a brief analysis of customer’s financial statement: case ... · in mvp to fulfill market demand...
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A Brief Analysis of Customer’s Financial Statement:
Case of PT Orange Bird TbkYour Name here – Your Participant Number Here
Danamon Bankers Trainee Candidate 2019
• PT Orange Bird is a Taxi and Land Passanger Transportation Company. In order to purchase new gas & electric fleets, PT Orange Bird needs new credit facility.
• After their initial meeting with Bank X, the managements of PT Orange Bird gives their financial report for the last 4 years.
• This presentation would show how i briefly analyse potential customer’s financial statements before proceed to further credit appraisal analysis.
Strength
Early mover advantage
Strong brand &
reputation
Operator based model
Rapid expansionWeakness
High operating cost
Limited flexibility in
pricing (strictly regulated)
Lack of digital strategy &
resources
Opportunities
Ability to develop new
services in various cities
Continued expansion for
digital based sales
Collaboration accross
industriesThreats
Changes in regulations can
impact the business
Rising competition from ride-
hailing services
Shifting of consumers towards
convenience creates huge
demand
Revenue growth slower since 2014 (yoy).
Direct, operating, and depreciation expenses’ margin reached its highest in 2017.
ORANGE still shows positive figures on its profit margins.
ORANGE profitability is above average compared to similar businesses.
An increasing interest coverage ratio indicates that ORANGE able to pay its debts in the future.
2014 2015 2016 2017 Avg Min Max
Revenues Growth 21,37% 14,99% -12,36% -12,35% -0,40% -13,34% 12,83%
% Percentage to Revenues
Direct cost -56,25% -57,18% -56,94% -58,10%
GROSS PROFIT 43,75% 42,82% 43,06% 41,90% 26,22% 10,68% 36,31%
Operating exp. -8,05% -8,70% -11,16% -12,95%
EBITDA 35,70% 34,13% 31,89% 28,94% 17,26% -3,57% 42,02%
Depreciation exp. -13,57% -12,69% -15,06% -15,44%
EBIT 22,13% 21,44% 16,83% 13,50% -0,17% -28,73% 18,20%
Interest expense -5,94% -4,03% -4,44% -3,16%
Others 4,54% 2,78% 2,04% 3,03%
PRE-TAX PROFIT 20,73% 20,19% 14,42% 13,37% 9,37% -27,44% 59,66%
Income tax exp -5,18% -6,14% -4,60% -3,20%
NET PROFIT 15,55% 14,05% 9,83% 10,17% 4,93% -28,99% 43,91%
EBITDA to Interest 6,01 x 8,47 x 7,18 x 9,17 x -10,88 x -41,25 x 9,17 x
ROE 20,53% 17,76% 10,11% 8,67% 12,27% -14,17% 40,23%
ROA 10,32% 10,75% 6,46% 6,56% -1,26% -23,06% 18,32%
IndustryBlue Bird TbkOrange Bird Tbk
Debt to equity ratio shows opportunity to grow through debt.
Bank loan significantly reduced by early repayment & routine installment. Early repayment of 600 bio was done to
lower interest expense & leverage ratio in the midst of slow revenue’s growth.
DSCR declined since 2014 and reached 0,86 in 2016, but return to 1,31 in 2017.
ORANGE shows better performance compared to other companies.
stated in Rp billion 2014 2015 2016 2017
Cash and cash equivalents 951 271 592 474
Others current assets 1.221 566 1.021 771
Total Current Assets 2.171 837 1.613 1.245
Fixed assets 5.563 6.196 6.046 5.606
Others noncurrent assets 387 391 233 140
Total Noncurrent assets 5.950 6.587 6.279 5.745
TOTAL ASSETS 8.122 7.424 7.892 6.990
Current portion of LT bank loan 432 488 658 269
Other current liabillities 1.008 476 156 167
Total current liabilities 1.441 965 814 436
LT bank loan 1.314 1.281 1.186 495
Other noncurrent liabillities 813 579 638 655
Total noncurrent liabilities 2.128 1.860 1.824 1.150
TOTAL LIABILITIES 3.568 2.825 2.638 1.586
Total Equity 3.603 4.328 4.663 4.931
TOTAL LIABILITS & EQUITY 7.172 7.153 7.301 6.516
Avg Min Max
Current ratio 1,51 x 0,87 x 1,98 x 2,86 x 0,70 x 0,10 x 1,18 x
Debt to equity 0,99 x 0,65 x 0,57 x 0,32 x 0,78 x 0,12 x 2,38 x
Debt service coverage 1,34 x 1,20 x 0,86 x 1,31 x 0,10 x -1,25 x 1,31 x
Industry
CF from operation hit its lowest in 2017 due to competition.
The acquisition rate slowed but ORANGE expects to purchase big number of fleets in 2018
ORANGE made early payment and no withdrawal in 2017. Thus, obtaining new credit facility is necessary to continue expansion.
In the end of 2017, ORANGE had Rp474 bio cash, lower compared to 2016.
ORANGE ability to pay off all its outstanding debt using its operating cash has broken its records at 1,53 years.
in Rp billion 2014 2015 2016 2017
Cash receipts 4.833 5.517 4.863 4.267
Cash payments (3.686) (4.041) (3.709) (3.233)
Nett CF from Operation 1.147 1.476 1.155 1.034
Proceeds from sale of NC assets 383 353 364 380
Acquisition of fixed assets (2.282) (1.729) (901) (299)
Nett CF for Investment (1.899) (1.377) (537) 82
Share issuance & IPO 2.447 - - -
Payment of bank loans (1.877) (1.511) (688) (1.080)
Proceed of bank loans 1.211 1.153 562 -
Dividends payment (345) (504) (171) (153)
Nett CF for Financing 1.436 (863) (297) (1.233)
Nett Increase (Decrease) in Cash 684 (764) 320 (118)
Cash at the beginning of the year 267 951 271 592
Cash at the end of the year 951 187 592 474
Operating CF to Debt ratio (yrs) 3,11 1,91 2,28 1,53
For ORANGE
• To extend collaborations with different platforms and industries
• To have solid digital base and strategy
• To have positive revenue growth and lower direct & operating cost
• To purchase new cars focusing in MVP to fulfill market demand
• To obtain new credit facility with competitive rate in order to acquire new fleets
For BANK X
• Despite low performance in 2017, ORANGE still has repayment capacity.
• Based on its history, ORANGE’s management has intention and dedication to pay back the loan.
• Bank X needs to conduct in-dept term loan appraisal.
• Overall, based on this simple analysis, ORANGE is worthy of new credit facility.