5.economic trends 5 june 2012

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    OBJECTIVE OF THE LECTURE

    Meaning and concept of saving and

    investment

    Saving performance in India

    Investment Trends

    Investment performance in India

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    SAVINGS

    SAVINGS

    Savings refer to the part of ones income which is

    not spent. It is a fact that most of the individuals

    do not spend the whole of the income earned by

    them. Therefore, the amount which is not spent

    by them becomes savings and Sources of

    Investment.

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    INVESTMENT

    Investment : DEFINTION

    AInvestment is an expenditure on

    increasing the Nations Stock of Capital

    goods like Building, Machines, Tools, Dams,

    Rail, Road etc.

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    INVESTMENT

    Investment refers to what has been added

    to the stock of capital goods in a year.

    Investment does not include the purchase of

    existing paper securities, bonds, debentures

    or equities etc, because they are only the

    mere transfer and do not add to the stock of

    capital goods.

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    Difference between

    Saving and Investment

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    Capital means the total stock of capital goods in

    existence while on the other hand investment

    refers to what has been added to the Stock of

    Capital goods in a year. As such investment is the

    amount by which Stock of capital of an Economy

    increases and it does not include the purchase of

    existing paper securities , bonds, debentures or

    equities etc.

    Difference between

    Saving and Investment

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    Relationship Between

    Saving and Investment

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    Savings and investment both make a

    singular process that is known as Capital

    Formation. Higher is the level of savings,

    higher will be the level of investment in the

    economy.

    Relationship between

    Saving and Investment

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    When the savings are used in the further

    production, that is the investment it is known

    as Capital Formation. In this same way, when

    the consumption in a country is less than the

    production, (both in aggregates) the surplus of

    production i.e, savings , than it is used in

    further production as Investment .

    Relationship between

    Saving and Investment

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    Let us represent the following terms

    symbolically,

    Y = INCOME

    C = CONSUMPTION

    S = SAVINGS

    I = INVESTMENT

    Relationship between

    Saving and Investment

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    It is a fact that in an economy, the total

    income will be equal to consumption plus

    savings and in this way the first equation

    may be

    Y = C + S

    Relationship between

    Saving and Investment

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    The income will be equal to the expenditure

    made on consumption goods and the

    expenditure made on investment. So the

    second equation will be

    Y = C + I

    Relationship between

    Saving and Investment

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    Y = C + S (I)

    Y = C + I (II)

    In the above two equation C is the

    common factor therefore it can be said

    that

    S = I

    Relationship between

    Saving and Investment

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    It can be concluded that if the savings are

    higher then there will be higher level of

    investment in the economy and vice versa.

    Each and every country particularly

    developing , try to raise its level of savings so

    that there must be higher level of investment to

    build up its capital sector.

    Relationship between

    Saving and Investment

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    SAVING PERFORMANCE

    IN INDIA

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    SAVING PERFORMANCE

    IN INDIAGross Domestic Savings : Overall Trend

    The Gross domestic savings (GDS) rate rose from

    around 9% in early 50s to 22% by end of 80s. The

    GDPs has continued to rise after liberalization. It rose

    from above 20% of GDP in the late 1980s to above

    24% in recent years, it has further increased to 32.4%

    in 2005-06, as it is clear from the following table.

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    SAVING PERFORMANCE IN INDIAGROSS DOMESTIC SAVINGS (AS % OF GDP AT CURRENT MARKET PRICES)

    YEAR GROSS DOMESTIC SAVINGS

    HOUSEHOLD

    SECTOR

    (2)

    PRIVATE

    CORPORATE

    SECTOR

    (3)

    PUBLIC

    SECTOR

    (4)

    TOTAL

    (2+3+4)

    1950-51 6.2 0.9 1.8 8.9

    1960-61 7.3 1.6 2.6 11.6

    1970-71 10.1 1.5 2.9 14.61980-81 13.8 1.6 3.4 18.9

    1990-91 19.3 2.7 1.1 23.1

    1999-00 21.1 4.5 -0.8 24.8

    2000-01 21.0 4.3 -1.9 23.4

    2001-02 21.8 3.7 -2.0 23.5

    2002-03 22.7 4.2 -0.6 26.4

    2003-04 23.8 4.7 1.2 29.7

    2004-05 21.6 7.1 2.4 31.1

    2005-06 22.3 8.1 2.0 32.4

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    SAVING PERFORMANCE IN INDIAGROSS DOMESTIC SAVINGS (AS % OF GDP AT CURRENT MARKET PRICES)

    YEAR GROSS DOMESTIC SAVINGS

    HOUSEHOLD

    SECTOR

    (2)

    PRIVATE

    CORPORATE

    SECTOR

    (3)

    PUBLIC

    SECTOR

    (4)

    TOTAL

    (2+3+4)

    1950-51 6.2 0.9 1.8 8.9

    1960-61 7.3 1.6 2.6 11.6

    1970-71 10.1 1.5 2.9 14.61980-81 13.8 1.6 3.4 18.9

    1990-91 19.3 2.7 1.1 23.1

    1999-00 21.1 4.5 -0.8 24.8

    2000-01 21.0 4.3 -1.9 23.4

    2001-02 21.8 3.7 -2.0 23.5

    2002-03 22.7 4.2 -0.6 26.4

    2003-04 23.8 4.7 1.2 29.7

    2004-05 21.6 7.1 2.4 31.1

    2005-06 22.3 8.1 2.0 32.4

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    INVESTMENT TRENDS

    Investment Trend

    The investment is divided into Private and Public .

    Private investment is further separated into

    corporate investment and Household investment.

    Most of the infrastructure investment is pubic

    investment because this is either a natural or legal

    public monopoly.

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    The public infrastructure investment include

    Agriculture

    Construction

    Electricity And Gas

    Communication, Railways

    Transport

    INVESTMENT TRENDS

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    The relationship between public and

    private investment is complementary.

    Infrastructure deficiencies hold back both

    private production and private investment.

    INVESTMENT TRENDS

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    Public investment :

    Pubic Investment is different economic activities is

    expected to yield differential rate of return. Investmenton health, education, nutrition etc. are not expected to

    generate any return in the immediate future. The

    benefits of these investment would be felt on the

    overall productivity of economy in the long run.

    INVESTMENT TRENDS

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    INVESTMENT

    PERFORMANCE IN INDIA

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    INVESTMENT TRENDS

    IN INDIATHE PUBLIC INVESTMENT (GROSS DOMESTIC CAPITALFORMATION IN PUBLIC SECTOR) AS A PERCENT OF GDP

    AT CURRENT MARKET PRICES INCREASED FROM 2.8%

    IN 1950-51 TO 8.2% IN 1965-66.

    PUBLIC INVESTMENT SLUMPED IN 1999-00 TILL ABOUT

    2003-04 BUT PRIVATE INVESTMENT CONTINUED TOBOOM STABLIZING THE TOTAL. AFTER LIBERALIZATION

    TOTAL INVESTMENT INCREASED FROM 26.3% IN 1990-

    91 TO 33.8% IN 2005-06

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    PRIVATE INVESTMENT INCREASED IN THE

    SAME PERIOD FROM 14.7% TO 23.6%

    INVESTMENT TRENDS

    IN INDIA

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    SAVING PERFORMANCE IN INDIAGROSS DOMESTIC CAPITAL FORMATION(AS % OF GDP AT CURRENT MARKET PRICES)

    YEAR GROSS DOMESTIC CAPITAL FORMATION

    PUBLICSECTOR

    PRIVATESECTOR

    ADJUSTEDTOTAL

    1950-51 2.8 7.7 8.7

    1960-61 6.9 7.8 14.4

    1970-71 6.4 9.4 15.4

    1980-81 8.4 10.3 20.3

    1990-91 9.3 14.7 26.3

    1999-00 7.1 16.1 24.3

    2000-01 7.1 15.8 24.0

    2001-02 6.3 16.1 23.72002-03 5.4 17.3 24.8

    2003-04 6.5 18.9 27.2

    2004-05 7.1 21.3 31.5

    2005-06 7.4 23.6 33.8

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    SUMMARY