5g and deep fibre september 2019 peter curnow-ford
TRANSCRIPT
©Viatec Associates 2019
Agenda
• 5G – The hype
• What is it
• Timeline 2018 – 2025
• Operators – 5G
• 4G to 5G Transition
• 4G Advanced Pro
• Initial 5G Launch
• 5G Standalone
• Small Cell Options
• Neutral Host
• Summary
©Viatec Associates 2019
Bio
Peter Curnow-Ford
Partner & Founder at Viatec Associates
Senior 5G Advisor at 5G-Courses.com
Peter is the Founder and Managing Partner at Viatec Associates and its global business.
With 30+ years’ experience in global telecoms and IT, Peter founded Viatec Associates in
2002 to assist organisations with decision making in the cellular, satellite, and wireless
landscape. This includes device and handset management, thought leadership, 4G and
5G, spectrum use and acquisition, tower (cell site) development and funding, public
safety, transport connectivity, and cellular backhaul including small-cell strategies and
mmWave. Viatec has supported many Investment Banks, Private Equity, and Hedge Funds
on infrastructure investment.
5G largely figures in what Peter does - commercial strategy, value proposition,
investment, spectrum acquisition, Deep Fibre and infrastructure all required by 5G
Technology. He is currently engaged with UK Govt DCMS and their 5G Testbed & Trials
competitions and with several Local Enterprise Partnerships (LEPs) assisting them and
their local authorities on 5G funding and the rollout of 5G Private Networks.
Peter is a member of the techUK Communication Infrastructure Council and Board
Advisor to the UK Spectrum Policy Forum (where he was Chair of Spectrum Access and
Use for 5 years). He is a Board Member of the UK Fibre Connectivity Forum (UKFCF).
He is a regular conference speaker and has chaired several panel sessions at TMT Finance
M&A, 5G World, Small Cell World Summit and the Commonwealth Telecommunications
Organisation. He has also held Non-Exec roles in Plasma Antennas, Eisar, Bluenowhere,
Safetipay, etc, and is currently Board Advisor to Dahl Mobile Technology AB, ProtectMe,
NextPath, and Snr 5G Advisor to 5G-Courses.com.
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5G – Operators
UK & European Market:
• MNOs 4G deployment led for next 5 years (Virtualisation, Fibre, etc)• Early 5G trials – commercial in 2H ‘19• Government’s and Technology Vendors big drivers in Europe
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4G Advanced/Adv Pro – Fibre
• Centralised Switch centres/DCs
• Approx 60 to 70% backhaul is microwave
• Fibre backbone between DCs
• Limited fibre connected roof tops and towers
• Most all monopoles have ethernet or microwave
• Users consuming 3 to 6GB per month
• 300Mbps common on backhaul
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5G – Antenna - MIMO
Customers in Birmingham, Bristol, Cardiff, Glasgow, Liverpool, London and Manchester set to try out 5G
O2 is working with Nokia on two massive MIMO trials in Kings Cross and Marble Arch
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Initial 5G Launch – NSA - Fibre
• 5G radio added to existing 4G core and 4G transmission network
• Operators deciding on fibre strategy• Vodafone, keep 6 DCs but newly upgraded Red Stream network
• Three, moved from 6 to 21 DCs, decentralised each with own fibre ring connected to backbone ring
• EE, moving to BT Wholesale 1200 exchange centred fibre
• O2 – working with Vodafone
• Urban sites, fibred, min 1Gbps, upgradable to 10Gbps
• Microwave still dominant
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Is FTTP the same as Deep Fibre
• FTTP/H centred on • OR – existing BT exchanges
• Alt-Nets – Own termination points, leverage other backbone
• Capacity and structure• 26 million homes, mix of PON, GPON, Ethernet
• Deep Fibre• Centred on 38,500 towers, including roof tops = 47,000, sites
• Aggregated including shared sites – approx. 64,000 transmission end points
• Use Star and hub approach
• Fastest route to DCs
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5G Standalone – Fibre
• gNodeB direct connects to Core DC
• Control and User Plane – able to split off data
• 6GB/month => 98GB/month by 2025, peaks of 300GB+ per user
• Video dominant bandwidth consumer
• Transmission critical and expensive
• mmWave not included in above
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Small Cell – Fibre Options
• Currently limited deployment – 300Mbps backhaul typical
• mmWave 5G, 10Gbps per cell
• Small Cell Hotel• Existing challenge cost of cells and backhaul
• Hotel – use RRU and dark fibre
• 24Gbps or 40Gbps per cell
• Future eCPRI could drop this to 2.5Gbps per cell
• 10’s of cells per hotel
• Leverage street dig – lighting, fibre, EV power/charging
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Neutral Host – Edge Computing
• Two+, typically 4 Operators on single indoor network
• Owned by 3rd party or property owner/landlord
• Mix of own or operator 4G/5G radios
• Up to 10Gbps per operator into ‘net
• Edge computing – Data network
• Direct to I’net breakout
• Netflix 200TB / server
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Summary
• Current 4G needs 4 more years – Advanced Pro + fibre
• 5G NSA needs loads of fibre
• 5G Standalone needs truck loads of fibre
• FTTP rollout doesn’t help
• Small Cells need dark fibre at street level
• Edge Computing + Content = local fibre at tower
• Operators differing strategies
• Fibre Players need to step up
©Viatec Associates 2019
• Peter Curnow-Ford
• www.viatecassociates.com
• @wifiwired
Thank you