a new boost for european investments · 2015. 11. 2. · a new boost for european investments...
TRANSCRIPT
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A new boost for European
Investments(Supporting slides)
Dario Scannapieco
Vice President European Investment Bank
IFSWF 2015
Milan, 30 September 2015
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GDP level 2014 > to 2008 & GDP level 2015 > to 2008GDP level 2014 < to 2008 & GDP level 2015 > to 2008 GDP level 2014 < to 2008 & GDP level 2015 < to 2008
Source: EC Winter 2015 forecasts
2014 2015
-1.5 to -0.5
-0.5 to 0.5
0.5 to 1.5
1.5 to 2.5
EU Non-Homogeneous GDP and Inflation Trend
PIL Inflation
Non-homogeneus EU growth
European Investment Bank Group 2
2008
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Unemployment
• Encouraging signals (Q4 2014 YoY: +0.9% in EA; +1% in EU28), but problems persist
• Reducing unemployment on going but still not to pre-crisis levels
• Demography and current migration streams: what impact on EU employment
Unemployment rate during the crisis (2008-2013)
Source: Eurostat
European Investment Bank Group 3
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Source: Eurostat
GDP and Investments in Europe(2007 = 100)
Investment trend 2007 vs 2013 (%)
Investment Trends
European Investment Bank Group 4
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Real fixed investment
Real infrastructure investment
Investment trends
Fonte: INTAN-Invest, Ameco, Eurostat and OECD.
Nb: Index average 2008=100.
Core: AT, BE, DK, DE, FI, FR, LUX, ND, SW, UK; VMS: CY,
GR, ES, IE, IT, SLO, PT; Cohesion: BG, CR, ES, HR, HU, LIT,
LA, MA, PL, RO, SK
European Investment Bank Group 5
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FDI inward vs outward EU Investments
6European Investment Bank Group
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European Governance Evolution
7European Investment Bank Group
2008 2010
2011 2013 2015
2012 2014 2016
2009
- EU
Economic
Recovery
Plan
- EBA
- 5
President’s
Report
- Juncker
Plan
- EFSI
- ESFS
- ESRB
- Basel III
- ESM
- EIB Capital Increase
- ECB Monetary
measures (LTRO,
TLTRO, SMP,
OMT,etc.)
- Enhanced fiscal
coordination (6-pack,
2-pack, fiscal compact,
etc.)
- EIB
Capital
Increase
- EU 2020 Strategy
- Solvency II
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IPE: Every piece of the puzzle counts
8European Investment Bank Group
Investment Plan for Europe (IPE):
• Guarantee Fund (EFSI)
• EU Advisory Hub
• Structural Reforms in Member States
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European Fund for Strategic Investments (EFSI)
9European Investment Bank Group
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10European Investment Bank Group
Making a difference: EIB Group results 2014
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“ L’Europa avanza scegliendo quasi sempre la
strada sbagliata dopo avere accuratamente
scartato quelle migliori.
Ma sia pur di traverso, avanza.”
“Europe advances almost always by choosing the
wrong path after having carefully discarded the
other best. But even if sideways, it advances”.
( Giuliano Amato: Vice President European Convention)
11European Investment Bank Group