…a growing market wire and cable manufacturing · success based on public tender ... auto /...
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Wire and Cable
Manufacturing
in Rwanda
…a growing market
in an appealing
business context
with NO local
competitors
Construction in Rwanda
is Big & Growing
Trends in construction & materials: ▶ Construction material is the largest and fastest growing component
of Rwanda’s manufacturing sector
▶ 51% of recent investments in the manufacturing sector have been in
the area of building materials
▶ Construction spending in Rwanda
grew 24% (to 500 million USD)
between 2010 and 2011
▶ Construction permits issued: see
adjacent chart
▶ Commercial buildings and hotels
have dominated recent building
▶ There are over $204 million USD
worth of building material
investments expected in 3 years
Local Dynamics Attract
Investment in Manufacturing 20 Rwandan manufacturers reveal key features and trends:
▶ 25% (5) have other production facilities in the region
▶ 70% (14) have expatriate management
▶ 50% (10) are exporting (Burundi and Eastern D.R.Congo)
Significant new investments committed in the sector…
Rwanda is Well Positioned
Within a Growing Region
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2008 2009 2010 2011
US
D (
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EAC Construction Spending Trends
Burundi
Tanzania
Uganda
Kenya
Rwanda
Rwanda: • Effective government;
stable political context
• Strong business
environment; low corruption
• Local insight; access to
Eastern D.R.C. & Burundi
• Adequate labor pool
Source: Data from Central Bank in Respective Countries (and estimates)
Global Wire and Cables:
Eyes toward Rwandan Market
Note: highlighted countries are currently primary sources of cable and wire imports into Rwanda
Expansion in the region
▶ East African Cables (Ke) recent investments in DR
Congo and Tanzania
▶ General Cable (US) current plants in Angola and
Zambia; recent investment in S. Africa
▶ PowerTech (SA) expansion plans into SADC and
EAC
Rwanda, 30.9
E. DRC, 40.2
Burundi, 12.9
Regional Wire and Cable Market (annual market – 2011 USD millions / yr)
Source: RRA Customs, Trademap, Interview Data
Imports to Rwanda
▶ Aluminum and Copper Cables are 4th
largest building material import into
Rwanda after Cement, Rebar and
Metal Sheets
▶ Of 160M USD imported in 2011,
Cables represented 30M USD
▶ Targeting 10x increase in Electricity
Installed Capacity by 2020
▶ 90% of Energy Production projected to be
from Renewables
▶ Construction growth ~ 25% / year
▶ Urbanization rate estimated 4.4% ~ 2.5
times global average
▶ ICT Infrastructure attracted investment ~
500 M USD over last 3 years
▶ Mineral exports growing at over 100% per
year
Strong Local Wire and Cable
Market Drivers
Worthy of Note:
• World Bank funded Rural Electrification project of 110 million USD
agreed in 2010; currently in implementation phase
• Large housing developments underway (RSSB alone=4,000 units)
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2008 2009 2010 2011 2012
MW
In
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ap
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Rwandan Wire & Cable Market Drivers
Construction GDP Electricity - Installed Capacity
2011 BNR Annual Report; EWSA
Construction Spending and
Electricity Installed Capacity
Growing at ~ 25% per annum
100% Imported Supply ▶ EA Cables: recognized as the quality
leader, single largest importer, has
ownership of plants in Kenya, DR
Congo and Tanzania
▶ Variety of other importers – low
quality – limited profitability due to
transport costs and taxes/tariffs/fees
> 45% on non-EAC imports
Demand Constrained
by Limited Quality Supply
EA Cables
11%
Other Imports
89%
Wire & Cable Competitors Market Share in Rwanda
Source: Customs, TradeMap, Interviews
▶ Majority of market from Public Utility and
Large Contractors
▶ Success based on Public Tender
process and a few key relationships
▶ Copper primary product with limited
aluminum for overhead utilities
Not Difficult to Break into
Growing Local Market
EWSA 25%
Large Developers
30%
Telecom 38%
Retail 7%
Wire & Cable Customers Share of Market
Source: Interviews
Tender 63%
Non-Tender
37%
Wire & Cable Purchasing Share of Market
Source: Interviews
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35
2007 2008 2009 2010 2011
US
D (
tho
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nd
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Rwanda Wire and Cable Import Trends
Aluminum
Other Copper
ElectricalconductorsInsulated cables
Fiber optic
Co-axial
Source: RRA Customs, TradeMap
Comparable P&L
Analysis (millions USD)
EA
Cables
(Ke)
KEI
(India)
Oman
Cables
(Oman)
General
Cable
(US)
PowerTe
ch (SA)
Revenue 58.5 215.4 630.6 5,866.7 955.0
Cost of Sales 43.5 595.6 5,241.1
Gross Margin 15.0 35.0 625.6
Gross Margin % 26% 6% 11%
Other Costs 11.3 17.8 540.4
Net Income 3.7 2.0 17.2 85.2 13.8
Net Income % 6.3% 0.9% 2.7% 1.5% 1.4%
Source: Various Annual Reports
General Profitability
▶ Regional players with healthy margins
comparable to or better than large global
companies reflect “opportunity”
▶ Profitability driven primarily attributable to
benefits of local production (limited
competition, reduced transport and tariff
barriers)
High Potential for
Profitable Local Manufacturing
Raw Material
▶ Raw material costs dictated by global copper and
aluminum commodity market fluctuations (advantage
of scale without local raw materials)
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25
2009 2010 2011
US
D (
tho
usa
nd
s)
Rwanda Average Finished Cable Prices (USD/MT)
Aluminum Conductors Armoured Cables
Auto / Battery / Flexibles House Wire Source: Supplier Interviews
Copper
Aluminum
0
1,000
2,000
3,000
4,000
5,000
6,000
7,000
8,000
9,000
2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011
LME Cash Metal Price (USD / MT)
Source: LME = London Metal Exchange
Costs
Staffing Costs: Rwanda has adequate supply
of low-skilled labor (65% low-skilled linemen)
Transport and Carrying Costs: Local production
will…
Maximize inventory / product mix flexibility
Minimize transport costs coming from small
shipments and value-based transport pricing
(10% to 12% of value)
Avoid high local warehousing costs (5
USD/sqm/day)
Reduce significant non-tariff barriers
Target Investment
~ 10M USD plant converting semi-finished to
finished single-core copper and aluminum
2nd phase ~ 25M USD multi-core plant
Transport and Carrying Costs
Primary Drivers
Max
Min
Mean
0
500
1,000
1,500
2,000
2,500
3,000
3,500
4,000
4,500
Low-skilledLabor
JuniorTechnician
Mid-levelTechnician
SeniorManager
Rwanda Manufacturing Labor Costs
(USD monthly gross salary)
Source: Karisimbi Partners Survey
Based upon the draft Sector Strategic Plan
By 2018, the following will be spent on energy in Rwanda:
Electricity access roll-out program: 1.2 Billion USD
Electricity generation programs: 3.2 Billion USD
Transmission & distribution programs: 400 Million USD
Total Costs for Strategic Plan: $4.8 Billion USD
Steel Product Demand
Anticipates Growth in Energy
Rwanda’s energy sector plans will require significant
wire and cable material to be realized
The case for investment:
Rwanda: ideal business & investment climate
Construction Boom: significant & growing
Building Materials in Rwanda: too import dependent &
quality products are too expensive at present
Wire & Cable Manufacturing: best investment
opportunity in the building materials sector Large & Growing Demand
Good Profit Potential
Strong Labor Supply
Very limited competition
(but many investigating)
Competition + Growth =
Limited Window of Opportunity
The time is ripe for the first local
production facility for wire and
cable manufacturing in Rwanda
Government of Rwanda Support: Visit Rwanda to learn more about manufacturing capacities and to meet senior
government officials
Construction is booming in line with Master Plan and Vision 2020 goals
The planning and implementation procedures are being streamlined
Special Economic Zones and land concessions are available for you
Completed initiatives to attract wire and cable
manufacturing: Standards have shifted from French to UK as more architects have been
trained to UK standards
Rwanda Bureau of Standards has adopted EAC standards regarding low
quality and counterfeit products
Electrical Cables: Government
Support & Incentives
Why is Rwanda a compelling business context?
1) Political stability; sound rule of law; no tolerance for corruption
2) Vision 2020: impressive growth to middle-income country status
3) 8% average year-on-year GDP growth from 2007-2011 (one of the
highest in Africa (and world)
4) Global Reformer: ranked #4 out of 181 countries by World Bank
Doing Business Report 2013, improving the context for starting and
operating a business by making 26 different reforms since 2005 #1
in East Africa and #3 in Africa: as ranked by WEF Global
Competitiveness Report 2011-2012
5) 6-Hour Business Registration: ranked #8 easiest in the world
6) New Special Economic Zone opened; 4 others planned; 30 district
industrial areas ready for development
Rwanda Offers an Climate for
Investment
Kigali’s serviced Special
Economic Zone (SEZ):
Phase I: 98 hectares (ha.) -
Fully serviced and fully occupied
Phase II: 178 ha.
7 companies have already booked
space
Land price: $32 - $40 per M2
Phase III: 134 ha.
Additional sites outside SEZ
include:
Bugesera zone (serviced): $15 M2
Rwamagana zone (un-serviced):
$4,750/ha.
Serviced Sites are Ready for
Investors in Special Economic Zone
15
Investment Benefits:
• Free initial work permit & visa for investor and foreign workers
• Assistance with land acquisition and concessions
• Waiver of import duties, withholding and VAT for imported machinery and raw
materials
• Waiver of duties for 1 personal vehicle; personal property import
• Waiver of duties for special vehicles, trucks & heavy machines
• Optional:
• Construction projects greater than 1.8 Million USD: 10% flat fee for imported
materials
• Income tax “investment allowance” of 40% inside; 50% outside Kigali
• Tax deductible training and research expenses
• Tax discounts based on the number of jobs created (900+ jobs = 7% discount)
• Export earnings may secure tax discounts (5 Million USD exported = 5% discount)
Investor Incentives are Available
Let us know how we can help you take the next step
Contact us today
Contacts:
Robert Muhizi
Manufacturing Development Division Manager
[email protected]; +2560785342567; Skype: muhizir
Global Market:
Wire & Cable Manufacturing
Note: highlighted countries are currently primary sources of cable and wire imports into Rwanda
Large (163 Billion USD) and
growing global market
Low Voltage
Energy, 62
Copper Power
Cable, 37
Aluminum Power
Cable, 10
External Copper
Telecom, 5
Internal Telecom / data, 16
Fibre Optic Telecom /
data, 7 Winding Wire, 25
2010 Global Cable and Wire Consumption (USD billions)
Source: ICF Stats; CRU
Rwanda: Facts & Figures
Population 11 million
Average age 18
Workforce 4.4 million
Literacy 71.1%
GDP/capita (PPP) $1,400
GDP growth 8,8%
Inflation 3.9%
Prime lending rate 16%
Industrial production
growth 7.5%
Export growth
(ytd 11/12) 33%
Rwanda is the #1 in EAC and
Top Business Reformer Worldwide
20
Category Rwanda*
Starting a Business 8
Construction Permits 84
Getting Electricity 50
Registering Property 61
Getting Credit 8
Protecting Investors 29
Paying Taxes 19
Trading Across Borders 155
Enforcing Contracts 31
Overall Ranking – Ease of Doing Business 45
*All scores are comparative ranking out of 181 countries featured
Source: WorldBank Doing Business Report, 2012
Rwanda Compares Well in
University Enrolment for Region
21
Source: WorldBank Doing Business Report, 2012
The Rwandan Context for
Manufacturing Support
In the region, Rwanda
compares well on many of
the factors important to
manufacturers (e.g. GDP
growth, literacy, labor) Source: Karisimbi Business Partners Survey
Rwanda Manufacturing Labor Costs
(USD monthly gross salary)
The Government has clear plans to increase energy availability for industry.
By the mid 2013, we expect that methane gas, extracted from lake Kivu will
increase supply by 25 MW and double the national supply (100MW+) by the end of
2014
Additional investments are being made in hydro-electricity which will produce a
further 45 MW by 2014
DSI Energy Ltd. has plans for $73 million USD investment for a 30MW solar power
project
Recent investments in peat energy generation is expected to produce as much as
100 MW additional energy by 2015.
The above initiatives will enable the government to increase access to electricity to
meet the growing demand of industrial users while expanding domestic supplies.
Current industrial rates per KWH are shown in the table below:
Electricity Supplies are
Growing with Energy Demands
23
Time RWF USD
07.00 - 17.00 126 0.20
17.00 - 23.00 168 0.27
23.00 - 07.00 96 0.15
Next Steps
Contact an RDB representative to register your interest and gain added detail
Work with Government of Rwanda stakeholders and agencies to improve conditions for your pending success
Craft detailed business plan
Seize the benefits of being Rwanda’s first manufacturer of wire and cable products