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AARHUS UNIVERSITY DEPARTMENT OF POLITICAL SCIENCE To What Extent Did the Financial Crisis Intensify the Pressure to Reform the Welfare State? [Kees van Kersbergen, 2 March 2011]

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AARHUS UNIVERSITY

DEPARTMENT OF POLITICAL SCIENCE

To What Extent Did the Financial Crisis Intensify the Pressure to Reform the Welfare

State?

[Kees van Kersbergen, 2 March 2011]

AARHUS UNIVERSITY

DEPARTMENT OF POLITICAL SCIENCE

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AARHUS UNIVERSITY

DEPARTMENT OF POLITICAL SCIENCE

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AARHUS UNIVERSITY

Three phases:

1. Supporting banks

2. Keynesian macroeconomic policies

3. Cutbacks of social expenditures

Study of the United Kingdom, Germany and Sweden plus the Netherlands, Denmark and the United States

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AARHUS UNIVERSITY

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AARHUS UNIVERSITY

DEPARTMENT OF POLITICAL SCIENCE

Bank Bailouts: a costly affair

Sweden: € 5 Billion ( 1.5 % of GDP)

Denmark: € 18 Billion ( 8.0 % of GDP)

NL € 20 Billion ( 7.0 % of GDP)

Germany €480 Billion (20 % of GDP)

US €519 Billion ( 5 % of GDP)

UK €960 Billion (60 % of GDP)

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AARHUS UNIVERSITY

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AARHUS UNIVERSITY

DEPARTMENT OF POLITICAL SCIENCE

How to find out what’s happening?

› Moving target; “official” sources limited

› Qualitative content analysis of media sources, particularly national and international newspapers, documents from international organizations, news wire services, TV and radio broadcast transcripts and web publications (mainly through LexisNexis), between October 2009 and April 2010

› Additionally, we made use of published work (e.g. Mandl & Salvatore 2009; Clegg 2010)

› (Updating required…)

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AARHUS UNIVERSITY

DEPARTMENT OF POLITICAL SCIENCE

Similar responses? (1)

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Keynesian measuresMonetary policy

Circumventing bankruptcyRe-establishing trust in the banking sector

AARHUS UNIVERSITY

DEPARTMENT OF POLITICAL SCIENCE

Similar responses? (2)

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Keynesian measures

US NL UK GE DK SW

Investing in jobs x x x x x x

Investing in infrastructure

x

Tax measures x

Tax relief x x

AARHUS UNIVERSITY

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US NL UK DE DK SW

Labour demand measures

Job subsidies, recruitment incentives, public job creation X X

Reductions in non-wage labour costs X X

Short-time working schemes X X X

Measures to help the unemployed find work

Activation requirements X X

Job search assistance and matching X X X X X

Job finding and business startup incentives X

Work experience programs X X X

Training programs X X X X X X

AARHUS UNIVERSITY

DEPARTMENT OF POLITICAL SCIENCE

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DEPARTMENT OF POLITICAL SCIENCE

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DEPARTMENT OF POLITICAL SCIENCE

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AARHUS UNIVERSITY

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DEPARTMENT OF POLITICAL SCIENCE

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