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A Mathematical Model for a Mission to mars Glenn Ledder Department of Mathematics University of Nebraska-Linco [email protected]

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Page 1: A Mathematical Model for a Mission to mars Glenn Ledder Department of Mathematics University of Nebraska-Lincoln gledder@math.unl.edu

A Mathematical Model for a

Mission to mars

Glenn Ledder

Department of MathematicsUniversity of [email protected]

Page 2: A Mathematical Model for a Mission to mars Glenn Ledder Department of Mathematics University of Nebraska-Lincoln gledder@math.unl.edu

Mathematical Models

A mathematical model is a mathematicalobject based on real phenomena andcreated in the hope that its mathematicalbehavior resembles the real behavior.

Mathematical Modeling

the process of creating, analyzing, andinterpreting mathematical models

Page 3: A Mathematical Model for a Mission to mars Glenn Ledder Department of Mathematics University of Nebraska-Lincoln gledder@math.unl.edu

Model Structure

MathProblem

Input Data Output Data

Key Question:

What is the relationship between input and output data?

Page 4: A Mathematical Model for a Mission to mars Glenn Ledder Department of Mathematics University of Nebraska-Lincoln gledder@math.unl.edu

EXAMPLERanking of Football Teams

MathematicalAlgorithmGame Data

RankingWeight Factors

Game Data: situation dependent

Weight Factors: built into mathematical model

Page 5: A Mathematical Model for a Mission to mars Glenn Ledder Department of Mathematics University of Nebraska-Lincoln gledder@math.unl.edu

EXAMPLERanking of Football Teams

MathematicalAlgorithmGame Data

RankingWeight Factors

Modeling Goal: Choose the weights to get the “correct” national championship game.

Page 6: A Mathematical Model for a Mission to mars Glenn Ledder Department of Mathematics University of Nebraska-Lincoln gledder@math.unl.edu

The Lander Design Problem

A spaceship goes to Mars and establishes an orbit. Astronauts or a robot go down to the surface in a Mars Lander. They collectsamples of rocks and use the landing vehicleto return to the spaceship.

What specifications guarantee that thelander is able to escape Mars’ gravity?

Page 7: A Mathematical Model for a Mission to mars Glenn Ledder Department of Mathematics University of Nebraska-Lincoln gledder@math.unl.edu

A Simple Rocket Launch Model“I Shot an Arrow Into the Air”

• Planet Data

– Radius R– Gravitational constant g

• Design Data

– Mass m

– Initial velocity v0

(t<0)

Page 8: A Mathematical Model for a Mission to mars Glenn Ledder Department of Mathematics University of Nebraska-Lincoln gledder@math.unl.edu

MathematicalModelR, g

Flight Datam, v0

Schematic of the Simple Launch Problem:

A Simple Rocket Launch Model“I Shot an Arrow Into the Air”

Page 9: A Mathematical Model for a Mission to mars Glenn Ledder Department of Mathematics University of Nebraska-Lincoln gledder@math.unl.edu

Basic Newtonian Mechanics I

Newton’s Second Law of Motion:

F Δt = Δ(mv)(“impulse = momentum”)

Constant m version:

― = ―dvdt

Fm

Page 10: A Mathematical Model for a Mission to mars Glenn Ledder Department of Mathematics University of Nebraska-Lincoln gledder@math.unl.edu

Basic Newtonian Mechanics II

Newton’s Law of Gravitation:

F (t) = -mg ——

Constant m rocket flight equation:

― = - ——

R2

z2 (t)

z2 (t)

g R2dvdt

Page 11: A Mathematical Model for a Mission to mars Glenn Ledder Department of Mathematics University of Nebraska-Lincoln gledder@math.unl.edu

The Height-Velocity Equation

― = - ——z2

(t)g R2dv

dtGravitational Motion:

Think of v as a function of z.

dvdt

dvdz

dv dzdz dt

Then — = — — = — v

Result: v ― = - ——z2

g R2dvdz

Page 12: A Mathematical Model for a Mission to mars Glenn Ledder Department of Mathematics University of Nebraska-Lincoln gledder@math.unl.edu

Escape Velocity

2 gR

0

v e

v ― = - ——z2

g R2dvdz

Height-Velocity equation:

Separate variables and Integrate:

2v dv = 2gR2 z

-2 dz

Suppose v = 0 as z→∞ and v = ve at z = R.

ve2

= 2gRR

The Escape Velocity is ve =

Page 13: A Mathematical Model for a Mission to mars Glenn Ledder Department of Mathematics University of Nebraska-Lincoln gledder@math.unl.edu

Nondimensionalization

v ― = - ——z2

g R2dvdz

v(R) = v0

The height-velocity problem

has 3 parameters.

Nondimensionalization: replacing dimensional quantities with dimensionless quantities

V = v/ve and Z = z/R are dimensionless

Page 14: A Mathematical Model for a Mission to mars Glenn Ledder Department of Mathematics University of Nebraska-Lincoln gledder@math.unl.edu

Let V = ― Z = ― V0 = ―v0

R

dvdz

dvdV

dVdZ

dZdz

― = ― ― ― = ― ―ThendVdZ

ve

R

v ― = - ——z2

g R2dvdz

― V ― = - ―ve

2

RdVdZ

gZ2

v(R) = v0 V(1) = V0

vve

zR

Page 15: A Mathematical Model for a Mission to mars Glenn Ledder Department of Mathematics University of Nebraska-Lincoln gledder@math.unl.edu

v ― = - ——z2

g R2dvdz

v(R) = v0

The 3-parameter height-velocity problem

becomes the 1-parameter dimensionless problem

2V ― = - ―dVdZ

1Z2 V(1) = V0

Page 16: A Mathematical Model for a Mission to mars Glenn Ledder Department of Mathematics University of Nebraska-Lincoln gledder@math.unl.edu

Height-Velocity Curves

2V ― = - ―dVdZ

1Z

2 V(1) = V0

V 2

– V02 = ― – 1 1

Z

The Escape Curve has V0 = 1 :

ZV 2 = 1

Page 17: A Mathematical Model for a Mission to mars Glenn Ledder Department of Mathematics University of Nebraska-Lincoln gledder@math.unl.edu

Height-Velocity Curves

V 2

– V02 = ― – 1 1

Z

ZV 2

> 1

ZV 2

= 1

ZV 2

< 1

Page 18: A Mathematical Model for a Mission to mars Glenn Ledder Department of Mathematics University of Nebraska-Lincoln gledder@math.unl.edu

A Two-Phase Launch Model

• Phase 1:

The vehicle burns fuel at maximum rate.

• Phase 2:

The vehicle drifts out of Mars’ gravity.(t<0)

Phase 1

Phase 2

Page 19: A Mathematical Model for a Mission to mars Glenn Ledder Department of Mathematics University of Nebraska-Lincoln gledder@math.unl.edu

A Two-Phase Launch Model

(t<0)

• Planet Data– Radius R– Gravitational constant g

• Design Data– Vehicle mass M– Fuel mass P

– Burn rate α– Exhaust velocity β

Phase 1

Phase 2

Page 20: A Mathematical Model for a Mission to mars Glenn Ledder Department of Mathematics University of Nebraska-Lincoln gledder@math.unl.edu

Phase 1ProblemR, g

Success / Failure ZV 2 ≥ 1 / ZV 2 < 1

M, P, α, β

We have already solved the Phase 2 problem!

Schematic of the Launch Problem:

A Two-Phase Launch Model

Page 21: A Mathematical Model for a Mission to mars Glenn Ledder Department of Mathematics University of Nebraska-Lincoln gledder@math.unl.edu

Newtonian Mechanics, revisited

Newton’s Second Law of Motion: F Δt = Δ(mv)

Variable m version, with gravitational force:

Rocket Flight equation:

― = —– – —–dvdt

dvdt

dmdt

m ― + v –— = F = -m g —R2

z2

αβ m z2

gR2

Page 22: A Mathematical Model for a Mission to mars Glenn Ledder Department of Mathematics University of Nebraska-Lincoln gledder@math.unl.edu

Full Phase 1 Model

― = —– – —–dvdt

αβ m z2

gR2

― = vdzdt

― = - αdmdt

v(0) = 0

z(0) = R

m(0) = M + P

0 ≤ t ≤ P/α

Page 23: A Mathematical Model for a Mission to mars Glenn Ledder Department of Mathematics University of Nebraska-Lincoln gledder@math.unl.edu

Simplification

4 design parameters is too many!

― = —– – —–dvdt

αβ m z2

gR2

―(0) = —– – gdvdt

αβ M+P

―(0) ≥ 0 dvdt

αβ > g (M+P)

Take maximum fuel! P = —– – Mαβ g

Page 24: A Mathematical Model for a Mission to mars Glenn Ledder Department of Mathematics University of Nebraska-Lincoln gledder@math.unl.edu

Full Phase 1 Model

― = —– – —–dvdt

αβ m z2

gR2

― = vdzdt

― = - αdmdt

v(0) = 0

z(0) = R

m(0) = —–

0 ≤ t ≤ — – —

αβ g

βg

Page 25: A Mathematical Model for a Mission to mars Glenn Ledder Department of Mathematics University of Nebraska-Lincoln gledder@math.unl.edu

Nondimensionalization

Let V = ― vve

Z = ― zR

T = ―gt β

B = ― βve

Dimensionless exhaust velocity

A = ―– αβMg

Dimensionless acceleration

Page 26: A Mathematical Model for a Mission to mars Glenn Ledder Department of Mathematics University of Nebraska-Lincoln gledder@math.unl.edu

Dimensionless Phase 1 Model

― = —– – —–dVdT

B1-T Z2

B

― = 2BVdZdT

V(0) = 0

Z(0) = 1

0 ≤ T ≤ 1 – A-1

The new model has only 2 parameters,with only 1 in the initial value problem.

Page 27: A Mathematical Model for a Mission to mars Glenn Ledder Department of Mathematics University of Nebraska-Lincoln gledder@math.unl.edu

― = — – —dVdT

B1-T Z2

B

― = 2BVdZdT

V(0) = 0

Z(0) = 1

ZV 2(T0) = 1

The Flight Time Function

For any given velocity B, let T0 be the time required

to reach the escape curve ZV 2

= 1.

B T0(B)

Page 28: A Mathematical Model for a Mission to mars Glenn Ledder Department of Mathematics University of Nebraska-Lincoln gledder@math.unl.edu

Success Criterion

T0(B) is the time needed to reach the

escape curve in Phase 1.

1 – A-1 is the time available before the fuel supply is “exhausted.”

1 – A-1 ≥ T0(B) :Success is defined by

f (A, B) = A-1 + T0(B) ≤ 1

Page 29: A Mathematical Model for a Mission to mars Glenn Ledder Department of Mathematics University of Nebraska-Lincoln gledder@math.unl.edu

The Vehicle Design Curve

increasingacceleration

increasing exhaust velocity

Page 30: A Mathematical Model for a Mission to mars Glenn Ledder Department of Mathematics University of Nebraska-Lincoln gledder@math.unl.edu

A Successful Launch

A = 2.5

B = 2.0

Page 31: A Mathematical Model for a Mission to mars Glenn Ledder Department of Mathematics University of Nebraska-Lincoln gledder@math.unl.edu

An “Unsuccessful” Launch

The vehicle “hovers” at z = 4R. Maybe that is ideal!

A = 2.0

B = 2.5

Page 32: A Mathematical Model for a Mission to mars Glenn Ledder Department of Mathematics University of Nebraska-Lincoln gledder@math.unl.edu

Implications for Mars

B = ― βve

A = ―– αβMg

BODY g (m/sec2) ve (km/sec)

Moon 1.62 2.37Mars 3.72 5.02

α and β need to be almost double;after 35 years, this is probably OK

Page 33: A Mathematical Model for a Mission to mars Glenn Ledder Department of Mathematics University of Nebraska-Lincoln gledder@math.unl.edu

An Easier Task

Why don’t we land on Mars’ smaller moon Deimos instead?

The escape velocity is only 7 m/sec,which is about 16 mph, roughly the speedof the 1600 meter race in this summer’sOlympic Games!