5907415 epidemiology of noncommunicable diseases

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    Epidemiology of Non-

    Communicable Diseases

    Adora F. Mendoza-Abat, M.D., CFP

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    Definitions

    Environmental Epidemiology the studyof environmental factors that influence thedistribution of diseases in the human

    population

    Occupational Epidemiology the study of

    workplace exposures on the frequencyand distribution of diseases and injuries inthe population

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    Infectious Diseases Non-Infectious Diseases

    -Single necessary agent

    -Specific agent-diseaserelationship

    -Causes are relatively wellunderstood

    -Short incubation period

    -No single necessary agent

    - One-to-onecorrespondence betweenagent and disease very rare

    -Causes unknown,intervention usually based

    on risk factors

    -Long latency period

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    Infectious Diseases Non-Infectious Diseases

    -Single exposure usuallysufficient

    -Usually produce acute

    disease

    -Acquired immunity possible

    -Dx based on tests specificto disease agent

    -May require multipleexposure to same ormultiple agents

    -Most often produce

    chronic disease

    -Acquired immune unlikely

    -Dx often dependent onnonspecific symptoms ortest

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    Classification of Etiologic Agents orRisk Factors

    1. Environmental Factors that may AffectHealth

    A. Psychological Factors

    B. Biological Factors

    C. Chemical Factors

    D. Physical Factors E. Accidental Factors

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    Classificatn of Etiologic Agents or RiskFactors

    2. Environmental Components & Health Hazards

    Components Health Hazards

    Physical : air, water, soil,

    food, climate and weather,noise level, radiation level

    Social: work, transport,

    leisure, housing, family andcommunity

    Physical: heat and cold,radiation, noise

    Chemical: metals, chemicalsubstances

    Biological: microorganisms,

    flora and faunaSocial; culture/customs,interpersonal relations,social and politicalstructure, housing factors

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    Environmental Hazards

    1. Site and location (earthquakes, flood, wind,storms, drought)

    2. Biological (animal, insect, microbiological,vegetation)

    3. Chemical (poisons and toxins, allergens,irritants)

    4. Physical (vibration, radiation, forces and

    abrasion, humidity)5. Psychological (stress, boredom, anxiety,

    discomfort, depression)

    6. Sociological (overcrowding, isolation)

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    Uses of Environmental / OccupationalEpidemiology

    1. Identify etiologic factors2. Monitoring trends and changes on health

    consequences/impact

    3. Planning, management and evaluation ofprograms (projections and risk assessment)

    4. Communicate information regarding

    environmental hazards5. Basis for establishing safety standards or

    thresholds

    6. Others (eg. Elucidating mechanisms oftoxicity, describe dose-response relationships)

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    Causes of Under-recognition ofOccupational/Environmental Dse.

    1. Inherent difficulty in diagnosingoccupational diseases

    2. Difficulty in establishing cause and effectrelationships

    3. Lack/incomplete evaluation of chemicals forpotential toxicity

    4. Inadequate pre-market evaluation of newlydeveloped chemical substances

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    Causes of Under-recognition ofOccupational/Environmental Dse.

    5. Long latency between occupational /environmental exposure and onset of illness

    6. Lack of awareness among healthpractitioners about hazards found at work andin the environment

    7. Limited ability of many workers to providean accurate report of their toxic exposures

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    Causes of Under-recognition ofOccupational/Environmental Dse.

    8. Resistance of employers to recognize thework relatedness of a disorder because of

    possible litigations suits 9. Usually involves small group of people

    10. Lack of knowledge about many aspects of

    behavior of environmental pollutants 11. Potential difficulties in defining potential

    risks

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    Major Types of OccupationalDiseases

    1. Lung diseases

    2. Cancer

    3. Skin disorders 4. Infectious diseases

    5. Reproductive disorders

    6. Musculo-skeletal disorders 7. Severe traumatic injuries

    8. Hearing loss

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    Surveillance Activities in Environmental/ Occupational Epidemiology

    1. (Occupational) Hazard Surveillance

    a. Provides a means of assessing toxic

    occupational exposures to a population andthus of assessing risk

    b. Will identify chemicals in use, the industries

    and occupations where they are used, and theextent and magnitude of worker exposure

    c. Also provides a means of identifying changesin the patterns of exposure and of noting

    emerging toxic hazards

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    Surveillance Activities in Environmental /Occupational Epidemiology

    2. (Occupational) Disease Surveillance

    a. Provides a means of assessing the amount

    and types of occupational disease, time trendsand distribution according to geography,industry and occupation

    b. Can consist of 2 types of surveillance

    b.1. Biological monitoring

    b.2. Medical Screening

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    Biological Monitoring

    The systematic collection of biologicalspecimens (blood, urine, breath, fingernails,hair, saliva) for the purpose of estimatingexposure to environmental agents and hence

    determine the risk of disease before it occurs

    Interpretation - requires detailed knowledge ofthe kinetics and metabolism of chemicals

    Limitations: due to the rapid excretion ofcertain chemicals, only the most recentexposure to them are measurable; may reflect

    recent exposure or cumulative exposure

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    Medical Screening

    The periodic examination (clinical orlaboratory) to detect diseases (or healthproblems) present among apparently

    healthy subjects

    Issues: validity, predictive values, cost-effectiveness, acceptability of procedure

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    Measurements of Exposure andOutcome : Some Issues / Considerations

    1. Exposures are usually measured quantitatively

    2. Dimensions of exposure: level, duration, level-

    duration combined3. Current Vs. long term exposures

    a. Acute Effects current exposures are

    relevant (e.g. London smog epidemic in 1952)b. Cumulative Effects

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    2 Types of Cumulative Effects

    1. Chemical / substances that accumulatein the body (e.g. cadmium)

    2. Hazards with cumulative effects (e.g.radiation, noise)

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    Measurements of Exposure and Outcome :Some Issues / Considerations

    4. Individual measurements vary with timea. Has implications on the frequency, timeand method used to estimate exposure ordose

    5. Exposure or dose varies between individualsa. Different work habitsb. Differences in the local distribution of

    pollutantsc. Differences in individual absorption andexcretion rates for the chemical

    . d. People with the same external dose mayend up with different internal doses

    M t f E d

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    Measurements of Exposure andOutcome : Some Issues /

    Considerations 6. Internal dose (absorbed dose) is usually

    different from external dose (environmental

    measurements) 7. Dose-effect relationship the higher the

    dose the more severe and intense is the effect;

    data are useful for establishing safetystandards

    Set safety standard at a level where the less

    severe effects are prevented

    M t f E d

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    Measurements of Exposure andOutcome : Some Issues /

    Considerations 8. Dose-Response Relationship

    Response the proportion in an

    exposed group that develops a specificeffect

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    Environmental Exposures Doses are at concentrations far below those

    experienced by workers who are directlyhandling the materials

    Will require larger population for study in order

    to detect the smaller health effects likely toresult

    Problems with confounding variables may be

    more serious Estimation of exposure doses is complicated by

    the lack of routine data on air and water

    pollution

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    Environmental Exposures

    Use of place of residence as surrogate for

    exposure may lead to exposuremisclassification because population may behighly mobile

    Common to use ecologic data or correlationalstudies

    Longer exposure of residents to household

    toxin compared to workers Children are more susceptible than working

    adults since they have faster metabolism and

    absorption of the toxin

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    Risk Assessment

    The use of epidemiological methods andprinciples to estimate the potential healthrisks of industrial or agricultural

    development projects, both before theyare implemented and while they are inoperation.

    Used to predict potential health problemsin the use of new chemicals ortechnologies

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    Steps in Risk Assessment

    1. Identify which environmental hazard may becreated by the technology or project understudy (Hazard Identification)

    2. Analyze the type of health effect that each

    hazard may cause (Hazard Assessment)3. Measure or estimate the actual exposure

    levels for the people potentially affected,including the general population and the workforce (Measure Actual Exposure)

    - Use data on environmental and biologicmonitoring, relevant hx of exposure and

    changes over time

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    Steps in Risk Assessment

    4. Calculate the likely health risk in thepopulation

    - For each hazard identified, the exposuredata for subgroups of the exposedpopulation are combined with the dose-effect and dose-response relationships

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    BURDEN OF NCDs

    rising trends in non-communicable diseases as aresult of demographic and epidemiologicalchanges, as well as economic globalization

    increase in life expectancy combined with changesin lifestyles are leading to epidemics of non-communicable diseases (NCD), mainlycardiovascular diseases, cancer and diabetes

    In 1998, NCD accounts for 63% of global deaths

    43% of all DALY globally were attributed to NCD

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    Non-Communicable Diseases

    Includes all traditionally defined NCDssuch as CVD, cancer, chronic respiratorydiseases, mental health as well as injuries

    and violence

    In all WHO regions (except sub-SaharanAfrica), NCDs today constitute the largest

    contributor to burden

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    NCDs accounted for 60% of all deaths in1999 and 43% of all DALYs with injuriesadding 9% of all deaths and 14% of all

    DALYs

    By 2020, 10 out the top 15 causes ofDALYs lost will be attributable to NCDs,

    mental health and injuries/violence

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    The top five positions will be occupied byIschemic Heart Disease, depression, roadtraffic injuries, cerebrovascular disease

    and Chronic Obstructive PulmonaryDisease (COPD)

    15th place: trachea, bronchus and lung

    cancers (better known as tobacco cancers)

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    GROUP OF NCDs

    Cancers Lifestyle-related (CVD, diabetes)

    Injury (unintentional, intentional)

    Genetic disorders

    Disabling disorders

    Occupational disorders

    Nutritional conditions

    Endocrine disorders Substance abuse

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    REASONS FOR THEPROMINENCE OF NCD

    1. Aging of the population

    2. Impact of automobiles

    3. Lifestyle changes

    4. Tobacco addiction

    -single largest cause of preventable morbidity

    and mortality

    5. Physical activity6. Social and behavioral factors

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    A. CHARACTERISTICS OF THE AGENTe

    Absence of a single necessary agent

    most NCDs are classified on the basis ofmanifestations rather than on etiology (e.g.,CVD, renal disease, neoplasms)

    known causes are risk factors

    e.g. obesity, elevated cholesterol levels,hypertension

    I. NATURAL HISTORY

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    B. TIME FRAME

    - take years or decades before illness is

    apparent

    - no multiplication of causative agent isinvolved

    - multiple low-dose exposures (somechemicals)

    - some conditions seem to evolvesubsequent to chronic conditions orhigh risk states such as obesity,smoking, diabetes and high bloodcholesterol

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    C. NATURE OF THE DISEASE

    chronic in nature

    chronic disease

    (1957 Commission on Chronic Disease)

    permanent

    leaves residual disability

    caused by nonreversible pathologicalalterations

    requires special training of the patientfor rehabilitation

    requires long periods of supervision,observation or care.

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    Chronicity

    function of the long latency period

    slow disease process adaptiveresponses to stresses (may bedetrimental over the long term)

    CD can be chronic (e.g. rheumaticheart disease)

    NCD can be acute (e.g. chemicalpoisoning)

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    D. Synergism in Disease Causation

    > Asbestos and lung cancer (RR=8)> Smoking + asbestos and lung

    cancer (RR=90)

    - Presence of synergism decreasedlatency (produce illness in the prime oflife even with low level exposures)

    - Role of initiators and promoters

    M j C i f

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    Major Categories ofEtiological Agents

    A. Occupational

    B. General environmental

    C. Lifestyle and Illness

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    OCCUPATIONAL

    - chemical

    - metals and naturally occurring minerals

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    Investigating occupational exposures

    agent factors to be considered

    size and shape of particles

    route of exposure

    free or compound form

    organic vs inorganic form

    liquid or vapor form

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    environmental factorsconditions in the work environmental

    that will influence the likelihood thatworkers will come in contact with anagent

    general cleanliness and ventilation

    lighting, temperature

    Host factors lifestyle behaviors that may increase

    the risk of disease from occupationalexposure to an agent

    genetic constitution

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    ENVIRONMENTAL

    sources of exposure contamination of air, water and soil by

    industrial activities or inadequate wastedisposal

    lower dose of exposure than inoccupational environments

    pesticides

    housing materialsautomobile exhausts

    radiation

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    Investigating environmental exposures

    dose

    data on levels of exposuremobility of subjects

    confounders

    additional considerations

    wide range of ages

    length of exposure

    meterological conditions

    seasonal effects

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    LIFESTYLE

    - poverty, stress, exercise, drug and alcohol

    use, nutrition

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    CONTROL OF NCD

    A. PRIMARY PREVENTION- removal of agent from environmental orminimizing the amount of agent present

    - Protection of the susceptible host from

    exposure

    B. SECONDARY PREVENTION

    - screening tests

    C. TERTIARY PREVENTION

    - lifestyle modification

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    A small core of risk factors explains the increases inCVD, certain cancers and their closely linkedconditions of obesity, type II diabetes:

    tobacco, diet/nutrition, physical inactivity andalcohol

    A substantial proportion of chronic respiratorydiseases and death are driven by tobacco use

    Alcohol is obviously a major contributor to all causesof injuries and violence

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    Tobacco trends are not hopeful

    There are 1.2 billion smokers in the worldwith smoking rates in 13 to 15 year oldsbeing about 20% in diverse cities fromdeveloped and developing countries

    Tobacco causes 4 million deaths per year,a figure that will increase to 10 million per

    year by the late 2020s The public health impact is widespread and

    increasing fast in developing countries

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    Trends in alcohol use:

    steady increases in many developingcountries with continued very high rates of

    binge drinking in many east and centralEuropean countries.

    Alcohol Use

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    Obesity

    has tripled in youth in several Chinese cities,

    and rapidly increased over the last 15 years inthe major cities of countries like Malaysia,Brazil, Indonesia and South Africa

    But these have occurred as underweightpersists in the rural areas

    Often underweight is common in the sameneighborhoods as obesity is increasing

    Thus both being underweight and beingoverweight are associated with poverty

    Ob it ( t)

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    Epidemics of obesity and type II diabetes

    have been well documented in mostPacific Island States and are probablyfuelled by a combination of factors:

    increased imports of high fat foodsparticularly cheap off-cuts as well asincreased consumption of sodas in societieswhere physical activity levels haveplummeted.

    Devastating economic impact of diabetescomplications are recently beingdetermined for several of these countries

    Obesity (cont)

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    The problems of obesity and diabetesare caused by many factors

    Solutions similarly need to bemultidimensional and avoid focusing on

    just one aspect or on behavior change

    alone

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    Mental health:

    450 million people who suffer frommental or neurological disorders orfrom psychosocial problems such asthose related to alcohol and drug abuse