9m results 2014 - press presentation
DESCRIPTION
presentation of quarterly results to the pressTRANSCRIPT
9M Periodical Financial Information/ Press
2014 RESULTS
Strong Q3 in Life
& Non-Life
Group net result
driven by Insurance – Q3 positive on RPN(I)
Shareholders’
equity up to
almost EUR 10
billion
Insurance net profit of EUR 579 million (+16%) – Q3 EUR 239 million
Gross inflows @ 100% of EUR 19.5 billion (+10%) – Q3 EUR 5.7 billion
Non-Life Combined ratio at 99.6% (vs.97.0%) – Q3 at 94.8%
Life Operating margin at 0.84% (vs.0.80 %) – Q3 at 0.82%
Life Technical Liabilities at EUR 72.7 billion* (+5% vs. FY 13)
Group net profit of EUR 282 million (-45%) – Q3 EUR 251 million
General Account net result of EUR (297) million – Q3 EUR 12 million
Shareholders’ equity at EUR 9.9 billion or EUR 44.75 per share
!! Unrealised Gains/Losses up to EUR 2.6 billion, EUR 11.28 per share
Insurance solvency at 214%, Group solvency at 206%
Net cash position General Account at EUR 1.5 billion
Main messages Ageas posts strong 9M Insurance results
Periodic financial Information Press I 9M 14 Results I 5 November 2014 1
* Consolidated entities only
Gross inflows @ 100% Growth driven by China, Thailand & Luxembourg
Periodic financial Information Press I 9M 14 Results I 5 November 2014 2
EUR mio 9M 13 9M 14 9M 13 9M 14 9M 13 9M 14
Belgium 75% 2,996 2,907 (3%) 1,425 1,461 2% 4,422 4,368 (1%)
United Kingdom 79 100 26% 1,669 1,746 5% 1,748 1,846 6%
Consolidated entities 79 100 26% 1,269 1,333 5% 1,348 1,432 6%
Non-consolidated JV's 400 414 3% 400 414 Tesco 50% 400 414 3% 400 414 0% 0 0
Continental Europe 2,871 3,475 21% 800 813 2% 3,671 4,288 17%
Consolidated entities 1,358 1,225 (10%) 335 351 5% 1,693 1,576 (7%)
Portugal 51% - 100% 1,087 946 (13%) 190 201 5% 1,278 1,147 (10%)
France 100% 271 279 3% 271 279 3%
Italy 25% 144 151 144 151 Non-consolidated JV's 1,513 2,250 49% 465 462 1,978 2,712 37%
Turkey (Aksigorta) 36% 465 462 465 462 Luxembourg (Cardif Lux Vie) 33% 1,513 2,250 49% 1,513 2,250 49%0
Asia 7,327 8,363 14% 598 600 0% 7,926 8,963 13%
Consolidated entities 341 341 (0%) 341 341 (0%)
Hong Kong 100% 341 341 (0%) 341 341 (0%)
Non-consolidated JV's 6,986 8,023 15% 598 600 0% 7,585 8,623 14%
Malaysia 31% 479 412 (14%) 437 430 (2%) 917 842 (8%)
Thailand 31%-15% 1,133 1,309 16% 161 170 6% 1,294 1,479 14%
China 25% 5,287 6,221 18% 5,287 6,221 18%
India 26% 87 81 (7%) 87 81 (7%)
Ageas 13,274 14,846 12% 4,493 4,620 3% 17,767 19,465 10%#DIV/0! ###### ######
Consolidated entities 4,775 4,573 (4%) 3,029 3,145 4% 7,804 7,718 (1%)
Non-consolidated JV's 8,499 10,273 21% 1,464 1,475 1% 9,963 11,748 18%
Life Non-Life Total
Belgium
UK
CEU
Asia
Total Ageas
Life Non-Life
Life Non-Life
Life Non-Life
Life Non-Life
Life Non-Life
Gross inflows @ Ageas’s part Strong growth in emerging markets, hampered by foreign exchange impact
In EUR million
Periodic financial Information Press I 9M 14 Results I 5 November 2014 3
2,247 2,181
79 100 1,330 1,511
2,178 2,443
5,834 6,234
1,069 1,096
1,470 1,540
301 338
159 158
2,999
3,132
(1%)
6%13%
11%
6%
3,316 3,276
1,549 1,640 1,630 1,849
2,337 2,601
8,833
9,366
9M 13 9M 14 9M 13 9M 14 9M 13 9M 14 9M 13 9M 14 9M 13 9M 14
Insurance net result Further up despite negative foreign exchange impact, all segments up except UK
Belgium
UK
CEU
Asia
Total Ageas
Life Non-Life
Life Non-Life Other
Life Non-Life
Life Non-Life
Life Non-Life Other
12 26 12 26
190
282
(2)
2 36 35
87 123
311
442
57
39
77 52 26 8
14
12
174
112
247
321
87 80
63 43
101
135
497
579
9M 13 9M 14 9M 13 9M 14 9M 13 9M 14 9M 13 9M 14 9M 13 9M 14
In EUR million
Periodic financial Information Press I 9M 14 Results I 5 November 2014 4
12 269M 13 9M 14
Other Life Non-Life
3 20
55
63
Q3 13 Q3 14
4.54.6
9M 13 9M 14
Life Non-Life
3.8 4.2
1.41.5
5.3 5.7
Q3 13 Q3 14
9M 13 9M 14 Q3 13 Q3 14 9M 13 9M 14 Q3 13 Q3 14 9M 13 9M 14 Q3 13 Q3 14
Net result: Q3 supported by cap gains & legal settlement in UK In EUR million In EUR billion
Non-Life combined ratio: recovering from floods & storms, solid Q3
Gross inflows*: strong growth in Asia & CEU
In EUR billion
Total Insurance: Headlines Strong 9M results – Excellent Q3
Periodic financial Information Press I 9M 14 Results I 5 November 2014 5
Life Technical liabilities up both in conso & non conso
Operating margin Guaranteed: strong margin in Belgium
Operating margin Unit-linked: lower fee income in Portugal
In % avg technical liabilities In % avg technical liabilities
311 442110 156
174
112497
579
168
239
13.3 14.8
17.8
19.5
97.0% 99.6% 97.3% 94.8% 0.87% 0.98% 0.85% 0.96%
0.47%
0.20%
0.56%
0.22%
* incl. non-consolidated partnerships @ 100%
In % NEP
69.2 72.0 72.7
40.941.8 50.0
FY 13 6M 14 9M 14
Conso Non-conso
113.8110.1122.7
9M 13 9M 149M 13 9M 14
Periodic financial Information Press I 9M 14 Results I 5 November 2014 6
In EUR million In EUR
billion
In EUR billion
Belgium : Headlines Strong 9M performance; Q3 incl. EUR 59 million benefit from real estate transactions
In % avg technical liabilities
In % avg technical liabilities
39
9M 13 9M 14
Life Non-Life
6895
19
33
Q3 13 Q3 14
3.0 2.9
1.4 1.5
4.4 4.4
9M 13 9M 14
Life Non-Life
0.9 0.8
0.4 0.4
1.3 1.3
Q3 13 Q3 14
Q3 13 Q3 14
In % NEP
Q3 13 Q3 149M 13 9M 14Q3 13 Q3 14
97.6% 101.9% 97.9% 94.4%
0.40%0.51%
0.32%
0.44%0.98%0.85%0.98%0.84%
190282
57
247
321
87
* incl. non-consolidated partnerships @ 100%
129
53,2 55,5 56,1
FY 13 6M 14 9M 14
Net result: solid Q3 supported by real estate trans & strong Non-Life
Gross inflows stable. Trend similar to previous quarters
Life Technical liabilities: mostly up on Unrealised Gains/Losses
Operating margin Guaranteed: above target; mainly benefit real estate
Non-Life combined ratio: recovering from June hailstorm; excellent Q3
Operating margin Unit-Linked: recovery to 0.32% from a low Q2
9M 13 9M 14
In EUR million
United Kingdom: Headlines Continued strong recovery in Q2 & Q3
Periodic financial Information Press I 9M 14 Results I 5 November 2014
(2) 212
26
7752
8780
9M 13 9M 14
Life Other Non-Life
Q3 13 Q3 14
96.9% 99.3%98.0% 96.6%
In EUR billion
In % NEP In EUR million
0.1 0.1
1.7 1.7
1.7 1.8
9M 13 9M 14
Life Non-Life
0.0 0.00.6 0.6
0.6 0.6
Q3 13 Q3 14
9M 13 9M 14
5981
Q3 13 Q3 14
181 209
* incl. non-consolidated partnerships @ 100%
(0) 1
320
26
2729
48
Q3 13 Q3 14
7
Net result: Legal settlement (EUR 23
million) helps offset weather impact (EUR 36 million)
Gross inflows* up 6%, flat excluding FX
Non-Life combined ratio: below 100% after solid Q2 & Q3
Other Income: incl. legal settlement (EUR 23 million – EUR 17 million in Q3)
Net profit declined due to strengthening reserves in Turkey vs one-off in 9M 13
In EUR million In EUR billion
Excellent Non-Life combined ratio further improved in A&H and Motor
227%
Gross inflows*: strong sales in Luxembourg
In EUR billion
Continental Europe: Headlines Lower result in Turkey drives net profit CEU down
**
Operating margin Guaranteed: lower U/W & investment margin
Periodic financial Information Press I 9M 14 Results I 5 November 2014 8
In % avg technical liabilities
Operating margin Unit-Linked: lower fee income in Portugal In % avg technical liabilities
36 35
26
8
63
43
9M 13 9M 14
Life Non-Life
117
6
17
5
Q3 13 Q3 14
2.93.5
0.8
0.83.7
4.3
9M 13 9M 14
Life Non-Life
1.0 1.2
0.20.2
1.31.5
Q3 13 Q3 14
9M 13 9M 14 Q3 13 Q3 14 9M 13 9M 14 Q3 13 Q3 14 9M 13 9M 14 Q3 13 Q3 14
94.5% 90.7%92.4% 89.3%
0.89% 0.69% 0.79% 0.46%0.56%
0.11%
0.64%
In % NEP
* incl. non-consolidated partnerships @ 100%
13.9 14.2 14.2
15.0 15.9 16.9
28.9 30.1 31.1
FY 13 6M 14 9M 14
Conso Non-conso
(0.01%)
Life Technical liabilities up 7% driven by Luxembourg
14
12
9M 13 9M 14
Life Non-Life
14
12
9M 13 9M 14
Life Non-Life
Net result: business growth & good financial performance In EUR million In EUR billion
Non-Life combined ratio improved reflecting solid underwriting
Gross inflows growth fuelled by China & Thailand
Life Technical liabilities up across all entities In EUR
billion
Asia: Headlines Strong profits supported by new business growth Life
Periodic financial Information Press I 9M 14 Results I 5 November 2014 9
**
In % avg technical liabilities In EUR million
Life operating margin Hong Kong: up on increased investment margin
Result non-conso partnerships:new business growth & financial result
7.38.4
0.6
0.67.9 9.0
9M 13 9M 14
Life Non-Life
1.9 2.1
0.20.22.12.3
Q3 13 Q3 14
Q3 13 Q3 149M 13 9M 14Q3 13 Q3 149M 13 9M 14
94.8%89.9%
95.9%
91.4%
1.41% 1.73%
1.22%
2.20%
87 123
101
135
79 111
93
123
In % NEP
* incl. non-consolidated partnerships @ 100%
30
47
4
4
34
51
Q3 13 Q3 14
31
534
4
35
57
Q3 13 Q3 14
2.0 2.1 2.3
25.9 25.9
33.1
27.9 28.0
35.4
FY 13 6M 14 9M 14
Conso Non-conso
9M 13 9M 14
Q3 13 Q3 14
Q3 13 Q3 14
Net result driven by revaluation RPN(i), positive in Q3 In EUR million
Accounting value of remaining legacies
General Account: Headlines Impacted by revaluation RPN(I) liability & legal provision
Periodic financial Information Press I 9M 14 Results I 5 November 2014 10
Accounting value put option
In EUR million In EUR
million
9M 13 9M 14
1.91.6 1.5
FY 13 6M 14 9M 14
(297)
RPN(I): positive in Q3 following lower price CASHES
Staff & Operating expenses down
Net cash position: decrease driven by distribution to shareholders
13 14
20 16
33 31
9M 13 9M 14
Staff Operating
In EUR million
In EUR million In EUR billion
(370)
(527) (494)
37 29 30
(130)(130)
FY 13 6M 14 9M 14
RPN(i) RPI FortisEffect
5 5
85
13
10
Q3 13 Q3 14
(124)
(108)
33
1,255 1,2821,443
FY 13 6M 14 9M 14
15(127) 12
(114)
1,913
1,517
(309)
(159)(7) (85)
(9) (126)(87)385 -
FY 13 dividend sharebuy-back
CASHES& FRESH
investmentin liquidassets
upstream capitalrestructuring
M&A other 9M 14
Periodic financial Information Press I 9M 14 Results I 5 November 2014 11
Net cash position General Account at EUR 1.5 billion Incoming cash partly returned to shareholders, partly invested in business
EUR 126 million invested in acquisition of remaining 49% in Portuguese Non-Life activities
EUR 1.4 dividend par share paid out in May 2014
– paid dividend & holding costs compensated by dividend upstream from operating companies on FY basis
EUR 159 million share buy-back executed in 9M 14, EUR 125 million from 2013 SBB, EUR 34 million from 2014
SBB
– total of EUR 147 million as per 01/11/2014
Around EUR 140 million of liquid assets with original maturity longer than 1 year are not included in net cash
position
In EUR bn
Periodic financial Information Press I 9M 14 Results I 5 November 2014 12
Status on various legal procedures
Timing & (financial) outcome remains hard to estimate
2014 expected next steps
Brussels Commercial Court re Sep/Oct 2008 transactions (Modrikamen) – interim judgement on procedural matters expected – pleadings on the merits in 2015
February 11
Claim re FRESH hybrid
instrument dismissed by
Brussels Court
Sep- Dec 10
Ageas starts legal procedure against Dutch
State & Abillion AMRO to obtain
compensation in return for conversion MCS
(Mandatory Convertible Securities) into
Ageas’ shares
Age
as initia
tor
Aga
inst A
ge
as
February 12
billionP P tender for CASHES & subsequent
conversion into Ageas shares – partial
settlement of RPN/RPN(I) – call Fortis Bank
Tier 1 Debt Securities
February 12
Utrecht court re
communication Q2 2008
in favour of plaintiffs,
appeal filed
March 12
Brussels Commercial Court
rules in favour of Ageas in
MCS-case, appeal filed
2011 2012 2009... 2010 ...
December 13
Supreme Court rejects appeal against
judgement Ondernemingskamer re
mismanagement mainly in favour of
plaintiffs
June 12
Agreement with Abillion AMRO to settle
legal proceedings concerning FCC &
MCS, closing all outstanding disputes
with Dutch State
2013
June 13
Fine imposed by
FSMA, appeal filed
February 14
Trade & Industry Appeals Tribunal
renders final judgment on AFM II
in favour of Ageas
2014
March 14
T&I A Tribunal
rejects appeal
in AFM I
July 14
Amsterdam Court of
Appeal judges partly in
favour of plaintiffs; appeal
filed before Supreme
Court
Periodic financial Information Press I 9M 14 Results I 5 November 2014 13
Shareholders structure
Based on number of shares as at 01 November 2014
Based upon press release 4 August 2014
Based upon the number of shares mentioned in the notification received 6 May 2013
Based upon the number of shares mentioned in the notification received 2 June 2014
Based upon the number of shares mentioned in the notification received 5 August 2014
Based upon the number of shares mentioned in the notification received 22 July 2013
Based upon the number of shares mentioned in the notification received 20 August 2012
Estimate by
Estimate by
Ageas3.63%
Ping An
BlackRock, Inc.
Schroders
Franklin Mutual Advisers
Norges Bank Identified retail investors
16%
Identified institutional investors
41%
Other investors20%
Periodic financial Information Press I 9M 14 Results I 5 November 2014 14
Financial calendar 2014 - 2015
12 February
Annual results
2013
8 May
3M 2015
results
29 April
Ordinary & Extraordinary
shareholders’ meeting - Brussels
6 May
Ex date
6 March
Annual report
2013
8 May
Payment 2013
dividend
5 August
6M 2015
results
4 November
9M 2015
results
5 November
9M 2014
results
Strong operational & financial performance in Q3
Shareholders’ equity historically high due to low interest rate
environment
Diligent execution of share buy-back
Conclusions: positive trend continued
Periodic financial Information Press I 9M 14 Results I 5 November 2014 15
Periodic financial Information Press I 9M 14 Results I 5 November 2014 16
Disclaimer
Certain of the statements contained herein are statements of
future expectations and other forward-looking statements that are
based on management's current views and assumptions and
involve known and unknown risks and uncertainties that could
cause actual results, performance or events to differ materially
from those expressed or implied in such statements. Future actual
results, performance or events may differ materially from those in
such statements due to, without limitation, (i) general economic
conditions, including in particular economic conditions in Ageas’s
core markets, (ii) performance of financial markets, (iii) the
frequency and severity of insured loss events, (iv) mortality and
morbidity levels and trends, (v) persistency levels, (vi) interest rate
levels, (vii) currency exchange rates, (viii) increasing levels of
competition, (ix) changes in laws and regulations, including
monetary convergence and the Economic and Monetary Union, (x)
changes in the policies of central banks and/or foreign
governments and (xi) general competitive factors, in each case on
a global, regional and/or national basis. In addition, the financial
information contained in this presentation, including the pro forma
information contained herein, is unaudited and is provided for
illustrative purposes only. It does not purport to be indicative of
what the actual results of operations or financial condition of
Ageas and its subsidiaries would have been had these events
occurred or transactions been consummated on or as of the dates
indicated, nor does it purport to be indicative of the results of
operations or financial condition that may be achieved in the
future.