#9 new research on pedestrian and bicycle behavior: perceptions, attitudes, and habits - sanders
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Exploring Traffic Danger for Bicyclists
Initial Findings from a Recent Survey of Drivers and Bicyclists in the Bay Area
Rebecca Sanders, UC Berkeley Pro Walk Pro Bike
September 11, 2012
• Survey on perceived and actual bicycle danger • Findings: Detecting trends
– Cyclist groups worry about different safety issues
– Frequent cyclists’ worries related to near misses and actual collisions for self, friends, and family
– Infrequent cyclists slightly affected by personal experiences and those of friends and family
– Potential cyclists slightly affected by experiences of friends and family
– Near misses need more attention
– Support for bicycling associated with worries about cycling
Overview
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3
Methodology & Study Area
Image credit: Bay Area Air Quality Management District
• Internet survey • Convenience sample • 467 respondents (42% response rate) • Surveyed summer, 2011
95
226 74
30
14
3
2
7
Survey Population
4
Total (N=467) *Bay Area (N=4,496,326)
Age Range % %
18-24 6 9
25-34 36 15
35-44 18 15
45-54 21 15
55-64 16 12
65+ 4 12
Sex
Male 45 49
Female 54 51
Age Range and Sex Comparison of Survey and Bay Area Populations
Source: U.S. Census Summary File 1, Table QT-P1 Age Groups and Sex
Survey Population
5
Age Range
Non-cyclists (n=194)
%
Infrequent cyclists (n=171)
%
Frequent cyclists (n=102)
%
18-24 4 5 10
25-34 34 35 41
35-44 18 18 17
45-54 16 29 16
55-64 21 11 16
65+ 7 2 -
Survey Respondents by Age and Cycling Frequency
Chi-square significant p < 0.10
Survey Population
6
Survey Respondents by Sex and Cycling Frequency
Sex
Non-cyclists (n=194)
%
Infrequent cyclists (n=171)
%
Frequent cyclists (n=102)
%
Male 33 56 48
Female 64 43 51 Chi-square significant p < 0.000
Survey Population
7
Race/Ethnicity
Total (N=467)
%
*Bay Area (N=4,496,326)
%
Caucasian/White 59 50
Asian 15 23
African American/Black 5 9
Hispanic 5 22
Native American/Alaska Native - 1
Native Hawaiian/Pacific Islander 1 1
Other 7 10
Two or more races 4 6
Race and Ethnicity Comparison of Survey and Bay Area Populations
Source: U.S. Census Summary File 1, Table QT-P3 Race and Hispanic or Latino Origin
Survey Population
8
Race/Ethnicity
Non-cyclists (n=194)
%
Infrequent cyclists (n=171)
%
Frequent cyclists (n=102)
%
Caucasian/White 53 61 69
Asian 19 13 10
African American/Black 7 4 3
Hispanic 5 5 5
Native American/Alaska Native 1 - -
Native Hawaiian/Pacific Islander 1 2 1
Other* 8 8 6
Two or more races 5 5 4
Survey Respondents by Race/Ethnicity and Cycling Frequency
*Other included Indian and Middle Eastern Chi-square significant p < 0.10
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Survey Population
Annual HH Income
Total (N=467)
%
*Bay Area (N=4,496,326)
%
< $35k 15 22
$35k-$49k 10 11
$50k-$74k 19 16
$75k-$99k 13 13
$100k-$149k 18 18
$150k + 12 19
Income Comparison of Survey and Bay Area Populations
Source: 2010 American Community Survey, 5-Year Estimates, Table S-1901 Income in the Past 12 Months
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Survey Population
Annual HH Income
Non-cyclists (n=194)
%
Infrequent cyclists (n=171)
%
Frequent cyclists (n=102)
%
< $35k 15 12 17
$35k-$49k 12 9 8
$50k-$74k 19 19 20
$75k-$99k 13 13 13
$100k-$149k 14 22 20
$150k + 11 13 12
Survey Respondents by Income and Cycling Frequency
Chi-square not significant
Survey Results
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Percentage of Respondents who Feel Safe Traveling on Different Street Types
Non-cyclists (n=193)
%
Infrequent cyclists (n=171)
%
Frequent cyclists (n=102)
%
Total (N=466)
%
Residential
Bicycle* 71 78 83 76
Drive 89 91 89 90
Walk 89 95 96 93
Commercial
Bicycle 29 23 32 28
Drive 73 74 67 72
Walk* 76 81 85 80 * Significant difference at level of p < 0.10
Survey Results
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Percentage of Respondents who Feel Safe Traveling on Different Street Types
Non-cyclists (n=193)
%
Infrequent cyclists (n=171)
%
Frequent cyclists (n=102)
%
Total (N=466)
%
Residential
Bicycle* 71 78 83 76
Drive 89 91 89 90
Walk 89 95 96 93
Commercial
Bicycle 29 23 32 28
Drive 73 74 67 72
Walk* 76 81 85 80 * Significant difference at level of p < 0.10
Survey Results
13
Percentage of Respondents who Feel Safe Traveling on Different Street Types
Non-cyclists (n=193)
%
Infrequent cyclists (n=171)
%
Frequent cyclists (n=102)
%
Total (N=466)
%
Residential
Bicycle* 71 78 83 76
Drive 89 91 89 90
Walk 89 95 96 93
Commercial
Bicycle 29 23 32 28
Drive 73 74 67 72
Walk* 76 81 85 80 * Significant difference at level of p < 0.10
Survey Results
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The Extent to which Safety Concerns “Strongly Influence” Potential and Infrequent Cyclists, and “Always Worry” Frequent Cyclists
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
I'll be hit by an inattentive driver
Drivers will drive too fast near me
Drivers will drive too close to me
I'll be cut off while turning
I'll make a mistake and hurt myself or
others
I'll be hit by a car door
Drivers will be aggressive toward
me
Potential Cyclists (n=148) Infrequent Cyclists (n=168) Frequent Cyclists (n=94)
Survey Results
15
The Extent to which Safety Concerns “Strongly Influence” Potential and Infrequent Cyclists, and “Always Worry” Frequent Cyclists
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
I'll be hit by an inattentive driver
Drivers will drive too fast near me
Drivers will drive too close to me
I'll be cut off while turning
I'll make a mistake and hurt myself or
others
I'll be hit by a car door
Drivers will be aggressive toward
me
Potential Cyclists (n=148) Infrequent Cyclists (n=168) Frequent Cyclists (n=94)
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Survey Results The Extent to which Safety Concerns Have “Some Influence” on Potential and Infrequent Cyclists, and “Sometimes Worry” Frequent Cyclists
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
I'll be hit by an inattentive driver
Drivers will drive too fast near me
Drivers will drive too close to me
I'll be cut off while turning
I'll make a mistake and hurt myself or
others
I'll be hit by a car door
Drivers will be aggressive toward
me
Potential Cyclists (n=148) Infrequent Cyclists (n=168) Frequent Cyclists (n=94)
Survey Results Potentially Dangerous Incidents for Bicyclists – Bicyclists’ Self Report (n=273)
Incident Incidence
Cyclist was passed with fewer than 3 feet 65%
Driver blocked bike lane while waiting for someone or parking 54%
Driver/passenger opened car door and hit / almost hit cyclist 45%
Driver hit / almost hit cyclist while turning 41%
Driver honked / yelled at cyclist when s/he was not in the wrong 42%
Driver merged into lane and hit / almost hit cyclist 31%
Driver drove aggressively around cyclist 42%
Driver tried to beat cyclist to a turn and hit / almost hit him/her 23%
Driver blocked cyclist from merging into lane after cyclist signaled 25%
Survey Results Potentially Dangerous Incidents for Bicyclists – Bicyclists’ Self Report (n=273)
Incident Incidence Actually
hit?
Cyclist was passed with fewer than 3 feet 65% 2%
Driver blocked bike lane while waiting for someone or parking 54% 2%
Driver/passenger opened car door and hit / almost hit cyclist 45% 6%
Driver hit / almost hit cyclist while turning 41% 8%
Driver honked / yelled at cyclist when s/he was not in the wrong 42% 2%
Driver merged into lane and hit / almost hit cyclist 31% 4%
Driver drove aggressively around cyclist 42% 2%
Driver tried to beat cyclist to a turn and hit / almost hit him/her 23% 3%
Driver blocked cyclist from merging into lane after cyclist signaled 25% 1%
Survey Results Potentially Dangerous Incidents for Bicyclists – Bicyclists’ Self Report (n=273)
Incident Incidence Actually
hit? Incident :
Hit
Cyclist was passed with fewer than 3 feet 65% 2% 29
Driver blocked bike lane while waiting for someone or parking 54% 2% 37
Driver/passenger opened car door and hit / almost hit cyclist 45% 6% 8
Driver hit / almost hit cyclist while turning 41% 8% 5
Driver honked / yelled at cyclist when s/he was not in the wrong 42% 2% 23
Driver merged into lane and hit / almost hit cyclist 31% 4% 8
Driver drove aggressively around cyclist 42% 2% 23
Driver tried to beat cyclist to a turn and hit / almost hit him/her 23% 3% 8
Driver blocked cyclist from merging into lane after cyclist signaled 25% 1% 34
Survey Results
Influence of Collision and Near Miss Experiences on Worries about Safety
Related Collision Related Near Miss
Potential cyclist
(n=145)
Infrequent cyclist
(n=164)
Frequent cyclist (n=93)
Potentialcyclist
(n=145)
Infrequent cyclist
(n=164)
Frequent cyclist (n=93)
Worry about being cut off by a turning driver n/a * * n/a - *** Worry about being doored n/a - * n/a - *** Worry about drivers passing too close n/a - - n/a - * Worry about aggressive drivers n/a - - n/a - ***
Significance indicated at the following levels: * p ≤ 0.10; ** p ≤ 0.01; *** p ≤ 0.001
Survey Results
Influence of the Experiences of Friends and Family on Worries about Safety
You, friends, or family have crashed with a cyclist while driving
You, friends, or family have crashed with a driver while
bicycling
Potential cyclist
(n=145)
Infrequent cyclist
(n=164)
Frequent cyclist (n=93)
Potential cyclist
(n=145)
Infrequent cyclist
(n=164)
Frequent cyclist (n=93)
Worry about being cut off by a turning driver - - * - - ** Worry about being doored * - - * - * Worry about drivers passing too close - - - - * - Worry about making a mistake - - * - - *
Significance indicated at the following levels: * p ≤ 0.10; ** p ≤ 0.01; *** p ≤ 0.001
Survey Results
Significant correlation (p < 0.10) between support for bicycling in one’s city and the following worries about safety: 1. Worry about being hit by a car door 2. Worry about aggressive driving 3. Worry about drivers passing too close 4. Worry about making a mistake that could hurt oneself or
others 5. Worry about losing one’s balance
Limitations & Future Research
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• Systematic sample • Internet/email population not representative • Potential self-selection bias
• Trip Diary • Count “near misses” and hits • Recall bias
• Revised survey • Uniform scales
• Frequent cyclists consistently affected by personal experiences and those of friends and family
• Infrequent cyclists slightly affected by personal experiences and those of friends and family
• Potential cyclists – Slightly affected by experiences of friends and family
– Worried about different occurrences than frequent cyclists
– More worried than frequent cyclists about most encounters
• Near misses influential and pervasive
• Significant relationship between worries about safety and support for bicycling
Conclusions
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Next Steps
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• Detailed crash analysis of Bay Area • Exploration of attitudes, behaviors, and knowledge of
roadway laws and their relationship to • Perceived safety • Roadway design preferences
Thank you!
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