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A Study of Future Communications Concepts and Technologies for the National Airspace SystemPart I Ms. Denise S. Ponchak and Mr. Rafael D. Apaza NASA Glenn Research Center Cleveland, OH, USA [email protected] [email protected] Mr. Brian Haynes Xcelar Hopkins, MN, USA [email protected] Mr. Joel M. Wichgers Rockwell Collins Cedar Rapids, IA, USA [email protected] Mr. Aloke Roy Honeywell International, Inc. Columbia, MD, USA [email protected] AbstractThe National Aviation and Space Administration (NASA) Glenn Research Center (GRC) is investigating current and anticipated wireless communications concepts and technologies that the National Airspace System (NAS) may need in the next 50 years. NASA has awarded three NASA Research Announcements (NAR) studies with the objective to determine the most promising candidate technologies for air-to-air and air-to-ground data exchange and analyze their suitability in a post-NextGen NAS environment. This paper will present progress made in the studies and describe the communications challenges and opportunities that have been identified during the studies’ first phase. TABLE OF CONTENTS 1. INTRODUCTION……………………………….…..ERROR! BOOKMARK NOT DEFINED. 2. HONEYWELL…………….......................................2 3. ROCKWELL COLLINS……….……........................4 4. XCELAR…………………………………………..4 5. CONCLUSIONS……………..........................……..6 ACKNOWLEDGEMENT…………………………8 1. INTRODUCTION NASA’s NextGen Concepts and Technology Development (CTD) Project integrates solutions for a safe, efficient and high-capacity airspace system through joint research efforts and partnerships with other government agencies. The CTD Project is one of two within NASA’s Airspace Systems Program and is managed by the NASA Ames Research Center. Research within the CTD Project is in support the 2011 NASA Strategic Plan Sub-Goal 4.1: Develop innovative solutions and advanced technologies, through a balanced research portfolio, to improve current and future air transportation. The focus of CTD is on developing capabilities in traffic flow management, dynamic airspace configuration, separation assurance, super density operations, and airport surface operations. Important to its research is the development of human/automation information requirements and decision-making guidelines for human-human and human-machine airportal decision-making. Airborne separation, oceanic in-trail climb/descent and interval management applications depend on location and intent information of surrounding aircraft. ADS-B has been proposed to provide the information exchange, but other candidates such as satellite-based receivers, broadband or airborne internet, and cellular communications are possible candidate’s. For further information, the CTD project plan can be found at: http://www.aeronautics.nasa.gov/pdf/ctd_project_plan_2011_5 08.pdf In the Spring of 2012, NASA Ames Research Center issued an amendment (CTD1 Subtopic 3) entitled: “Technology Candidates for Air-to-Air and Air-to-Ground Data Exchange” calling for proposals to NASA Research Announcement (NRA) “Research Opportunities in Aeronautics”, NNH11ZEA001N. Future applications such as airborne separation, oceanic in-trail climb/descent and interval management depend on the location and intent information of the surrounding aircraft with respect to an aircraft. Presently, Automatic Dependent Surveillance Broadcast (ADS-B) technology has been proposed to receive that information. However, satellite-based receivers, broadband or airborne internet, and cellular communications have also been proposed as possible candidates. The purpose of this solicitation was to identify the air-to-air and air-to-ground communication methods for NextGen and beyond NextGen operations. The specific goals are as follows: 1. Identify existing or emerging technology candidates (and their integration), including but not limited to ADS-B, suitable for air-to-air and air-to-ground communications over a NAS modernization horizon of 50 years. https://ntrs.nasa.gov/search.jsp?R=20140010819 2018-08-19T13:27:39+00:00Z

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Page 1: A Study of Future Communications Concepts and Technologies for … · A Study of Future Communications Concepts and Technologies for the National Airspace System–Part I Ms. Denise

A Study of Future Communications Concepts and Technologies for the National Airspace System–Part I

Ms. Denise S. Ponchak and Mr. Rafael D. Apaza NASA Glenn Research Center

Cleveland, OH, USA [email protected] [email protected]

Mr. Brian Haynes

Xcelar Hopkins, MN, USA

[email protected]

Mr. Joel M. Wichgers

Rockwell Collins Cedar Rapids, IA, USA

[email protected]

Mr. Aloke Roy Honeywell International, Inc.

Columbia, MD, USA [email protected]

Abstract— The National Aviation and Space Administration (NASA) Glenn Research Center (GRC) is investigating current and anticipated wireless communications concepts and technologies that the National Airspace System (NAS) may need in the next 50 years. NASA has awarded three NASA Research Announcements (NAR) studies with the objective to determine the most promising candidate technologies for air-to-air and air-to-ground data exchange and analyze their suitability in a post-NextGen NAS environment. This paper will present progress made in the studies and describe the communications challenges and opportunities that have been identified during the studies’ first phase.

TABLE OF CONTENTS

1. INTRODUCTION……………………………….…..ERROR! BOOKMARK NOT DEFINED. 2. HONEYWELL…………….......................................2 3. ROCKWELL COLLINS……….……........................4 4. XCELAR…………………………………………..4 5. CONCLUSIONS……………..........................……..6 ACKNOWLEDGEMENT…………………………8

1. INTRODUCTION

NASA’s NextGen Concepts and Technology Development (CTD) Project integrates solutions for a safe, efficient and high-capacity airspace system through joint research efforts and partnerships with other government agencies. The CTD Project is one of two within NASA’s Airspace Systems Program and is managed by the NASA Ames Research Center. Research within the CTD Project is in support the 2011 NASA Strategic Plan Sub-Goal 4.1: Develop innovative solutions and advanced technologies, through a balanced research portfolio, to improve current and future air transportation. The focus of

CTD is on developing capabilities in traffic flow management, dynamic airspace configuration, separation assurance, super density operations, and airport surface operations. Important to its research is the development of human/automation information requirements and decision-making guidelines for human-human and human-machine airportal decision-making. Airborne separation, oceanic in-trail climb/descent and interval management applications depend on location and intent information of surrounding aircraft. ADS-B has been proposed to provide the information exchange, but other candidates such as satellite-based receivers, broadband or airborne internet, and cellular communications are possible candidate’s. For further information, the CTD project plan can be found at: http://www.aeronautics.nasa.gov/pdf/ctd_project_plan_2011_508.pdf

In the Spring of 2012, NASA Ames Research Center issued an amendment (CTD1 Subtopic 3) entitled: “Technology Candidates for Air-to-Air and Air-to-Ground Data Exchange” calling for proposals to NASA Research Announcement (NRA) “Research Opportunities in Aeronautics”, NNH11ZEA001N. Future applications such as airborne separation, oceanic in-trail climb/descent and interval management depend on the location and intent information of the surrounding aircraft with respect to an aircraft. Presently, Automatic Dependent Surveillance Broadcast (ADS-B) technology has been proposed to receive that information. However, satellite-based receivers, broadband or airborne internet, and cellular communications have also been proposed as possible candidates. The purpose of this solicitation was to identify the air-to-air and air-to-ground communication methods for NextGen and beyond NextGen operations. The specific goals are as follows:

1. Identify existing or emerging technology candidates (and their integration), including but not limited to ADS-B, suitable for air-to-air and air-to-ground communications over a NAS modernization horizon of 50 years.

https://ntrs.nasa.gov/search.jsp?R=20140010819 2018-08-19T13:27:39+00:00Z

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2. Quantify the functional attributes and characteristics of each candidate, including (but not limited to) communications range, bandwidth, latency, integrity, reliability, and security.

3. Map the technology candidates to specific air traffic management applications where they will be most beneficial and cost effective.

4. Identify the infrastructure and architecture needs of the potential technologies for air-to-air and air-to-ground exchange.

5. Identify rough magnitude cost estimates, or relative cost comparisons, and any technological characteristics such as bandwidth, and reliability.

6. Provide assessment of how these technologies could be used for air traffic management applications including but not limited to airborne separation and interval management.

7. Identify vulnerabilities and security issues and mitigation of any proposed concepts.

The proposer was asked to identify current and future technologies that would be useful for air-to air and air-to-ground information exchange related to air traffic management applications. This was an exploratory NRA subtopic and there was flexibility for the proposer to select an appropriate approach. The anticipated duration was 24 months from the date of the award. The expected outcomes, deliverables, and, schedule were defined as follows:

1. A report describing technology candidates (and their integration) that will allow air-to-air and air-to-ground data exchange. Describe strengths and weaknesses of each. The report should include but not be limited to how the ADS-B could be made more cost effective. (Q3)

2. A report documenting infrastructure and architectural needs of these identified technology candidates. (Q4)

3. A report describing comparison of multiple alternatives and/or their integration based on costs, bandwidth, safety, reliability and security to support air-to-air and air-to-ground communications appropriate for future air traffic management operations. (Q5)

4. A report describing alternative technologies, their integration, dependencies on infrastructure and their potential use for air traffic management applications including but not limited to airborne separation and interval management. (Q7)

5. A detailed description of most promising technology alternative(s). (Q8)

The proposals were due on April 3rd, 2012. NASA Glenn Research Center led the evaluation of submitted proposals. In September 2012, three contract awards were made. They were: A Study of NAS Data Exchange Environment through 2060 (Honeywell, Columbia, MD, Aloke Roy/PI); NASA Com50 (Rockwell Collins, Cedar Rapids, IA, Joel Wichgers/PI); and, Technology Candidates for Air-to-Air nd Air-to-Ground Data Exchange (Agile Defense LLC, Hopkins, MN, Brian

Hayes/PI). These three studies all began in October 2012 and have a 24 month duration. This paper provides a summary of approximately the first six months of effort for each study.

2. HONEYWELL

BACKGROUND Honeywell has been studying communication technologies

suitable to support future Air Traffic Management needs in the 2060 time frame. The study was sponsored under NASA’s Next Generation (NextGen) Concepts and Technology Development (CTD1) project, sub-topic area-3: Candidates for Air-to-Air and Air-to-Ground Data Exchange. This section summarizes Honeywell’s initial findings to characterize candidate technologies for “Beyond NextGen” communications.

HONEYWELL TECHNICAL APPROACH The technical approach started with the characterization of

existing, upcoming and embryonic communication technology candidates. These technologies were identified by literature survey of public domain information, including standards, specifications, research papers and reports published at various forums around the World. Through the course of the project, increasingly fine filters were applied through objective, criteria-based analyses and assessments. For example, a filter eliminated candidates that do not meet basic ATM needs and criteria. Those criteria were derived from ICAO Global Navigation Plan and Communications Operating Concepts and Requirements (COCR), which was jointly defined by Eurocontrol and the United States Federal Aviation Administration (FAA). Successive filters examined architectural impacts and costs to ascertain the best value alternatives from the initial set of technology candidates. This report summarizes the findings of Honeywell after the candidate technology characterization. Subsequent publications will report the results of architectural, cost and operational analyses.

COMMUNICATION ENVIRONMENT IN 2060 NextGen represents a paradigm shift from rules-based to performance-based operations in the NAS, and data exchanges are a key enabler to achieve reduced aircraft separation and efficient movements in a more dense and dynamic airspace environment. As needs for situational awareness, airspace avoidance, and weather avoidance information increase with more complex and dynamic operations, advanced communication technologies coupled with innovative and cost-effective applications of existing technologies will be necessary to meet the required performance objectives. Communication beyond NextGen is expected to be multi-faceted whereby airborne platforms maintain multiple communication channels simultaneously with other terrestrial and airborne platforms to meet the availability, integrity and continuity of service requirements for autonomous operations.

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CANDIDATE TECHNOLOGY ANALYSIS

Current Technologies Current communication technologies for aviation include

dedicated HF, narrow-band VHF systems; shared low-speed satellite systems such as INMERSAT Classic and IRIDIUM; and IEEE 802.11 wireless systems operating on shared Industrial, Scientific and Medical radio spectrum. These legacy systems will not meet the stringent performance requirements of the ATM systems Beyond NextGen.

Emerging Technologies

The US and Europe defined the Future Communications Infrastructure (FCI) for safety critical communications in the 2020 timeframe and beyond. The FCI identified AeroMACS (Aeronautical Mobile Airport Communications System) based on the IEEE 802.16 standard for airport terminal area, L-band systems for terrestrial enroute and next generation satellite systems for oceanic, remote and polar regions.

In addition to the above, some emerging commercial technologies targeting passenger communications are also under various stages of development. These technologies include 4G/5G cellular, Swift Broadband, IRIDIUM Next, Ka/Ku band SATCOM, and other commercial satellite based technologies. Some of these technologies, for example 4G/5G cellular and Ka/Ku band SATCOM, will evolve with the commercial market and will continue to serve the future needs. Some others, such as L-band and VHF may remain in place to satisfy very specialized aviation environments and services.

Embryonic Technologies Free space optical (FSO) communication is the most

notable embryonic technology to consider for the aviation environment. X-Ray is an extension of the FSO. However, X-Ray communications requires very high power and therefore mostly effective indoors over short ranges.

It is anticipated that the dominant challenges of FSO, which are atmospheric attenuation and signal acquisition and maintenance from high-speed, mobile platforms will be mostly mitigated over the next fifty years. Therefore, FSO will be a viable technology candidate for Beyond NextGen aviation while X-Ray may still be limited to indoor usage where high-power radiation may not be required.

Evaluation Criteria The communication performance requirements for the technology elements were derived from the Future Radio System (FRS) in the Communications Operating Concept and Requirements (COCR) document. Specifically, the COCR Phase 2 worst case loads in 2030 were used as the initial values and they were escalated at an annual rate of 2.5% over 30 years to derive the loads for year 2060 timeframe. Subsequently, those loads were used as basis for establishing the evaluation criteria for latency, continuity, integrity and availability.

Technology Characterization The technology candidates were assessed by comparing

their performance against the needs of various aeronautical services. A weighted score card was developed that normalized the performance of the technologies in various airspaces to meet the critical needs defined under the evaluation criteria. Then a final score for each technology was obtained by summing its weighted scores and then the technology candidates were ranked based on their final scores.

For the purpose of this analysis, some of the critical NextGen ATM applications involving Trajectory Based Operations, Separation Assurance procedures including Interval Management, In-Trial Procedures, Crossing and Passing, Continuous Descent Approach, FIS services and SWIM applications are considered and the results are extrapolated for the overall requirement.

Figure 1 and Figure 2 show the ranking of the technology candidates to meet the critical air-to-air and air-to-ground ATM applications respectively. From pure technology perspective, it can be observed that broadband VHF clearly outranks all other technologies to support air-to-air surveillance services. On the other hand, multiple technologies will be suitable for the air-to-ground environment and a hybrid technology solution may be desired to cover all the services in all applicable airspaces.

-150

-100

-50

0

50

100

150

Tech

nolo

gy Sc

ores

Critical Surveillance Applications (Air to Air)

APTTMA

ENR

OPR

Support in

ApplicationThreshold

Figure 1. Technology capability scores for Air-to-Air Networking

-150

-100

-50

0

50

100

Tech

nolo

gy Sc

ores

Critical ATS Applications (Air to Ground)

APT

TMA

ENR

OPR

Support in

ApplicationThreshold

Figure 2. Technology capability scores for Air

Ground Datalink

B-VHF

B-VHF

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CONCLUSIONS & RECOMMENDATIONS There are several good technology candidates to support

air/ground services for transition through NextGen and several great choices in the year 2060 time frame. In the near term, AeroMACS is the clear winner for the APT region. L-DACS and ANTARES are preferred alternatives for TMA, and ENR, while ANTARES would be the choice for the ORP region. These near-term technology solutions present better options for NextGen ATM because they have been designed to support high-reliability, safety services. As the demand for higher volume data transfer grows over the time horizon, cellular 4G/5G+ technologies will be the preferred technology candidates for APT, TMA, and ENR regions. Similarly, Ku-band satellite technologies may become better options for high-throughput data services beyond NextGen. FSO technology offers very high throughput, low latency and inherent communication security. The reliability and availability of FSO will be lower than other technologies in the APT and TMA regions due to atmospheric attenuations and other potential health hazards.

NEXT STEPS

The communication architectures for the leading technology candidates will be developed in the next step to further analyze their potential for ATM over the next fifty years. The architectures may include a specific technology, such as L-DACS, or it could be a hybrid consisting of two technologies, such as FSO and cellular.

A cost tradeoff analysis will be performed after a set of architecture alternatives have been identified to evaluate the relative cost impact for the aeronautical industry to migrate to the chosen architecture. The cost estimates will be a high level, relative approximation and will factor in the ramifications of shared versus dedicated infrastructure development.

In Phase-II of the NASA CTD1 contract, a simulation model will be developed to assess the performance of the proposed technology architecture against the projected performance requirements and utilize existing NASA traffic flow model to extrapolate NAS ATM environment to the year 2060 time frame.

3. ROCKWELL COLLINS Background

Today’s National Airspace System (NAS) has served the community well in meeting past operational and safety needs. It has made effective and prudent use of air-routes, procedures, and traditional Communication, Navigation, and Surveillance systems to provide a level of capacity that was sufficient for the demand while maintaining a strong safety record. However, without change, the NAS will be unable to realize the capacity, efficiency, safety, security, and environmental improvements that are being demanded for the Next Generation Air Transportation System (NextGen) and beyond. To realize these improvements, the long term NextGen and beyond infrastructure is envisioned to be built on better, more

capable, and optimally integrated communications, navigation, surveillance, information management, and decision support systems.

Communications, including both Aircraft-to-Aircraft (A-A) and Aircraft-to-Ground (A-G), is a key infrastructure element necessary to realize the future NAS vision such that the appropriate information is available at the required quality of service to enable the Air Traffic Management (ATM) systems to better utilize the airspace through enhanced operational procedures and applications.

Today’s NAS Communications

Today’s A-A and A-G NAS ATM-relevant communications are rather limited and consist primarily of VHF, HF, and SATCOM which support the traditional communications services, plus the use of L-band (978, 1030, and 1090 MHz) to support a number of surveillance and flight information services.

Emerging is the use of 1090 MHz Extended Squitter and 978 MHz Universal Access Transceiver (UAT) for A-A and A-G Automatic Dependent Surveillance – Broadcast (ADS-B) and the A-G communications of companion traffic surveillance systems including ADS-Rebroadcast (ADS-R) and Traffic Information Services – Broadcast (TIS-B). Also, emerging or soon to emerge is the use of VHF data link (VDL) to support data communications between air traffic controllers and aircraft as well as the use of VHF Data Broadcast (VDB) to support GPS/Local Area Augmentation System (LAAS) Category I precision approaches.

Long Term Future NAS Communications

Future concepts of operation for the long term national air transportation system within the study 50 year time horizon include incorporating new types of aircraft as well as advanced operating procedures and applications that will drive the need for more A-A and A-G communications, especially data communications, at quality of service levels appropriate for the intended operations. Better communications will enable applications that enhance flight operations during all phases of flight. Examples of such future ATM applications that will be enabled or improved with enhanced communication capabilities include In-Trail Procedures (ITP), Interval Management (IM), Delegated Separation (DS), 4D Trajectory Based Operations (TBO), more highly optimized arrivals and departures, cruise climb, closely spaced parallel-runway operations (CSPO), simultaneous runway operations, and a next generation airborne collision avoidance system (ACAS-X). Examples of new aircraft types anticipated to be integrated into the NAS during the study time horizon include a wide range of Unmanned Air Vehicles (UAV), single piloted commercial aircraft, high speed transport vehicles, and commercial space-launched vehicles.

Candidate Considerations

A number of A-A and A-G communications technology candidates have been identified considering at least the following factors:

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� the physics of electromagnetic wave propagation through the atmosphere,

� wireless communications being used or under development for other applications (e.g., cellular, military, commercial broadband),

� communications currently in various stages of R&D (e.g., free space optical communications),

� communication trends,

� technologies relevant to significantly improve wireless communications that are anticipated to mature during the study 50 year time horizon,

� the potential availability of spectrum,

� the ability to meet the anticipated NAS operational, performance, safety, and security requirements,

� the transition path between today’s NAS communications and the future, and

� directions being taken by relevant regulatory (e.g., FAA, FCC, ITU) and industry standards groups (e.g., ICAO, RTCA, EUROCAE).

Strategies for Addressing Long Term NAS Communication Needs

The study has identified five fundamental strategic approaches for addressing the long term NAS communication needs including:

1) Reduce the need for communications bandwidth (e.g., using techniques such as data compression),

2) More efficiently using existing aviation communications spectrum (e.g., using higher order modulations),

3) Leverage commercial communications networks to support NAS communications needs,

4) Identify and reuse existing “aviation” spectrum to support NAS communications [e.g., use of portions of the “navigation” spectrum, including portions of the VHF (VOR spectrum), C-Band (MLS spectrum), and L-band (DME spectrum) to support NAS “communications”], and

5) Identify and obtain new spectrum allocations for NAS communications.

Candidates

A-A and A-G communication candidates have been identified with due consideration given to the aforementioned factors and strategies. Figure 3 and Figure 4 list current and future Air-to-Air and Air-to-Ground communication candidates, respectively, identified as part of the study. A-A candidates include line-of-sight (LOS) candidates including VHF, UHF, L-band, and optical as well as one hop routing through future SATCOM satellites. A-G candidates include LOS candidates from VHF to optical, as well as beyond LOS candidates that include HF, SATCOM, and A-G communications enabled by A-A hopping. Additional A-A and A-G communication candidates have been identified and

evaluated as part of the study that have not been depicted in the figures below.

Current A-A Comm. Future A-A Comm. Candidates

VHF: Portion of 112-137 MHz

UHF

Optical or Hybrid RF/Optical

L-Band L Band(More Efficient Use to support TCAS Function +

Perhaps DME Freq.)

(Use small part of current VHF Comm –118-137 MHz, or reallocated VOR Freq.)

(Perhaps Use Part of TV Freq.)

SATCOM(A-A One Hop Routed Through Satellite)

(Used for TCAS, ADS-B is Emerging)

VHF: 122-123 MHz(CTAF)

Figure 3. Air-to-Air Communications

Current A-G Comm.

VHF: 118-137 MHz

HF: ~3-30 MHz

SATCOM

Future A-G Comm. Candidates

VHF: 108-137 MHz

UHF

C-Band

SATCOM

HF

L-Band

Optical or Hybrid RF/Optical

L Band

(More Efficient Use of VHF + Use of VOR/ILS Freq.in 108 – 118 MHz)

(More Efficient Use + Perhaps DME Freq.)

(More Efficient Use Ku / Ka Freq., Plus Higher Freq.)

(Perhaps Use Part of TV Freq.)

(Use MLS Freq.)

(ATCRABS Transponder, FIS-B, ADS-B is Emerging)

(VHF Data Broadcast for LAAS is just emerging in 112 – 118 MHz)

A-G Com. Via A-A Hopping(Use VHF / UHF / L-Band Freq.)

Figure 4. Air-to-Ground Communications

Interim Study Findings

As part of the study, each of the A-A and A-G candidates has been characterized as to the communication bandwidth, latency, communications range, expected user data rates, capacity, link spectral efficiency, availability, coverage, vulnerabilities, advantages, disadvantages, and technology readiness. The candidates have also been mapped to current and expected future airspace ATM applications where they will be most beneficial and cost effective. While the presentation of all the results from these assessments is beyond the scope of this paper, a summary of the interim study findings resulting from these assessments is provided below.

� Current A-A and A-G NAS communications links are insufficient to meet the anticipated future needs of the NAS.

� The future NAS will require significantly more A-A and A-G communications to support the envisioned NAS NextGen and beyond operations as envisioned in the JPDO Concept of Operations.

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� Traffic is expected to increase 3X to 10X from today’s NAS traffic levels over the 50 year study time horizon, assuming a yearly nominal growth rate between 2.2% and 4.7%.

� Spectrum is a very limited resource. Allocation of it among all those who desire to use the spectrum is becoming increasingly more difficult. Many existing users of the spectrum (including aviation) will over time need to modernize their systems to improve their spectral efficiency to enable the spectrum to meet the future demands.

� Current spectrum efficiency of today’s NAS A-A and A-G communications is inefficient by today’s state of the practice for wireless communications.

� Wireless communications technologies are advancing in a number of areas that will lead to significant increases in the spectral efficiency (e.g., bits/Hz).

� The current state of the art for wireless communications achieves ~60% of Shannon’s channel capacity limit. 60% to 70% of Shannon’s channel capacity limit will likely become the state of the practice for wireless communications systems during the modernization time horizon.

� It is envisioned that commercial broadband communication networks will expand beyond what is offered today to further support ATM communications (primarily A-G, but also A-A).

� Technology will advance over the study modernization time horizon that will enable SATCOM to efficiently use RF frequencies in the K, V, and W bands (frequencies up to ~110 GHz) not including frequencies around 60 GHz, in addition to the Ku and Ka bands used today.

� Technology will advance over the study modernization time horizon that will enable use of free space optical communications for ground to satellite, satellite to aircraft, aircraft-to-ground, and aircraft-to-aircraft communications.

� Future SATCOM communication systems are anticipated to be capable of allocating communication bandwidth (BW) and quality of service (QOS) on demand to support a wide range of applications, including those in civil aviation.

� Future Aviation CNS needs will evolve during the 50 year NAS study time horizon. NAS data communications can potentially reuse aviation spectrum that is decommissioned by other NAS services. The primary opportunities identified include: 1) the MLS C-band, 2) portions of the VHF VOR/ILS Localizer bands, and 3) portions of the DME (L band).

� Obtaining significantly more spectrum allocations dedicated to support NAS A-A and/or A-G

communications will become increasingly challenging.

� Five fundamental strategic approaches have been identified for addressing the long-term NAS communication needs as described in this paper.

� As future NAS communication and information systems become more networked and provide a variety of information for enabling better airspace utilization digitally, there is the potential for increased cyber-attacks similar to those experienced by state and corporate information systems.

� Future NAS communications systems will need to address a variety of information security challenges. The successful implementation of information security will require coordination and collaboration between traditional aeronautical stakeholders (e.g., airlines, aircraft manufacturers, avionics suppliers, ground systems suppliers, aeronautical service providers, FAA/aviation authorities) and information security and information technology experts.

� The future communications infrastructure and architecture needs to be considered in the context of the overall NAS systems infrastructure and architecture such that the entire NAS infrastructure can be optimized while satisfying the operational, performance, safety, and security requirements.

� No one single communications data link technology can meet all the expected future A-A and A-G communications requirements for the NAS. A combination of various communication technologies will be needed to address the diverse aeronautical communications requirements across all the operational flight domains.

� The emerging and the predicted future communication technologies are envisioned to be able to meet the NextGen and beyond NAS aircraft-to-aircraft and aircraft-to-ground communication needs.

Additional R&D continues to be worked to more comprehensively identify, characterize, and evaluate how the A-A and A-G candidates could potentially serve the evolving long-term needs of the NAS.

4. XCELAR The XCELAR Team approached the study more from an

operator-oriented perspective than that of the equipment, service suppliers, or the ANSP. An important initial step involved defining the potential nature and capabilities of the air vehicles (manned, reduced-crew, or unmanned) and of the airspace system, in the context of benefits to the aircraft operator. A system-based model was used, with initial analysis using general functional roles (i.e., “Air Vehicle”, “Ground-based ATM”, “Ground-based Non-ATM” roles, and “To/From Vehicle”, To/From Ground-based ATM”, etc. for information flow) to define systemic capabilities, needs, and information flow decoupled from the current paradigm. Those system capabilities were then used to define the communication

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capabilities required for realization, from which future data link functional requirements were derived for use in a parallel study of various candidate link technologies, topologies, and architectures. A “form follows function” approach can then be applied to the candidate link analysis, in which specific link methods and combinations of methods serve the overall needs of the system in optimized ways.

As part of this definition of the future operational environment, a Future NAS Communications Workshop was held to help define NAS Scenarios using a wider team from industry, academia, NASA, and others. Four baseline scenario types were defined: Terminal Operations – Departures; En route Operations; Terminal Operations – Arrivals; and Ground Operations. Definitions for each scenario included top-level goals, primary success criteria, and expected capabilities & needs. Future capabilities of both the vehicles and the National Airspace System (NAS) were considered, and operation types included Air Transport, including the use of reduced-crew configurations and unmanned vehicles; General Aviation and Business Aviation operators (including Very Light Jets); and other types of Unmanned Aerial Vehicle (UAV) operations. It is worthy of note that a significant level of reduced-crew and/or unmanned commercial operations was projected for the air transport sector.

A key consideration was to correctly define the underlying assumptions for the air transportation system of 50 years in the future, particularly in terms of regulatory considerations, system user expectations and sensitivities, and their rate of evolution over the 50-year period. One useful input to that process was to look back a similar period, and assess the rate of change over the past 50 years in the same industry. Examples of significant technical events approximately 50 years ago include:

� 1963 - B727 first flight

� 1963 – Cessna 336 enters service; 1965 – Cessna 337 in certification

� 1963 – Lear 23 first flight

� 1967 – B737 first flight

� SELCAL entered service approximately 50 years ago

30 years ago:

� 1983 – First cellular telephone received FAA approval (Motorola DynaTac)

� 1983 – First PDA (Psion 1); 1993 – Apple Newton

� ACARS Entered service

In that period of time, regulatory processes have adapted to accommodate a host of new technologies, including composite aircraft, glass cockpits, GPS, ADS-B, and many others. System users have accepted cellular communications, the Internet, PDAs, pervasive wireless connectivity, and increasing reliance on robotics (including unmanned surface transportation such as trams), and innumerable other technologies. The perspectives, capabilities, and adaptation of both regulators and users can be expected to continue to

progress at similar or faster rates going forward. As a result, the “Future NAS” underlying assumptions included the premise that future regulatory processes will evolve to accommodate approval and use of the technologies available, and that system users will be prepared to accept an increasing level of connectivity, communication-dependent functionality, and robotics in the future air transportation system.

To minimize replication of previous efforts, an initial Literature Review of documents from NASA, AIAA, RTCA, IEEE, MITRE/MIT, FAA, Eurocontrol, ICAO and others was conducted at the beginning of the study. This review revealed limited applicable study work in past 10–15 years; the majority of work reviewed pertains to already-identified link technologies and/or NAS concepts, rather than future concepts. Most documents are focused on specific link technologies and their capabilities, rather than on future NAS functions and unmet communication needs. Little analysis was found of link-independent, result-based data delivery concepts rather than specific links for each purpose. Based on those findings, the approach of defining the future NAS, then functions/unmet needs, then delivery solutions, was selected as the overall study methodology.

In parallel with the future NAS definition and derivation of communication functions and requirements, an initial analysis of currently known link technologies was conducted to assess their current and probable future capabilities compared to projected loads and other factors. This “look forward” analysis provides a starting point in the identification and analysis of future solutions, and quantifies potential unmet needs in current systems, and therefore functions that will require new solutions. An example is the current use of 1030/1090 mHz for ATCRBS, ADS-B, TCAS, and other proposed functions such as air-to-air linking of wake turbulence data. Initial analysis suggests that the current system will reach its capacity limit well before the 50-year future point, and alternate solutions must be considered as part of the study.

The next phase of the study includes the convergence of the parallel analyses of functional needs and candidate link solutions. The continued use of a system-based approach is planned; for example, a promising consideration for potential solutions may be the overall delivery performance of the system, not necessarily of a specific, purpose-developed link. The potential for a “delivery manager” function to aggregate multiple link capabilities, and manage not only message routing but required communication performance, with access to (or even control of) all layers of the each link’s operation, offers a potential system solution where individual links may not meet the technical and business case needs of all stakeholders.

5. CONCLUSIONS A NASA Research Announcement (NRA) study to

investigate potential future aeronautical communication technologies that could serve aviation in the 2060 time frame was awarded in 2012. This NRA study is a one-year effort with an option that has been exercised for an additional year extension. The objective of this study is to investigate future air-ground communications technologies, evaluate possible

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architectures, assess future communication needs, and identify challenges that will need to be addressed in the development and implementation of such potential systems. An important element of the study is to consider technological and Air Traffic Management advances planned for implementation by the NextGen and SESAR programs. NASA awarded the study to Rockwell Collins Corporation, Honeywell Corporation and Xcelar Corporation to independently conduct the study. This paper provides results obtained to date by each company.

Preliminary findings indicate that spectrum and technology certification will continue to pose a challenge, especially in areas where software is increasingly used to perform hardware functions. It is anticipated that although some spectrum will become available as a result of the decommissioning of technologies i.e. VOR, the demand for spectrum will increase and future technologies will need to provide the ability to maximize the use of finite spectrum resources. Advances in

electronics and communications technology will enable the integration of services and applications and thus reducing the number of system deployed to the aircraft. Finally, the future aviation radio technology will depend on numerous factors including: air traffic management procedures, airline operations business models and the configuration of the airspace, which is anticipated to include Unmanned Aircraft Systems, hypersonic flights and manned aircraft.

ACKNOWLEDGMENT The authors would like to acknowledge the funding and

support of the NASA Aeronautics Research Mission Directorate’s Airspace Systems Program Office at NASA Headquarters and NASA Ames Research Center; specifically: Dr. John A. Cavolowsky, Dr. Parimal H. Kopardekar, Mr. Rudolph A. Aquilina, and, Ms. Nazaret C. Galeon.

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A St

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A S

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7

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8

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9

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10

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11

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12

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13

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14

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The

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es (

e.g.

, SES

AR)

16

Bet

ter

Com

m.

is a

key

Ena

bler

of N

extG

en &

Bey

ond

Airsp

ace

Vis

ion

Page 25: A Study of Future Communications Concepts and Technologies for … · A Study of Future Communications Concepts and Technologies for the National Airspace System–Part I Ms. Denise

17

Tech

nic

al A

pp

roac

h f

or B

ase

Yea

r S

tud

y

Bas

e Ye

ar T

echn

ical

App

roac

h

•S

MEs

from

Roc

kwel

l C

ollin

s, N

ASA,

FAA

, &

othe

r org

aniz

atio

ns

•D

ocum

ents

: NA

SA

, FA

A, J

PD

O, I

CAO

, R

TCA,

EU

RO

CA

E,

ITU

, NIS

T, S

AE

, E

uroc

ontro

l, R

ockw

ell

Col

lins,

etc

. •

Inte

rnal

and

pub

lishe

d R

&D

Lite

ratu

re

Gat

her a

nd

Assi

mila

te

Rel

evan

t Inf

o.

•Id

entif

y ex

istin

g /

emer

ging

aer

o lin

ks,

and

pote

ntia

lly

rele

vant

non

-aer

o lin

ks

•Id

entif

y tre

nds

•Id

entif

y po

tent

ial f

utur

e N

extG

en a

nd b

eyon

d ap

ps. a

nd th

eir n

eeds

Iden

tify

exis

ting

CN

S

infra

stru

ctur

e &

gap

s •

Iden

tify

rele

vant

te

chno

logi

es in

R&

D

•El

ectro

-mag

netic

sp

ectru

m in

vest

igat

ion

•P

ropa

gatio

n •

Atm

osph

eric

at

tenu

atio

n •

Exi

stin

g al

loca

tions

, an

d po

tent

ially

av

aila

ble

spec

trum

Iden

tify

Link

s,

Tren

ds, R

&D

, Ap

ps. &

Nee

ds

ID S

pect

rum

Su

itabl

e fo

r A-

A &

A-G

Com

Dev

elop

can

dida

te

sele

ctio

n cr

iteria

Dev

elop

and

des

crib

e lis

t of p

oten

tial A

-A

and

A-G

com

. ca

ndid

ates

Iden

tify

infra

stru

ctur

e an

d ar

chite

ctur

e ne

eds

of th

e ca

ndid

ates

•D

efin

e at

tribu

tes

and

char

acte

ristic

s:

−Ba

ndw

idth

Late

ncy

−C

om. r

ange

/ co

vera

ge

−C

apac

ity

−S

pect

ral e

ffici

ency

Vuln

erab

ilitie

s −

New

cap

abilit

ies

−TR

L −

etc.

Dev

elop

initi

al R

CP

for

ATM

app

licat

ions

Map

can

dida

tes

as to

th

eir a

bilit

y to

mee

t AT

M a

pplic

atio

n ne

eds

•Id

entif

y an

d ev

alua

te

thre

ats,

vul

nera

bilit

ies,

ris

ks, a

nd m

itiga

tions

ID a

nd D

escr

ibe

Pote

ntia

l Com

. C

andi

date

s

Cha

ract

eriz

e,

Dev

elop

RC

P,

Map

to A

pps.

Rpt

. #1:

Tec

hnol

ogy

Can

dida

tes

•R

pt. #

2: In

frast

ruct

ure

& A

rchi

tect

ure

Nee

ds

•C

onfe

renc

e P

aper

s an

d Pr

esen

tatio

ns

•B

ase

Year

Rep

ort

•M

onth

ly/Q

uarte

rly/B

i-an

nual

Rev

iew

s

Dev

elop

R

epor

ts

Gat

her

Info

. Id

entif

y Spe

ctru

m

Inve

stig

atio

n D

evel

op

Can

dida

tes

Ana

lyze

Can

dida

tes

Doc

umen

t Re

sults

Not

e: T

here

are

iter

atio

n an

d fe

edba

ck lo

ops

amon

g va

rious

st

eps

that

are

not

illu

stra

ted

for d

iagr

am s

impl

icity

.

Page 26: A Study of Future Communications Concepts and Technologies for … · A Study of Future Communications Concepts and Technologies for the National Airspace System–Part I Ms. Denise

18

Iden

tifi

ed S

et o

f A

ir-t

o-A

ir (

A-A

) C

omm

. C

and

idat

es

[In

clu

des

CN

S “

Com

m”

Fun

ctio

ns]

Cur

rent

A-A

Com

mun

icat

ions

Fu

ture

A-A

Com

mun

icat

ions

Can

dida

tes

VH

F: P

ortio

n of

112

-137

MH

z

UH

F

Opt

ical

or

Hyb

rid

RF/

Opt

ical

L-Ban

d L

Ban

d (M

ore

Effi

cien

t Use

to s

uppo

rt TC

AS

Func

tion

+ P

erha

ps

DM

E F

req.

)

(Use

sm

all p

art o

f cur

rent

VH

F C

omm

– 1

18-1

37

MH

z, o

r rea

lloca

ted

VO

R F

req.

)

(Per

haps

Use

Par

t of T

V F

req.

)

SATC

OM

(A

-A O

ne H

op R

oute

d Th

roug

h S

atel

lite)

(Use

d fo

r TC

AS

, AD

S-B

is E

mer

ging

)

VH

F: 1

22-1

23 M

Hz

(CTA

F)

Band

Fr

eque

ncy

Radio

HF

3 –

30 M

Hz

VHF

30 –

300

MH

z U

HF

300

– 10

00 M

Hz

L 1

– 2

GHz

S

2 –

4 G

Hz

C 4

– 8

GHz

X

8 –

12 G

Hz

Ku

12 –

18

GHz

K

18 –

27

GHz

Ka

27

– 4

0 G

Hz

V 40

– 7

5 G

Hz

W

75 –

110

GH

z G

110

– 30

0 G

Hz

Infr

ared

30

0 G

Hz –

430

TH

z Vi

sibl

e 43

0 –

790

THz

UV

790

THz –

30

PHz

X-Ra

y 30

PH

z – 3

0 EH

z G

amm

a-Ra

y >

10 E

Hz

A-A

Air-t

o-Ai

r (A-

A) C

omm

unic

atio

ns C

andi

date

s1

VHF

A-A

2UH

F A-

A3

L-Ba

nd A

-A4

S-Ba

nd A

-A5

C-Ba

nd A

-A6

X-Ba

nd A

-A7

Opt

ical

A-A

8Hy

brid

RF/

Opt

ical

A-A

9LE

O S

ATCO

M A

-A (O

ne H

op th

roug

h Sa

telli

te)

10G

EO S

ATCO

M A

-A (O

ne H

op th

roug

h Sa

telli

te)

11M

EO S

ATCO

M A

-A (O

ne H

op th

roug

h Sa

telli

te)

12G

EO +

HEO

SAT

COM

A-A

(One

Hop

thro

ugh

Sat.)

C a

nd X

Ban

ds

Page 27: A Study of Future Communications Concepts and Technologies for … · A Study of Future Communications Concepts and Technologies for the National Airspace System–Part I Ms. Denise

19

Iden

tifi

ed S

et o

f A

ir-t

o-G

rou

nd

(A

-G)

Com

m.

Can

did

ates

[I

ncl

ud

es C

NS

“C

omm

” Fu

nct

ion

s]

Cur

rent

A-G

Com

mun

icat

ions

VH

F: 1

18-1

37 M

Hz

HF:

~3-

30 M

Hz

SATC

OM

Futu

re A

-G C

omm

unic

atio

ns C

andi

date

s

VH

F: 1

08-1

37 M

Hz

UH

F

C a

nd X

Ban

ds

SATC

OM

HF

L-Ban

d

Opt

ical

or

Hyb

rid

RF/

Opt

ical

L Ban

d

(Mor

e E

ffici

ent U

se o

f VH

F +

Per

haps

VO

R F

req.

in 1

12 –

118

MH

z +

VH

F D

ata

Bro

adca

st o

f LA

AS

in IL

S a

nd V

OR

ban

ds 1

08 to

118

MH

z)

(Mor

e E

ffici

ent U

se +

Per

haps

DM

E F

req.

)

(Mor

e E

ffici

ent U

se K

u / K

a Fr

eq.,

Plu

s H

ighe

r Fre

q.)

(Per

haps

Use

Par

t of T

V F

req.

)

(Use

MLS

Fre

q.)

(ATC

RA

BS

Tra

nspo

nder

, FI

S-B

, AD

S-B

is E

mer

ging

)

(VH

F D

ata

Bro

adca

st fo

r LA

AS

is

just

em

ergi

ng in

112

– 1

18 M

Hz)

A-G

Com

. Via

A-A

Hop

ping

(U

se V

HF

/ UH

F / L

-Ban

d Fr

eq.)

Band

Fr

eque

ncy

Radio

HF

3 –

30 M

Hz

VHF

30 –

300

MH

z U

HF

300

– 10

00 M

Hz

L 1

– 2

GHz

S

2 –

4 G

Hz

C 4

– 8

GHz

X

8 –

12 G

Hz

Ku

12 –

18

GHz

K

18 –

27

GHz

Ka

27

– 4

0 G

Hz

V 40

– 7

5 G

Hz

W

75 –

110

GH

z G

110

– 30

0 G

Hz

Infr

ared

30

0 G

Hz –

430

TH

z Vi

sibl

e 43

0 –

790

THz

UV

790

THz –

30

PHz

X-Ra

y 30

PH

z – 3

0 EH

z G

amm

a-Ra

y >

10 E

Hz

A-G

Air

-to

-Gro

un

d (

A-G

) C

om

mu

nic

ati

on

Ca

nd

ida

tes

1H

F A

-G2

VH

F A

-G3

UH

F A

-G4

L-B

an

d A

-G5

S-B

an

d A

-G6

C-B

an

d A

-G7

Op

tica

l A

-G8

Hyb

rid

RF

/Op

tica

l A

-G9

Te

rre

stri

al

K t

o W

Ba

nd

Ne

two

rk (

e.g

., K

u B

an

d

Qu

alC

om

m+

)10

DT

V V

HF

/UH

F N

etw

ork

11

Ce

llu

lar

Ne

two

rk (

e.g

., A

irce

ll)

12

LE

O S

AT

CO

M N

etw

ork

(e

.g.,

Iri

diu

m N

ex

t+)

13

GE

O S

AT

CO

M N

etw

ork

wit

h g

lob

al

/ re

gio

na

l /

spo

t b

ea

ms

(e.g

., I

nm

ars

at

Glo

ba

l X

pre

ss+

, V

iasa

t I,

H

ug

he

s N

ex

tGe

n,

Bro

ad

ca

st S

at.

TV

+)

14

ME

O S

AT

CO

M N

etw

ork

(e

.g.

Glo

ba

lSta

r+)

15

VH

F A

-A H

op

pin

g f

or

lon

g r

an

ge

A-G

Co

m.

16

UH

F A

-A H

op

pin

g f

or

lon

g r

an

ge

A-G

Co

m.

17

L-B

an

d A

-A H

op

pin

g f

or

lon

g r

an

ge

A-G

Co

m.

18

X-B

an

d A

-G19

GE

O +

HE

O S

AT

CO

M N

etw

ork

Terr

estr

ial K

to

W B

and

Page 28: A Study of Future Communications Concepts and Technologies for … · A Study of Future Communications Concepts and Technologies for the National Airspace System–Part I Ms. Denise

20

Com

ple

ted

a S

et o

f A

nal

yses

to

Ch

arac

teri

ze a

nd

B

egin

to

Eval

uat

e Ea

ch o

f th

e A

-A a

nd

A-G

Can

did

ates

Qua

ntifi

ed a

ttribu

tes,

cha

ract

eris

tics,

str

engt

h/w

eakn

esse

s of

the

ca

ndid

ates

[e.

g.,

the

Act

ual C

omm

unic

atio

n Pe

rfor

man

ce (

ACP)

]

•Id

entif

ied

Futu

re A

TM u

ses/

appl

icat

ions

and

str

awm

an in

itial

Req

uire

d Com

mun

icat

ion

Perf

orm

ance

(RCP)

nee

ded

to s

uppo

rt t

hem

•M

appe

d ca

ndid

ates

to

ATM

use

s/ap

plic

atio

ns b

ased

upo

n th

eir

abili

ty t

o su

ppor

t th

e RCP

•Id

entif

ied

infr

astr

uctu

re /

arc

hite

ctur

e ne

eds

•Pe

rfor

med

an

initi

al S

ecur

ity A

sses

smen

t of

the

can

dida

tes

by id

entif

ying

th

reat

s, v

ulne

rabi

litie

s, a

nd r

isk

miti

gatio

n st

rate

gies

Not

es:

•In

itial

ana

lyse

s ha

ve b

een

com

plet

ed. B

efor

e an

y ca

ndid

ate

is s

erio

usly

con

side

red

for

NAS o

pera

tions

, fu

rthe

r an

alys

is,

stak

ehol

der

vett

ing,

cos

t be

nefit

s, e

tc.

is n

eede

d.

•W

hile

the

re is

insu

ffic

ient

tim

e to

dis

cuss

the

det

ails

of ea

ch o

f th

e ev

alua

tions

, a

sum

mar

y of

the

stu

dy f

indi

ngs

from

the

ev

alua

tions

is p

rovi

ded

on t

he n

ext

3 sl

ides

Page 29: A Study of Future Communications Concepts and Technologies for … · A Study of Future Communications Concepts and Technologies for the National Airspace System–Part I Ms. Denise

21

Su

mm

ary

of I

nte

rim

Stu

dy

Fin

din

gs

(Slid

e 1

of

3)

•Cur

rent

NAS c

omm

unic

atio

ns li

nks

are

insu

ffic

ient

to

mee

t fu

ture

nee

ds

and

mor

e A-A

and

A-G

dat

a co

mm

unic

atio

ns w

ill b

e ne

eded

Traf

fic is

exp

ecte

d to

sig

nific

antly

incr

ease

(3X

to

10X)

•Cur

rent

NAS C

om.

is in

effic

ient

by

toda

y’s

stat

e of

pra

ctic

e •

Cur

rent

sta

te o

f th

e ar

t fo

r w

irel

ess

com

mun

icat

ions

ach

ieve

s ~

60%

of

Sha

nnon

’s c

hann

el c

apac

ity li

mit.

60

% t

o 70

% w

ill li

kely

bec

ome

the

stat

e of

the

pra

ctic

e fo

r w

irel

ess

com

mun

icat

ions

sys

tem

s du

ring

the

m

oder

niza

tion

time

horizo

n.

•W

irel

ess

com

mun

icat

ions

tec

hnol

ogie

s ar

e ad

vanc

ing

in m

any

area

s th

at w

ill le

ad t

o si

gnifi

cant

incr

ease

s in

the

spe

ctra

l eff

icie

ncy

Use

rs o

f th

e sp

ectr

um (

incl

udin

g av

iatio

n) w

ill n

eed

to im

prov

e th

eir

spec

tral

eff

icie

ncy

to e

nabl

e th

e sp

ectr

um t

o m

eet

futu

re d

eman

ds

•O

btai

ning

sig

nific

antly

mor

e sp

ectr

um a

lloca

tions

ded

icat

ed t

o su

ppor

t N

AS A

-A a

nd/o

r A-G

com

mun

icat

ions

will

bec

ome

incr

easi

ngly

ch

alle

ngin

g

Page 30: A Study of Future Communications Concepts and Technologies for … · A Study of Future Communications Concepts and Technologies for the National Airspace System–Part I Ms. Denise

22

Su

mm

ary

of I

nte

rim

Stu

dy

Fin

din

gs

(Slid

e 2

of

3)

•Com

mer

cial

bro

adba

nd w

ill e

xpan

d be

yond

wha

t is

offer

ed t

oday

to

furt

her

supp

ort

NAS c

omm

unic

atio

ns

•Te

chno

logy

will

adv

ance

to

enab

le:

–U

se K

, V,

and

W b

ands

(up

to

~11

0 G

Hz

not

incl

udin

g ar

ound

60

GH

z) for

SATC

OM

and

ai

rpor

t su

rfac

e/te

rmin

al a

rea

links

Use

of fr

ee s

pace

opt

ical

com

mun

icat

ions

for

grou

nd t

o sa

telli

te, sa

telli

te t

o ai

rcra

ft,

airc

raft

-to-

grou

nd, an

d ai

rcra

ft-t

o-ai

rcra

ft c

omm

unic

atio

ns

–Fu

ture

SATC

OM

sys

tem

s ar

e an

ticip

ated

to

be c

apab

le o

f al

loca

ting

com

mun

icat

ion

band

wid

th (

BW

) an

d qu

ality

of se

rvic

e (Q

OS)

on d

eman

d

•Fu

ture

Avi

atio

n CN

S n

eeds

will

con

tinue

to

evol

ve

•N

AS d

ata

com

mun

icat

ions

can

pot

ential

ly r

euse

avi

atio

n sp

ectr

um t

hat

is d

ecom

mis

sion

ed /

or

not

bein

g us

ed b

y ot

her

NAS s

ervi

ces

•5

fund

amen

tal s

trat

egic

app

roac

hes

have

bee

n id

entif

ied

for

addr

essi

ng

the

long

ter

m N

AS c

omm

unic

atio

n ne

eds

1)Red

uce

need

for

com

m. BW

2)

Mor

e ef

ficie

ntly

use

exi

stin

g co

mm

. sp

ectr

um

3)Le

vera

ge c

omm

erci

al c

omm

. ne

twor

ks

4)Id

entif

y /

reus

e /

repu

rpos

e “a

viat

ion”

spe

ctru

m t

o su

ppor

t co

mm

. 5)

Iden

tify

& o

btai

n ne

w s

pect

rum

allo

catio

ns fo

r co

mm

.

Page 31: A Study of Future Communications Concepts and Technologies for … · A Study of Future Communications Concepts and Technologies for the National Airspace System–Part I Ms. Denise

23

Su

mm

ary

of I

nte

rim

Stu

dy

Fin

din

gs

(Slid

e 3

of

3)

•Fu

ture

NAS c

omm

unic

atio

ns s

yste

ms

will

nee

d to

add

ress

a v

arie

ty o

f in

form

atio

n se

curity

cha

lleng

es

•N

eed

to c

onsi

der

secu

rity

asp

ects

in t

he c

onte

xt o

f th

e ov

eral

l NAS

syst

ems

and

oper

atio

ns (

not

Com

m in

isol

atio

n)

•Suc

cess

ful i

mpl

emen

tatio

n of

NAS in

fo.

secu

rity

will

req

uire

co

llabo

ratio

n be

twee

n tr

aditi

onal

avi

atio

n st

akeh

olde

rs a

nd in

fo.

secu

rity

exp

erts

No

one

sing

le c

omm

unic

atio

ns d

ata

link

tech

nolo

gy m

eets

all

the

expe

cted

fut

ure

A-A

and

A-G

com

mun

icat

ions

req

uire

men

ts.

Nee

d to

im

plem

ent

mul

tiple

com

m.

tech

nolo

gies

. •

Emer

ging

and

the

pre

dict

ed f

utur

e co

mm

tec

hnol

ogie

s ar

e ex

pect

ed t

o be

abl

e to

mee

t fu

ture

NAS c

omm

unic

atio

n ne

eds.

Page 32: A Study of Future Communications Concepts and Technologies for … · A Study of Future Communications Concepts and Technologies for the National Airspace System–Part I Ms. Denise

Bria

n H

ayne

s –

Prin

cipa

l Inv

estig

ator

w

ww

.xce

lar.c

om

Page 33: A Study of Future Communications Concepts and Technologies for … · A Study of Future Communications Concepts and Technologies for the National Airspace System–Part I Ms. Denise

Oper

ator

Per

spec

tive

�A

n im

porta

nt in

itial

ste

p:

�D

efin

e th

e po

tent

ial n

atur

e an

d ca

pabi

litie

s of

the

air v

ehic

les

(man

ned,

redu

ced-

crew

, and

unm

anne

d)

�D

efin

e th

e N

AS

in th

e co

ntex

t of b

enef

its to

the

airc

raft

oper

ator

Use

d sy

stem

-bas

ed m

odel

- in

itial

ana

lysi

s us

ing

gene

ral f

unct

iona

l ro

les

to d

efin

e:

�S

yste

mic

cap

abili

ties

�N

eeds

Info

rmat

ion

flow

dec

oupl

ed fr

om th

e cu

rren

t par

adig

m

�S

yste

m c

apab

ilitie

s w

ere

then

use

d to

def

ine

the

com

mun

icat

ion

capa

bilit

ies

requ

ired

for r

ealiz

atio

n �

Futu

re d

ata

link

func

tiona

l req

uire

men

ts w

ere

deriv

ed fo

r use

in

a p

aral

lel s

tudy

of v

ario

us c

andi

date

link

tech

nolo

gies

, to

polo

gies

, and

arc

hite

ctur

es.

A “fo

rm fo

llow

s fu

nctio

n” a

ppro

ach

appl

ied

to th

e ca

ndid

ate

link

anal

ysis

(spe

cific

link

met

hods

and

com

bina

tions

of m

etho

ds

serv

e th

e ov

eral

l nee

ds o

f the

sys

tem

in o

ptim

ized

way

s)

Page 34: A Study of Future Communications Concepts and Technologies for … · A Study of Future Communications Concepts and Technologies for the National Airspace System–Part I Ms. Denise

Proc

ess

�Li

tera

ture

revi

ew: N

AS

A, A

IAA

, RTC

A, I

EE

E, M

ITR

E/M

IT, F

AA

, E

uroc

ontro

l, IC

AO

, oth

ers

�R

evea

led

very

littl

e ap

plic

able

stu

dy w

ork

with

in 1

0-15

yea

rs

�Li

ttle

anal

ysis

was

foun

d of

link

-inde

pend

ent,

resu

lt-ba

sed

data

del

iver

y co

ncep

ts

rath

er th

an s

peci

fic li

nks

for e

ach

purp

ose

�Te

am h

oste

d “F

utur

e N

AS

Com

mun

icat

ions

Wor

ksho

p”

�In

clud

ed: N

AS

A, I

ndus

try re

pres

enta

tives

, aca

dem

ia, a

nd te

am

�Fo

ur b

asel

ine

scen

ario

type

s w

ere

defin

ed: T

erm

inal

Ope

ratio

ns –

D

epar

ture

s; E

n ro

ute

Ope

ratio

ns; T

erm

inal

Ope

ratio

ns –

Arr

ival

s;

Gro

und

Ope

ratio

ns

�D

efin

ition

s fo

r eac

h sc

enar

io in

clud

ed:

Top-

leve

l goa

ls; p

rimar

y su

cces

s cr

iteria

; exp

ecte

d ca

pabi

litie

s; n

eeds

Futu

re c

apab

ilitie

s w

ere

cons

ider

ed

�N

AS

Ope

ratio

n ty

pes:

Air

Tran

spor

t, G

ener

al &

Bus

ines

s Av

iatio

n (In

cl. V

LJ),

and

Unm

anne

d A

ircra

ft S

yste

ms

�S

igni

fican

t lev

el o

f red

uced

-cre

w a

nd/o

r unm

anne

d co

mm

erci

al

oper

atio

ns w

as p

roje

cted

for t

he a

ir tra

nspo

rt se

ctor

Page 35: A Study of Future Communications Concepts and Technologies for … · A Study of Future Communications Concepts and Technologies for the National Airspace System–Part I Ms. Denise

Proc

ess

- con

tinue

d �

In p

aral

lel w

ith th

e fu

ture

NA

S d

efin

ition

and

der

ivat

ion

of

com

mun

icat

ion

func

tions

and

requ

irem

ents

: �

Initi

al a

naly

sis

of c

urre

ntly

kno

wn

link

tech

nolo

gies

was

co

nduc

ted

to a

sses

s th

eir c

urre

nt a

nd p

roba

ble

futu

re

capa

bilit

ies

com

pare

d to

pro

ject

ed lo

ads

and

othe

r fac

tors

This

“loo

k fo

rwar

d” a

naly

sis:

Pro

vide

s a

star

ting

poin

t in

the

iden

tific

atio

n an

d an

alys

is o

f fut

ure

solu

tions

Qua

ntifi

es p

oten

tial u

nmet

nee

ds in

cur

rent

sys

tem

s �

Func

tions

that

will

requ

ire n

ew s

olut

ions

.

�E

xam

ple:

Cur

rent

use

of 1

030/

1090

mH

z fo

r ATC

RB

S, A

DS

-B, T

CA

S, a

nd

othe

r pro

pose

d fu

nctio

ns s

uch

as a

ir-to

-air

linki

ng o

f wak

e tu

rbul

ence

dat

a �

Initi

al a

naly

sis

sugg

ests

that

the

curr

ent s

yste

m w

ill re

ach

its

capa

city

lim

it w

ell b

efor

e th

e 50

-yea

r fut

ure

poin

t �

Alte

rnat

e so

lutio

ns m

ust b

e co

nsid

ered

as

part

of th

e st

udy

Page 36: A Study of Future Communications Concepts and Technologies for … · A Study of Future Communications Concepts and Technologies for the National Airspace System–Part I Ms. Denise

550-Y

ear F

utur

e –

Calib

ratio

n Po

ints

50 y

ears

ago

(196

3)

�19

63 -

B72

7 fir

st fl

ight

1963

– C

essn

a 33

6 en

ters

se

rvic

e

�19

65 –

Ces

sna

337

in

certi

ficat

ion

�19

63 –

Lea

r 23

& F

alco

n 20

Fi

rst F

light

Wor

ld’s

Firs

t geo

sync

hron

ous

sate

llite

laun

ched

(Syn

chro

m

II)

�19

63 –

Firs

t Las

er R

ing

Gyr

o de

mon

stra

ted

�S

ELC

AL

Ent

ered

Ser

vice

50

year

s ag

o

50 y

ears

from

now

(206

3)

�P

rimar

y us

ers:

Our

chi

ldre

n’s

child

ren

and

gran

dchi

ldre

n �

Dee

p ac

cept

ance

of “

Con

nect

ed

Livi

ng”,

Rob

otic

s �

Moo

re’s

Law

– ty

pe fa

ctor

s ca

n be

app

lied

to:

�Ba

ndw

idth

, lin

k op

tions

, lin

k co

st

�W

orki

ng a

ssum

ptio

n:

�C

urre

nt-s

tyle

regu

lato

ry p

roce

ss

will

not

driv

e fu

ture

sol

utio

ns

28

Page 37: A Study of Future Communications Concepts and Technologies for … · A Study of Future Communications Concepts and Technologies for the National Airspace System–Part I Ms. Denise

Dat

alin

k S

tudy

P

roce

ss:

1s

t six

mon

ths

(in s

hade

d bo

x)

Page 38: A Study of Future Communications Concepts and Technologies for … · A Study of Future Communications Concepts and Technologies for the National Airspace System–Part I Ms. Denise

Conc

lusi

ons

•Pr

elim

inar

y fin

ding

s in

dica

te th

at s

pect

rum

and

tech

nolo

gy c

ertif

icat

ion

will

con

tinue

to p

ose

a ch

alle

nge,

esp

ecia

lly in

are

as w

here

sof

twar

e is

in

crea

sing

ly u

sed

to p

erfo

rm h

ardw

are

func

tions

. It

is a

ntic

ipat

ed th

at

alth

ough

som

e sp

ectr

um w

ill b

ecom

e av

aila

ble

as a

resu

lt of

the

deco

mm

issi

onin

g of

tech

nolo

gies

i.e.

VO

R, th

e de

man

d fo

r spe

ctru

m w

ill

incr

ease

and

futu

re te

chno

logi

es w

ill n

eed

to p

rovi

de th

e ab

ility

to

max

imiz

e th

e us

e of

fini

te s

pect

rum

reso

urce

s.

•Ad

vanc

es in

ele

ctro

nics

and

com

mun

icat

ions

tech

nolo

gy w

ill e

nabl

e th

e in

tegr

atio

n of

ser

vice

s an

d ap

plic

atio

ns a

nd th

us re

duce

the

num

ber o

f sy

stem

s de

ploy

ed to

the

airc

raft

.

•Fi

nally

, the

futu

re a

viat

ion

radi

o te

chno

logy

will

dep

end

on n

umer

ous

fact

ors

incl

udin

g: a

ir tr

affic

man

agem

ent p

roce

dure

s, a

irlin

e op

erat

ions

bu

sine

ss m

odel

s an

d th

e co

nfig

urat

ion

of th

e ai

rspa

ce, w

hich

is a

ntic

ipat

ed

to in

clud

e U

nman

ned

Airc

raft

Sys

tem

s, h

yper

soni

c fli

ghts

and

man

ned

airc

raft

.