Basin. within the Non-Tidal Passaic River Basin. Includes the Wanaque Reservoir, the largest potable Includes the Wanaque Reservoir, the largest potable water source in NJ (capacity: 138.5 billion liters) water source in NJ (capacity: 138.5 billion liters) Surface water quality standards for nutrients, Surface water quality standards for nutrients, dissolved oxygen, pH, temperature, pathogens, metals dissolved oxygen, pH, temperature, pathogens, metals and pesticides are often exceeded in the watershed. and pesticides are often exceeded in the watershed. Over 320 stream km are impaired due to total Over 320 stream km are impaired due to total phosphorus (TP) concentrations in exceedance of 0.1 phosphorus (TP) concentrations in exceedance of 0.1 mg/l (NJDEP, 2005a). mg/l (NJDEP, 2005a). There are 19 wastewater treatment plants within the There are 19 wastewater treatment plants within the watershed that are each permitted to discharge more watershed that are each permitted to discharge more than 3.8 million liters per day of treated effluent. than 3.8 million liters per day of treated effluent. These treatment plants contribute the majority of the phosphorus These treatment plants contribute the majority of the phosphorus load to the watershed load to the watershed (NJDEP, 2005b). (NJDEP, 2005b). The New Jersey Department of Environmental Protection The New Jersey Department of Environmental Protection (NJDEP) is developing a Total Maximum Daily Load (NJDEP) is developing a Total Maximum Daily Load (TMDL) which will set phosphorus load allocations for (TMDL) which will set phosphorus load allocations for point and nonpoint sources in the Non-Tidal Passaic point and nonpoint sources in the Non-Tidal Passaic River Basin (area: 1733 km River Basin (area: 1733 km 2 ). The most immediate ). The most immediate impacts will fall on 24 of the largest wastewater impacts will fall on 24 of the largest wastewater treatment plants (WWTPs) in the basin. Most WWTPs treatment plants (WWTPs) in the basin. Most WWTPs will likely have to significantly reduce phosphorus will likely have to significantly reduce phosphorus effluent concentrations at great expense to meet effluent concentrations at great expense to meet anticipated TMDL waste load allocations. anticipated TMDL waste load allocations. Water quality trading is a market-based mechanism to Water quality trading is a market-based mechanism to increase the cost-effectiveness of TMDL increase the cost-effectiveness of TMDL implementation. A multi-disciplinary team of Rutgers implementation. A multi-disciplinary team of Rutgers University and Cornell University faculty, with University and Cornell University faculty, with expertise in water quality modeling, wastewater expertise in water quality modeling, wastewater treatment, environmental policy and environmental treatment, environmental policy and environmental economics, are working together with USEPA, NJDEP, economics, are working together with USEPA, NJDEP, local municipalities and WWTPs, and environmental non- local municipalities and WWTPs, and environmental non- governmental organizations (NGOs) to design, governmental organizations (NGOs) to design, implement, and evaluate a phosphorus trading program implement, and evaluate a phosphorus trading program for the Non-Tidal Passaic River Basin. Results from for the Non-Tidal Passaic River Basin. Results from the project design phase are presented. The the project design phase are presented. The development of a trading framework that addresses development of a trading framework that addresses trading ratios, trading boundaries, and the avoidance trading ratios, trading boundaries, and the avoidance of pollution “hot spots” are discussed. The results of pollution “hot spots” are discussed. The results from economic modeling of simulated trades are also from economic modeling of simulated trades are also reviewed. reviewed. Each management area (M.A.) is bounded by a TMDL endpoint. The endpoint Each management area (M.A.) is bounded by a TMDL endpoint. The endpoint is the only potential hot spot in the management area. is the only potential hot spot in the management area. Within each management area, bidirectional trading is allowed; sellers Within each management area, bidirectional trading is allowed; sellers can be downstream of buyers and vice versa. can be downstream of buyers and vice versa. Inter-management area trading: Inter-management area trading: Upper Passaic M.A. can sell to Lower Passaic M.A. Upper Passaic M.A. can sell to Lower Passaic M.A. Pompton M.A. can sell to Upper and Lower Passaic M.A.’s Pompton M.A. can sell to Upper and Lower Passaic M.A.’s Trades that create “hot spots” – localized areas of unacceptably high Trades that create “hot spots” – localized areas of unacceptably high pollutant levels – must be avoided. pollutant levels – must be avoided. In trading, because the buyer is exceeding its allocation, pollutant In trading, because the buyer is exceeding its allocation, pollutant levels will increase downstream of the buyer. levels will increase downstream of the buyer. How does the project ensure that hot spots will not develop downstream of How does the project ensure that hot spots will not develop downstream of buyers? buyers? 1. 1. Trading ratios Trading ratios are applied to each transaction to account for fate and are applied to each transaction to account for fate and transport effects. Ratios are calculated by comparing TP attenuation transport effects. Ratios are calculated by comparing TP attenuation from each point source relative to downstream locations. In Figure 1, from each point source relative to downstream locations. In Figure 1, TP summer attenuation coefficients at Dundee Lake (PA-11) are 60% and TP summer attenuation coefficients at Dundee Lake (PA-11) are 60% and 50% from Upper Passaic Zone 1 and Troy Hill Zone, respectively. 50% from Upper Passaic Zone 1 and Troy Hill Zone, respectively. Therefore, ratio is seller is Therefore, ratio is seller is upstream). If the buyer needs 500 kg of credits, the seller must upstream). If the buyer needs 500 kg of credits, the seller must generate 600 kg of credits to satisfy the ratio. A table of trading generate 600 kg of credits to satisfy the ratio. A table of trading ratios has been calculated for all WWTPs in the watershed. ratios has been calculated for all WWTPs in the watershed. Figure 1: Phosphorus attenuation from two point source zones in the watershed Figure 1: Phosphorus attenuation from two point source zones in the watershed 2. 2. Trades are restricted Trades are restricted and conducted within a framework that prevents and conducted within a framework that prevents the creation of trading hot spots. the creation of trading hot spots. Trading Framework Option 1 Trading Framework Option 1 : : No trading across tributaries No trading across tributaries Aims to protect all reaches; assumes excessive TP anywhere is a water Aims to protect all reaches; assumes excessive TP anywhere is a water quality concern quality concern Trading boundaries: Seller must be upstream of buyer Trading boundaries: Seller must be upstream of buyer Simple to implement; less opportunities to trade; most conservative Simple to implement; less opportunities to trade; most conservative water quality protection strategy water quality protection strategy Trading Framework Option 2 Trading Framework Option 2 : : Management Area approach Management Area approach Aims to protect TMDL endpoints; assumes excessive TP is only a water Aims to protect TMDL endpoints; assumes excessive TP is only a water quality concern at the endpoints (Dundee Lake and Wanaque Reservoir) quality concern at the endpoints (Dundee Lake and Wanaque Reservoir) Trading boundaries: Group WWTPs into “management areas”. Trading boundaries: Group WWTPs into “management areas”. See Figure 2. See Figure 2. More opportunities to trade; slightly more complex to implement; More opportunities to trade; slightly more complex to implement; sampling and modeling studies indicate this approach correctly sampling and modeling studies indicate this approach correctly identifies potential hot spots and would protect water quality. identifies potential hot spots and would protect water quality. Wanaque Wanaque Reservoir Reservoir Dundee Dundee Lake Lake Upper Passaic Upper Passaic M.A.: 16 M.A.: 16 WWTPs WWTPs Wanaque South Wanaque South intake endpoint intake endpoint Management Management Area Area boundary boundary Endpoint Endpoint River / River / tributary tributary Legend Legend Lower Passaic Lower Passaic M.A.: 3 WWTPs M.A.: 3 WWTPs Dundee Dundee Lake Lake endpoint endpoint Pompton Pompton M.A.: 3 M.A.: 3 WWTPs WWTPs Figure 2: Schematic of management areas Figure 2: Schematic of management areas Zone A ttenuation C oefficient-Passaic Zone 1 0.00 0.10 0.20 0.30 0.40 0.50 0.60 0.70 0.80 0.90 1.00 R eference Location Attenuation % Annual Attenuation SummerAttenuation Zone A ttenuation C oefficient-TroyH illZone 0.00 0.10 0.20 0.30 0.40 0.50 0.60 0.70 0.80 0.90 1.00 R eference Location Attenuation % Annual Attenuation SummerAttenuation Conclusions Conclusions Water quality trading has potential to reduce aggregate Water quality trading has potential to reduce aggregate discharge of total phosphorus from wastewater treatment discharge of total phosphorus from wastewater treatment plants in the Non-Tidal Passaic River Basin, in turn plants in the Non-Tidal Passaic River Basin, in turn decreasing the frequency and severity of algal blooms in the decreasing the frequency and severity of algal blooms in the watershed. watershed. Hot spot issues will be avoided through application of Hot spot issues will be avoided through application of trading ratios; careful selection of a trading framework will trading ratios; careful selection of a trading framework will ensure that trades protect and improve water quality ensure that trades protect and improve water quality Economic modeling indicates that although market size is Economic modeling indicates that although market size is limited, important multi-year bilateral or trilateral deals limited, important multi-year bilateral or trilateral deals can be achieved which will reduce costs of TMDL can be achieved which will reduce costs of TMDL implementation for parties involved. A phased in TMDL cap implementation for parties involved. A phased in TMDL cap will enhance trading through increased flexibility in timing will enhance trading through increased flexibility in timing of capital investments. of capital investments. Upon release of official TMDL allocations, various trading Upon release of official TMDL allocations, various trading scenarios will be simulated and evaluated from a water scenarios will be simulated and evaluated from a water quality and economic standpoint. quality and economic standpoint. A monitoring strategy is in development to study the effects A monitoring strategy is in development to study the effects of actual trades and facilitate adaptive management. of actual trades and facilitate adaptive management. Acknowledgments Acknowledgments The authors wish to acknowledge Dr. The authors wish to acknowledge Dr. Richard Boisvert, Dr. William Richard Boisvert, Dr. William Goldfarb, Dr. Greg Poe, Dr. Peter Goldfarb, Dr. Greg Poe, Dr. Peter Strom, Dr. Christopher Uchrin, Strom, Dr. Christopher Uchrin, Mehran Niazi, Yukako Sado, USEPA, Mehran Niazi, Yukako Sado, USEPA, NJDEP, the Passaic River Basin NJDEP, the Passaic River Basin Alliance, and TRC Omni Environmental Alliance, and TRC Omni Environmental Corp. for their involvement in this Corp. for their involvement in this multidisciplinary research effort. multidisciplinary research effort. The research was supported by a The research was supported by a Figure 3: Figure 3: Wastewater Wastewater treatment treatment plants in plants in the the Non- Non- Tidal Tidal Passaic Passaic River River Basin Basin Watershed Watershed figures: figures: 1733 km 1733 km 2 area area Approximately Approximately 2 million 2 million people people Predominantly Predominantly forest forest (42%), urban (42%), urban (40%) and (40%) and wetlands wetlands (12%) land (12%) land use / land use / land cover cover 23 reservoirs 23 reservoirs including including NJ’s largest NJ’s largest – Wanaque – Wanaque Reservoir Reservoir

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Page 1: Abstract Abstract Trading Framework Option 2: Schematic Economic Modeling Need for Water Quality Trading References Phosphorus loading from point and nonpoint

AbstractAbstract AbstractAbstract

Trading Framework Option 2: SchematicTrading Framework Option 2: SchematicTrading Framework Option 2: SchematicTrading Framework Option 2: Schematic

Economic ModelingEconomic ModelingEconomic ModelingEconomic Modeling

Need for Water Quality TradingNeed for Water Quality TradingNeed for Water Quality TradingNeed for Water Quality Trading

ReferencesReferences

Phosphorus loading from point and nonpoint sources within the Non-Tidal Phosphorus loading from point and nonpoint sources within the Non-Tidal Passaic River Basin must be addressed to restore its water quality. Excess Passaic River Basin must be addressed to restore its water quality. Excess phosphorus in freshwater bodies can cause eutrophic conditions, e.g. algal phosphorus in freshwater bodies can cause eutrophic conditions, e.g. algal blooms, depleted oxygen levels, and even fish kills.blooms, depleted oxygen levels, and even fish kills.

A TMDL for phosphorus is being developed for the non-tidal Passaic River A TMDL for phosphorus is being developed for the non-tidal Passaic River Basin due to exceedances of NJ’s water quality criteria for TP (0.1 mg/l in Basin due to exceedances of NJ’s water quality criteria for TP (0.1 mg/l in freshwater streams; 0.05 mg/l in lakes). freshwater streams; 0.05 mg/l in lakes).

The TMDL will establish waste load allocations for phosphorus in the The TMDL will establish waste load allocations for phosphorus in the watershed. It is likely that all point sources will be required to reduce watershed. It is likely that all point sources will be required to reduce phosphorus loading to the Passaic River. Upgrading each WWTP to meet its phosphorus loading to the Passaic River. Upgrading each WWTP to meet its TMDL allocation will be TMDL allocation will be very costlyvery costly..

Water quality trading is based on the premise that sources in a watershed can Water quality trading is based on the premise that sources in a watershed can face very different costs to control the same pollutant.face very different costs to control the same pollutant. A trading program allots A trading program allots a certain number of pollution credits to each source in the watershed. The a certain number of pollution credits to each source in the watershed. The sources can either discharge under their limit and sell their credits, or discharge sources can either discharge under their limit and sell their credits, or discharge over their limit and purchase credits. The net effect will be to improve water over their limit and purchase credits. The net effect will be to improve water quality in the watershed at a lower cost than making each individual pollutant quality in the watershed at a lower cost than making each individual pollutant source upgrade effluent treatment to meet its discharge limit. source upgrade effluent treatment to meet its discharge limit.

The Passaic situation is ideal for a water quality trading program:The Passaic situation is ideal for a water quality trading program:

Presence of a market driver - stringent TP criteriaPresence of a market driver - stringent TP criteria

Presence of a TMDL - TMDL allocations provide a cap, and can be used to Presence of a TMDL - TMDL allocations provide a cap, and can be used to identify potential trading opportunities within the watershedidentify potential trading opportunities within the watershed

High quantity of point sources and potential program participants: 24 High quantity of point sources and potential program participants: 24 WWTPs and 89 municipal separate storm sewer systems (MS4s).WWTPs and 89 municipal separate storm sewer systems (MS4s).

Christopher Obropta, Ph.D., P.E., and Josef Kardos, Department of Environmental Sciences, Rutgers UniversityChristopher Obropta, Ph.D., P.E., and Josef Kardos, Department of Environmental Sciences, Rutgers Universitywww.water.rutgers.edu/Projects/trading/Passaicwww.water.rutgers.edu/Projects/trading/Passaic

Ramanessin Brook, 2003

Trading and Water Quality “Hot Spots”: Trading and Water Quality “Hot Spots”: Concerns and Solutions Concerns and SolutionsTrading and Water Quality “Hot Spots”: Trading and Water Quality “Hot Spots”: Concerns and Solutions Concerns and Solutions

Holmdel Park, 2003

Cornell University team developed economic model to identify trading scheme that can best Cornell University team developed economic model to identify trading scheme that can best minimize treatment costs (Sado, 2006).minimize treatment costs (Sado, 2006).Model uniquely includes marginal abatement costs Model uniquely includes marginal abatement costs and and incremental capital costsincremental capital costsConsidered multiple scenarios based on potential TMDL allocations and trading zones Considered multiple scenarios based on potential TMDL allocations and trading zones Key Findings:Key Findings:

Sufficient incentives for limited but important multi-year bilateral or trilateral dealsSufficient incentives for limited but important multi-year bilateral or trilateral deals

A phased in TMDL cap will reduce costs of TMDL implementation because it allows A phased in TMDL cap will reduce costs of TMDL implementation because it allows flexibility in the timing of capital investmentsflexibility in the timing of capital investments

New Jersey New Jersey Department of Environmental Protection (NJDEP) Department of Environmental Protection (NJDEP) 2005a. New Jersey 2004 Integrated Water Quality Monitoring 2005a. New Jersey 2004 Integrated Water Quality Monitoring and Assessment Report (305(b) and 303(d)). Water Assessment and Assessment Report (305(b) and 303(d)). Water Assessment Team, Trenton, New Jersey.Team, Trenton, New Jersey.

New Jersey New Jersey Department of Environmental Protection (NJDEP) Department of Environmental Protection (NJDEP) 2005b. Amendment to the Northeast, Upper Raritan, Sussex 2005b. Amendment to the Northeast, Upper Raritan, Sussex County and Upper Delaware Water Quality Management Plans: County and Upper Delaware Water Quality Management Plans: Phase I Passaic River Study, Total Maximum Daily Load for Phase I Passaic River Study, Total Maximum Daily Load for Phosphorus in Wanaque Reservoir, Northeast Water Region. Phosphorus in Wanaque Reservoir, Northeast Water Region. Division of Watershed Management, Trenton, New Jersey.Division of Watershed Management, Trenton, New Jersey.

Sado, Y., 2006. Potential Cost Savings from Discharge Permit Sado, Y., 2006. Potential Cost Savings from Discharge Permit Trading to Meet TMDLs for Phosphorus in the Passaic River Trading to Meet TMDLs for Phosphorus in the Passaic River Watershed. Master’s Thesis, Cornell University, Ithaca, New Watershed. Master’s Thesis, Cornell University, Ithaca, New York.York.

IntroductionIntroduction IntroductionIntroductionThe non-tidal portion of the Passaic River Basin encompasses 2080 kmThe non-tidal portion of the Passaic River Basin encompasses 2080 km22, with , with 1733 km1733 km22 of the watershed in New Jersey (NJ) and the remainder in New York. of the watershed in New Jersey (NJ) and the remainder in New York.

23 reservoirs, which provide potable water to 25% of NJ residents (i.e., 2 million 23 reservoirs, which provide potable water to 25% of NJ residents (i.e., 2 million people), are located within the Non-Tidal Passaic River Basin. people), are located within the Non-Tidal Passaic River Basin.

Includes the Wanaque Reservoir, the largest potable water source in NJ Includes the Wanaque Reservoir, the largest potable water source in NJ (capacity: 138.5 billion liters)(capacity: 138.5 billion liters)

Surface water quality standards for nutrients, dissolved oxygen, pH, temperature, Surface water quality standards for nutrients, dissolved oxygen, pH, temperature, pathogens, metals and pesticides are often exceeded in the watershed. pathogens, metals and pesticides are often exceeded in the watershed.

Over 320 stream km are impaired due to total phosphorus (TP) concentrations Over 320 stream km are impaired due to total phosphorus (TP) concentrations in exceedance of 0.1 mg/l (NJDEP, 2005a).in exceedance of 0.1 mg/l (NJDEP, 2005a).

There are 19 wastewater treatment plants within the watershed that are each There are 19 wastewater treatment plants within the watershed that are each permitted to discharge more than 3.8 million liters per day of treated effluent. permitted to discharge more than 3.8 million liters per day of treated effluent. These treatment plants contribute the majority of the phosphorus load to the These treatment plants contribute the majority of the phosphorus load to the watershed watershed (NJDEP, 2005b).(NJDEP, 2005b).

The New Jersey Department of Environmental Protection (NJDEP) is developing The New Jersey Department of Environmental Protection (NJDEP) is developing a Total Maximum Daily Load (TMDL) which will set phosphorus load a Total Maximum Daily Load (TMDL) which will set phosphorus load allocations for point and nonpoint sources in the Non-Tidal Passaic River Basin allocations for point and nonpoint sources in the Non-Tidal Passaic River Basin (area: 1733 km(area: 1733 km22). The most immediate impacts will fall on 24 of the largest ). The most immediate impacts will fall on 24 of the largest wastewater treatment plants (WWTPs) in the basin. Most WWTPs will likely wastewater treatment plants (WWTPs) in the basin. Most WWTPs will likely have to significantly reduce phosphorus effluent concentrations at great expense have to significantly reduce phosphorus effluent concentrations at great expense to meet anticipated TMDL waste load allocations. to meet anticipated TMDL waste load allocations.

Water quality trading is a market-based mechanism to increase the cost-Water quality trading is a market-based mechanism to increase the cost-effectiveness of TMDL implementation. A multi-disciplinary team of Rutgers effectiveness of TMDL implementation. A multi-disciplinary team of Rutgers University and Cornell University faculty, with expertise in water quality University and Cornell University faculty, with expertise in water quality modeling, wastewater treatment, environmental policy and environmental modeling, wastewater treatment, environmental policy and environmental economics, are working together with USEPA, NJDEP, local municipalities and economics, are working together with USEPA, NJDEP, local municipalities and WWTPs, and environmental non-governmental organizations (NGOs) to design, WWTPs, and environmental non-governmental organizations (NGOs) to design, implement, and evaluate a phosphorus trading program for the Non-Tidal Passaic implement, and evaluate a phosphorus trading program for the Non-Tidal Passaic River Basin. Results from the project design phase are presented. The River Basin. Results from the project design phase are presented. The development of a trading framework that addresses trading ratios, trading development of a trading framework that addresses trading ratios, trading boundaries, and the avoidance of pollution “hot spots” are discussed. The results boundaries, and the avoidance of pollution “hot spots” are discussed. The results from economic modeling of simulated trades are also reviewed. from economic modeling of simulated trades are also reviewed.

Each management area (M.A.) is bounded by a TMDL endpoint. The endpoint is the only potential hot Each management area (M.A.) is bounded by a TMDL endpoint. The endpoint is the only potential hot spot in the management area. spot in the management area.

Within each management area, bidirectional trading is allowed; sellers can be downstream of buyers and Within each management area, bidirectional trading is allowed; sellers can be downstream of buyers and vice versa.vice versa.

Inter-management area trading:Inter-management area trading:

Upper Passaic M.A. can sell to Lower Passaic M.A. Upper Passaic M.A. can sell to Lower Passaic M.A.

Pompton M.A. can sell to Upper and Lower Passaic M.A.’sPompton M.A. can sell to Upper and Lower Passaic M.A.’s

Trades that create “hot spots” – localized areas of unacceptably high pollutant levels – must be avoided. Trades that create “hot spots” – localized areas of unacceptably high pollutant levels – must be avoided.

In trading, because the buyer is exceeding its allocation, pollutant levels will increase downstream of the In trading, because the buyer is exceeding its allocation, pollutant levels will increase downstream of the buyer. buyer.

How does the project ensure that hot spots will not develop downstream of buyers?How does the project ensure that hot spots will not develop downstream of buyers?

1.1. Trading ratiosTrading ratios are applied to each transaction to account for fate and transport effects. Ratios are are applied to each transaction to account for fate and transport effects. Ratios are calculated by comparing TP attenuation from each point source relative to downstream locations. In calculated by comparing TP attenuation from each point source relative to downstream locations. In Figure 1, TP summer attenuation coefficients at Dundee Lake (PA-11) are 60% and 50% from Upper Figure 1, TP summer attenuation coefficients at Dundee Lake (PA-11) are 60% and 50% from Upper Passaic Zone 1 and Troy Hill Zone, respectively. Therefore, the trading ratio is 0.5/0.6 = 0.83 (if seller is Passaic Zone 1 and Troy Hill Zone, respectively. Therefore, the trading ratio is 0.5/0.6 = 0.83 (if seller is upstream). If the buyer needs 500 kg of credits, the seller must generate 600 kg of credits to satisfy the upstream). If the buyer needs 500 kg of credits, the seller must generate 600 kg of credits to satisfy the ratio. A table of trading ratios has been calculated for all WWTPs in the watershed. ratio. A table of trading ratios has been calculated for all WWTPs in the watershed.

Figure 1: Phosphorus attenuation from two point source zones in the watershedFigure 1: Phosphorus attenuation from two point source zones in the watershed

2.2. Trades are restrictedTrades are restricted and conducted within a framework that prevents the creation of trading hot spots. and conducted within a framework that prevents the creation of trading hot spots.

Trading Framework Option 1Trading Framework Option 1: : No trading across tributariesNo trading across tributaries

Aims to protect all reaches; assumes excessive TP anywhere is a water quality concernAims to protect all reaches; assumes excessive TP anywhere is a water quality concern

Trading boundaries: Seller must be upstream of buyerTrading boundaries: Seller must be upstream of buyer

Simple to implement; less opportunities to trade; most conservative water quality protection Simple to implement; less opportunities to trade; most conservative water quality protection strategystrategy

Trading Framework Option 2Trading Framework Option 2: : Management Area approachManagement Area approachAims to protect TMDL endpoints; assumes excessive TP is only a water quality concern at the endpoints Aims to protect TMDL endpoints; assumes excessive TP is only a water quality concern at the endpoints (Dundee Lake and Wanaque Reservoir)(Dundee Lake and Wanaque Reservoir)Trading boundaries: Group WWTPs into “management areas”. Trading boundaries: Group WWTPs into “management areas”. See Figure 2.See Figure 2.More opportunities to trade; slightly more complex to implement; sampling and modeling studies More opportunities to trade; slightly more complex to implement; sampling and modeling studies indicate this approach correctly identifies potential hot spots and would protect water quality.indicate this approach correctly identifies potential hot spots and would protect water quality.

Wanaque Wanaque ReservoirReservoir

Dundee Dundee LakeLake

Upper Passaic M.A.: Upper Passaic M.A.: 16 WWTPs 16 WWTPs

Wanaque South Wanaque South intake endpointintake endpoint

Management Management Area boundaryArea boundary

EndpointEndpoint

River / tributaryRiver / tributary

LegendLegend

Lower Passaic Lower Passaic M.A.: 3 WWTPsM.A.: 3 WWTPs

Dundee Dundee Lake Lake

endpointendpoint

Pompton M.A.: Pompton M.A.: 3 WWTPs3 WWTPs

Figure 2: Schematic of management areasFigure 2: Schematic of management areas

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ConclusionsConclusionsConclusionsConclusionsWater quality trading has potential to reduce aggregate discharge of total phosphorus from Water quality trading has potential to reduce aggregate discharge of total phosphorus from wastewater treatment plants in the Non-Tidal Passaic River Basin, in turn decreasing the wastewater treatment plants in the Non-Tidal Passaic River Basin, in turn decreasing the frequency and severity of algal blooms in the watershed.frequency and severity of algal blooms in the watershed.Hot spot issues will be avoided through application of trading ratios; careful selection of a Hot spot issues will be avoided through application of trading ratios; careful selection of a trading framework will ensure that trades protect and improve water qualitytrading framework will ensure that trades protect and improve water qualityEconomic modeling indicates that although market size is limited, important multi-year Economic modeling indicates that although market size is limited, important multi-year bilateral or trilateral deals can be achieved which will reduce costs of TMDL bilateral or trilateral deals can be achieved which will reduce costs of TMDL implementation for parties involved. A phased in TMDL cap will enhance trading through implementation for parties involved. A phased in TMDL cap will enhance trading through increased flexibility in timing of capital investments.increased flexibility in timing of capital investments.Upon release of official TMDL allocations, various trading scenarios will be simulated and Upon release of official TMDL allocations, various trading scenarios will be simulated and evaluated from a water quality and economic standpoint. evaluated from a water quality and economic standpoint. A monitoring strategy is in development to study the effects of actual trades and facilitate A monitoring strategy is in development to study the effects of actual trades and facilitate adaptive management.adaptive management.

AcknowledgmentsAcknowledgments

The authors wish to acknowledge Dr. Richard The authors wish to acknowledge Dr. Richard Boisvert, Dr. William Goldfarb, Dr. Greg Poe, Dr. Boisvert, Dr. William Goldfarb, Dr. Greg Poe, Dr. Peter Strom, Dr. Christopher Uchrin, Mehran Niazi, Peter Strom, Dr. Christopher Uchrin, Mehran Niazi, Yukako Sado, USEPA, NJDEP, the Passaic River Yukako Sado, USEPA, NJDEP, the Passaic River Basin Alliance, and TRC Omni Environmental Corp. Basin Alliance, and TRC Omni Environmental Corp. for their involvement in this multidisciplinary for their involvement in this multidisciplinary research effort. The research was supported by a research effort. The research was supported by a USEPA Targeted Watershed Grant. USEPA Targeted Watershed Grant.

Figure 3: Figure 3: Wastewater Wastewater

treatment plants treatment plants in the in the Non-Tidal Non-Tidal

Passaic River Passaic River BasinBasin

Watershed figures:Watershed figures:

1733 km1733 km22 area area

Approximately 2 Approximately 2 million peoplemillion people

Predominantly Predominantly forest (42%), forest (42%),

urban (40%) and urban (40%) and wetlands (12%) wetlands (12%) land use / land land use / land

covercover

23 reservoirs 23 reservoirs including NJ’s including NJ’s

largest – largest – Wanaque Wanaque ReservoirReservoir