4. the impact of automation on the nigerian stock exchange.doc

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Page 1: 4. The Impact of Automation on the Nigerian Stock Exchange.doc

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©Department of Banking and FinanceUniversity of Ado-Ekiti, 2000

Pu!is"ed for Department of Banking and FinanceUniversity of Ado-Ekiti# yFort"rig"t Educationa! Pu!is"ers$A Division of Fort"rig"t %onsu!t &imited'(, )a*aro +treet, nike, aa#c.o P## Bo/ 11Uni!ag P##, Akoka 34E53A#

The Nigerian Journal of Banking and Financial Issues  6$7BF3' provides auni8ue forum for t"e articu!ation and dissemination of app!ied researc" yacademics and professiona!s in t"e fie!d of Banking and Finance or re!ateddiscip!ines# 3t is i-annua! *ourna! pu!is"ed y t"e Department of Banking andFinance University of Ado-Ekiti, igeria#

9"e 7ourna! contains ana!ysis of anking and financia! issues re!evant to t"e igerian economic e/perience and financia! po!icies# pinions e/pressed "ereinare t"ose of t"e aut"ors and not necessari!y t"ose of t"e Department of Bankingand Finance or Fort"rig"t %onsu!t &imited#

 All rights reserved. No part of the publication may be reproduced or transmitted 

in any form or by any means electronic, mechanical, photocopying, recording or 

otherise or stored by any retrieval system of any nature, ithout tht prior ritten permission of the copyright bolder.

3++ :-;(:(

+uscription 5ate< igeria<+tudents - =00#00t"ers - >00#00

Foreign< - U+?0

 Printed in Nigeria by Forthright Educational Publishers, Lagos.

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 Nigerian Journal of Banking and Financial Issues !ol " No. #.$#%#&&

THE IMPACT OF AUTOMATION ON THE NIGERIAN

STOCK EXCHANGE

7ackson # !u*ide@

Introduction

9"e igerian +tock E/c"ange6 "as made strong strides in t"e !astdecade as a resu!t of key financia! reform decisions taken in t"e !ast fe yearsand t"e increasing!y positive steps toards good governance# Furt"ermore, someinfrastructure continues to e !aid for favoura!e operation of t"e stock e/c"angenation-ide# 9"ese efforts and successes to date "ave, a!ready egun to

demonstrate t"at dividends are paya!e from system ide reduction of financia!repression, remova! of financia! asp"y/iation and from t"e e/ercise of financia!and fisca! discip!ines in t"e management of t"e country6s economy andresources##

As a resu!t of t"e reforms of t"e !ast fe years, t"e igerian +tock E/c"ange "as no dout ac"ieved remarka!e grot" it"in t"e !ast to decadesof its e/istence, t"ere "as a!so een enormous e/pansion "i its operations interms of ider operationa! coverage# 9"ese deve!opments "ave increasedsustantia!!y t"e vo!ume of transactions and range of services offered to t"e pu!ic# 3n addition, t"e +tock E/c"ange in concert it" ot"er faci!itatinginstitutions provide emp!oyment opportunities for igerians as e!! asencouraging t"e ac8uisition of kno!edge, ski!! and professiona!ism in stock  rokerage# 9"e +tock E/c"ange t"erefore represents a verita!e ve"ic!e +o t"e

continued operation and attraction of foreign capita! for !ife nation deve!opment#But in spite of t"e string of aforementioned ac"ievements, t"ere is t"e

genera! fee!ing t"at t"e igerian +tock E/c"ange is sti!! underdeve!opedt"erefore not yet Cin a position-to contriute effective!y to t"e deve!opmentneeds of t"e economy# 9"e underdeve!oped nature of t"e +tock E/c"ange isref!ected in its system of trading# 9"e igerian +tock E/c"ange operated t"eCca!!-coverC system of trading from inception to :: due to t"e paucity of securities dea!t in# and t"e comparative!y sma!! sie of t"e market#

3n t"is ca!!-over system, securities are ca!!ed individua!!y and memers$stock rokers' indicate interest "et"er to uy or se!!#

During t"e ca!!-over-days of trading, it took investors an average of si/mont"s to get s"are certificates from 5egistrars to 8uoted companies# 9"issituation "as made it possi!e for an investor to ma/imise possi!e opportunitiesin t"e market arising from price f!uctuations#

Dr# 7ackson # !u*ide is of t"e Dept of Business Administration# University of !!orin#

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 Automation and the Nigerian 'tock ()change $*

oever, in Apri! :: a ne trading system ca!!ed t"e %entra!+ecurities %!earing +ystem $%+%+' as introduced# 9"is system makes it possi!e for an investor to dea! on securities oug"t five days after t"etransaction day $i#e#, 9 G > H transaction day p!us five days'# 9"us t"isautomated trading system "ic" makes it imperative for t"e %+%+ to c!ear andsett!e a!! transactions on t"e stock e/c"ange it"in 9G> days "as e!iminated a!!manua! processes of trading on t"e e/c"ange#

9"e manua! system of trading causes a !ot of de!ay in t"e issuance of s"are certificates y company 5egistrars to investors conse8uent on a secondarymarket transaction# 9"erefore, most igerian investors are o!iged to e contentit" dividend payment and onus issues rat"er t"an earning more income from price f!uctuations#

9"e situation "as !ed to a very !o vo!ume of trade over t"e years asreported y t"e igerian +tock E/c"ange in its fact ook :::# 9"is is aconse8uence of t"e manua! c!earing system# t"er draacks of t"e manua!trading system inc!udeI- de!ay in issuing s"are certificates to s"are"o!ders- cance!!ation of s"are certificates of se!!ing s"are"o!ders and issuance of 

ne s"are certificates for a uying s"are"o!der per transaction#- %onstant signature verification efore sa!es is a!!oed#- Dea!ing memers ere s"ort-se!!ing- Fai!ed transaction- &oss of s"are certificates, and so on#

From t"e foregoing t"erefore, t"is study is designed to e/amine titimpact of automation on t"e vo!ume of trading on t"e igerian +tock 

E/c"anges6 +pecifica!!y, t"e study intends to ac"ieve t"e fo!!oing o*ectives<$a' 9o determine t"e average annua! vo!ume of s"ares traded on t"e

 igerian +tock E/c"ange during t"e ca!!-over system of trading#$' 9o determine t"e average annua! vo!ume of s"ares traded on t"e

 igerian +tock E/c"ange after t"e introduction of %+%+#$c' From $a' and $' aove, to determine t"e impact of automatic on t"e

traded vo!ume of s"ares on t"e igerian +tock E/c"ange#

Institutional fram!or" 

T# Cntral Scuritis Clarin$ S%stm

9"e !ast decade sa monumenta! c"anges in economic environment prope!!ed y ma*or tec"no!ogica! innovations in te!ecommunications andinformation tec"no!ogy resu!ting in integrated or!d financia! markets it" t"eemergence of g!oa!isation or cross-order investments# 3n :;;# t"e Federationof 3nternationa! +tock E/c"ange $F3BE' of "ic" t"e igeria +tock E/c"ange isa memer, commission a group of t"irty $4 =0' e/perts to undertake a study of or!d stock markets# 9"e nine $:'

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 Nigerian Journal of Banking and Financial Issues $"

key recommendations of t"e 4-=0 "ave ecome g!oa! stock market yard stick for c!earing, sett!ement, depository, registry and custodian systems#

3n vie of t"e foregoing, t"e igerian +tock E/c"ange on 7u!y 2:,::2 incorporated a susidiary company ca!!ed %entra! +ecurities %!earing+ystem &imited it" a mission to speed up t"e de!ivery system of t"e igerian%apita! )arket t"roug" t"e introduction of efficient, effective securities,c!earing, sett!ement and custodian mec"anisms it" minimum risk#

9"is as to e ac"ieved y t"e imp!ementation of t"e +tock E/c"ange)anagement +ystem $+E)+' softare app!ication package# 9"e +E)+ is a four $(' modu!e package<J %!earing.+ett!ement< Depository.registry $%D+' system< %ustodian services

J Board and automated trading and market contro! and survei!!anceJ Broker management and !icensing and stockrokers anksJ %orporate profi!e management and statistics inc!uding 3DEK#9"e %entra! +ecurities %!earing +ystems &imited as commissioned on Apri! ;:: and commenced operations on Apri! ( ::#

9"e %+%+, in addition to c!earing and sett!ing trades, functions as<- %entra! depository for s"are certificates of companies 8uoted on t"e

 igerian +tock E/c"ange#- +u-registry for a!! 8uoted securities $in con*unction it" registrars of 

8uoted companies'#- 3ssuer of centra! securities identification numers to stock "o!ders- %ustodian $in con*unction it" memers' for !oca! and foreign instruments#

9"e system operates a 9 G > sett!ement cyc!e for transaction on t"ee/c"ange, in conformity it" t"e F3BE standard for emerging market to "ic" igerian +tock E/c"ange market e!ongs# 9"e 9 G > $transaction p!us five days'sett!ement cyc!e is faci!itated y t"e immoi!isation of s"are certificates in acentra! !ocation "ic" in turn ena!es transaction to e processed in ane!ectronic ook entry form#

9"us, p"ysica! de!ivery of s"are certificates for secondary markettransactions to fu!fi!! sett!ement o!igations "as een rep!aced y e!ectroniccredits and deits to s"are"o!ders stock positions#

Benefits of t"e %+%+ inc!ude among ot"ers<- 5eduction in incidence of !oss or sto!en s"are certificates- E!imination of !ate de!ivery of s"are certificates- 5eduction in t"e cost of maintaining register of s"are "o!ders- 3ncreased !i8uidity of stock 

- 3ncreased transparency of market- 3ncreased market turnover - Encourages foreign investments- Ensures prompt inter-roker money and stock sett!ements

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 Automation and the Nigerian 'tock ()change $+

- 3ncreased efficiency and profitai!ity of stockroking firms- 5eduction of operating costs#

9o ma/imise t"e gain of t"e %entra! +ecurities %!earing +ystems &imited,t"e ca!!-over trading system as in Apri! ::: rep!aced it" t"e automatedtrading system it" ids and offers of securities noLv matc"ed y stockrokerson# t"e trading f!oors of t"e +tock E/c"ange #t"roug" a netork of computers#

+econdary market transactions are no consummated y stock rokerst"roug" t"e use of computers it"in t"e "ours of #00a#m# ti!! a!! ids andoffers "ave een e/ecuted $aout #=0p#m# on t"e average'#

Rsarc# mt#odolo$%

9"e igerian +tock E/c"ange is not t"e on!y institution in t"e capita!market, ut it is t"e on!y capita! market institution in "ic" ot" t"e# centra!securities c!earing systems !imited $%+%+' and Automated 9rading +ystem$A9+' are re!evant, eing t"e on!y market in "ic" transactions on 8uotedsecurities are perfected# 3t t"en Jfits in perfect!y into t"e o*ectives of t"is study#And t"erefore, represents t"e study samp!e#

9"e main source of data for t"e study is t"e secondary source#3nformation as otained from ot" interna! pu!ications of t"e igerian +tock E/c"ange, suc" as<

- t"e igerian +tock E/c"ange Factooks- t"e dai!y officia! !ist of t"e igerian +tock E/c"ange< and a!so

from e/terna! sources suc" as- Pu!ications y t"e centra! securities c!earing system !imited#Data otained ere ana!ysed y t"e use of simp!e percentages in order to

"ig"!ig"t trends and summarise resu!tI

9"e parameters considered in t"is ana!ysis inc!ude<- )arket capita!iation- umer of s"ares traded- Dai!y average vo!ume- umer of stock roking firms- umer of !isted companies- umer of !isted securities

&ata anal%sis and discussion of rsults

9"e resu!ts of our data ana!ysis ased on t"e aove parameters are presented asfo!!os< 6

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:>

Ta'l (

Mar"t Ca)italisation

*ar Mar"t Ca)italisation + C#an$

Post A9+ ::: 2;#2 i!!ion 0Pre A9+ ::; 210#; i!!ion

9a!e s"os a pre-A9+ market capita!isation of 210#; i!!ion in ::; risingto 2;;#2 i!!ion during t"e si/ mont"s post-A9+ in :::# 9"is represents anincrease of 0M#

Ta'l ,

Prcnta$ C#an$s in Mar"t Ca)italisation

ear )arket %ap# $ Bi!!ion' M 3ncrease::; 21=#= (1:: 2:2#0 >2=::1 2;>#1 >0:::> # 21>::( 1>#> (0::= (1#: N::= as taken as t"e ase year for t"e purpose of t"is ana!ysis#

Fi$ur (- Mar"t ca)italisation .N 'illion/

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:1

Ta'l 0Num'r of S#ars Tradd

ear umer of +"ares 9raded $ Bi!!ion' M 3ncrease::; 2# =(=:: #= (::1 0#;;2 ;1::> 0#=: -1::( 0#>2( 0::= 0#(= -9"e percentage increase as otained using ::= as t"e ase year#

Fi$ur ,- Num'r of S#ars .in 'illions/

3t is evident from 9a!e = t"at t"e vo!ume of s"ares traded increasedsustantia!!y in ::1 fo!!oing t"e de-regu!ation of t"e market and muc" morein :: after t"e introduction of t"e %entra! +ecurities %!earing +ystem#

9"e study a!so considered t"e tota! numer of s"ares traded on t"ee/c"ange in t"e "a!f-year period $7anuary - 7une' ::; and :::

Ta'l 1

Prcnta$ C#an$s in Num'r of S#ars Tradd

.2ear $7an-7un' o# of +"ares 9raded $)i!!ion' Percentage %"angePost A9+ ::: :1>#: =0Pre A9+ ::; =;#= --

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 Nigerian Journal of Banking and Financial Issues $ 

9urnover on t"e e/c"ange during t"e si/ mont"s ended 7une ::: stoodat :1>#: mi!!ion s"ares, up y =0M due to t"e successfu! transition to t"eAutomated 9rading +ystem $A9+'#

9a!e >ear D#A#O# )i!!ion M 3ncrease::; ;#( =(2:: >#= :::1 =#> ;(::> #1 1::( 2# 1::= #: -

Fi$ur 0- &ail% A2ra$ 3olum

9a!e > s"os t"at t"ere as a significant increase in t"e averagenumer of s"ares traded on t"e f!oors of t"e e/c"ange in :: and ::;fo!!oing t"e deregu!ation of t"e market and introduction of t"e %entra!+ecurities +ystems &imited# 9"e pre-%+%+ rate of increase ranges from 0M to;(M eteen ::= and ::1 "i!e for t"e post %+%+ years it as eteen:M and =(2M in ::;#

Ta'l 4

Num'r of Stoc" 'ro"in$ Firms

*ar No5 of Stoc" 'ro"in$ Firms + Incras

::; 221 1:: 2 >>::1 12 >::> 12 >::( (0 0::= (0 -

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 Automation and the Nigerian 'tock ()change $-

  ::= ::( ::> ::1 :: ::; ears

Fi$ur 1- Num'r of Stoc" 6ro"in$ Firms

9a!e 1 s"os an improvement of eteen >>M and 1M in t"enumer of stockroking firms invo!ved in dai!y market transactions on t"e f!oorsof t"e igerian +tock E/c"ange in :: and ::; respective!y se8ue! toautomation introduced in ::#

Ta'l 7

Num'r of 8istd Com)anis

ear o# of &isted %ompanies M 3ncrease::; ;1 1#

:: ;2 (#1::1 ;= >#::> ; (#0::( #::= ( -

  ::= ::( ::> ::1 :: ::; earsFi$ur 9- Num'r of 8istd Com)anis

)5# AE,D5A %)P&E9E

45AP

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 Nigerian Journal of Banking and Financial Issues $$

9a!e s"os t"at t"ere ere no significant c"anges in t"e numer of companies !isted on t"e igerian +tock E/c"ange for t"e period under revie ot" CPre and PostC automation#

Ta'l :

Num'r of 8istd Scuritis

ear 4ovt#+tocks M %"ange 3ndustria! M %"ange E8uities

&oans M %"ange::; : -(: >: - ;1 :: 22 -( 10 -1 ;2 >

::1 2( -=> 1: -= 3>= >::> 2; -2( 1 -1 ; (::( => -> 1( -0 2::= = - - ( -

"i!st t"e numer of government stocks and industria! !oans decreased progressive!y over t"e years, !arge!y due to maturity, redemption and eventua!de-!isting, t"e numer of e8uities $ordinary s"ares' increased progressive!y due!o ne !isting of securities#

5esu!ts otained from t"e ana!ysis of data for t"is study s"o t"at t"eintroduction of automation in t"e igeria +tock )arket acted as a cata!yst to ot" t"e vo!ume of trade consumated on t"e f!oors of t"e e/c"ange from (=mi!!ion s"ares in ::= to 2# i!!ion s"ares in ::;# 3t a!so s"os an increase in

t"e numer of stockroking firms from (0 in ::= to 221 in ::;#

Conclusion

9"e introduction of t"e %+%+ and t"e A9+ "ave increased t"e tempo of trading activities on t"e igerian +tock )arket# 9"ey "ave increasedsustantia!!y t"e fo!!oing indices< market turnover, transparency< investor6sconfidence< foreign investments< !i8uidity and virancy of t"e market< and prompt inter-roker money and stock sett!ement##

3n conc!uding, t"is study ants to make t"e fo!!oingrecommendations so t"at t"e igerian +tock )arket can en*oy fu!!y t"edividends of automation# 9"ese inc!ude t"e fo!!oing<i' 9"e %+%+ and t"e A9+ s"ou!d accommodate a!! 8uoted securities# For no

on!y e8uities are traded t"roug" t"e %+%+ and A9+< ot"er securities suc" asgovernment stocks, industria! !oans, onds and preference stocks are yet to e accommodated in t"e current automation process,

ii' 9"e transaction cyc!e current!y 9 G > for sett!ement of cas" and stock s"ou!d e reduced furt"er to 9 G t"roug" t"e use of a sing!e sett!ement

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 Automation and the Nigerian 'tock ()change #&&

 ank as opposed to severa! sett!ement anks eing used no#iii' 9"e trading "ours s"ou!d e e/tended eyond t"e present c!osing time of 

#=0p#m#iv' 5emote trading "ere stock rokers ou!d e a!e to trade from t"e

conveniences of t"eir offices s"ou!d commence soonest, t"is ou!d invo!vein t"e introduction of computer netorking,

v' &icensing of stock roking firms s"ou!d e !iera!ised,vi' 9"ere s"ou!d e a separation of functions eteen *oers and dea!ers and

fina!!y t"e Federa! 4overnment of igeria s"ou!d f!oat ne deve!opmentstocks for capita! pro*ects instead of ot"er forms of orroing#9"ese recommendations, it is "oped, ou!d furt"er improve on t"e

automation process a!ready commenced t"erey en"ancing t"e capita!

moi!ising capai!ities of t"e igerian +tock E/c"ange#

Rfrnc-

Adetun*i# # $::K'# C9"e igerian %apita! )arket# 9"e 9ask Before )arketperators#C A paper presented at t"e 2nd Annua! %onference of t"e%"artered 3nstitute of +tock Brokers# &agos igeria#

-- $::'< Foreign 3nvestment pportunities# Potentia!s and 5imers in%apita! )arkets- A Paper Presented at t"e A!riean %onference of +tock Brokers< 5egistrars# 3nvestment Bankers and Fund )anagers# &agos# igeria#

A!i!e# #3# $::'< -Financing Pu!ic Pro*ect t"roug" t"e %apita! )arket#C APaper Presented at t"e 3nternationa! %onference on Promoting %apita!#)arket in Africa &agos igeria

-- $::2'< Esta!is"ing a +tock )arket< 9"e igerian E/perience# A paper  presented at t"e 3nternationa! %onference on Promoting %apita!)arkets in &agos igeria

 igerian +tock e/c"ange $:::'< Fact ook# igerian +tock e/c"ange $:::'< Dai!y fficia! &ist#!oe# 5#A $::;' Effective Pricing of +ecurities in t"e +econdary )arket#C

%"artered 3nstitute of +tockrokers# &agos - igeria#a!! +treet 9rade %o# &td# $:::'< %ustom +treet 5evie< A es!etter# Oo!# 3,

3ssue 2#ing# %#%# $::f,'< C+tock )arket Prices and t"e Oo!ume of +a!es#C Economic -

Africa, Cvo!ume =(#