abnormalities on ecg and telemetry predict stroke outcome at 3 months
TRANSCRIPT
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Journal of the Neurological Sci
Abnormalities on ECG and telemetry predict stroke outcome at 3 months
Hanne Christensena,*, Anders Fogh Christensenb, Gudrun Boysena
aDept. of Neurology, Bispebjerg Hospital, University of Copenhagen 2400 Copenhagen NV, DenmarkbDept. of Radiology, Rigshospitalet, University of Copenhagen, Denmark
Received 8 February 2005; accepted 16 March 2005
Available online 1 June 2005
Abstract
Background: ECG is a useful tool in monitoring vital functions in patients with acute stroke; however, fairly little evidence is available
concerning the prevalence and the prognostic impact of ECG findings in patients with acute cerebral infarction and acute intracerebral
haemorrhage (ICH).
Methods: This analysis was based on data from 692 patients with acute cerebral infarction, 155 patients with intracerebral haemorrhage
(ICH), and 223 patients with transient ischaemic attack (TIA), who were admitted to hospital within 6 h of symptom onset. A 12 lead ECG
was obtained on admission, and the patient was on telemetry for the first 12–24 h of hospitalisation.
Results: ECG abnormalities were observed in 60% of patients with cerebral infarction, 50% of patients with ICH, and 44% of patients with
TIA. In multivariate analyses 3-month mortality in patients with ischaemic stroke was predicted by atrial fibrillation OR 2.0 (95% CI 1.3–
3.1), atrio-ventricular block OR 1.9 (95% CI 1.2–3.9), ST-elevation OR (2.8, 95% CI 1.3–6.3), ST-depression OR 2.5 (95% CI 1.5–4.3),
and inverted T-waves OR 2.7 (95% CI 1.6–4.6). This was independent of stroke severity, pre-stroke disability and age. In patients with ICH,
sinus tachycardia OR 4.8 (95% CI 1.7–14.0), ST-depression OR 5.2 (95% CI 1.1–24.9), and inverted T-wave 5.2 (95% CI 1.2–22.5)
predicted poor outcome. None of the changes reached significance in patients with TIA. In patients with severe cerebral infarction or ICH,
heart rate did not decrease within the first 12 h after admission, which was the case in patients with mild to moderate stroke. Rapid heart rate
predicted 3-month mortality in multivariate testing OR 1.7 (95% CI 1.02–2.7).
Conclusions: ECG abnormalities are frequent in acute stroke and may predict 3-month mortality.
D 2005 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.
Keywords: Stroke; ECG
1. Introduction
Abnormal ECGs are frequently recorded in patients with
acute stroke. Little evidence, however, exists concerning the
prevalence of ECG changes and their prognostic impact for
patients with cerebral infarction and intracerebral haemor-
rhage [1].
The aim of this retrospective analysis was to describe the
prevalence of common ECG abnormalities on admission 12-
lead ECG and on telemetry in a large patient population
admitted to the hospital within 6 h of the onset of a focal
neurological deficit, and to evaluate the impact of these
findings on functional outcome and mortality 3 months
0022-510X/$ - see front matter D 2005 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.
doi:10.1016/j.jns.2005.03.039
* Corresponding author. Tel.: +45 35 31 61 14; fax: 45 35 31 25 95.
E-mail address: [email protected] (H. Christensen).
later. Patients with and without history of cardiac disease
were included.
2. Patients and methods
The study population includes 1192 consecutive patients
with cerebrovascular disease who were admitted to an acute
stroke unit within 6 h of symptom onset. Data was
registered as previously described [2]. In short, diagnosis
was based on clinical and CT-scan findings on admission.
Clinical data were collected prospectively.
Stroke severity was assessed on admission by the
Scandinavian Stroke Scale (SSS) [3] in which no neuro-
logical deficit equals 58 points, and 0 points represent a
comatose paralysed state. Outcome was evaluated by the
ences 234 (2005) 99 – 103
Table 1
Clinical data in 1070 patients with acute cerebrovascular disease
Diagnose ACI
(N =692)
ICH
(N =155)
TIA
(N =223)
Age (years) 76 (67–82) 74 (62–81) 70 (58–79)
Delay from symptom
onset to admission
and 12 lead ECG (h)
2 (1.1–3.5) 2 (1–3.1) 2.2 (1.1–3.5)
Scandinavian Stroke
Scale on admission
39 (22–49) 25 (10–35) 55 (50–58)
Modified Rankin Scale
(3 months after stroke)
3 (2–4) 4 (2–6) 1 (0–2)
3 months fatality rate 16.5% (114) 38.1% (59) 4% (9)
Recurrent stroke
<=12 months
9% (60) 3.9% (6) 8.9% (19)
History of MI 13.3% (78) 7.1% (11) 8.1% (18)
History of angina 14.6% (101) 5.2% (8) 13% (29)
History of congestive
heart failure
14.2% (98) 5.8% (9) 7.6% (17)
History of hypertension 35.4% (245) 38.7% (60) 35% (78)
Median and interquartile range or percent and number are presented.
ACI: Acute cerebral infarction.
ICH: Intracerebral haemorrhage.
TIA: Transient ischaemic attack.
H. Christensen et al. / Journal of the Neurological Sciences 234 (2005) 99–103100
modified Rankin Scale (mRS) [4] including death within 3
months after stroke onset. Severe stroke was defined as
SSS�25 and mild to moderate stroke as SSS>25.
Routine hospital procedure was followed for obtaining
ECGs. This includes the nurses obtaining a 12 lead ECG on
admission, followed by 12–24 h of telemetry (Teleguard
3200, Danica Biomedical A/S, Denmark). Abnormal
rhythms on ECG-telemetry were automatically printed and
placed in the patients’ chart. Normal telemetry tracings were
not stored in the chart.
12 lead ECGs were available for analysis in 1070 of the
1192 patients. 12 lead ECG data was either missing or
unreadable (due to resolution of the hospital scanner) in the
other 122 patients. The 122 patients with no admission ECG
were excluded from the analysis. This may introduce some
bias, as these excluded patients had more severe neuro-
logical deficits (SSS admission 31 vs. 41 in 1070 included
patients). There were no differences in age and pre-stroke
mRS. 675 of the 1070 included patients had abnormalities
on telemetry, which were included in the analysis.
When ECG abnormalities occurred in the acute stroke
unit, they were assessed by the neurologist in charge or by a
consultant cardiologist as appropriate, and treated according
to usual practice.
ECG’s were analysed retrospectively by one observer,
AFC, who was blinded to all clinical data. The following
changes were recorded when abnormal, according to general
guidelines [5]: atrial fibrillation, atrial flutter, sinus tachy-
cardia: HR>120, sinus bradycardia: HR<45, atrio-ventric-
ular block (all degrees), ventricular tachycardia>5 s, ectopic
beats, ST-elevation, ST-depression, isoform T-wave,
inverted T-wave, U-wave, and QTc>0.44 s. QTc was
calculated as QT/�R�R.
Cerebral infarction was diagnosed in 692 patients, ICH in
155 patients, and TIA in 223 patients. Statistical analysis
was performed using SPSS for Windows 9.0 (SPSS Inc.
Chicago, USA) and included descriptive statistics and
multiple logistic regression analysis, which were performed
as enter analyses. Outcome was death at 3 months. Beside
the various investigated ECG-abnormalities, we also
included SSS on admission, pre-stroke mRS, and age.
These possibly confounding variables were selected as
possible confounders based on literature and our previous
findings. The significance level was set at 0.05. Student’s t-
test was used in comparing continuous variable, and chi-
square-test was used in assessing the independence of row
and column variables in a cross tab.
The Scientific–Ethics committee of the Copenhagen and
Frederiksberg area reviewed the study protocol and had no
objections to its conduct.
3. Results
ECG-abnormalities of some kind were found in 55.3%
(592) of this acute stroke unit population. Patients’
characteristics are summarised in Table 1; 36.7% of all
patients had a history of hypertension, 10.1% a history of
acute myocardial infarction, 12.7% a history of angina,
and 12.0% had history of congestive heart failure.
Increasing stroke severity augmented the frequency of
ECG-abnormalities; median SSS on admission was 37 in
patients with ECG-abnormalities in comparison to 44 in
patients without ECG-abnormalities, Mann–Whitney’s test
p <0.001.
4. Patients with cerebral infarction (N =692)
An abnormal ECG was observed in 416 patients
(60.1%). The most frequent findings were sinus tachy-
cardia (24.3%), atrio-ventricular block (21.4%), and
ectopic beats (30.9%), Table 2. Repolarization changes
were observed in 32.5% of patients. Some ECG
abnormalities were related to severity of neurological
deficits; atrial fibrillation median SSS 28 vs. 39, p =0.12,
prolonged QTc median SSS 26 vs. 39, p =0.007, atrio-
ventricular block median SSS 34.5 vs. 39 p =0.038, ST-
depression median SSS 33.5 vs. 39 p =0.016, and ST-
elevation median SSS 30 vs. 39 p=0.046. In multivariate
logistic regression analysis, atrial fibrillation, OR 2.0
(95% CI 1.3–3.1), A-V block OR 1.9 (95% CI 1.2–
3.9), ST-elevation OR 2.8 (95% CI 1.3–6.3), ST-
depression OR 2.5 (95% CI 1.5–4.3), and inverted T-
wave OR 2.7 (95% CI 1.6–4.6) predicted 3-month
mortality independent of pre-stroke handicap, stroke
severity, and age. Ectopic beats >10%, atrial flutter,
sinus bradycardia, isoform T-wave, and ventricular and
sinus tachycardia did not affect prognosis in multivariate
Table 2
The frequencies of ECG abnormalities in 1070 patients with acute
cerebrovascular disease
Diagnosis ACI %
(N =692)
ICH %
(N =155)
TIA %
(N =223)
v2 test
ECG-changes, any. 60.1 (416) 49.7 (77) 44.4 (99) <0.001
Atrial fibrillation 11.3 (78) 1.9 (3) 7.2 (16) 0.003
Atrial flutter 2 (14) 0.6 (1) 1.3 (3) 0.508
Sinus tachycardia 24.3 (168) 19.4 (30) 14.3 (32) 0.001
Sinus bradycardia 13.7 (95) 9.7 (15) 12.2 (27) 0.310
A-V block, any 21.4 (148) 9.7 (15) 14.8 (33) 0.011
A-V block, 3rd degree 11.7 (81) 8.4 (13) 9 (20) 0.005
VT>5 s 1.2 (8) 0 0.4 (1) 0.209
Ectopic beats>10% 30.9 (214) 25.8 (40) 18.4 (41) 0.005
ST-elevation 5.3 (37) 5.2 (8) 2.2 (5) 0.067
QTc>0.44 s 6.9 (48) 5.8 (9) 4 (9) 0.094
ST-depression 16 (111) 7.1 (11) 9.0 (20) 0.001
Inverted T-wave 18.2 (126) 8.4 (13) 11.2 (25) 0.002
Isoform T-wave 5.9 (41) 6.5 (10) 6.3 (14) 0.909
U-wave 0.4 (3) 0 1.3 (3) 0.702
Any repolarisation
change
32.5 (225) 23.2 (36) 23.7 (53) 0.003
Percent and numbers are presented together.
ACI: Acute cerebral infarction.
ICH: Intracerebral haemorrhage.
TIA: Transient ischaemic attack.
A-V: Atrioventricular.
H. Christensen et al. / Journal of the Neurological Sciences 234 (2005) 99–103 101
testing. Sudden death did not occur during the observa-
tion period.
5. Patients with intracerebral haemorrhage (N =155)
Abnormal ECG was observed in 77 patients (49.7%).
The most frequent abnormal ECG findings were sinus
tachycardia (19.4%), and ectopic beats>10% (25.8%),
Table 2. Repolarization changes were observed in 23.2%
of patients. No ECG-abnormalities were significantly
related to neurological deficit. In multivariate logistic
regression analysis sinus tachycardia OR 4.8 (95% CI
1.7–14.0), ST-depression OR 5.2 (CI 95% 1.1–24.9), and
inverted T-wave OR 5.2 (95% CI 1.2–22.5) predicted
mortality at 3 months, independent of pre-stroke handicap,
stroke severity, or age. The presence of atrial fibrillation,
atrial flutter, sinus bradycardia, atrio-ventrivcular block, ST
elevation or depression, inverted T-wave, isoform T-wave,
or more than 10% ectopic beats did not affect prognosis in
multivariate testing. No patients suffered ventricular tachy-
cardia or sudden death during the observation period.
6. Patients with TIA (N =223)
ECG changes were found in 44.4% of patients with TIA,
ectopic beats >10% and atrio-ventricular block being the
most frequent findings, Table 2. Repolarization abnormal-
ities were observed in 23.8% of patients. None of the
analysed ECG-findings predicted mortality at 3 months in
multivariate analysis. We also analysed the influence of the
combined presence of ectopic beats, ST-depression and
inverted/isoform T-wave, and atrial fibrillation and block on
mortality at 3 months after the vascular insult but found no
significant results.
7. Comparison between diagnoses
The frequency of ECG-abnormalities differed signifi-
cantly between diagnoses, the frequency being highest in
patients with cerebral infarction. This was primarily due
to higher frequencies of atrial fibrillation, atrio-ventricular
block, ST-depression, and T-wave inversion. However,
rates of sinus tachycardia, ectopic beats, and ST-elevation
were higher in both patients with cerebral infarction and
intracerebral haemorrhage than in patients with TIA,
Table 2.
8. Heart rate in patients with stroke (N =847)
Heart rate was significantly higher in severe stroke than
in mild to moderate stroke and followed a different time
course: in mild to moderate stroke, heart rate rapidly
declined after admission, whereas a slow decline at a higher
heart rate was seen in severe stroke, Fig. 1. From 6 h to 32 h
after admission, the pulse rate was significantly higher in
severe stroke patients compared to mild to moderate stroke
patients at all times tested by t-tests. We tested the relation
between heart rate 6–14 h after stroke onset and outcome as
to death or dependency 3 months after stroke in a multi-
variate logistic regression model also including pre-stroke
mRS, age, stroke severity, and body temperature measured
at the same time points as heart rate. We found a consistent
relation within this time span, and a risk increase of 1.2–1.3
for death 3 months after stroke with each increase in heart
rate of 10/min, Table 3. At pulse rates higher than the
median=>76 bpm 12 h after admission the risk of death
within 3 months after stroke onset increased, OR 1.7 (95%
CI 1.02–2.7) in a multivariate logistic regression analysis
also including pre-stroke mRS, age, stroke severity, and
body temperature measured at the same time points as heart
rate.
9. Discussion
In this population from an acute stroke unit that included
patients with and without previously known cardiac disease
ECG-abnormalities were observed in 55.3% of patients. In
patients with ischaemic stroke, atrial fibrillation, atrio-
ventricular block, ST-elevation and depression, and inverted
T-waves predicted mortality at 3 months in multivariate
testing. ECG abnormalities may relate to the aetiology of the
patient’s vascular event [6]. Some [7] but not all inves-
Hours after hospital admission
48 hours24 hours12 hoursAdmission
95%
CI
Hea
rt r
ate
100
90
80
70
Hours after hospital admission
48 hours24 hours12 hoursAdmission
95%
CI
Hea
rt r
ate
100
90
80
70
1a 1b
Fig. 1. a) Represents the time course of heart rate in patients with severe stroke (N =279) in the first 48 h after admission (within 6 h of stroke onset). b)
Represents the time course of heart rate in patients with mild to moderate stroke (N =568) in the first 48 h after hospital admission (within 6 h of stroke onset).
Heart rates are significantly different in multiple t-tests from 6 h after admission to 32 h after admission.
H. Christensen et al. / Journal of the Neurological Sciences 234 (2005) 99–103102
tigators [8,9] have suggested that cardiac arrhythmias have
little influence on subsequent recovery. In this large-scale
study we confirmed that specific ECG-changes predict poor
outcome.
In patients with haemorrhagic stroke, sinus tachycardia,
ST-depression, and inverted T-waves predicted increased
mortality at 3 months in multivariate testing. Atrial
fibrillation and atrio-ventricular block may reflect co-
existing cardiac conditions, while ST-segment changes most
likely are cerebrogenic cardiac effects. The time course of
heart rate changes was different in severe stroke from that in
mild to moderate stroke; this may be associated with the
onset of the adrenocorticoid stress response to stroke, as this
response is the determining factor of heart rate in the resting,
non febrile person [10] and this would fit with the timing of
the tachycardia.
It appears from this study that changes resulting from
manifest cardiac disease (e.g. atrial fibrillation, heart block)
were mainly found in patients with ischaemic lesions, while
ST-segment changes resulting from the stroke were frequent
in both patients with ischaemic and haemorrhagic stroke.
ECG-abnormalities related to stroke severity in patients with
Table 3
Multivariate logistic regression analysis of the effect of an increase in heart
rate 6–14 h after hospital admission of 10 beats/min on 3 months mortality
independent of age, Scandinavian Stroke Scale, pre-stroke modified Rankin
Scale, and body temperature
Time after admission (h) OR 95% CI Significance
6 1.2 1.05–1.3 0.0091
8 1.2 1.1–1.3 0.0039
10 1.3 1.1–1.4 0.0003
12 1.2 1.1–1.4 0.0071
14 1.3 1.1–1.4 0.0010
Body temperature and heart rate were measured simultaneously (N =847).
OR: odds ratio.
95% CI: 95% confidence intervals.
ischaemic but not haemorrhagic stroke. The small sample
size of the ICH patient compared to large numbers of
patients with ischemic stroke cannot be excluded as an
explanation for the differences.
The strength of the present study is that it was based on a
large patient population that is representative of the stroke
population in the country of the authors, and that the
frequencies of a large number of significant ECG changes
were investigated.
A limitation of the study is that the results may be
affected by selection bias as patients without retrievable
ECG’s tended to have worse outcome in comparison to
patients with ECG’s. However, this would most likely result
in an underestimation of both the frequencies and the impact
of ECG abnormalities on outcome.
Another weakness of the study is that follow up ECGs
were not obtained for comparison. Analysis of cerebral
lesion location has not been done in this stroke population
as CT-scan was performed only once and before the full
infarct size was demarcated. It is therefore not possible to
relate ECG-findings to specific structures such as the insula.
Cardiac monitoring in acute cerebral infarction is useful
in detecting paroxysmal atrial fibrillation and acute MI
without chest pain, and the occurrence of ventricular
tachycardia. One pilot study in an acute stroke unit setting
has indicated that intensive monitoring, including ECG
surveillance, improves outcome as to death or dependency
[11]. However, whether in fact ECG-monitoring contributes
to improve outcome in acute stroke patients is less obvious,
and our study was not designed to evaluate this question.
In our patients with TIA, none of the ECG changes had
prognostic significance, whereas atrial fibrillation was
predictive of new cerebro-vascular events [12,13]. In
patients with stroke the reported frequencies of ECG-
abnormalities vary from 50% to 92% and in controls from
22% to 65% [7,14–17]. Ectopic beats, atrial fibrillation,
prolonged QTc, atrio-ventricular block, ST-depression, and
H. Christensen et al. / Journal of the Neurological Sciences 234 (2005) 99–103 103
T-wave changes are reported more frequently in patients
with acute stroke. A causal relationship between the acute
brain lesion and the ECG abnormalities is supported by the
decreasing frequency of abnormalities in the weeks and
months following stroke [18–20]. The rates of ECG-
abnormalities that we found were low in comparison to
some studies [14,16,21–23] and comparable to others
[7,8,24]. The relatively lower frequency of ECG abnormal-
ities (55%) could be due to our patients having their 12 lead
ECG’s recorded and ECG monitoring started within 6 h of
stroke onset, before effects from brain swelling are fully
developed. The frequencies might have been higher, if the
observation period had started later. Another possible
explanation remains that the frequency of ECG findings
was higher in the patients that were excluded from analysis
due to lack of retrievable ECG recordings. Our reported
frequencies are therefore to be regarded as minimum
figures, however, if we assume that all the excluded 122
patients had abnormal ECGs the total frequency of
abnormal ECG’s would increase from 55% to 60%, only.
In conclusion, we found that ECG abnormalities are
frequent in acute stroke and often reflect cardiac morbidity.
Some ECG abnormalities and increasing heart rate predict
poor recovery.
Funding
Augustinusfonden
Dagmar Marshalls Fond
Else og Mogens Wedel-Wedelsborgs Fond
Foundatation for Research in Neurology
Ludvig; Sara Elsass’ Fond
Aase og Ejnar Danielsens Fond
Acknowledgements
We are grateful to Dr. Bjarne Sigurd, MD, DMSc,
Department of Cardiology, Bispebjerg Hospital, and Dr.
Nancy Futrell, Intermountain Stroke Center, Salt Lake City,
USA, for kindly reviewing the manuscript and to secretary
Inger Hedegaard for retrieval of ECG’s.
No conflicts of interest.
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