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Slide 2 A Demographic Profile of California: The Challenge to Equity and TRIO Professionals A Case Study Dr. Howard Wray California State University, Long Beach COE Annual Conference September 2005 Slide 3 Factors Affecting College Enrollment of Underrepresented Students at CSULB Significant increases in underrepresented groups in the California and LA county Shifts in population areas Gaps in educational opportunities between underrepresented and represented groups Slide 4 Demographics Slide 5 California Slide 6 Source: California Department of Education, Educational Demographics Unit CALIFORNIA STATE UNIVERSITY, LONG BEACH CSULB Californias Population Size CSULB 36.8 million 14 million larger than the next size state (Texas) One of eight Americans calls California home. Slide 7 Californias Population Growth Californias growth last year was at the slowest pace since the recession of the 1990s. Nonetheless, the state grew by more than half a million people for the sixth straight year in 2004. Past fifty years, population has more than tripled. For the past decade, the number of new Californians each year would be the size of the City of Long Beach (450,000+) By 2020, population is projected to reach 42-50 million Slide 8 6.9 15.9 23.8 33.9 45.5 63.0 Californias Population, 1940-2040 (in millions) Source: California Department of Finance Slide 9 Californias Diversity 2000 Population 47% White 33% Hispanic/Latino 11% Asian/Pacific Islander 7% African American 3% Other 5% Multi-Racial (not included in total) Increasingly multi-ethnic Multi-racial/ethnic births is the third largest category in California (17%) following Latinos (42%) and White (20%) Slide 10 Racial/Ethnic Composition of California Newborns, 1997 Source: California Department of Health Services Slide 11 Students Enrolled in California K-12 Public Schools, 2002-03 45% 11% 8% 34% Source: RAND Education: Californias K-12 Public Schools Slide 12 The Linguistic Landscape of Californias Schools Slide 13 Californians by Place of Birth, 1990 Slide 14 California K-12 Percentage of English Learners Source: California Department of Education Slide 15 Poverty in California Slide 16 In 1970, 1.9 million people were poor in California. By 2000, the number of poor had more than doubled to 4.37 million. Since 2000, poverty rates in California continue to increase and remain higher than the rest of the nation. Slide 17 Poverty Rates Adjusted by Housing Costs, California and the Rest of the Nation, 1996-2003 Source: Public Policy Institute of California Slide 18 Poverty and Californias Children The highest in the percentage of children living in poverty 19% or roughly 1.75 million children. If there were a city containing only Californias poor under the age of 18, it would be the third largest city in the state. Slide 19 Child Well-Being Children below poverty Children living in high poverty areas Children below poverty Children living in high poverty areas 18.2 19.5 23.4 29.6 18.3 16.6 23 20.4 California United States Slide 20 Ethnic Composition of All California Children and Those Living in Poverty Slide 21 Regional Poverty Rates in California, 2000 Source: Public Policy Institute of California Slide 22 Educational Opportunity in California Slide 23 Of Every 100 White Kindergartners in CA: Source: Oakland Unified School District. Slide 24 Of Every 100 Asian Kindergartners in CA: Slide 25 Of Every 100 African American Kindergartners in CA: Slide 26 Of Every 100 Latino Kindergartners in CA: Slide 27 First in Population Among States Second in African American Population First in Latino Population: 1 in 3 Latino children in U.S. live in California First in Asian population: 1 in 2 Asian children in the U.S. live in California One of every four Californians is an immigrant Without immigration, Californias population would decline California Demographics Slide 28 California ranks 50 th among all states in the drop-off between the share of Latinos and African Americans in the 18-year-old population and the share of undergraduate degrees awarded to students in those ethnic groups. Slide 29 Los Angeles County Slide 30 Los Angeles County is.. The largest metropolitan area in the nation with over 10 million residents, 3% of the nation. 27% of the population are children and teens under age 18. Over half of residents (56%) speak a language other than English at home. Five of the top ten occupations in the number of new jobs pay less than poverty level wages. One-third of those in poverty are working poor. Slide 31 Los Angeles County Racial/Ethnic Breakdown 1940-2000 Source: Lewis Center for Regional and Policy Studies, University of California, Los Angeles Slide 32 Slide 33 Slide 34 Slide 35 Slide 36 Slide 37 Slide 38 Slide 39 Population of 461,522 within 50 square miles Fifth largest city in California 1970- 90% white Designated as the most diverse major city in the nation Hispanic/Latino35.8% White33.1% African American14.5% Asian13.2% 70,000 families live at or below poverty Long Beach Demographics Slide 40 One-third of population speak limited English As many as 65 languages spoken in LB schools Second highest in LA County in hate crimes committed by youth Seventh largest gay/lesbian population in the U.S. Largest Cambodian community outside of Cambodia Fifth largest senior population in the nation Long Beach Demographics (cont.) Slide 41 California Public High School Graduates Completing All Courses Required for UC and/or CSU Entrance Source: California Department of Education, Educational Demographics Unit CALIFORNIA STATE UNIVERSITY, LONG BEACH CSULB Tidal Wave II CSULB Slide 42 Los Angeles/Orange County Public High School Graduates Completing All Courses Required for UC and/or CSU Entrance CSULB Tidal Wave II CALIFORNIA STATE UNIVERSITY, LONG BEACH Source: California Department of Education, Educational Demographics Unit CSULB Slide 43 Tidal Wave II: CSU Enrollment Projections 37% increase by 2010 Source: National Center for Public Policy and Higher Education CSULB CALIFORNIA STATE UNIVERSITY, LONG BEACH CSULB Tidal Wave II 2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 CSULB Slide 44 Falling Short: If current trends continue, Californias workforce in 2020 may require more highly educated workers than the state can provide. Source: Public Policy Institute of Calif. Slide 45 Why? The best-educated Californians will be amongst the oldest, as baby boomers head to retirement. The greatest growth in the state will be among Latinos, who tend to be concentrated at younger ages and tend to have low levels of educational attainment. Slide 46 California State University, Long Beach The Big Challenge Slide 47 Slide 48 Slide 49 Competitive Admissions Started in 2002 to decrease enrollment by establishing higher admission criteria than the CSU index. Slide 50 TRIO Concerns What impact would competitive admissions have on: Low-income students First-generation college students Underrepresented students Slide 51 6-Year Graduation Rates SSS Eligible Students26% CSULB44% SSS Participants55% Slide 52 TRIO and Equity Request Representation on the Presidential Advisory Group Inform schools, students, parents, and boarder community regarding policy changes Admit target school students using the local CSU index Establish Alternative Admissions criteria Slide 53 Slide 54 Slide 55 Slide 56 Slide 57 Slide 58 Alternate Admissions Started in 2003 Designed to provide admission consideration to CSU eligible applicants based on economic or educational disadvantage. Target schools from the extended area. Slide 59 Preliminary Results Decrease in FTF Admitted Alternative Admission Students Increase in Latino Enrollment Increase in Low-income students Increase in First-generation college students Decrease in African American Enrollment Slide 60 CSULB First-Time Freshmen Enrollments CSULB Headcount Enrollment CALIFORNIA STATE UNIVERSITY, LONG BEACH CSULB Enrollment Trends CSULB Slide 61 Alternative Admissions Fall 2003 Admitted 175Enrolled75 Fall 2004 Admitted175Enrolled 119 Fall 2005 Admitted 175Enrolled (No Data) Slide 62 Latino Enrollment CSULB 200021.2% 200121.8% 200221.0%Competitive Admissions 200322.3% 200423.1% Slide 63 First Generation College Students Percent Freshmen 2002 Percent Freshment 2004 22%25% Slide 64 Low Income Percent Freshmen 2002 Percent Freshmen 2004 14%21% Slide 65 African American Enrollment CSULB 20006.6% 20016.4% 20026.0% Year of Competitive Admissions 20035.9% 20045.8% Slide 66 The class remains ethnically diverse: 33% White, 23% Latino, 21% Asian/PI, 5.8% Black, 17.2% Other The percentage of low-income students increased to 24%. The percentage of first generation college students increased to 25%. The percentage of Latino students increased to 23% CSULB 2004 Freshman Class Profile Slide 67 Affirming Equity and Opportunity at CSULB Affirming the importance of access and opportunity Reaffirming an equity agenda Affirming our role as advocates and change agents Slide 68